Jump to content
Our free agent ranking is up to 100 names, and now you can filter by player position! Click here to check it out! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Taildragger8791

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,140

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Taildragger8791

  1. Taildragger8791
    Most of your list has little to do with Terry Ryan specifically, unfortunately. Kepler was signed when Bill Smith was GM.Most of the power hitters you're hinting at were also acquired under Bill Smith.Not sure what veterans you think have notable trade value. Most of them are unlikely to produce a significant return. The expectations are mostly longshot prospects.Sports team budgets almost always have increased flexibility each year you look forward, because contracts expire. The exception being when you have young superstars that you expect to resign.
  2. Taildragger8791
    His strikeout rate in July has dropped to around 28% while BB rate and production has held steady or increased. Could be a hot hitting streak, but if we're lucky he may be actually starting to recognize his pitches better. Big step if that's the case.
  3. Taildragger8791
    15 minutes over the course of 3-ish hours may not seem like much, but you can feel the difference when trying to focus on a slow game and are experiencing all those little delays which add up. The extra several seconds a particular batter or pitcher takes to get ready between pitches, the excessive pause of a manager thinking about a challenge, multiple mound visits, getting into the bullpen in the 5th or 6th inning and rotating pitchers 1-2 times an inning from there, etc. A 15 second pitch clock seems pretty reasonable, very little changes from pitch to pitch that needs to be reconsidered. But I don't think limiting relievers could or should happen, even though it's increasingly a source of delays. Admittedly, a game does seem less interesting to me if a barrage of random fireballers starts trotting out in the 6th-7th that can shut down all offense, but you can't make a rule against it either.
  4. Taildragger8791
    Just glancing at his splits, his OBP has been higher than his SLG in 3 out of 4 months. I don't even know what to make of that but it sounds bizarre for a 1B/DH. That has to be highly unusual outside of speedy SS/CF types and pitchers.
  5. Taildragger8791
    Sano to catcher, you say?
  6. Taildragger8791
    Well, if you were looking for confidence that Mr. Pohlad had the right priorities...this isn't what you were looking for: https://twitter.com/MinnPost/status/755447331496001536
  7. Taildragger8791
    His August 2015 BB and K rates were better but his production was down (hit .193/.305/.339 with only 3 HRs). The reason I pointed out his numbers this July is because he maintained or improved production while bringing down his K rate and maintaining his BB rate. I made the table by using a website that creates the HTML code, then using a text editor to find/replace the "<" and ">" with "[" and "]" to convert from HTML to the BB codes this site recognizes. The site I used was: http://www.tablesgenerator.com/html_tables Make sure to turn off the "generate css" option. I created and imported a .csv file in Excel to load the data into the table.
  8. Taildragger8791
    Totally agree, I'm not even an ABW III disciple. Just interesting to note actual progress in all 3 areas for a change. He's at 15 games for July, btw, so a little over half a month's worth of games.
  9. Taildragger8791
    Interesting to note that ABW III is on pace to have one of his best months in terms of balance between SO% and BB% while still producing. In the past it was always a tradeoff between those things. BB% is around his career norm (9.7%) while SO% is down to 29% for the month of July, down from his usual 40%. He could just be swinging a hot bat but hopefully it's a sign he's starting to see pitches better. I wish I knew how to make this table not look huge, but the data is interesting to see. [table] MonthABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGSO%BB% April '1566916405116290.2420.3010.53040.3%8.3% May '151072327717287390.2520.3040.53334.2%6.1% June '159518307111288410.3160.3710.75839.8%7.8% July '151007215131711420.2100.2860.37037.8%9.9% Aug '1510913217031718360.1930.3050.33928.3%14.2% Sept '1525551025180.2000.2220.48030.8%3.8% April '166181431273250.2300.2660.41039.1%4.7% May '169312202081313490.2150.3150.49546.2%12.3% June '169212196051811420.2070.2830.43540.8%10.7% July '1656102151386180.3750.4440.66129.0%9.7% [/table]
  10. Taildragger8791
    A 10%+ ROI with growing equity in a nearly fail-proof business sounds pretty good to me. Not sure why they'd feel any desire to sell. That's pretty tough to beat. But I'm also not a billionaire businessman and I have no idea what other projects they may want to focus on.
  11. Taildragger8791
    Even though the penalty period has expired it doesn't mean it makes business sense to cash out. It only makes sense if they think the Twins valuation has maxed out or is slowing in growth to the point that they can reallocate that investment elsewhere for a bigger return. $450 million in the bank doesn't do anything for you and they have plenty of other assets to play with. I don't see them selling unless they just don't want to put the energy into the team anymore.
  12. Taildragger8791
    Just because they don't love baseball doesn't mean they don't love the money and opportunities that come with owning a team. The only reason to sell would be because they can get a better return on their investment elsewhere. Hard to beat out a sports franchise in terms of growing value. Also, when does the penalty for selling the team run out? That was a stipulation of the shiny new ballpark we bought them.
