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DocBauer

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Everything posted by DocBauer

  1. DocBauer
    I would prefer the Twins hold open auditions with their younger LH arms. In the long run, they would be better off, as well as less expensive. The only problem I would have with Sipp, or anyone else, is that I think after the Twins..hopefully..address a power, impact RHRP, do we want to commit another 3 year deal elsewhere? The bullpen needs to be impoved, to be sure. But there certainly are a number of talented young arms arriving soon, and I just don't want to get too wrapped up in long term deals for FA's. All the more reason to hope for Runzler, hold the auditions for the young lefties, and go get that ONE big arm.
  2. DocBauer
    For the purposes of this post, I am focusing ONLY on the PORT side of things. The Twins need options here. I LOVE the Runzler signing. No risk at all, and potentially good to great reward! It's the kind of move someone makes every season, it pays off big, and you smack your head and say; "why couldn't MY team find a guy like that?" Hopefully, Runzler IS that guy. But you can't bank on it. Williams, if we don't lose him in rule 5, and eventually Melotakis, are possible hard throwing lefties for the future. Maybe near future. But they are not there yet. I believe if you audition Rogers, Dean, Darnell, O'Rourke and others, you are bound to find one guy you can march out to the mound and expect decent things to happen. I also believe the depth of the rotation could allow Milone to be a versatile swing man in the pen. The whole point is, there isn't a whole lot you can bank on from the LH side going in to 2016 for the pen. There are pieces of a puzzle there, but we don't know the picture well enough yet to put it all together. Cotts shouldn't be overly expensive. He's experienced. In the volatile world of relievers, his numbers aren't bad. I don't think it would be a mistake to bring him back as another piece of the "to be assembled" puzzle.
  3. DocBauer
    The only problem is, what is the alternative? Is there someone we can get for a 1 or 2 year deal? Of course, we could also trade for a RP, and I'm open to that as well. FA gives us a player for money, but trade gives us a player for cheaper..probably..possibly with more control, but it also costs a player. But I really believe the bullpen needs that one additional big arm to solidify, (if not dominate). And I don't think you can just sit back and say..."well...sooner or later Burdi or Reed or someone will be up, so whatever." We did that last year with the pen, and we've done it in CF for a couple years. Now, with May or Duffey likely to spend at least part of the year in the pen, (barring injuries), and Tonkin and Pressly as options, you have to wonder if there is even room for Fien. Stil, healthy, he's solid. I'd say there's a reasonable chance the SO numbers climb back up, at least slightly. I've always said I like him as a 6th-7th inning guy. And if it turns out he's superfluous, well, he won't be making an undue amount that would prevent moving/removing him.
  4. DocBauer
    I could buy him as the "4th" OF if he was getting as many games/AB's as you propose here. In this scenario, he isn't so much a true 4th OF as more of a regular/semi-regular/quasi platoon player. I would be very happy if things worked out this way. As of right now, however, I'm seeing Rosario and Buxton and Arcia along with a RH OF still needing to be added. To begin the season, at least.
  5. DocBauer
    IF...and I think it's a fairly large IF...the Twins really believe that Buxton is better served spending some time at Rochester to begin the season, (and to be clear, how can we know for sure until ST?) Then I don't think Revere is a bad sign. He hits some, has an OK-ish OB, good speed, and can chase stuff down in the OF. I don't think it would be a bad short term option at all.
  6. DocBauer
    I also disagree with the comments made on Ryan. Now, it IS true he played a bluff hand in regard to CF and the bullpen at times over the past 2 seasons, apparently believing/hoping prospects would be ready quicker than they turned out to be. But he did bring in Milone, and while nothing special, he did pitch solidly. He also brought in Hughes and Santana. And the mentioned Jepsen. And Hunter, who many have helped as much off the field or more than he did on it. Oh, he also hired Molitor. Should he have addressed the bullpen sooner? Yes. Should he have made a move for a second quality arm? Yes. But I think he did way more correct than wrong.
  7. DocBauer
    Another thought? I don't know if there is any data to support this one way or another, but for a top pitcher, or any pitcher who's stuff is working that day, the 3rd time through the order is sometimes a "set-up" or sorts. To state the obvious, the hitter has been pounded by a particular pitch or sequence in order to be "changed up", (pun somewhat intentional), the 3rd time through. Would a fresh pitcher mess with the sequencing and perhaps provide a better chance for the batter to get a hit? Now, I understand why the data shows higher offensive numbers the 3rd time through. I'm just wondering if there is someway to correlate this provision?
