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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    Mauer spending more time behind the plate is likely the only way that Morneau finishes his career in MN (short of an epic Parmalee implosion)
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    I see no one has any confidence in Benson. I agree that he's the most likely on these lists of guys not to make it, but I wouldn't write him off just yet... That said, the 2015 team's biggest needs are up the middle and starting pitching. I don't see a whole lot in the pipeline that looks to be ready to help the 2015 team up the middle. Rosario mabye if he's pushed, and there's an outside chance that Dozier turns out to be a decent player, but hardly a sure thing.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    Comparing minor leaguers after a half season in rookie ball not going to give you any reasonable comps, and the numbers aren't even similar. Once berrios has a body of minor league work, you can start comparing him and projecting him... that said, I seem to remember seeing/reading somewhere that part of Pedro's success was that he had some sort of hand deformity that actually worked to make him a better pitcher... perhaps I'm wrong there.... As for Slowey, people tend to forget that Slowey was looking to be a pretty decent pitcher until he got hit by that liner. He was in the middle of a break out season and had his ERA under 4 prior to that event... I'm not sure Verlander was ever a good comp, but people were comparing him to Halladay at the time. He was also never the same after that. Perhaps he was just lucky, that's entirely possible, but I tend to think that his pitching woes had little to do with his pitching coatch and everything to do with the fact that he wasn't the same after that injury.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm not sure what the point of this thread is... some of that stuff will happen, and some won't. Benson's inclusion here is interesting given that I doubt he heads north with the team. I somehow doubt Hicks does too. Parmalee has shown he has nothing left to prove in AAA, so whether he's ready or not, he gets his shot, and hopefully an entire season to figure things out. Will he have his bumps? Probably. I think at this point you should just accept the fact that 80 wins is the ceiling (and a fairly unlikely one at that). Let the kids play and figure things out. Collect a few more high draft picks to help fill some spots for 2015...
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd hope that he could be better. His overall numbers weren't exactly mind blowing. You can argue that his first month or so of the season struggles were due to inconsistent PT... and the last 2 months due to that injury... Here's to hoping that's the case. Not sure he'd do a .638 SLG over the course of the season, but if he could get the average up to .270 while hitting 30 or so home runs, he'd be quite the asset...
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    B- seems reasonable. It is pretty clear that the offseason was targeting the future and not the present. With a top 5 pick in June and quite possibly one next year, they should be able to add two more high quality college type pieces to that mix as well. The trades were excellent, and though the OF will be defensively weaker this season, by 2014, we will be looking at Hicks/Benson/Arcia which should be a nice upgrade in the field and quite possibly at the plate. Trading Span and Revere was smart, as that 2014 team should be auditioning Meyer and May to go with Gibson and Worley. I wouldn't be shocked if the 2013 team improves a bit, but I'm not expecting anything more than 70 wins unless Morneau and Mauer suddenly find their old selves, Harden works out, and Deduno figures out how to locate his fastball.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    If he starts the year in MIN and never looks back, he won't be a super 2...
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    I hear Alex Smith will be available.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    honestly, if they are punting on 2013, I'd rather the payroll savings going towards one of those high dollar cuban players.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    Why would you think they can be league average? Let's assume Diamond can replicate his season (big assumption), and Worley his. Then what? Correia won't be. Hendricks very well may not be, and his ceiling is probably an average pitcher. Gibson has a chance at being above average, but as a rookie on an innings limit, I wouldn't put a ton of hope into that either. Pelfrey was an innings eater but hasn't been average in quite some time. That's not a lot of hope for shaving 100 runs off. I'd say the best hope for the starting 5 is a healthy and effective Rich Harden along with a Sam Deduno figuring out how to locate that fastball just enough.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    Yes, 23 year olds that OPS around 1.2 in AAA grow on trees and are future bench bats. I think the Twins (and rightfully so I might add) are high on him. They guy can flat out hit. Whether his defense is any good remains to be seen, but you typically don't put a blocked 1B prospect in the OF temporarily if you think he's a bench bat.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd have a tough time stomaching the trade of a first round pick for anything less than another first round pick. Percy hasn't exactly been a bust either. If they think the problem is Percy and it's worth not having him, then just play it year to year and frachize the guy if they decide they want to work something out. Personally, I think Percy wouldn't be nearly as difficult if the QB situation was a bit better. AP is the show on this team, but the QB needs to be good enough to get the ball out. I shutter to think what AP could have done had someone like Matt Stafford been manning the helm. I think getting Alex Smith this offseason would be very wise, especially since his value is low enough that they won't likely have to give up their first rounder.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    Because at some point next season, the Twins will be sending out Deduno and DeVries due to injury or ineffectiveness. Correia doesn't help on the effectiveness side of things, but imagine what they'd be throwing out there if Deduno and DeVries were in the plans and they got hurt...
