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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    Fascinating, I was just looking up how to become ordained into the FSM church, so I could officiate some friends' wedding.
  2. Mike Sixel
    3/5 of an out....awesome sarcasm. Awesome.
  3. Mike Sixel
    If it is goodwill, then it doesn't count to the 52% number? comparing the worst contracts the Twins have with Mauer's priceless strawman work. Should I cherry pick all the great players making $1MM or less, and point out how many wins you could have with those contracts? Or, find the 5 lowest paid starting pitchers that are good, and point out how you spending $6MM on Span is a bad idea relative to that? Making bad decisions with lots of players (aka, your list) is actually better than making a huge, bad decision with one player. Which is the point of a lot of people on this thread, actually. What is most popular on this site, is starting threads about how Mauer is worth it, and everyone that says otherwise is wrong, followed by pages of people saying he's not worth it, and others saying he is, and no one changing their mind.
  4. Mike Sixel
    Nice KLAW baiting spirit, I assume. If you are serious....really? In his chat, he also said Arcia is in the next 25, but Hicks isn't yet. He said that he still likes him, but that he's had hot streaks like this before and he wants to see more (paraphrasing here) before he trusts him (as he's liked him in the past). He also reminded us that Hicks is only 22.
  5. Mike Sixel
    Strategy and execution are not the same thing.....
  6. Mike Sixel
    This explains why slama is not valued....he is a one inning guy.
  7. Mike Sixel
    Great interview. I appreciate their willingness to talk.
  8. Mike Sixel
    Really? You think he makes a play that no other MIF would make more often than 1 time every 10-15 games? How many opportunities are there to even make a play that is a great play? I doubt there are even that many opportunities, let alone that many made. He's not very cheap, not as a backup or replacement level player. Dozier is very cheap, Casilla will make $2-4MM next year. Replace that with a guy that makes $400K, and put that extra money into a real player (which is what they should do with the bullpen also....). All those $1-3MM add up to money for legit players.
  9. Mike Sixel
    No way they forfeight their pick next year to take Appel. They get pick 9 (or 8b) if they don't sign him. And, while that player may not be as good as Appel, they also get their regular pick. I wouldn't trade picks 8 and 15-20 for Appel.
  10. Mike Sixel
    Why would anyone wish this on someone? He has every right not to sign if he wants. Maybe he really likes college. Maybe he hates Pittsburgh. What difference does it make why he doesn't sign?
  11. Mike Sixel
    Casilla was historically bad as a hitter one year, I don't get why everyone keeps ignoring his hitting, like somehow running (when you can't get on base) is more important, or making 1 play every 2-3 weeks that others wouldn't make is more important. He's a league replacement level player, a backup quality player. It's not a communication problem that keeps him from being able to hit. And, no one on this thread is defending Valencia as a MLB player, but nice straw man argument. what do you base "he has a lot of value" on? His 1 WAR per year? He's just not been good, even when he's been "good Alexi".
  12. Mike Sixel
    Assuming neither is injured, I think KLAW has already said they are the top 2 prospects for next year, given what we know right now. That is very subject to change, as someone will step up, but both of these guys would be at or near the top. That said, they will be college seniors, and have no leverage. At this point, it is between taking real money now, or going to school and losing a year of income (and maybe making more, and maybe making less).
  13. Mike Sixel
    I don't read the comments from the UZR creator the same way you do. I read that the calculation is not trustworty, not that it didn't happen. but maybe we are both reading it the way we want to....either way, i always take the defensive metrics as directional, not a measurement of precision. So, someone rated 9 vs someone rated 4, that has meaning to me. Someone rated 7 vs 6.5, well, not so much.
  14. Mike Sixel
    Actually, usachief, that is exactly how the law of large numbers works. It is hard to explain on a messageboard, but statistical analysis is very mature and you'll have to trust it, or take some stats lessons online.....