  8. DocBauer
    Actually, it's a very cool idea and has real, logical and practical merit. Though I disagree that the "relief starter" has less pressure than the game starter. In practical terms, each starts a game, or an inning, and throws roughly the same number of pitches/innings. I think the biggest flaw in the idea is one you mentioned yourself. That is, the "bad day" scenario. You referenced a game starter coming out of the game early and being replaced early by a relief starter. But what if the game starter is cruising along, is pulled after 4/80 as per normal, and the relief starter has the "bad day". So we've replaced the cruising starter, put in an ineffective pitcher, and then have to turn to one of the other 4 "extra" relievers. Hopefully, he/they dont have a bad day. Does this staff makeup allow for a LOOGY as well as a closer? And does a LOOGY-type specialist mess up the normal scheme of things? All I'm saying is, the idea is very cool and makes a lot of sense. But long term, day after day, week after week, if the flow of the plan/operation hits enough snags, I worry about a perpetual effect that brings down the Genga tower. Lol But again, I think the idea is very cool.
  9. DocBauer
    A comment and a question, if I may. Still his age, you would expect Wade to perform at least close to what he did, I think. But it's his plate discipline that shows me he may be a real prospect. Just out of curiosity, why the back end if a rotation for Stashak? He throws 92 and amassed a great deal of SO's, rookie league or not. Do you feel his secondary stuff is that limited? Is it the lack of a change? Just curious.
  10. DocBauer
    At the risk of sounding all mushy and stuff........("There's no crying in baseball. There's no crying in baseball!")......a hearty and heart-felt "Thank YOU" from myself, and all of us, for bringing this site to us and the entire Twins community. It is absolutely my favorite website on the internet, and the very first site that I check each day. (not to mention throughout the day. LOL) Especially during minor league season! As a secondary note, a big "Thank You" to my fellow posters for all of the additions, submissions, agreements and debates. And I have to say, it seems there have been a lot of new additions recently that have brought some great, fresh voices. Thank you all for stopping by...and make sure you stick around for a while.
  11. DocBauer
    Poor 3B market. Proven enough defensively and offensively to be a fixture at the hot corner for the next few years and give a team 50+ XB hits while solidifying the bottom half of an order. Plouffe HAS value. If this was 2 years from Now and Mauer was retiring, or close to it, we probably don't even entertain a trade for Plouffe. I don't think when people mention RP we are talking about some long or middle reliever. We are talking about a serious, proven arm to work with Perkins and Jepson to control the 8th and 9th innings. Could we sign such a FA arm? Possibly. But who? Who do you bid against? How big and long do the terms get? What if Plouffe could bring a big arm (or two) that can not only do the job, but we don't have to get in a bidding war, and yet, can still have control for 3 or 4 years? Not saying I absolutely want him traded or that he absolutely must be traded, but, there is a difference between a "relief pitcher" and a top shelf, proven reliever.
  12. DocBauer
    My hunch is Garver, also solid behind the plate from every report we've heard, will surpass Turner as the better overall prospect and possible/probably eventual starter. (This was my thought before the addition of the Serial Killer so we will have to let things play out) Turner would be the somewhat typical, outstanding defensive reserve. Though in his case, he seems to be able to keep a pretty decent OB and does have some power, so we're not talking Butera futility. While he has has had stronger second halves to each of the past two seasons, I feel he's been pushed a level higher than he should have been. Probably due to Garver, and to keep them separated. But he made his rookie debut and then jumped right over a level to Ft Meyer. So I think that has to be factored when assessing any long term offensive potential.
  13. DocBauer
    Very, very cool! The one homer Burdi isn't so great, but everything else about this AFL and this game is pretty awesome. I really don't know that you could ask for a whole lot more than these prospects delivered. I feel Rogers has a real shot out of the bullpen coming out of ST. Burdi and Reed should be pushing for a spot at sometime...possibly mid-season. You just can't bet against Walker can you? I want to take him in to a convenience store next time I buy a lottery ticket.
  14. DocBauer
    I really don't see the Twins being active drafting anyone unless it's a LH relief option or a RH OF to come off the bench and maybe platoon (ish) with Arcia. Otherwise, not sure where'd there even be room to stash someone.
  15. DocBauer
    Not saying Gilmartin is, or ever will be a stud bullpen arm, but I think the Twins made a big mistake not protecting last year. Dean is LH, breathing, and has reached AAA with success. Hard not to keep someone like that for at least another season to see if he can fit a role. I guarantee someone else would have felt that way and snatched him up rather quickly. I can't really find fault with those protected overall, though I am somewhat surprised. So many A ball arms that you would think would be safe. And I can't fault them for protecting Melotakis...but he's coming back from TJ and not sure anyone could afford to stash him. While not a shocker, the disappointing part is Pinto. This is a mystery that I just don't get. He was productive through the minors, making somewhat slow but steady progress. Solid bat. Not so great footwork that needed polish, but big arm. He comes up to finish the 2013 season and becomes the Twins primary catcher. He hits: .342/ .398/ .566/ .963 in 21 games, 76 AB with 5Dbls & 4HR & 12 RBI. He allowed 9 WP which is terrible, but so was most of the staff. He caught 5 of 11 BS. I know his '13 numbers were out of the box, but still, they flashed hitting potential we saw in the minors. And now he isn't even protected by the Twins? Wow...what a hard and disappointing and unlucky fall.
