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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    The reports I saw on Gray was that he's a 3 starter, correct? If that's the case, if Manaea doesn't have what it takes, I'd rather draft a guy like Anderson under slot (who would also end up a 3 starter but seems to have more upside) and then go after a tough highschool sign later in the draft.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    Isnt he AFL talent effectively about AA? If so, I might give him the chance there given his age. He's not what most people would call a prospect, so I don't see the reason to take it slow with him.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    He will get a chance somewhere. I fail to see how a 90+ loss team that could use help in the pen, and happens to also have some nice hitting prospects coming along, cannot give him that chance. He should have been up here for at least half of this season when it was clear that the season was over with. I don't know if he can make it at the ML level or not, and I don't think anyone does, but he's earned a chance... something that some guys on the roster had not done. I get that he's non-traditional, but he's gotten some pretty good results up through AAA. He wouldn't be the first non-traditional guy to excel in the bigs, nor would he be the first to fail. Not giving him a shot however, is incredibly foolish of an organization that has a need at a position that he's played well.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    Unlike Corriea or Pelfrey, Deduno has potential upside to be something other than a 5 starter. I agree he's a project, but he could also turn into a pretty decent pitcher, even at 28. What I like about what he did, is that he surrendered 2 walks to a very patient team USA lineup. That will likely be the toughest lineup he faces all year long, and he went 4 innings, struck out 7, and only walked 2. Personally, I think he deserves a spot in the rotation, at the very least, he's more deserving of a spot on the 40 man than some of the other crap on it. This season is lost. Figuring out if a guy like Denduno can be an above average fill at a position of extreme need in this org for the forseable future is well worth it.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    I disagree. Anthony Slamma did.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    While Benson had a bad year last year, he has the potential to be a corner outfield bat too. You can use Mastro fas a 4th OF. Benson should be playing every day.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    That's what these guys are saying. Personally, I'm a bit surprised by it. I think I'd rather give the Maestro a shot for a couple of months in a lost season, but it isn't as though Hicks hasn't done well. Hopefully this isn't Dozier part 2.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    He came right out and said in his comments that his grade for Buxton had a lot to do with how far away he was. That's risk.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    If May can cut down on his walks, he's going to be a lot better than a number 3. He should have dropped down on lists. His walk rate was way to high and AA hitters took advantage of that. While the tools are there, he needs to improve. This is one area where the Twins have excelled at, so getting a guy like May who has lost his luster due to control was smart. If that walk rate drops below 3BB/9, he'll be right back up on those prospect lists next year.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    He is also related to Jason Kubel, who I think made a phone call to help convince him to sign.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    Yes, that is a possiblity. My point though is that satistically speaking, Buxton is far more likely to fall prey to this problem. He's younger and will spend more time in the minors. Gausman and Zimmer have also excelled against much tougher competition. Part of BPA is risk. I agree that picking 2 over all, you want a guy who is going to be an all star. Personally, I think all 3 could likely be. They all have top flight ceilings, but the risk is lower with both pitchers and they happen to fit an area of need. I don't see Buxton as such a standout that he was worth grabbing. Good pick, yes absolutely... but the wrong one.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm kind of hoping the Twins end up with Manea in the first round and one of Anderson/Windle in teh second.... though I'm beginning to think Anderson won't make it to number 4 in round 2.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    This really isn't a surprise. Arcia is going to be the key to wether or not Morneau or Willingham get traded. If he continues to rip the cover off the ball, he'll be up by July.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    Sano isn't going to first any time soon, and as long as his defense improves over last year, he's going to be at 3rd against next year.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    I think he hits well and gets traded for something nice. The real question is whether the Twins try to bring him back. I certainly would if he's past his issues, but I'm a fan and Morneau is my favorite player.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    I agree that drafting for need CAN be a bad strategy, but the problem with BPA is that is so incredibly subjective that unless you are looking at Strasburg/Harper type talent, there is no such thing as a clearcut BPA. The lists here prove that. People don't universally rank Buxton ahead of everyone else (just look at Sickle's list), and Gausman/Zimmer are flipped around too. All are very good prospects. All have very high ceilings. But this idea that Buxton was somehow clearly better is odd. He's not, and that is where need comes into things. Gausman and Zimmer will be collecting major leage pay checks in 2 years and Buxton will be lucky to sniff AA... Given his rookie league status, I wouldn't be expecting him to light things up in Cedar Rapids. Here's to hoping I'm wrong on that. But when the players are very close, need must be considered. I'm not trying to denigrate Buxton as a prospect, but I am pointing out one of the huge flaws in this system. People get all googley eyed over the tools and then start brandishing completely subjective terms around such as BPA and ignore the results and the organizational needs, and for all the love of sabermetrics around here, I find that incredibly odd. No one here knows if Buxton was the BPA of that draft. He had plenty of question marks going into it and those still remain today. You don't pass on a similarly good player at a position of need in that case.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    He should be reserved. You have to price risk into the model somewhere, something which apparently everyone else ignores.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd have probably bumped Arcia up a bit closer to Sano, but not bad. I suppose you have to take positional flexibility in there given that Arcia will play in the corner while Hicks will be a CF. I'd note he clearly didn't think Buxton was the BPA in the draft ranking both Zunio and Gausman higher.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    If being competitive in 2015 is the goal, I could see them pushing some of the guys in low A a bit if their performance merits it. In Sano's case, a lot of that may depend on how well Plouffe performs. In Rosarios case, there really isn't anyone blocking him, so if he's hitting well in FM, I wouldn't be surprised at all for a mid-season promotion.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    With the extra pick and cap space, they could tender Cruz an offer if they wanted to. I think I'd rather have Jennings and 2 first rounders (one of which could be used to get another wideout), but not bad. Also, gotta say I'm a bit surprised by Winfield. Vikings really end up looking classless in that deal.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    I think you see him short a bit. It was no secret that the Twins had to do some extensive rework of his swing, as he was looking like a guy who could hit .220 with 30 bombs. Their approach sapped his power initially but got that average up to something a bit more palatable. The biggest thing about AA and then AAA is that the power returned. While I agree that his track record doesn't look as rosy as we'd like, I think there is good reason to think the kid can be an above average regular at first.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't see Parm getting traded for no other reason than that he's not being blocked (at least until Morneau is figured out) and isn't blocking anyone. I'd say based on his AAA season in 2012, he has value now... though his minor league history tempers that a bit.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    I learned something new today. The real question is why they would do this. That's the kind of thing I'd think would be developmentally harmful to young players to not be playing with the same equipment. That would be like allowing aluminum bats up through AAA but forcing a wood bat in the pros.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    This really is a make/break season for him. He needs to do something in AA other than look pedestrian.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    Speaking from potential, just about all of them. Reality though is that many won't make it.
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