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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    Just a minor nit to pick, but Meyer was on a pitch limit of 80 pitches per start at the beginning of the season. That wasn't relaxed until (if memory serves me right) the all star break.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    Walker seems to be a polarizing guy around here. I'm definitely rooting for him, as he'd be the steal of the draft if by chance he figures it out. I think he plays in AA, but to be honest I could see this one going either way. He showed quite a bit of improvement over the course of the second half, so perhaps letting him start in FTM and see if that improvement is for real is a good idea. He's been healthy and is starting his 3rd full season. He's not a 40 man decision for 2 more years. They have time if they want him to repeat. What I will say is this. Walker is a tremendous mistake hitter. The problem is that the mistakes drop as you move up the chain. That may be why is isolated power numbers dropped, as he's striking out or making weaker contact because the mistakes aren't as often or as bad... I could be wrong there.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    As long as the heirs get all of them, I suppose it doesn't matter that much. But I can say that if the Tigers are losing that much money, if the business get split, someone gets hosed. I still think they are going to hover around .500, but when Price goes, that's probably it. They have nothing to keep this run going, and they are aging. I wouldn't be shocked in the least if the Twins finished above them in the standings this season.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd rather fill the bench with good role players. Good players need to play. They lose a lot of value on the bench and if there's no room for them, flip them for someone younger to keep the farm strong.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    It has more to do than just their farm though. The team is old. They have some superstars, granted, but it doesn't take much regression for them to suddenly be bad. They weren't exactly good for a pretty big stretch of last season. Given the team's age, I don't see how that's going to improve.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    Rosario could see time if Dozier got hurt too. He's not that far away from having played 2nd. that said, he needs to get off to a good start in AA. I'm not sold on the AFL numbers just yet. I hope the kid comes out swinging, b/c for all the hype, this is also a pretty pivotal season for him. He cannot afford another year like last year.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm not a fan of the premise here. The pitchers are cherry picked. Here's the real question. What happened to AAA pitchers walk rates in 2012, 2013, and 2014 when they got promoted? If they on average dropped, then we can start wondering why, but I'd be willing to bet that they collectively went up by about .5 BB/9 IP. The other thing I don't see addressed here is whether these numbers were the immediate year they got promoted or if they are a career number or something taken a few years later. Walk rate is a big deal. I won't argue that you can get away with a bit more if you get the Ks, but at 4+/9 IP, I think Meyer needs to work on his control. We saw what happened to May, and he had a walk rate of half of what Meyer posted in AAA, and he got plenty of Ks too. Meyer needs to work on that, as it will cause issues, and I have no problems with him spending a few months in AAA proving he can go deeper into games and walking less guys. He won't be that ace we want him to be if he's giving up free passes. The real question will be what happens if he improves. I fully expect Meyer to have a pretty good year in AAA. But if May is pitching well out of the 5 spot and if Gibson remains the same or takes a marginal step forward, there's no where to put him minus a trade or injury.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    The Tigers didn't exactly run away with it for most of the year this year. They were pretty bad for a while. As an aging team, those stretches of bad play only get worse. I don't think the win it. I wouldn't be surprised in the least if they imploded like the Twins in 2011, but more likely that they finish around .500 and in the near future, start to look like the team that Verlander played on in his rookie year.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    yeah, Berrios may get the opportunity, but I'd imagine he's going to spend most of this season in the minors. What will be real interesting is how the rotation is handled going forward. Nolasco, Hughes, and Santana are locked up for a while. I wouldn't be shocked if Gibson (or possibly Nolasco) is traded this offseason.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    I guess the idea of saying Gonsalves projects as a 3 is pretty suspect in my opinion. He has the results along with a good fast/change combo. He's also done it at a young age relative to league and has the eyeball metrics too (mid 90s fb from the left side). That strikes me as a ceiling much higher than a slightly above average pitcher. Whether he gets there or not is why he's in the low teens as opposed to the top 5. He's no sure thing, for many of the reasons cited. But to me, he's got 1/2 potential, and I'd have him rated much higher than Taylor Rogers.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    Just a point, this may be one of those years where the central is considered weak because there are no 90 win teams, but there very well may be five 80 plus win teams. It will be interesting to watch. These teams could do a good job beating up on each other.