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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    Rosario had the 5th highest wRC+ on the Twins last year. He was 11th on the team in wRC+ for 2019.
  2. Major League Ready
    Kirillof SHOULD end up being very good. I just can’t consider it a foregone conclusion until he demonstrates it above A+. It would be much easier to believe if he had a period of 150 dominate ABs at AA or AAA. I am also not inclined to believe Broxton is going to be a different hitter because he has had 12 great spring training ABs. He would not be the 1st guy to put it together after 1,000 MLB PAs but so far he is hard to believe in. Garlick actually has shown the ability to be an above average bat at the MLB level. I could see Broxton as the 5th OFer / pinch runner in place Cave. Where LF is concerned, I would start the season with either Rooker or Garlick. Kirilloff gets the job as soon he is a better alternative.
  3. Major League Ready
    I should have prefaced my statement better. I was commenting more generally as this topic has been discussed on satellite radio quite a bit.as well as many other platforms. In general, the discussion has been quite unrealistic and that's what I was pointing toward. Here is an example. On one of the radio shows, a former GM was determining what percentage of the population in his state would be vaccinated by a given date. His method was simple. He came up with the number of people he felt could be vaccinated per day. Problem is he did not take into account that the vast majority of those people would be getting vaccines that required two shots thereby doubling the amount of time to complete the process. We all want baseball and everything else back to normal. I just think being realistic might help reduce the frustration.
  4. Major League Ready
    The effort and sacrifice is very commendable. I think most of us have a very high level of gratitude to those directly involved. That effort is not being ignored and the accomplishment is not even remotely being questioned. The effort and time required is underestimated in every source of baseball discussion I have seen or heard. That's the only point I was making. Everyone seems to take a very optimistic view. Just as you have using a number based on people who have received one shot. That's an optimistic interpretation of how many people have been vaccinated. BTW ... The 1st source I checked estimated a low number. Checking the MN Dept of Health, it would appear we are further along. I just think it's unrealistic to think attendance is going to be unrestricted until late into the baseball season.
  5. Major League Ready
    The percentage vaccinated to this point is 10%. What are the chances anywhere near 1/2 the population vaccinated by mid-April? That would be roughly 4X the number of people vaccinated in half the time. I think we need to get a bit more realistic in how this is going to unfold.
  6. Major League Ready
    I doubt their plans to have Lewis take over are changed. They are more likely delayed and they are not going to delay that plan for several years. So, I doubt they pursue these FAs especially if they hope to extend both Buxton and Berrios.
  7. Major League Ready
    I would rather extend or resign Berrios. However, it is possible we could develop enough pitching over the next couple years to cover up his departure. CF is much more questionable. Celestino is our only real hope so his ascension would be crucial. We could possibly afford both if we develop enough pitching and Lewis becomes the SS we all hope he can be. Trading Sano in a year or two would also facilitate keeping both.
  8. Major League Ready
    The disconnect here is not that I want Thad Levine's job, I have had that job and Falvey's job, just in a different industry. They are not my hero. They are peers which is why I don't appreciate the constant references the FO being "boneheads". It's not hero worship. I am just certain the guy that does not get it is you.
  9. Major League Ready
    So, in other words, you don't want to be bothered with indisputable facts?
  10. Major League Ready
    You are absolutely correct that there have been a number of superstars who got to the ML level with less than 1,000 ABS. I would not be shocked if he got some playing time at the MLB level this year much like Polanco did for a few games. However, if you are suggesting it's reasonable to expect the same path for a guy drafted 1/1 who became a 1st ballot hall of famer and a 22 yo that has never been on a top 100 list and has a total of 33 ABs above low A , you are probably reAAAAAAAAly reaching.
  11. Major League Ready
    It's easier to complain when you don't have any facts or information to impede your logic for complaining.
  12. Major League Ready
    I too have high hopes for Celestino but recognize we are getting a little ahead of ourselves. He has 33ABs at A+. It's great he is creating a buzz. There is a good chance he is pushed but the young man has barely scratched A+. My hope is that he can be ready sometime next year so he can get enough time to determine if he can take over for Buxton when he becomes a FA at the end of 22. Anything beyond that would be a bonus.
