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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    I'm not sure if you're referring to my posts where I've basically said that the Twins down years (11-14) were because of a natural cycle of late drafts catching up to them after a decade of generally late picks. If it is, I've never said you had to draft a pitcher. You're just less likely to get elite talent if you're picking 24th every year.
  2. gunnarthor
    ? Isn't every prospect on social media?
  3. gunnarthor
    Lewis is really the ultimate "Twins" pick. Just a tool shed waiting to be unleashed plus all the intangibles you'd want.. As surprised as I was that we took him over some of those college pitchers, it really isn't surprising that the Twins wanted this kind of guy. Obviously we just have to see him play this year but he does seem to have it and could, like Mauer and Buxton, end up being the #1 ranked prospect in all of baseball.
  4. gunnarthor
    mlbtv just did a quick thing with Peter Gammons this morning and they showed Sano hitting. He doesn't look fat by any means.
  5. gunnarthor
    You forgot to mention that Severino was also knocked out of the wild card game. Sale gave up 9 runs in 9.1ip in his post season. And Kluber was even worse, with an ERA approaching 13 in his two starts. Greinke gave up 7 runs in 8.2ip. Berrios and Santana were a solid top of the rotation last year. They can be again. I expect Berrios to make a step forward this year. But realistically, Santana pitched like a front of the rotation starter last year.
  6. gunnarthor
    And those offensive lineman run faster than you. Athletes have changed. The days of the Jack Clark sluggers is done. Sano is over weight, I don't think anyone is arguing against this. I think there is some serious disagreement over how much he's overweight and how much that affects his play on the field. Since he's recovering from a leg injury, added weight isn't surprising. I suspect he'll be lighter by the end of ST. I don't think his weight has been negatively affecting him.
  7. gunnarthor
    Go and look at old posts about him when he was called up in 2015, played no third base and darn near hit us into the postseason. We all knew that his time at third was limited and we were hoping that he could wait until Mauer was gone to make the move across the diamond. Nothing's changed. He was fine last year. He'll likely be fine by the end of ST this year. He just needs to hold down third base for one more season and then the Twins can make their changes. That has likely always been the plan. His weight is an issue only if it affects him on the field and so far we haven't seen that. I'd also remind you that he missed all of 2014 to TJ surgery and worked his ass off to remain a great hitter. I'm not worried about his work ethic.
  8. gunnarthor
    You're over valuing Gonsalves a bit ....
  9. gunnarthor
    He's a big guy and conditioning is always going to be an issue. I'm not surprised he added some weight since he was rehabbing a leg injury and it's tough to lose weight when you're limited on how much you can walk. Still, he looked serviceable at third most of last year, and as big as he is he's still a heck of an athlete. And his major value was always going to be that bat. Even if he's only a DH, his bat will more than make him worth it.
  10. gunnarthor
    I would think so. Obviously, blood lines are pretty important in sports so that does help Gordon but that wasn't why he was drafted so highly. But even if he was just a fourth round pick, he'd be pretty highly regarded (and perhaps some of the negativity wouldn't be there since, like Gonsalves, he'd be an overachiever). Right now I think the main negatives come from people who are reading the stat line too much and ignoring the scouting reports we're getting. mlbpipeline has him as the #10 shortstop in the game and they aren't as high on him as Klaw and BP are. Pretty much every review has him as at a minimum a starting level regular player. That's a pretty good prospect.
  11. gunnarthor
    Just based on proximity to the majors, I think I probably have him ahead of Lewis (although Lewis' upside is much higher). In some ways, Gordon is a blah prospect. He doesn't do anything elite but he does enough of everything that I think he'll end up a strong starting shortstop for several years. If Polanco turns back into a pumpkin, Gordon will take over and play well, I think.
  12. gunnarthor
    really late to this thread but the trade seems pretty decent to me
  13. gunnarthor
    Not sure. It's certainly not an insult. Remember, before he tore up his knee, Kubel was an elite prospect. The Twins were going to let Jones go to start Kubel before the AFL accident. Prospect wise, Kubel was a 12th round pick that kind of blew up on the rankings at age 22 when he went from AA to the majors. Kubel had pretty good k/bb numbers although his power came and went before that. He was probably a touch overlooked (12th round picks tend to be) but he might have been listed as a "sleeper" or so. Kiriloff is ahead of him on pedigree but a healthy Kubel like outcome isn't too far off, I'd think. Both can probably hit for average and power with decent on-base ability. Kiriloff is probably a better athlete and faster. (I think a better comp might be Cuddyer even if he was a right handed hitter).
