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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    I am not as certain about Windle, but with Anderson, it appears that the "stuff" is there, but issues such as control were not. If he continues to put up the numbers he's done thus far, he's going to climb.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    Benson can already give you elite CF defense. As long as that continues, his floor is a 4th OF. His offense is the issue at hand.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    Pretty much.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    yeah, no way I'd spend number 4 on him unless things change soon.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    there's a nice write up on minorleagueball as well on the Manaea-Windle matchup.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    In this scenario, it has more to do with who gets drafted and what's left at number 4. I'd argue it depends on how many "elite" prospects this draft holds. If there's 4, then I doubt the Twins do this, but once the elite guys go, there isn't a ton separating the rest. If the Twins believe in Anderson, it may make more sense to take him, save the money, and use the rest to get a tough sign. The Twins would be in a better long term situation in that scenario.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    As others have stated, there isn't a ton of research on this, though I seem to remember reading that there was enough evidence to challenge the idea that pitchers must be fit. Some of have suggested that some extra weight may be beneficial for pitchers... I'm not really for or against it either way. If Vance thought the extra weight was not helpful, then he is wise to lose it.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    Perhaps this isn't obvious, but not everyone adjusts to being a pinch hitter. Some do it naturally, others do not. I have no problems letting colabello play every day in Rochester. He's facing slightly tougher competition and is a phone call away. I woudln't be surprised in the least if he gets a cup of coffee in the near future.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    You give a guy like Benson every chance to play every day until he's out of options and forces it. He's a 5 tool player who could have a top end ceiling of similar to Cuddyer with more speed and defense. His floor, which I think he's at right now, is a 4th OF. He needs a chance to develop those tools, and quite frankly he should get it as long as an opportunity provides. Once he's out of options, it's a different story, but until then, you give him the opportunity to start.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    The agents only get a few percent. Taxes take up the lions share of it as these guys are in the highest bracket. I'd guess that they loose about 35-40% right off the top. That will leave closer to 10M as a nest egg, and that's more than enough to be set for life.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    Lord please no.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    All time, probably Puckett. I could see Mauer towards the end of his career if he continues to play at an HOF level.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    Parmalee has no business coming in off the bench. He should be starting somewhere.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    yep, it involves a rather unpleasant colon cleanse and a camera. Prostate exams on the other hand, can involve fingers.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    I suspect someone will be willing to take on the risk associated with a 3 year deal should Morneau be healthy and productive. It would either result in a bit lower annual amount than what he'd get otherwise, option years, or a concussion clause in the contract giving the team an out should he suffer a concussion in 2014 or 2015.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    I think the problem I have with what you've been saying (and what others have commented as well), is that speed didn't "likely" play a noteworthy role. You've largely cut out the most obvious role, namely in what the person behind them does, by cherry picking a few guys to make your point. If you want to address the role of speed in scoring runs, I would strongly suggest you do some research based off of stuff I've seen John Bonnes post reguarly... namely run expectancy. There's some pretty good numbers out about the average run expectancy in various situations (i.e. a runner on 1st with 2 outs will score X percent of the time). With enough sample size (and it would take years of fast runners in various lineups with league average, year by year, and team by team comparrisons), you might be able to conclude that fast runners can out perform that system by a specific margin, which can be extrapolated to a season, but that type of research is going to take A LOT of time. I don't think anyone on this forum doubts that speed plays a role in scoring runs. The question at hand has to do with how much of a role it plays. I think it's safe to say that not making outs behind the said runner is more often than not, more important than the speed of a runner on the basepaths. That is the assumption that you are challenging, and I don't think you've proven your point.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    this is pretty much what I think most of us would be weighing in that situation. You may be able to make a few million more, but the security is worth taking a discount. You could get hurt tomorrow and never play again, at which point the contract is a great deal for the player, and at 16M, they can be set for life.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    One of the things this research tends to ignore is that there were a bazillion more pitchers taken in later rounds too. There is only a very limited number of picks in the top 10 each year (10 to be exact), while their are over a thousand picks at the lower numbers. Nearly half of those picks will be pitchers. The problem with picks that far down is that your odds of finding that ace are very difficult. Everyone is taking guys tha have some projectable upside, but the reality is that they are raw and the vast bulk of them won't make it, much less turn into somethign you'd call an ace. Can you find an ace after the first round? Yes, but you are far more likely to find that guy in the first round than later.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    Which is exactly why he's going to Rochester. It would be very irresponsible of the Twins if he was brought on as a 4th OF. I get that this may be all he ends up being, but that's his floor, and his ceiling is much better.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    This is easy. 1-9 High OBP. 3-5, more power.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    This would be great if Boston actually offered that package. Too bad they didnt.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't get the angst over Morneau. He was an MVP calliber hitter before that injury. No one is saying his 2006-2010 seasons were flukes. It was clear he was not the same in 2011 with injury after injury and returning from that concussion, and it's undisputed that he was still not the same at the start of 2012. Unlike 2011 and 2012, Morneau looks good this spring. He's hitting well and he's no longer scared. I don't get what people are worried about. He's going to post an OPS around .900, and baring any other injury (and an absolute flop by Arcia, Parmalee, and Benson), he'll be traded at the deadline. The question as I see it is whether the Twins will try to bring him back. I personally would, as they will still need help at DH as the next wave arrives. Having Morneau and Parmalee rotate between 1st and DH makes a ton of sense.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    First off, Gardy has used Mauer in the two spot before, and when he did, the offense exploded. I don't remember why he stopped, or why he never returned to that experiment, but it did happen. Second, I don't see Dozier making the team given how he's playing. I'm not sure, if Gardy wants pop off the bench that he should be keeping 4 middle infielders either. Dozier needs to play every day, and at this point, I think he should ply his trade in Rochester. Third, the whole point of an at bat is to not make an out. I really don't care how the players go about doing it, whether it be a hit or a walk, but a team will score more runs and wear down the opposing pitchers by not making outs. You absolutely need high OBP guys in the top of the order. Those guys see the most at bats and they will be on base more than low OBP guys when the power hitters come up. I didn't mind batting Mauer 3rd when you have 2 decent OBP guys in front of him, but there have been way too many times in Gardyland where the 2 hitter barely has an OBP over .300 making outs in front of Mauer and Morneau, all because they are a scrappy middle infielder that bares the illusion of speed. Mauer isn't going to hit 20 HRs in a season, so batting him second does make a ton of sense. He's not exactly slow footed either, so I don't get what the debate is.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    As much as I'd prefer Deduno to be one of the top 5, he's under contract and not on the 40 man. I'm guessing he's going to spend some time at Rochester and prove that his control has improved before getting added back. It isn't a terrible strategy, as he can prove that at either place, but he might very well be the best starter on the staff.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    Like the signing. Kind of wonder what they are going to do with those 2 first rounders. I figure at least one will be a wideout, which if that's the case, I almost wonder if they'd still go after Cruz. Cruz, Jennings, Wright, and Simpson would be a nice set of wideouts for Ponder to throw to.
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