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KGB

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Everything posted by KGB

  1. I agree the lineup looks slow, but moving Mauer up in the lineup will not help. He combines lack of speed with lack of power, but he should be able to drive in more than 50-60 runs a year. I think Molitor needs to set an expectation of him driving in 80-100 RBI. The expectation can't be just getting on base.
  2. "young rotation", they must be talking about our AAA staff.
  3. He pretty secure with his position, but I hope Pinto get more playing time. I would expect Suzuki to go backward, but the standard for catcher hitting isn't very high. He can be a placeholder for some of the catching prospect to develop and any tradable assets they have can help the fill the outfield weakness.
  4. No and as long as they go through arbitation and cut him during spring training, it only cost 30 days of the season salary. He really not much of a utility player - he plays a lot of position, but none of them well.
  5. Thanks Ken I tend to agree that they will not be cut, but on trade value remember Milone was picked up by the Twins for a player put through waivers a few months before and that was before his less than impressive Twins performance. And if Duensing had any trade value, you have to think it would have been more the last 2 years and I wonder why a 90 loss team would keep a 60 inning pitcher if he had a lot of trade value. I hope they are not going keep players like Milone, Duensing or Pelfrey because they think they will have trade value.
  6. Are arbitration contracts guaranteed? I thought I heard you could still cut players and pay out 1/6 of the reward during spring training. If they are not guaranteed, the Twins would be better off letting Milone and Duensing go through arbitration process so they have the option to cut them if spring training gives them better options and nobody is taking them in a trade.
  7. In four years, Mauer will be nine year removed from his MVP and batting title, so if our loaded minor league system doesn't have a better hitting first baseman than a 35 year old Mauer, we will be in trouble.
  8. Gibson would not have made the roster out of spring training if the Twins had been able to sign Santana or Garza like they wanted last year. Frank Viola needed a couple years and 50 starts with an ERA around 5.00 before he turned the corner and was Cy Young and World Series MVP, so I think giving him a shot worked out. When you are not a contender, I think it's better to go young than lose with old players. Danny Santana didn't force his way in to the majors, he was given a shot only because they screwed up the CF position so badly. Once there, he made the most of it but if Hicks had played at any kind of respectable level, we never would have seen Santana up in the majors.
  9. But is it really going to be a fair competition? You have players with guaranteed contract versus rookies with minor league options. The rookies most likely are going to be inconsistent like Gibson was last year, so it's easy to keep the veteran with the guaranteed contract and put Mays and Meyer's back to AAA. At some point you have to give them a fair run in a major league rotation if you are ever going to find out what kind of players you have. It seems the front office has very little confidence in these players.
  10. The roster is what I would expect, but I'm disappointed that they don't have roster spaces for Meyers and May. That's why I don't understand why they signed Stauffer and gave arbitriation to Duensing, when you have a lot of options. But I guess when you sign 30 year old pitchers to long term contract, you open up options due to injuries. Just doesn't seem to make a whole lot of sense to me.
  11. No benefit to extending either player at this time. Hope they wait this out ..
  12. And in 2014, Ryan apologized to Gardy for letting him down and gave him a 2 year extension and promised to go out and sign more pitching. Ryan kept talking about the “Twins Way” and how we were the model organization just a few years ago. I think the 2012 -2014 has shown the front office really doesn’t have a good understanding of where they are as an organization. We really need to be getting younger and rebuilding but they keep acting like we just need a couple veteran players to push us into the playoffs. I was okay with the 1 year Hunter contract because I understand you still need to bridge the team for the players in the lower minor league, but another 4 year investment on a 32 year old starter doesn’t seem like a bridge. Instead of giving 60 relief innings to another 32 yr, why not try one of your AAA pitchers. It’s not like we have a history of flipping those players for any prospect. I forgot we shipped Williamham out for a 28 year old former prospect middle relief pitcher. I think the Twins also forget they did that or our waiting for him to hit his prime in his 30’s.
  13. I think the string of 90 losses season are the indication we should be rebuilding.
  14. Adding two 32 year-old for two 29 year old is getting older. But the point of a 4 time 90 lost team going with more age. Trying to get to 85 losses? The rebuilding plan must start in 2016
  15. Old staff and getting older. If you are going to be bad be young. 2015 is looking like a year in waiting for the prospects to contribute in 2016
  16. I want Meyer's to start the season with the Twins, but I'm betting against it. You usually have several off days and rain out in April, so the need for a 5th starter is limited. The Twins are going to be paying Pelfrey and Milone and will want to build up there value for any possible trade. So they will be given an opportunity to show that they can still pitch. Meyer's has just begun his options to the minors and putting him in the bullpen to start the season would delay any chance for him to start since you would need to strech him out. So as much as I hate it, I think he starts the season in AAA.
  17. I agree that Pelfrey will be given every opportunity to win the 5th starters spot. He has a guaranteed contract and if he can still pitch they will try and get some value from him. So the thought that we’ll have an open competition and select the best is unlikely. If someone has guaranteed money verses someone with minor league options, they are sending down the player to the minor league. It seems the front office is not able to look at the team and evaluate it. Last year they signed Morales instead of playing a younger player because Ryan thought “why not us” for the wild card. So we ended with another 90 loss season and missed another opportunity to evaluate players at the major league level. From a marketing stand point, I understand the positive spin, but the last four years have shown that it’s not a realistic evaluation.
  18. Here's some study of when prospects made the majors, looks like the Twins are very slow in getting them up to them majors. They might be young compared in the lower minors, but like Mays and Meyers, after a couple years in AAA they stall the prospects. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=13018
  19. It's looks like we have a chance to have a very good rotation in AAA
  20. Who said Mauer was a hack? But seeing him as a player in the decline shouldn't be that offensive to people.
  21. Twins really love Braves pitchers. Scouting department needs to travel a little bit more.
  22. Runs per RBI per Age BA OBP SLG OPS year year 22-27 0.328 0.411 0.477 0.887 82 76 28-31 0.304 0.389 0.421 0.810 60 54 Maybe 2013 is possible, but the it sure looks unlikely based on the trends.
  23. It's an upgrade on what they had last year, but is it an upgrade for the future. The Twins are not going to win any division next year and if you committ 4 years to Santana and go forward with Nolasco and Santana as in your staff for the next 3-4 years is that an upgrade or is it an investment in pitchers with declining value? Last year Gibson outperformed 2 out of the 3 free agents signed. I think Mays and Meyer's will outperform many of these free agent over the next few years. Why not invest a season in the young players in a year you are not going to contend? You should supplement the roster in a year when you have a chance to contend. If you do it now, we'll hear about salaries restraint in the future due to bad contract.
  24. I think Mauer was very much appreciated after winning 3 batting titles and an MVP before reaching the prime of most players. But it looks like he peaked as a player at 27 which I think is what has disappointed many people. Nobody should expected 40 home runs - but FOUR? That is hard to defend.
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