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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    I actually got banned from TD once for making fun of Aaron Gleeman so you have to be careful when talking about opinion writers but I've always liked Souhan and Reusse while absolutely despising Dan Barreiro. I get that they are opinion writers and trying to get page views/hits etc and I can see why they can tick some people off. That said, I really don't mind Souhan and I think Mauer is more than deserving of the criticism this draws.
  2. gunnarthor
    Agree with most of the posts. He's not ready but he certainly showed flashes - he has a quick bat for sure. He'll be up again later this year when rosters expand, if not earlier. Hopefully he uses this time as a learning experience and works on some things in AAA. I really liked him so hope he does well.
  3. gunnarthor
    http://www.startribune.com/souhan-a-tale-of-two-twins-deals-mauer-vs-hunter/303838801/ Nothing really earth shattering in this - Souhan doesn't say that Hunter is the better player since 2008 but that, for his salary, he's been a better value and it's not hard to argue with that. He could have gone farther if he wanted to and said that Hunter's age 35-39 seasons have been about as good as Mauer's age 28-32 seasons. But he didn't. Regardless, the Twins owe Mauer nearly 70m yet and it doesn't look like he'll age as well as Hunter has. Although, to his credit this year, he's remained on the field a lot more.
  4. gunnarthor
    First, I think most rankings had Gordon in the top five. And his subsequent rankings at the start of the season reflect that. We might be looking at "need" differently. I would think that if a team felt it needed a shortstop or pitcher or whatever, it would pick a college guy since the HS takes longer to fill the need (hence all the clamoring for Gausman/Appel over Buxton). I think it's a bit of a stretch to accuse any team of drafting a HS player and saying it was a "need" pick over BPA. Now whether or not the Twins were right that Buxton/Stewart/Gordon was the BPA when they picked was a different question. But that they are drafting all those HS kids while the ML team is losing 96 games suggests (to me) that they are not drafting for need but rather taking BPA.
  5. gunnarthor
    I think these last few drafts have clearly shown the Twins will draft for BPA over need. They've picked three HSers at the top of the draft.
  6. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I can't see how that happens.
  7. gunnarthor
    Before this season, Meyer's numbers were just fine. And stats don't equate to stuff which is why no one is claiming Duffey is anything but a backend starter, at best. The scouting grades on Meyer and Berrios are pretty clear that Meyer has the potential to be an ace while Berrios is a #3 (in scout speak. Brad Radke was a #3 as well but pitched like an ace - he had as many 5 WAR seasons as Beckett and Lackey combined). Most prospect guys - McDaniel, Callis, BP etc - who have graded Berrios give him one plus pitch and a few other avg pitches. He has more upside, he can improve. BP saw him last week and their scout said his change up had the potential to be a plus pitch. Anyhow, with Meyer's control problems, I agree that Berrios is the better prospect now but Meyer still has a much better ceiling and I really hope he gets back on track.
  8. gunnarthor
    It's not about the stats. It's about the stuff. Meyer's fastball and slider are better than any pitch Berrios has. His control right now is so bad that I'm willing to say Berrios is the better prospect but Thrylos isn't wrong if he wants to stay with Meyer. Meyer's upside is a lot better than Berrios' upside. We fans are getting a little carried away with Berrios. He isn't an ace in the wings. He has the stuff of a #3 (which is very good).
  9. gunnarthor
    I would be so thrilled if Walker's contact issues were simply a matter of glasses. It's probably just random but the one theory on it I'd have is that Walker might be the kind of guy who's always ready to play and some players don't really like playing in the am or early afternoon. I know several ML players have complained about playing day games. -shrug-
  10. gunnarthor
    Did someone post this? Mayo's first mock draft has the Twins taking college pitcher Jon Harris http://m.mlb.com/news/article/123796538/jonathan-mayo-has-dillon-tate-going-first-to-arizona-diamondbacks-in-mock-draft
  11. gunnarthor
    Well, yeah. With Meyer's struggles, he's #1 (unless you want to still count May as a prospect since this is technically his rookie season). The big three are still Berrios, Meyer and Stewart. I think Gonsalves is pitching himself into discussion but the scouting reports don't match up with his results. Rogers and Duffey would be there too. Maybe Hu. And certainly a healthy Thopre.