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    I think the extension is a good idea. The mistake would be to buy out more than 1 year of his FA. I'd probably have years 2 and 3 as options personally. It lowers the price of the contract and also makes it much more tradable.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    I think Detroit's run is over. It's an aging team that really doesn't inspire me much. I think KC is going to regress too, with Minnesota, Cleveland, and Chicago improving. I think Cleveland wins the division.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    Here's the issue with Vargas... Brock said it the other day. His plate discipline went away when he came up here last year. To some extent, that's normal. It happens to most prospects I'd guess. Guys like Arcia (who didn't really develop that until AAA) struggle a bit more there and I suspect that's part of the reason why he hasn't quite lived up to the expectations (side note, speaking of breakouts, I think he has a big one this year). With Vargas, his plate discipline has always existed. Now that he's used to playing up here, Vargas won't be dealing with the nerves and those types of things. If he simply returns to his old habits, I don't think he regresses much at all and may come closer to his minor league numbers. He may have some bumps in the road (that's pretty normal for a young guy), but compared to Santana, I think he's got much better odds succeeding than he does failing.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm not sure another BALCO scandal is what baseball needs
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    He had a lot of first round busts, but he did quite well internationally. Smith was a bad GM, but I will say that his work with the farm system wasn't really his downfall.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    yeah, I'm not liking these options. Hicks has had 2 excellent spring trainings in a row and has followed up with some pretty dreadful seasons. I'm not sure if this is mental or something else, but I really wouldn't want Hicks to be my primary option. I really think he needs to earn it, and that may be performing well in an injury callup type situation. The kid needs more time in the minors to develop. They keep throwing him out in the majors and watching him fail. I don't like it.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    The Twins drafts during that timeframe were definitely on the low par. That's why there was so little from the farm to come up and help when it all hit the fan. I think though if you did a WAR study of the entire class, the numbers wouldn't look a lot better. There are a lot of reasons for this, and I think it's a bit unfair to simply pin it to one reason. I see a few (in no particular order): 1) Conservative drafting (metrodome days for the most part, but definitely played a role here) 2) Lack of draft slotting that exists today 3) Injury (though truthfully, I expect all teams to have this problem, I'd be curios what the percentages looked like in relationships to other teams) 4) Just plain old bad picks. 5) Development (I do believe that guys who can succeed in one system can fail in another, having the right coaches for the right personality along with situational differences does make an impact). I think the Twins have done a real good job addressing lots of these. The 2012-2014 drafts (so far at least) are looking to be real good.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    That's very true. I think the 2001 Twins is a good example here personally. I wouldn't be surprised if they got hot out of the gate. Who knows.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    contend? No, I don't see it. Pretend? Yes, I think that happens. I think .500 is a pretty reasonable goal and they have talent to do it. What needs to happen: 1. Nolasco and Mauer rebound. (Good chance) 2. Arcia takes that big step forward on both offense and defense (Good chance offensively, not sure about defense). 3. Dozier, Gibson, and Plouffe make small incremental improvements in their game (good chance). 4. Suzuki, Santana, and Vargas don't regress that badly (not sure about this one). 5. May has a good first season (50/50). 6. Hunter and Santana play how their paid (50/50). If all of these happen, they can contend. In reality, some won't. But I do think they will take a big step forward.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    Honestly, if they took care of housing and nutrition, they'd never need to address the pay. If you a place to stay and food to eat, you don't exactly have a lot of costs. I'd think both would be very beneficial to teams as a whole.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    Crossing my fingers that he goes all Buxton on the MWL this season.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    while we are at it, can we end interleague play? (note I realize that the leagues need to be lined up for this to work)..
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    Nolasco may be on notice, but he's going to get all season to prove it. The reality is that Nolasco, Santana, and Hughes will all be in the rotation, and I'd be hard pressed to see Gibson not in it too given that he pitched well last season in what was his first full season. The real problem is that we will have the same issue (minus Pelfrey and possibly Milone) next season. I suspect Ryan will likely be trading someone at the deadline or this offseason, especially with Meyer and Berrios likely making a case to head north.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    Only exception is cheap beer, cheap hotdogs, and a Chuck Knoblauch return.
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