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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    He's certainly exciting.
  2. gunnarthor
    Since that didn't happen in the Ryan era either, I'd say the best case scenario is winning the world series. We have an incredible nucleus of talent right now with some decent AA/AAA depth behind it. Yeah, I'm bummed but I never expected ownership to step up. This team will win b/c of development and trades. We still might make a trade, who knows. But we aren't going to sign guys like Darvish. It's too expensive and too risky for the Twins. It looks like the FO did a nice job of improving the bullpen and they probably aren't done yet with the rotation but it'll probably be a smaller move than we all are hoping for.
  3. gunnarthor
    There are at 105m payroll already. I think that probably takes Arrieta, Lynn and Cobb out. They might be able to push to 115 or even 120 (but they'll sell off really quick if they aren't in it to save the Pohlads some money). I think realistically we're going to get someone like Jaime Garcia or maybe a trade for Odorizzi. This really shouldn't be surprising. Pohlads took Falvey from Cleveland and they built their teams through FA and drafts. We aren't going to be a big payroll team. Levine and Falvey are going to be following the Ryan model and we just hope that they do it even better.
  4. gunnarthor
    The Twins have been very aggressive since Steil took over in 2012.
  5. gunnarthor
    One of my favorite guys. I expect he'll be on national rankings a year from now. Hopefully he continues with the strong eye at the plate and gathers a lot of walks. (Also realized that his fellow second rounder, Jose Miranda, probably won't be in the top 20. That's a shame. I like him a lot, too)
  6. gunnarthor
    This group looks nice. Garver and Wade seem to be back-ups but that's not a horrible thing. Wade might be underrated a bit around here because of the things he can't do while we are ignoring the thing he can do very well - not make outs. Diaz and Thorpe are the two guys with upside. Thorpe might be close, actually. I think he'll start the year in AA. Diaz is apparently better than his stats so far but it would be nice if his stats improved this year. Littel seems like he'll make his ML debut this year. He could be another solid innings eating back-end starter that we used to collect. That's not a bad thing.
  7. gunnarthor
    That's interesting. I wonder if they are looking at "late inning RP" more as (if we're talking prospects) guys like Burdi or maybe Jay (when healthy) rather than just an arm. Even if Jorge was moved the pen, I suspect he'd be seen as a longman/swingman type and not a closer or elite arm. I think the idea that any starting pitcher can become a relief pitcher is probably overstated a bit even though a bunch of failed starters have become good relievers, not every failed starter can become a reliever.
  8. gunnarthor
    Nice start to the list. I think Jay is probably closer to 10 than 20 but there's probably not a lot of difference between 12 and 19 on this years list. It's a deep system. Rortvedt is a sleeper. I like him a lot. He's not the next Joe Mauer but I think he can be a solid ML starting catcher, which is hard to find. I forgot about Sevirino but he could be fun to watch develop. The scouting reports on him were mixed but if the Twins can fix the concern some have in his swing maybe he can become a poor man's Willie Calhoun? I'm blah on Jorge. He'll probably get some time in the majors this year but I think he's a AAAA type. Hope I'm wrong. This is a big year for Blankenhorn. He'll be 22. Time to see him put up better numbers.
  9. gunnarthor
    Today sucked. I don't think we've "lost" that much in one day since 08. Wells Fargo had a very bad day. Not sure I'd jump into the market too soon. I think some of this is value correction and it might make sense to wait to see since this bull market has been going pretty long. Fortunately, I don't have a lot of cash on hand anyway.
  10. gunnarthor
    Morris will be hard to top. My first thought was Reggie Jackson but you already checked that. My second thought was Joe Carter and you already checked him. I found this but this is cumulative, not one game. https://www.sporcle.com/games/big8dog88/mlb-world-series-win-probability-added
  11. gunnarthor
    Uff-da. Maybe I should have wished for Yvonne Strahovski ...
  12. gunnarthor
    Solid list. If the Polanco we saw in August and Sept is real he belongs on the list. Not sure he's a .300 hitter/high on-base guy though. Hope he is. I think this will be a big year for him.