  12. gunnarthor
    Harrison has shown a great deal of adjustment as he's gone up the organizational ladder, which we've seen him become a strong on-base guy. Reynolds, at 23 in AA, had an OBP close to .400. Right now, Reynolds looks like Walker's ceiling, not floor. His floor is AA. It doesn't really matter if other prospects led their league in HR or slg or whatever. Those starts aren't predictive. Several players have done that without sniffing the majors - Tim Wheeler, Vinnie Catricala, Nate Gold, Hunter Morris etc. Walker's problem is that he has shown no plate discipline and it has gotten worse as he's gone up levels. Hopefully, it improves because he doesn't need to get on-base much to be a solid player at the ML level. But he can't be a sub-.300 OBP guy in AA and expect to be a ML prospect.
  13. gunnarthor
    The free press ran an article on the Twins and talked to Buster Olney about us and came to many of the same conclusions as Souhan's article did, esp praising Molitor and Hunter. http://www.freep.com/story/sports/mlb/tigers/2015/05/12/minnesota-twins-torii-hunter-competative/27158567/
  14. gunnarthor
    I posted this in the Harrison 2015 thread but I should probably point it out here as well. The Lookout hitters are young. B-Ref lists 24 players in the Southern League at 22 or younger. Five of them play for Chattanooga. (Buxton, Sano, Harrison, Polanco and Kepler). They also have 3 pitchers 22 or younger (Berrios, Burdi and Reed). And B-Ref only lists 10 pitchers 22 or younger in the SL. That's pretty good. So a third of the 22 or younger talent in the Southern League is in Chattanooga. And all 8 of those guys are legit prospects. Burdi is probably the one struggling the most.
  15. gunnarthor
    Figured it's a good time to update it. The good news is that Harrison's triple slash line continues to remain solid -.280/.389/.430. His batting average is coming down to where it'll probably stay but he's managed to keep the OBP pretty high. He continues to lead the Southern League in doubles and his on-base percentage is 11th among hitters with 100 PA. He also leads the league in HBP. He's hit two home runs already, compared to 3 all of last year. B-Ref says he's playing most of his games in RF. I'm not sure how he is defensively. Reports have suggested OK to below avg. We'll see. At 22, he's still one of the younger players in AA - b-ref counts 24 hitters in the Southern league as 22 or younger. 5 play for Chattanooga.
  16. gunnarthor
    The problem is you are cherry picking stats that don't really matter. They are fun stats but they aren't predictive. Look at the number of guys in AA that have struck out 35% of the time while walking 6%. Tons of guys have done that and not made the majors. Brandon Burges, Mickey Hall, BJ Szymanski, Hector Pellot, Kyle Russell etc. If Walker doesn't adjust - and nothing suggests he will - he won't make it.
  17. gunnarthor
    I don't really think this is that close. Walker is an out machine as a 23 year old in AA. The power is nice but guys who strike out 35% of the time at AA don't get to the majors. His on-base percentage is under .300. He has not shown any ability to curb this problem. Harrison has a .390 OBP to go with a .160 iso. He's a year younger, a former first round (supp) pick and has shown more ability to adapt his game to the pitchers.
  18. gunnarthor
    I love his nickname.
  19. gunnarthor
    Arcia will be fine. He needs reps but he's a great bat to have and he'll hit enough to overcome his defensive liabilities. Eventually, he might become a fulltime DH but for now he's the starting LFer. He might need a week of rehab in AAA but after that, he'll be starting again and Rosario will back in AAA.
  20. gunnarthor
    Actually, some of this is flat wrong. I lived in NY for a decade and the Yankees clubhouse, even when they were winning with ARod, was consistently cited by reporters for being dull and tired, esp when compared to the "Cowboy Up" Red Sox. Lots of articles about how the Yankees needed to lighten up the clubhouse and become more friendly toward each other. And Hamilton was a bad clubhouse guy when he was dealing with addiction issues. Not really comparable to the issues in play here. I don't think Souhan took much of a pot shot at Mauer other than truthfully point out that he's not playing as well as others and that the change in atmosphere that he and others have seen is more due to guys like Hunter.
  21. gunnarthor
    I would guess that they'd release Schafer.
  22. gunnarthor
    Well, here's the link to him singing it in 1968.
  23. gunnarthor
    Good for him, I really hope he continues to hit up here. What is the corresponding move?
  24. gunnarthor
    The defensive stats don't seem to like him this year.
  25. gunnarthor
    Over his last 20 he's hitting .289/.344/.398 with a babip of .368. Over the last 151 games he's hitting .279/.359/.371 with a babip around .350. He's not unlucky. He's just declining. He'll have some hot stretches again, of course, but at the end of the year, his numbers will look a lot like they do now. He's not a .400 OBP guy anymore and his power is gone. A .350 OBP isn't horrible but that's what he is now.
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