  13. Major League Ready
    Looking back at 2019 (because 2020 stats are of questionable substance) the top 3 offensive teams were the Astros / Twins & Yankees. Their L vs R handed top producers with 200+ ABs is as follows. The Astros top 5 were RH. Coming in 6th was Michael Brantley. They had 3 others with a wRC+ above 100. They are all RHed. Among the Yankees top 9 in wRC+ (included Encanacion w/197 ABs) 8 of 9 were RH. The Twins had 3 players that really stood out in wRC+. Cruz at 163, Garver at 155, and Sano at 137. Of course, they are all RH. The Twins did have a good mix among the rest of the contributors. Arraez was next followed by Kepler then Polanco. Cave and Buxton had above average production coming in at 113 and 111. The twins also had 5 players with a league average wRC+. Rosario with a wRC+ of 103 was 9th on the team by this measure. Adrianza - 102 Schoop - 100 Castro - 103 Cron 101 It does not appear that LH balance is essential to a strong offense.
  14. Major League Ready
    How does the delay of the Milb season change the argument that he needs some AAA experience?
  15. Major League Ready
    You are assuming the Twins don't value Rooker enough to give him a chance. I don't believe the Twins are going to abandon all else to insert Kirilloff. Of course, I don't know how the Twins see / evaluate Rooker so I could definitely be wrong. However, they have a much more logical option. Rooker is the more proven player at this point. Starting with Rooker / Cave in LF is not going to jeopardize the season. This approach allows them an opportunity to further evaluate Rooker. It also provides an opportunity for Kirilloff to prove he can excel above A+ which he has not.
  16. Major League Ready
    My memory may be off but I recall him being ranked higher than dropping off. At the time I thought he made much more sense than Gordon. I saw Turner as the guy you hoped Gordon would turn into but Turner was obviously further along and was an elite athlete. I hated the Gordon pick and thought Turner had all-star potential so I am onboard that he made more sense than Gordon.
  17. Major League Ready
    We simply see this scenario very differently in the context of keeping the window open. I think that extended success is far better served by using that roster spot to break-in Kirilloff / Rooker & Larnach. I think the ream is better served reallocating the money to Simmons and sliding Polanco to 2B. I also think the younger players are better served with role models who take good at ABs, and throw to the right base or cut-off man.
  18. Major League Ready
    I don't have a problem with evaluating scouts by "batting average" in concept. However, how do we know the problem is not the scouting practices put in place by the organization? The person responsible for the scouting organization and it's practices is the guy who's average should determine continued employment. We should also note this is an area undergoing major changes. Scouts are being let go in favor of video analysts. It would appear that the industry is aware of low batting averages.
  19. Major League Ready
    Sorry. I think the whole "they are professional scouts" thing is very parochial thinking. It's just not that simple when a hall of famer can be drafted in the 62nd round (Piazza) and Mark Appel and others like him never made it to the majors. The 2016 draft was a good example. Shane Bieber, Bo Bichette, and Pete Alonzo are the three best players from that draft. They were drafted 122 / 66 & 64 respectively. So, to say that professionals should not miss talent like these players is very simplistic thinking IMO.
  20. Major League Ready
    Where I was going with this is that I don't see the point in getting too caught up in his age. How is it a problem that we have Rooker from age 25 (last season) through age 31? It's only a problem if it takes him 3 years to become accomplished at this level. It seems to be a lot of people are trying hard to find ways to discredit Rooker because they want to see Alex Kirilloff immediately. Maybe I am greedy but I would rather hope for great things from both players.
  21. Major League Ready
    It's not at all fair to say the should have taken Chapman. 18 other teams passed on Chapman. Turner is only a little unfair but I don't recall anyone saying he should have been top 10 at the time. Aaron Nola on the other hand made more sense than a skinny high school kid.
  22. Major League Ready
    Justin Turner was 26 the 1st year he had more than 25ABs at the ML level. The first year he had an OPS+ over 100 he was 29. He went on to an average OPS+ of 140 over the next 7 years.
  23. Major League Ready
    Thanks. It's takes time to track down these various reports so this type of synthesized info is great.
  24. Major League Ready
    What is that source? I always find it difficult to get good information on defensive aptitude.
  25. Major League Ready
    OK. I will play along. Now that we have established that expecting the budget to remain the same is unreasonable, we can agree they spent more than should have been expected. Therefore, we have two possible conclusions. 1) It’s unreasonable to expect they would have spent an additional roughly $10M to keep Rosario but you expect it regardless of reason. 2) We should have sacrificed elsewhere. Which one of these options would have been less productive than replacing Rosario with a combination of Rooker / Kirilloff / Larnach and Cave. a. Pass on resigning Cruz. b. Not added Simmons and used a prospect in his place. c. We should have Passed on Happ and Robles. d. Pass on some other combination of additions at a collective cost of $10M.
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