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Hosken Bombo Disco

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Everything posted by Hosken Bombo Disco

  1. Hosken Bombo Disco
    I agree. This gap between cFIP and what really happened seems to point to the Twins outfield fielding. Eduardo Escobar Chris Colabello Chris Parmelee Jason Bartlett Eduardo Nunez All these guys and more were designated outfielders at some point last year; Parmelee was probably the least bad option among these. Hopefully it's all on the past. Doesn't matter anymore if it was Gardy insisting that anyone who shagged fly balls during BP was qualified or if it was Ryan trying to "ride it out" (Ryan did acquire Sam Fuld, who despite his poor arm was able to keep many balls from hitting the ground). Schafer seemed to get to balls in left that Willingham and Kubel had no chance at, this is why I would be fine letting Schafer hold a place somewhere out there, until Buxton and others get their chance. This is also why I respect Molitor's judgment to not want to use Santana as a CF even though Santana did improve as the season went along.
  2. Hosken Bombo Disco
    So according to cFIP the Twins have a league average staff, or thereabouts. The Twins pitchers are also at the bottom of the league in getting strikeouts, and it's not even close. If cFIP has validity (it appears so) then what does that mean for the value of a strikeout?
  3. Hosken Bombo Disco
    "When I hear a pitcher is throwing a “simulated game” my first thought is that he repeated the opposing lineup 10,000 times." -Jonathan Judge tweet
  4. Hosken Bombo Disco
    and I think Mauer throws for 380 yards in that game
  5. Hosken Bombo Disco
    I will make the opposite prediction. It's the first two weeks of spring and he's already making mental gaffes. To me that's a sign he won't have the discipline to maintain his gains and will (again) start to lose interest when things get tough. I'm sure he's a great guy but he's not going to make it in MLB (would be happy to be wrong, etc). Give Schafer the first chance to hold the CF spot instead.
  6. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Very interesting. Mauer was quite a star all those years and gave people a lot of enjoyment, but there still is some dissatisfaction about that last decade. And now the past few years, we're back to chasing third place again.
  7. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Absolutely. It starts with the player and Plouffe gets credit for wanting to be a better player. Which goes back to Sano joking about his diet. If Sano comes to the majors and for some reason doesn't take it seriously or is a distraction, Ryan is justified in sending him back to Rochester. But I hate to think the Twins are planning to invoke some long ago discredited wisdom about prospect development clocks, or that Sano will need to play a full season in the minors "to see how his elbow holds up" or something like that. It feels like other teams don't go by those old unwritten rules much anymore. Of course this is just the fan in me talking. Bring up Sano!
  8. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Great link, great play. Where will Sano play? He will play third base. Nice that Molly could turn around Plouffe's defensive game. We sat through full seasons of Plouffe and Valencia playing pretty bad baseball at third. Sano couldn't be any worse than those guys were. Plouffe is a decent player now and should have some value to some teams. He should be dealt ASAP. If Sano has a nice spring then put Sano on 3B on Day 1 and if he struggles or is a little too squirrelly and you need to send him down, then send him down. This ain't rocket science. Also that might be as hard as a third baseman had ever thrown a baseball. Mauer is probably still soaking his hand in ice as we speak........
  9. Hosken Bombo Disco
    You are right. It doesn't look like Pinto knows where home plate is.
  10. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Yes that is what I thought. Thanks for pointing it out (again I see). My belief was that a catcher's SB-CS stats were measured solely by whether a base runner was safe or out on a steal attempt where the pitch was delivered to home plate etc. (why would the stat be anything else?) I will take another look.
  11. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Clarified-thanks. More like 2-8 then. I would assume most qualifying catchers have similar data, however. Still, Pinto's small sample of 5-11 or 45% would have put him among the leaders. Did Pinto attempt any catcher pick-offs in 2014 or did the coaches see those wild throws and tell him to stop throwing to bases? (It would be very defensible advice, in my opinion, but might play tricks with Pinto's confidence.) Not sure that "pickoff attempt" data is observed and recorded anywhere, so it's just an idle thought.