  16. DocBauer
    We need a #3 from somewhere. Turner and Garver would be #'s 4 & 5 I would assume.
  17. DocBauer
    Now Parker...let's not start a holy war.
  18. DocBauer
    What does the bullpen need? It needs 2 guys, RH and LH. We have some really good young bullpen arms over the next season or two...we all know the names...but unlike last season, I, as the GM would not just sit still waiting for these youngsters to arrive. (which is what I think TR did last season) Assuming Nolasco is moved...and I think he will be...and assuming Berrios will initially begin the season in AAA...possible but not certain...I would sign one high quality RH FA for the pen. I would prefer a 1 or 2 year deal, but for someone like Soria or O'Day I'd seriously consider a third. There are various options, not going to go in to all of the various possibilities. Bullpen: Perkins Jepsen FA TBN Tonkin (deserves a shot, Pressly has an option) Fien (healthy, removed from high pressure 8th inning work, I like him still) Milone (I am liking the idea of him being a multi-purpose swing man) Runzler (bit of a fingers crossed here-but hopeful) When Berrios arrives, barring injury, someone has to move to the pen. Probably May or Duffey. (at least for the remainder of this season-unless you move someone) The team will have the option of trading/moving the weakest link in the bullpen at this time. Or, for once, trade from a surplus.
  19. DocBauer
    Not saying they should....not saying they shouldn't. But I always get a bit skittish when it comes to that BIG trade for 1 guy and you give up 4 or 5 guys, usually 3 of which are top prospects in your organization. That 1 guy can make a big difference to be sure. But...hate to state the obvious...that 1 SP is out there 1 day in 5. That 1 big position player is still 1 of 9. Not saying any of those guys aren't important, but you still need the surrounding cast. Further, what if you are wrong on that 1 guy, or he's hurt. Now you've traded away depth, maybe a potential young star or two, and are left holding the bag. Again...not saying they should...not saying they shouldn't. I just don't know that's as easy a trigger to pull as an all in, "hell yeah".
  20. DocBauer
    I feel, though it is somewhat unfortunate, that either May or Duffey will have to pitch from the pen this season. You want your best arms, and barring trade or injury, there just enough enough room for all of the young guns in the rotation as of right now. My fear is this not changing in 2017...if not sooner. And May may be the target here. I have changed my original thinking on Milone. I now believe he might make an excellent swing man reliever. After the past couple of seasons, perhaps physically he could hold up better. While we always think of relievers as being hard throwers, a softer tossing lefty like Milone, with experience as a SP, and having faced both righties and lefties in his career, could be used as a starter, long and middle reliever, and possibly an occasional LOOGY situation . (Assuming he isn't traded)
  21. DocBauer
    Actually, yeah. I should have been more precise.
  22. DocBauer
    You're right on Williams, he should be higher on the list. (I confess, I had almost forgotten about him until you had him on your recent prospect lists) But fully healthy, good stuff, a solid year, and virtually EVERYONE looking for LH bullpen help, I think he'd be gone and stay gone. There is a good chance he could help the Twins this season. He needs to be protected. I'd like to keep Michael. But if push comes to shove, I'd take the risk on losing him over other guys on the list. A 130 combined games in 2 years at AA or below, I just don't think he'd be a prime target for anyone.
  23. DocBauer
    #6...IMHO...May being moved to the bullpen. Not only should Pelfrey have been moved, (AND the Twins should have traded for a second reliever besides Jepson), but he may have actually found a real and successful niche in the bullpen. But the rotation would have been better with May in it. We might have even won a couple more games in the 2 month stretch where Pelfrey pitched just well enough to lose all of his decisions. And now, because of what he did in the pen last year, the Twins may be convinced they should put this talented young starter in the pen for good. I fully expect a bounce back from Hughes. Santana had a bad stretch, but otherwise pitched as well as I've ever seen him. But how awesome would it be to see Gibson, Berrios, May and Duffey all in the rotation together?
  24. DocBauer
    Oh man.....what a bummer. I wish I hadn't read the "good things" list first.
  25. DocBauer
    Barring some numbers crunch that I don't see at this time, there should be room for both Nunez as well as Santana. Santana will play INF and OF and PR. He still has tremendous athleticism and potential. He might even surprise one of these days. Nunez is OK glove wise, just not great, and Molitor himself commented this season on his improved leather. And he's got a solid bat with pop and decent speed. They are a nice combination off the bench IMHO.
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