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sthpstm

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Everything posted by sthpstm

  1. sthpstm
    They actually make mention of Jay at the end of the article on the list, and yes, that is essentially their question on him: http://m.mlb.com/news/article/213619434/2017-top-10-left-handed-pitching-prospects/
  2. sthpstm
    I see you're spreading your disregard for Stewart to other threads, but I'll address it in this one. Yes, Stewart is 25 years old. But he did not pitch in college. So you can't treat him as a standard 25 year old pitcher drafted out of college. He has a greater probability of improving than most 25 year old pitchers. This is reflected in all of his scouting reports, and while mixed they all see 2 above average pitches with a 3rd pitch about average but improving. He has good command and his fastball sits 92+. He's not a bum. He's not Aaron Slegers. And while he won't be an ace he sounds like at least a serviceable #4 who can pitch in a rotation in 2017 while still having a chance to improve. I'll also admit some bias because the start I saw him make against the IE 66ers was very impressive.
  3. sthpstm
    This is really interesting. It might be a little too good for the Twins and light for Jays, but pretty darn good for all. Are they sending money to Toronto?
  4. sthpstm
    When Falvey or Levine have made comments to the effect of the gift that the Pohlads have given by not requiring them to make decisions based solely on money, I think of Phil Hughes. The contract extension was a huge error as many have stated. Being a TR move, I think he would feel more pressure to keep him in the rotation than the new guys. I realize most pitchers' numbers get worse the 2nd and 3rd time through the order, and Hughes certainly does. If you compare his (somewhat limited) RP numbers only to SP 1st time through the order numbers, he still has been just so much better as a RP. I think we move him to pen; maybe there is a Wade Davis/Andrew Miller-lite that can recoup some value from the contract.
  5. sthpstm
    That was my thinking, but certainly the owners thought through that potential and either didn't think it would happen or that if it did, it would have minimal negative effect (this is more of a question than a phrase).
  6. sthpstm
    In regards to the international spending limits, will this open up these markets and players to other leagues (Japan, Korea, etc.)? If they do not have these strict limits, could teams over there start outbidding MLB clubs for the top under-25 prospects?
  7. sthpstm
    Truly ridiculous. This was quite obvious and your post was completely unnecessary. You are doing a fine job at annoying your readers and alienating those who contribute to forums. The obsessiveness of some moderators here to distinguish themselves from posters, to take over and halt threads because you wanted to start your own, to intervene in discussion and label it argumentative, and to publicly rebuke posters is getting out of hand. And I would point out that I am not one of the people getting into long discussions, or being rebuked, etc.
  8. sthpstm
    Hard to imagine the Dodgers wanting any of our pitchers, especially one on a bad contract who hasn't performed consistently with the options they already have.
  9. sthpstm
    David William St. Peter?
  10. sthpstm
    LA radio AM570 has said yesterday that the Dodgers have a very good trade offer on the table and are essentially just waiting on the Twins to decide for sure they want to trade Dozier.
  11. sthpstm
    I'd love to Verdugo as the second piece, and would have assumed he was too much, but seeing the Eaton trade makes me slightly hopeful.
  12. sthpstm
    I'm a little behind on this thread, but has anyone brought up Wolfson's mentioning the Phillies as having interest in Dozier? Initially, I found this quite perplexing, but then I thought a little more. The Dodgers need a leadoff hitter, someone with good OBP and some speed, probably more than they need a slugger, particularly if they bring back Turner. Howie Kendrick (.255/.326/.366) and Chase Utley (.252/.319/.396) were their lead off hitters last year. Kendrick is now gone; Utley is a free agent. Maybe the Phillies trade Cesar Hernandez (.294/.371/.393) to the Dodgers, opening up second base to trade for Dozier.
  13. sthpstm
    I don't think it's wise to expect a 28 and 32 year old suddenly learned to hit and that they won't dive back down offensively next year. If nothing else, check out their jumps in BABIP. And as others have stated or inferred, Castro needs to be employed on a fairly strict platoon against RH pitchers; his stats against LH pitchers were brutal (.478 OPS vs .757 against RH). You guys are right, his overall numbers are terrible, but get a guy who hits LH pitchers (Murphy, or maybe Chris Gimenez), and you have solid numbers against both LH and RH pitchers. By Baseball Prospectus numbers, their pitch framing stats are not close, at all. And their improvements over him in the other areas, were not as great as you imagine them to be. FRAA Adj is Baseball Prospectus's measurement for catchers using Fielding Runs Above Average (FRAA) that "is augmented with framing, throwing and blocking contribution" and "is then added to the 'normal' FRAA components, such as fielding ground balls, to generate a total FRAA for the catcher." By FRAA Adj, these 2 are not even close to Castro. Butera is at .8, Herrmann at -4.9 (MLB only), and Castro at 16.8. In other words, average, poor and excellent. Falvey, Levine, and Baseball Prospectus disagree with you and laloesch and others here on your assessment. Perhaps we all, myself included, would benefit from a great understanding of BP's catching analytics. And maybe we can give the new guys a chance to install their systems and players before announcing we know better than they and some statistical organizations do.