  13. gunnarthor
    Yeah, health in 2006 (and 09 and 10, too) was a big issue but that's the reality of low payroll teams. Frankly, I've always thought that the Twins decade from 01-10 with 6 division titles and one trip to the ALCS was more impressive than the Yankees one WS win in the same window.
  14. gunnarthor
    That's a fair point. Health for every team is a big issue. I'm not sure if Molitor actually deserves credit for his use of days off for the players, if the Twins were just "lucky" last year of if the young guys (and Dozier) are just hearty but injuries are always a big concern that hasn't really affected us too much over the last few years. We have some depth (I think the Rochester rotation will be May, Gonsalves, Slegers and Romero) and Granite and Gordon could be the first position players up but if Buxton misses half a season, they really can't make that up.
  15. gunnarthor
    I admit I like what they've done with the bullpen and I think we can expect better seasons from Buxton, Sano, Polanco and Kepler so our offense should be even better. We really aren't that far away. Darvish might be enough to put us over the top but until we address starting pitching, we really won't know where we stand compared to Cleveland.
  16. gunnarthor
    Part of me actually hopes the market does poorly in 2018 because then the GOP will be less likely to hold the House and Senate. Of course, part of me holds big banks and big oil so I'm a bit of hypocrite.
  17. gunnarthor
    Yeah, rough day.
  18. gunnarthor
    Do you like him more than Buxton, Rosario or Kepler? I don't. He's good insurance though.
  19. gunnarthor
    We still have to get Sickel's and the fangraphs guys (not sure if they are doing one combined or two individual lists) as well. I think Baddoo might sneak onto the fangraphs list, they've mentioned him in their chats. I believe it was a BA guy who said that the Twins had a glut of players (ranked 2-8 in the system) that could have been ranked more or less in any order. Klaw obviously sees Gordon higher but that seems about right to me. A bunch of guys who, right now, are pretty good prospects but not at the elite level like Lewis or that second tier (think Kepler) quite yet. I think Klaw has Gordon at that Kepler level. Anyhow, I think that the system is in good shape. Light on elite talent, which is bad, but pretty deep with enough young players with high ceilings so that next year Lewis might not be alone.
  20. gunnarthor
    True, but even with those three gone, our high end youngsters (Graterol, Baddoo, Kiriloff, Miranda, Javier) might more than make up for it. I'm really high on that 2016 draft group. Probably unrealistically so.
  21. gunnarthor
    I like Romero a lot. I thin he's our #1 pitching prospect. Hopefully he gets to the majors this year.
  22. gunnarthor
    I'm not sure how they can suspend Sano unless there's more than just he said/she said. I'm more worried about his injury recovery but like others think Escobar can cover third for a bit. I'm ok with Rodney closing b/c then we have better pitchers pitching in more important situations. Some of our best bullpens had arms equal to or better than our closer not closing. We should continue that. I don't see how they option Gibson out of ST. He's either traded or in the opening rotation. As for Santana, I'm not overly worried about him. I just want innings. I don't expect him to be an all-star again but he should be a capable pitcher. That'll be enough.
  23. gunnarthor
    My guess is that we have a top 10 system right now but not top 5. A year from now, it might be top 5.
  24. gunnarthor
    He was a nice pick. I think he's a sleeper for us.
  25. gunnarthor
    Honestly, until the owners step up and show what kind of payroll this team can support, I don't think there is any reason for Buxton to sign longterm. He makes minimum this year and then has three arb years left. He could realistically make 40m in just those three arb years without locking himself to the team. First arb year - 4-7m second arb year - 11-16m third arb year - 16-20+ Charlie Blackmon just got 14m in his third year, Donaldson just got 23m! Machado is going to the arbitrator b/c he couldn't come to an agreement but he'll easily get 20m, I'd bet. Salaries are sky rocketing. And as a FA at 28, he should bet on himself at this point.
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