  12. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Also for the sake of fairness, Pinto in 2013 threw out 5 of 11 base stealers and in 159 innings was not charged with a passed ball. What changed between 2013 and 2014 (besides adding Suzuki and Steinbach). Another good question. Correction: Steinbach also coached in 2013
  13. Hosken Bombo Disco
    It's the lefties like Wilson who probably need the practice more. It can be a 270 degree pivot and straight line sprint, unlike the nice arc a righty can take. Some people make it look easy only because they practice it over and over.
  14. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Agree but I'm also too lazy to do the math. On the other hand, do you want your worst OBP guy really batting last, directly ahead of your best OBP? I don't know. I could see a 9-1-2 Santana/Dozier/Mauer sequence this happening this year. Without a microscope it makes sense that the 7 or 8 spot would be where the lowest OBP guys are placed. LaRussa occasionally moved the pitcher to the 8 spot, with the idea that McGwire in the 3 spot might have a better chance of more runners on base when he came up.
  15. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Is there any way to confirm the conventional wisdom that your 9 hitter should be a "second leadoff" hitter? Seems like it would make sense but maybe there's no advantage to it.
  16. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Yup. And I think he only finds that in Miami or LA. That's just how he's wired. nothing personal. If Ryan can clear that salary as soon as possible, all parties will be happier for it (assuming the gaining team in the trade is happy, too).
  17. Hosken Bombo Disco
    I appreciate the way you look at things. My hunch is that Ricky Nolasco's days are numbered. I'd bet he's moved before the end of the season. I liked the signing, but it's obvious Nolasco doesn't want to be here. I'm ok with Ryan admitting it was a mistake and if he can merely clear the salary somehow and just send him back home to LA or Miami.
  18. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Wainwright. He is listed as 6-7. Not sure about his "lankiness" when he was Meyer's age. There are some comparable and not-so-comparable developments between Meyer and Wainwright and then Wainwright and the more recent class of young Cardinals pitchers. By these comparisons, according to a general Cardinal's schedule of pitcher development, we should expect Meyer to pitch the entire 2015 season in the Twins bullpen.* *lots of conditional factors / not all pitchers are the same / etc etc
  19. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Maybe there are shoulder concerns, but that is not a reason to have him start in AAA Rochester, in my opinion.
  20. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Although last spring it didn't really pan out this way. Everyone stayed healthy. The concern was that Gibson was ready to go, would pitch well in spring, and then be sent down to AAA because of options. But I thought the Twins did the right thing by bringing him north with the team. I'm not really pulling for Milone but not opposed to him either, if only because Milone has pitched to Suzuki and Suzuki swears Milone can get the job done.
  21. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Old fashioned scouting is making a comeback.
  22. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Agree completely. But good that integration was at least mentioned. For some ownership groups in those days, one of their recruiting tools for the best unsigned players was to swear they wouldn't integrate, that you would never have to shake a black man's hand on our team. So it went beyond just a slow reaction to the issue. Yet there are accounts that the vast majority of white players who were eventually introduced to their first black teammate had no problem with it. So it would seem these GM or owners view on race was not held by most, even then.
  23. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Agree with 100% of this except for the pitch clock (so maybe just 94% of it). Like Jim Kaat said, make it about the batter. That seems to be one of the main culprits anyway, the time the batter takes between pitches. Instead of an actual clock you could just empower umpires to give the ready signal to the pitcher, that way we wouldn't have an actual ticking pitch clock to distract everyone. There's a possibility that a single spring training season of strict enforcement would get guys moving fast again, as long as MLB fully supports the umpires. Which is no sure thing. Batter up!
  24. Hosken Bombo Disco
    Seems like a harsh comment but I think you began to explain your point pretty well in the intro thread. Maybe the Schuerholz selection was based mostly on a comparison of timelines and the case for him was built around that, without the benefit of open ended, face-to-face interviews. Also seems like there would be fewer surprises on the list as we got closer to the top? (Beane ranked #11 was surprising to me, ahead of Alderson even)
  25. Hosken Bombo Disco
    It feels good to know at least Kaat will advocate for common sense to the commissioner directly.
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