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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    The Twins have some pop in the minors. How good is Steer's defense? Nice to see Martin hit a walk-off. That must have felt good.
  2. gunnarthor
    They can't trade Buxton and they shouldn't trade Donaldson. I'd listen on offers for the other two. I think we have enough corner depth to trade Kepler if it improves our pitching for 2022 and beyond. Rogers is greatly overrated and we should trade him ASAP. I think we have enough offensive pieces to have a good offense next year but the pitching staff is a disaster. They need to figure out something and if that means parting with Kepler, fine.
  3. gunnarthor
    I'm going to share an older article from John Sickels about defining an ace, a #2, #3, etc. There have been several of these type of articles over the years from various sources but all of them are pretty much in agreement, although this talks more about prospects then established pitchers. And ML pitchers can pitch well above their label. (Radke and Buerhle are two classic examples) https://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/8/7/3226335/defining-1-2-3-4-5-starters Essentially, Maeda and Big Mike aren't #2. They are backend starters at this point. Mike will end the season with a WAR of around 1, Maeda will be less than that. Our best (arguably) pitching prospect, Balazovic, grades out as a future 3 or 4 type.
  4. gunnarthor
    Three weeks ago, I was kicking around buying AMD at 87 and decided not to. Dang it.
  5. gunnarthor
    I'm sure his starting ask was, at a minimum, a Wheeler-type deal. 5/118 (23.5).
  6. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I suppose that's true of pretty much every post on TD. On the other hand, I'm fairly confident the Twins won't sign a top end pitcher at market rate.
  7. gunnarthor
    I think the Twins should get two of Guasman, Rodon, Ray, Thor, Stroman. But that they didn't come close to extending Berrios suggests they won't pay market rate for a top end pitcher. I hope I'm wrong but the Twins way looks to be 5 inning starters, lots of bullpen arms, and AAAA arms with options to St Paul to help eat innings.
  8. gunnarthor
    The FO manipulated his service time, they leaked information about Buxton not signing, and then they tried to trade him. So, yeah, they might not expect him to be here much longer. I'd rather lose this FO than Buxton but others may disagree.
  9. gunnarthor
    I like the Arraez comparison and I think it's a good one, although Martin's bat will be a lot better in the long run. I'm not really worried about him, Toronto is pretty aggressive with their prospects. Most teams probably wouldn't have dropped him in AA to start his career so it made sense that he struggled a bit. He's going to be really good.
  10. gunnarthor
    I'm not quite as optimistic as others, mostly because I just don't see the pitching coming around. I think we have the pieces to keep a pretty strong offense around but it looks like we have a bunch of backend/AAAA arms. I'm done with the Dobnaks, Jaxs, Smeltzers. Woods-Richardson might become as good as Berrios, although that's unlikely. But it also seems that the Twins have changed their pitching philosophy so we need a pitching staff where we need to have a bunch of effective bullpen arms that we don't really have to go along with a the five inning starter.
  11. gunnarthor
    I agree. I like Ober. Darn nice return for a 12th round pick. But it's sad that this is what this season has come to. I want a playoff rotation. I want my promised pitching pipeline. It's sad that this is what we're left with.
  12. gunnarthor
    Ahh, I misread things, I guess.
  13. gunnarthor
    Who? Donaldson is on a 3-4 WAR pace despite his injuries.
  14. gunnarthor
    I actually like Ober but this is sad. Ober doesn't make the rotation on a real playoff team. As it is, he could be a 4/5 type starter if everything works out. Ideally, we could give those starts to someone with higher upside. But we aren't.
  15. gunnarthor
    I think the Twins did well but keeping Pineda was a legit mistake and they should get criticized for it. On the other hand, the Berrios trade was a very good one, easily the most important one this FO has made. That and the Cruz trade managed to upgrade the farm system pretty well. Rumors that they were trying to move Buxton pissed me off and I'm still not sure this FO has a plan but I think it's fair to say this was their best trade deadline and they "won" it.
  16. gunnarthor
    Oh, yeah. Don't do that. No one can time the market.
  17. gunnarthor
    I loved the Berrios trade, great return, understood why we had to do it. But do not trade Buxton.
  18. gunnarthor
    Just wild guesses but I think Pineda goes to the Mets or Phillies for a solid prospect (top 6-10 on the receiving teams list). Simmons gets moved for not much.
  19. gunnarthor
    Plus fatigue. Seems like his last few starts were the big problem.
  20. gunnarthor
    Martin Woods-Richardson Lewis Balazovic Maybe Ryan here? Windor? I like Miranda a lot but not sure he's #5 yet.
  21. gunnarthor
    Wow, I've been hard on Levine for a while but this is a legit great trade. Well done to get two top 50ish prospects, including an elite bat like Martin. I'll miss Berrios but if you have to trade him, this is a really great return. Well down Twins FO.
  22. gunnarthor
    Wow, Martin, too? Great deal for the Twins. He's #16 on the pipeline
  23. gunnarthor
    Woods is #68 on mlbpipeline.
  24. gunnarthor
    Sounds like Toronto has moved hard towards Berrios
  25. gunnarthor
    Happ? I haven't heard much on Pineda but he should be traded today, no matter what.
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