  14. sthpstm
    Haha, yes, completely. Extraneous movement? I just keep replaying in mind Suzuki running his glove through and way out of the strike zone to catch a pitch that missed its spot, was technically a strike but called a ball thanks to the magic of Suzuki.
  15. sthpstm
    Who do you think they should have acquired?
  16. sthpstm
    Surprisingly he's not even the first writer to mention it. I stumbled across this a few days ago: http://fansided.com/2016/09/19/5-potential-trade-destinations-brian-dozier/
  17. sthpstm
    Did I miss the part where Kinsler is first choice and Dozier is one of the back up plans? Or is that an assumption based on there being details of talks while no details of the Twins/Dodgers discussion?
  18. sthpstm
    He's not a free agent, but I think Derek Norris is still worth a look, particularly if you think Garver can be effective by mid-season. He gets good defensive ratings, but what little I can find on framing is mixed. He used to be okay, then took at dive in early 2015 before climbing back up. I would be curious how he rated in 2016. If it is okay, he may be worth a try.
  19. sthpstm
    Berrios is in the bullpen because you think he belongs there long term or something else?
  20. sthpstm
    I have to assume that people saying the Giants and the A's are in the same market aren't from the area or California. As a California transplant I may have a little more knowledge, and for the people I know, they aren't, they aren't in the same market. Most San Franciscans wouldn't make the trek to Oakland for a game even if the A's were great and the Giants were in a Twins-like slump. Oakland and it's areas are generally lower income and industrial.
  21. sthpstm
    Cleveland connection...could it be the Twins? Until it's not, I can hope.
  22. sthpstm
    Personally, I would think that the risk with that package is too high, in combination because they are too far away, too new to professional baseball, have had injuries, and/or have too big of question marks. I could see a couple of them in the trade, but I think we should expect at least a piece or probably two that are either near MLB ready and/or have a high floor and high ceiling.
  23. sthpstm
    I think those are comps from people on this thread based off of the Prospect Pipeline scouting report. Amazing that they can comp him from that, eh? In 2015 Badler tagged him as having potential for 3 above average pitches (fastball, + change up, slider) and that a splitter that was more like a change up. He describes him as a strikeout pitcher who gets a lot of ground balls. He listed no comps. He goes in depth on him here (paywall): http://www.baseballamerica.com/international/top-20-prospects-cuba-1-10/#T4KpWZObKh8hR4VR.97 Badler also had him well above Perez who didn't make the top 20 and was going to get $5M+ from the Astros till the recent rescinding of that offer. While that may have changed, $500k is not going to get it done. And if being under 23 and subject to the pool hurts his market that much, I imagine he would hold out until 3/15/17 when he turns 23. Now that he's more easily viewed by scouts I imagine we will hear more.
  24. sthpstm
    I don't want a GM to have to come in and press too hard to make moves and make bad moves to try to improve a team. SD and Arizona tried this and I don't think anyone wants those situations. I agree with the original premise of this thread overall. Falvey needs to build up a system of coaches and personnel first, and there is only so much that can be taken on when starting anew. I expect this to be more like Milwaukee when Stearns took over last year. The coaching staff will be revamped and the player development process will be reviewed and a system put in place. It seems to me, the only difference is it being more likely Falvey makes a trade in his first offseason (Dozier and/or Santana) due to a player being at peak value instead of waiting for the value to go back up (Lucroy) and trading at midseason. Next offseason or the trade deadline is, in my opinion, when Falvey would make more drastic moves to shift players out and bring those into the system that fit the system, if necessary. At that point, you have to hope that your process and coaching staff have caused the Gibsons, Santiagos, etc. to have built up trade value that you can turn into long term assets.
  25. sthpstm
    I think the Stewart is washed up crowd forgets that he may very well be a late bloomer in honing his craft. He didn't focus on baseball as much as most top draft picks do and so, as I recall, patience was preached. But everyone seems to have forgotten it. There are examples of pitchers with low strikeout rates in the minors becoming productive major league starters who improve their strikeout rates over time. I know it's neither typical nor what we would like but it happens. With his stuff, Stewart seems as likely a candidate to turn it around as Keuchel, or anyone before him who has.
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