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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Whether it is horrendous or mediocre, if you won't sign big time FAs to fill your holes (not replace guys you let leave, but replace lower level guys), then you have to be better than they have been. So, if your strategy stays the same, you need to get better at executing it, either with your existing staff, or new staff. So far, I've seen no change in the GM/scouting world, other than bringing back guys that have been pretty much in the scene already.
  2. I can be optimistic about 2014, bit who is going to pay target field prices to watch them lose 90 games the third year in a row. The declining attendance will create a negative feedback loop on the payroll, imo....
  3. Depressingly accurate. Next year is going to suck again.
  4. Your best reliever should only pitch the ninth, about 40-45 innings per year. And, you should pay him millions mire than the relievers that pitch more innings, and about half of your hitters....../s
  5. "wathcing on my phone.....", so I might be a minute or two behind. but if the hammer gets on, and Morneau hits a HR, Swarzak would get the win....does anyone really think pitcher win has any meaning? really?
  6. This series is why I'd like to judge teams on the distribution of runs scored, rather than total scored.....like 1 great, 1 very good, 2 sucky games for the offense. But the total runs scored will look ridiculously good....I've lost interest in discussing how the 'pen is used....I've actually lost a lot of interest in discussing the current team, frankly. I wonder if there is anyone that still thinks they should not be sellers.....
  7. Fair enough, I misread your comment. I'm not a big fan of signing mediocre players, that's how you end up bad in 2014-2017. Either sign great players, or low cost bench players, but not mediocre players. I also don't agree with your implication that you cannot sign legit, big time FAs, and fix the minors both. Perhaps I am again misreading your post, but that seems to be the implication. Signing Greinke (or some other super expensive guy) does not effect how you draft and develop players.
  8. Could not disagree more that they should ignore free agency.
  9. Everyone keeps saying "overpay", but that's what the market keeps doing. Big money, and 3-7 years is what it takes to sign a big time, legit, free agent pitcher. It's not overpaying, it's paying the market rate.
  10. I agree, thanks for the updates, it is great of the team to do them. Really appreciated.
  11. I think this is the most likely outcome right now. The Twins will say "we wanted to sign these guys, but we don't think 5 year contracts make sense for pitchers", and all the really good pitchers will get 3-5 year deals, and the Twins will use the leftovers. That said, I think Gibson and Hendriks are better than "crap", so to me it is more like: 1. a number 4 starter signed for low dollars 2. a number 4 starter signed for low dollars 3. Diamond 4. Gibson (moving to a 3 over time) 5. Hendriks (moving to a 4 over time)
  12. Why would he sign for 10 million per year? That is at least 2-5 million under what he will get in fa. I would trade him, and then if you believe in him try to sign him in the offseason.
  13. Benson? I'd guess tosoni....no downside for his long term development. I'd guess they'd want Benson to keep gaining confidence. Plus, didn't TK just talk up Bigley, isn't that always a sign a guy is next up?
  14. So Bigley or Tosoni come up when Span is dealt (if he's dealt)?
  15. The question should be, will Hendriks be better next year by pitching here, or dominating AAA? I have no idea, but given their track record lately, I don't trust them much to do the right thing right now. Hopefully that changes somehow....
  16. According to recent studies, using a closer has increased team win percentage by zero percent, compared to pre-closer days....the Sox were actually succesfful a few years ago with their bullpen by committee approach, but abandoned it due to injury and intense pressure to have a "proven closer" apparently. I'd love, love, love it if the Twins went with their best pitchers in the right situations, rather than use a closer. Don't overpay for 45 innings of pitching.....frankly, having read the interview of the Nats third base coach, and his philosophy on managing, I'd love him to be the new manager too, but that's about as likely as my idea for how to use the pen.... As to trading a bunch of mediocre relief prospects for something, not sure why any team would do that. Don't most teams have a bunch of guys in their minors that will fail as starters and can be 6-8 inning guys?
  17. Levi Michael always struck me as the Alex Wimmers of hitting picks, lower ceiling, but "closer to the majors", relatively high floor. Unfortunately, he's not as close to the majors as we thought.
  18. I disagree strongly with Seth that college pitchers should be in rookie league ball facing 18 year old high school kids. As does Keith law, and others. I also disagree strongly with the twins philosophy of having guys stink as starters in the minors, instead of having them learn to be great relievers and moving up quickly. That would allow them to have mote young and cheap guys in the pen, leaving mote money for more valuable roles.
  19. Willinham is their biggest free agent signing ever. 21 million for three years. Do people really think they will go out and sign two big time pitchers this offseason? They need to make some trades.
  20. Yo-yo time for all these guys....I don't think either is all that good, so it doesn't matter much to me at this point, as long as Duensing moves back to the pen. There are only so many pitches in an arm....imo.
  21. Nope, not interested. Now, I suppose if you get him in AAA, sure. Or, maybe you turn him into a minimum contract reliever (since you aren't allowed to call up players from AAA to pitch in relief....kidding....sort of....). But as a possible MLB starter? No chance.
  22. Picking up 28 year old marginal hitters makes no sense. None.
  23. I'd put Tosoni at AAA when ready, and use him to replace Span when traded (moving Revere to CF, and Tosoni to RF). That way they don't rush Hicks and Arcia (I cannot I believe I just typed that, but they are not 25 in AA like some others....or college pitchers in rookie ball.....). I think they want Benson to get his confidence super high, before moving him again. Maybe they just want to move Hicks, Arcia, and Benson together. Who can understand the mind of the Twins' brass?
  24. I won't copy the whole thing, but here are two sentences from the ESPN analysis of the Wimmers' pick..... “There's some question whether he'll hold up as a starter, but I think average fastball/two plus pitches/control is a starter, until his performance proves otherwise. Wimmers is the closest thing to a Mike Leake this draft class has, although he's not the athlete that Leake is and hasn't pitched in a major baseball conference as Leake did.” Law did say he thought he was the closest to the majors of any pitcher in that draft (well, him or Chris Sale). Look, I get the pick, I just don’t see him as anywhere likely a #2. Name the number two pitchers (like, the 30-50th best pitchers in the league, maybe 20-35). Do we think it is LIKELY that Wimmers is (was) that? 20% likely? I just don’t think most pitchers reach that, especially not pitchers with an average or below average FB. His likely upside is a 3, with a more likely outcome a 4/5 if he's a starter someday. That’s mostly because that is the likely outcome for most pitching prospects that end up starters, not because he is a bad pitcher. Heck, most become relievers if they even make the majors. I did not kill the pick at the time, but I also didn’t expect him to be a 2. I expected him to be up this year, as a 4/5, with him becoming a 3/4 over a year or two.
  25. No, Ryan was the GM when the drafts were done 4+ years ago, which is the track for college players, right? this is on both Ryan and Smith's time as GM, it's waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too easy to blame this on Smith.
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