  15. Mike Sixel
    No way you move Plouffe at this point. He's succesful offensively and defensively right now. Why mess with that? and, I agree, defensive stats for this year are not worth much.....not in precision. but, they are probably directionally useful.....
  16. Mike Sixel
    Most companies aren't bought for $45MM, and later valued at $500-700MM though either. Now, that's not liquid or real unless they sell, so I understand the cash flow implications.....all that said, if I was a billiionaire, and had other businesses making money, and owned a baseball team, I'd just want to break even or even lose a little money on that, to make it great. But, unfortunately, I'm more of a tenthousandaire....
  17. Mike Sixel
    According to fangraphs, Carroll has been much better than Casilla defensively this year, for what it is worth. One of them should go, to save money. The one that stays should be a backup. And, some younger guy should be the starter (with Dozer at SS or 2B).
  18. Mike Sixel
    I have never called them incompetent, my contention has always been this: If you refuse to sign bigtime free agents or to trade prospect for bigtime legit MLB players in their prime eanring years, you have to be one of the best in the entire league at drafting and developing. If that is your strategy, then you have to follow it. You have to go over slot (in the past) a lot to get great players. You need to sign international guys. You need players to get better and better minor league coaching. You need to trade better than everyone else. but, imo, they have not done that. They have not been one of the best minor league systems, even given their draft position. The Rays kick their butt, even after drafting later as they got better, for example. The Phillies system was loaded, and they dealt for players, and still have some high impact minor leaguers. So, I'd say they have not truly embraced their strategy. And, they have not held anyone accountable for not succeeding with their strategy. And, they've failed to bring in any outside people into leadership roles, to refresh their approach and ideas. They are a classic example of groupthink, and privately held companies that don't bring in outsiders every once in awhile. That all said, I hope birdwatcher is right, and they are different this offseason, but it's hard to imagine, given 30+ years of history (or however long there has been FA) of not signing free agents in their prime earining years from outside their own organization.
  19. Mike Sixel
    I read the post, but you guys are asking us to completely ignore his inept hitting. Here is his WAR, year by year.....2007, negative .9. 2008, poisitve 1.4, 2009, negative 1.2, 2010, positive 1.1, 2011, positive 1.4, 2012, positive .5. So, he's about a 1 WAR player the last three years. However, if you look at the components, nearly all the positives are in defense and baserunning. So, if you don't believe in UZR, you don't really believe he's even a 1 win player. He's been awful as a hitter, historically bad even. He's had plenty of time and at bats to show what he can do as a fulltime player. Yes, he's younger than Carroll, but let's think about this. If you have to pay him more than $2MM per year, would you rather have him, or some AAA guy either currently in the system, or acquired at some point? He's really not worth more than a some minimum wage guy, and every penny you don't spend on a bad veteran, is money you can invest in better veterans. It really doesn't matter much to me what they do with Carroll/Casilla this year, as long as they don't invest money in Casilla next year, and put that savings toward pitching or a legit 2B/SS.
  20. Mike Sixel
    Wow, just, wow. I had no idea that the leaders were that old in AA. That really changes my thoughts on some of the younger guys in AA (not just Twins).
  21. Mike Sixel
    Really, many of the AA leaders ar 28? Wow, I had no idea. Hicks does appear to be improving during the year, that should always be the goal. I have moves from disappointed to slightly optimistic on him this year. The slg split is still high, but maybe it will close. I am als really happy with the stolen bases this year.
  22. Mike Sixel
    Great news
  23. Mike Sixel
    Not really concerned about the lower minors.....but that's not going to matter for 2-3 more years.
  24. Mike Sixel
    I just don't get how sigining 1-2 legit FAs means you can't also draft and develop well. I just don't see it as either or....but I do see that this minor league system is not going to graduate enough players for this team to be .500 next year either, they need to add 1-2 legit players.
  25. Mike Sixel
    I don't think Baker is at 90% for most of next year. I just can't see them rolling that die.
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