  13. Taildragger8791
    Wow. They really did it. It's sad to see it end that way for Terry but hopefully this is a sign of good changes to come.
  14. Taildragger8791
    I believe the quote also said something like "our phones are open, call if you have any ideas", which is a pants-on-head crazy statement from your GM. You'd like to see a little more direction and pro-activeness projected from your front office. Hopefully it was a poor choice of words and they have a better plan than letting other teams frame the trade proposals. Appearances matter when you're putting on such a display of suckitude for several years now. I'd also be pretty frustrated if they dumped Polanco for anything less than a sure-fire starting-caliber player. He's a young MLB-ready middle infielder who can legit hit and we're going to burn him because we can't stomach losing one of Escobar/Nunez/Dozier? Pretty short-sighted unless they have good reason to believe he can't establish himself at SS/2B.
  15. Taildragger8791
    NOBODY could have seen it coming? That's a pretty bold statement. Maybe not to this severity but it shouldn't have been a total shock that he'd regress considerably and be thoroughly mediocre. His career ERA is 3.83 which is high for a supposed back-end reliever, and 2014/15 were clearly much better than his established baseline. Even his minor league performance was pretty rough until his call-up year. Sustained excellence shouldn't have been the expectation. I also found it interesting that he was 10 for 26 in save opportunities in his career at the time we acquired him. That may not be the best statistic but it speaks a little to his performance in high leverage situations.
  16. Taildragger8791
    I'm still not sure what he got ejected for but it looked like it was due to his reaction to the bad check swing call, possibly quipping something at the 3B umpire. I'm surprised by the quick hook but arguing balls/strikes is always a risk to end badly. I wish the umps had thicker skin than that.
  17. Taildragger8791
    For some reason he looks more like Morneau to me than Mauer. He has the sweet swing of Mauer but is more willing to muscle up with that power swing when he sees his pitch. He doesn't have 30+ HR power like Morneau did but I still like that well-rounded approach more than Mauer's when it comes to a middle-order hitter like we hope he'll be.
  18. Taildragger8791
    Way to jinx it. Now we won't see him til September.
  19. Taildragger8791
    That doesn't follow. Kepler started out extremely raw and broke out at AA as a 22 year old after showing flashes of talent throughout previous years, thus earning the opportunity at AAA and then MLB. Harrison is more or less stagnant while repeating AA at 23 and hasn't really flashed the same talent or shown steady growth. I doubt pushing him up a level is going to magically spark him.
  20. Taildragger8791
    I know the Twins have been pretty bad, but they're not an MILB team yet.
  21. Taildragger8791
    I'm not sure what the point of this thread is other than to be a sacrificial anode for the rest of the forum. Thankfully. But I don't see the point in comparing Arcia to Kepler. Arcia wasn't cut (if the return is petty cash he was effectively cut) because of Kepler. He was cut because the Twins managed the roster to a point that they felt they couldn't keep him around anymore. The story on Arcia won't be told for years so this is a silly effort. Btw, I love the way Kepler looks so far. Looks like another Morneau with a hair less power. Dude is gonna be a stud.
  22. Taildragger8791
    Speaking of Burdis, has there been any further updates on our own Burdi? It's been dead quiet on him and he's been out a suspiciously long time for a bone bruise. Reportedly he had a setback, but I'm not sure how you have a setback from a bone bruise. Surely there is more going on?
  23. Taildragger8791
    Honestly, I don't think it is. If we want to punt next year for development and get something for the vets then by all means, go for it. I don't think we'll compete anyways. I'm just pushing back on the statement that the group was intriguing, and setting the expectation that if you enter the year with those names you're looking at another 60 win season. If Stewart and Gonsalves prove themselves they won't have any trouble breaking into this rotation even with Santana and Nolasco still around by mid-year. Most of those names are going to pitch themselves out of a rotation spot. I think that's a big if on Gonsalves until he finds better control, by the way. If you miraculously got 5 good starters and Stewart has to wait for a trade or injury then so be it, that's a good problem to have for a change.
  24. Taildragger8791
    Going into next year with those 7 as your SP wouldn't be intriguing, it would be an irresponsible dumpster fire. Milone and Hughes should not be counted on for anything. Duffey and May are reasonable gambles but you can't bank on them holding down 2 spots all year. Alex Meyer is a hot mess who's career may be going off the rails. Pat Dean is a 27-year old non-prospect that doesn't strike anyone out. Berrios is promising but he hasn't established himself in the majors yet. So you're basically looking at 7 lottery tickets and would be lucky if 2-3 paid off. You're certainly guaranteed that 4-5 of those will not.
  25. Taildragger8791
    My main gripe with DanSan playing SS is that it pushes Nunez to 3rd, Sano to DH, and Vargas to the bench. After seeing Vargas look great yesterday I don't know why on earth you'd effectively replace him with Santana in the lineup instead of seeing if he can get into a groove.
×
×
  • Create New...