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    You have to go with Pagano/Arians in Indy... Look what happened to NO with Payton out.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't see Texas overpaying right now... I do see them willing to shell out something nice at the deadline if they are in a race and are missing that power bat. Olt could make this whole conversation moot...as could a Cruz rebound, which is hardly unrealistic...
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    He's got another year on his deal.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    The Twins could have gotten him for org filler and picked up his option if they wanted him.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    Fringe yes, but they have issues with their starting 9. I think Theo is doing more rebuilding in that he's spending money with the hopes of flipping some of these gus for more prospects.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    That would Smith's only win... and let's not talk about how bad he got taken in the Santana and Garza deals.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    Look, rotations need both types of pitchers. Inning eaters have value in that they essentially eat innings. My concern is the unhealthy value that Ryan places on the innings eaters. Having 5 clones up on the mound helps opposing teams over a series because they just saw the same pitcher yesterday... and having a few high K guys at the front of the rotation makes a huge difference come playoff time. If I had an ideal rotation, it would be 3 number 1/2 type pitchers and 2 guys to round out the rotation who will get 200 plus innings as a 4/5 type guy. Those guys help keep the pen fresh and the team as a whole over the season. Come playoff time, you need the K guys.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    There was never a chance that Livan pitched like a number 2... and he still got flipped. Harden, if healthy, WILL be in demand come June... It's a big IF, but he could net something decent if he's pitching well.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    What I don't get is that the price of pitching went up at the bottom/mid tiers and not so much at the top. Greinke's contract was a bit high, but no one should have been surprised at what Sanchez and Jackson got... on the bottom end, you got guys like Baker and Correia who wouldn't have gotten 3M last year getting much much more.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    To answer your first question, yes I would (and to be honest, I was hoping they would have drafted Gausman). Arcia has all the tools as well. The difference is that he's much more of a sure thing at this point. He's looking more and more like a middle order bat who can play average or better defense in the corner. Buxton can certainly get there, but the odds of failure are much higher... I'd also note that Buxton didn't have a good statistical year either. Arcia had a great one facing AA pitching. To warrant a top 5 in my opinion is to have the tools and the performance. Discounting one over the other is not wise.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    I think you are a bit low on May, especially noticing that he improved pretty significantly during the final couple of months of 2012... That said, I have one quibble. The Twins SHOULD be looking at middle infield bats. They have Dozier, who isn't much of a prospect but could surprise, and Rosario who won't be up until 2015 at the earliest. They had a couple of interesting options in their short leagues, but those guys are even further out. They might not want a ringer, but a good glove with a bit better than average bat is definitely something they should be targeting to help man the middle. I agree they should still be looking at Meyer/May/Gibson type guys as well. I'm not sure what Hammer would net, but they have to be looking at AA middle infield help as well.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    Let's accept this move for what it is... a low risk move (50k) with a high reward, but the odds of it panning out are likely less than 10%. I doubt at this point that Ryan expects the Twins to contend, and to be honest, even if Harden is a gold mine, they still would be a fringe contender at best. The flip side is that if he is money this spring, he gets flipped for something decent at the deadline. Pitching is always in demand at the trade deadline, and a healthy Harden should fetch a nice price. I don't get why people are complaining, this is exactly the type of move they shoudl be making... It's the same reason why they should get Bedard (though he will cost more).
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