My apologies as I thought it was clear that I was referring to his current season. The key for any college pitcher is progression, which thus far, Anderson is doing. Now perhaps you are right and he's going to regress to the mean a bit. If that's the case, I don't think we'd be having this conversation. My point, though is this. If Anderson continues, he might not get good enough to go 4 over all, but he won't be there for pick number 2. The Twins, if they believe in him, could throw a much lower than slot value at him to save 2 mil and go after a tough highschool sign much later in the draft, much like Houston did last year. I get that it isn't a perfect strategy, but in so doing, they turned the number 4 overall pick into 2 very good prospects instead of 1.