  14. gunnarthor
    I like him a lot. It's nice to have a OF slugger in our system again. Arcia didn't quite make it and I think he was last true OF slugger we had in our system. Looks like Kiriloff might project to do a bit more offensively than Arcia. I think both the fangraphs guys and Mayo in his recent questions answered have mentioned Kiriloff as a guy who could jump up the lists next year.
  15. gunnarthor
    I wouldn't but I'm the low man on Archer.
  16. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I'm pretty sure the Twins had a list of guys that they were going to offer overslot money to at the start of Day 2. Enlow was a good one to nab, and I'm glad we have him, but I doubt the Twins planned to have that specific player there as opposed to knowing they'd have a handful of solid draft prospects available. *And maybe Enlow was #1 on their wish list of those guys.
  17. gunnarthor
    His strike outs are a concern but he does draw some walks. We also have to accept that the game is changing and strike outs are that big of problem anymore. We're probably not going to see to many modest strike out sluggers anymore.
  18. gunnarthor
    He's certainly exciting.
  19. gunnarthor
    Since that didn't happen in the Ryan era either, I'd say the best case scenario is winning the world series. We have an incredible nucleus of talent right now with some decent AA/AAA depth behind it. Yeah, I'm bummed but I never expected ownership to step up. This team will win b/c of development and trades. We still might make a trade, who knows. But we aren't going to sign guys like Darvish. It's too expensive and too risky for the Twins. It looks like the FO did a nice job of improving the bullpen and they probably aren't done yet with the rotation but it'll probably be a smaller move than we all are hoping for.
  20. gunnarthor
    There are at 105m payroll already. I think that probably takes Arrieta, Lynn and Cobb out. They might be able to push to 115 or even 120 (but they'll sell off really quick if they aren't in it to save the Pohlads some money). I think realistically we're going to get someone like Jaime Garcia or maybe a trade for Odorizzi. This really shouldn't be surprising. Pohlads took Falvey from Cleveland and they built their teams through FA and drafts. We aren't going to be a big payroll team. Levine and Falvey are going to be following the Ryan model and we just hope that they do it even better.
  21. gunnarthor
    The Twins have been very aggressive since Steil took over in 2012.
  22. gunnarthor
    One of my favorite guys. I expect he'll be on national rankings a year from now. Hopefully he continues with the strong eye at the plate and gathers a lot of walks. (Also realized that his fellow second rounder, Jose Miranda, probably won't be in the top 20. That's a shame. I like him a lot, too)
  23. gunnarthor
    This group looks nice. Garver and Wade seem to be back-ups but that's not a horrible thing. Wade might be underrated a bit around here because of the things he can't do while we are ignoring the thing he can do very well - not make outs. Diaz and Thorpe are the two guys with upside. Thorpe might be close, actually. I think he'll start the year in AA. Diaz is apparently better than his stats so far but it would be nice if his stats improved this year. Littel seems like he'll make his ML debut this year. He could be another solid innings eating back-end starter that we used to collect. That's not a bad thing.
  24. gunnarthor
    That's interesting. I wonder if they are looking at "late inning RP" more as (if we're talking prospects) guys like Burdi or maybe Jay (when healthy) rather than just an arm. Even if Jorge was moved the pen, I suspect he'd be seen as a longman/swingman type and not a closer or elite arm. I think the idea that any starting pitcher can become a relief pitcher is probably overstated a bit even though a bunch of failed starters have become good relievers, not every failed starter can become a reliever.
  25. gunnarthor
    Nice start to the list. I think Jay is probably closer to 10 than 20 but there's probably not a lot of difference between 12 and 19 on this years list. It's a deep system. Rortvedt is a sleeper. I like him a lot. He's not the next Joe Mauer but I think he can be a solid ML starting catcher, which is hard to find. I forgot about Sevirino but he could be fun to watch develop. The scouting reports on him were mixed but if the Twins can fix the concern some have in his swing maybe he can become a poor man's Willie Calhoun? I'm blah on Jorge. He'll probably get some time in the majors this year but I think he's a AAAA type. Hope I'm wrong. This is a big year for Blankenhorn. He'll be 22. Time to see him put up better numbers.
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