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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    I pegged Jay as top 5 when Buxton was still included so nice to be in the ballpark for my list. Once Buxton and Sano leave the MiLB system where will we be rated? Will we still be top 5 due to depth? If Berrios gets called up this year or next then I wonder where the Twins will fall in the rankings.
  2. Dman
    He is old for the level he is at and last year the older Garver and Kanzler pretty much tore it up in A ball and both are struggling at High A so it is hard to say what the Twins have in Trey right now. His approach seems solid and he has some power and I think he is going to continue to be a good hitter as he moves up but strange things happen from promotion to promotion so who knows. I agree with limestone give him another level and we'll have a better idea of his prospect status.
  3. Dman
    I see nothing wrong with your premise and personally I would like to see what Sano can do at the MLB level. In the end though I guess I am ambivalent on the timing as I don't believe his bat can save this team. As long as he is up no later than August I am fine waiting. If the FO does see issues with Sano playing third I would hope they would give him experience at first and the outfield so they nullify that issue.
  4. Dman
    Love your enthusiasm on Sano but I don't see it happening this early. Comparing Sano to Buxton's call up doesn't work because Buxton's defense is better than what we had and his offense doesn't have to be that great to meet what was coming from that spot either. Comparing Sano to Schwarber doesn't match either as Schwarber is only up to DH and then being sent down again to AAA. We already have Vargas in that role so there technically is no need. I don't think the Twins feel like they NEED Sano up this early so I doubt we will see him. Once the Twins realize they are out of contention in July I would hope that they bring up the younger guys and see what we have as there are a lot of 40 man decisions that need to be made for next year and the year after. They need to find out who will survive at the MLB level and who will not and at least give reps sop that we can play some of the younger guys next year without them learning on the job.
  5. Dman
    I don't have the level of access that the Twins do but I never saw the value of keeping Duensing around. People on this board stated his velocity and veterannes but he looked like he was declining to me. Many people on here felt like we had guys, Gilmartin being one that was mentioned last year that could fill that position and if one failed you could bring up another one. For me it was go young and build for the future. That being said I have under valued and given up on older players before and they have proven me wrong and made me look silly. The Twins must have thought no one would take him or else they gave up too early it appears.
  6. Dman
    I'm too lazy to go out and grab stats but Wheeler had a pretty nice year last year. It seemed like he was a prospect on the rise despite his K rate. Darnell is a bit tougher sell but again he had a decent year and he seemed like he would improve. The thing I disliked about Gilmartin was it seemed like he always gave up a big inning like four or five runs worth. he had past arm problems and he was a soft tosser. So I guess it came down to preference for the Twins and they did not choose Gilmartin. FWIW I along with several others on this board predicted that the Twins would protect Gilmartin by adding him to the 40 man but were surprised when it did not happen. If it were me I would have let Duensing go but the Twins must have felt he had more in the tank and went the way they did. I guess they figured Gilmartin was nothing special and could be replaced if someone was willing to take a chance on him. I still don't think losing him is the end of the world as we have a lot of quality relief pitchers coming up but given the circumstance it would be nice to have him now.
  7. Dman
    IIRC didn't McCarty bat like .370 out of Spring training and the reporters just had story after story about who did the Twins have that was hitting better than this kid and a ground swell of support ensued. I thought I remembered an article about TK saying he wasn't ready but in the end he must have been over ruled. McCarty was more about a guy getting hot at the right time ala Hicks and not being able to live up to the hype. I still question Buxtons hit tool, but he can't be much worse than what we have played out there so far this season and his defense and speed on the bases is outstanding. He'll have to look bad at the plate to put this Genie back in the bottle. Personally I like his odds to succeed.
  8. Dman

    Buying High

    Dman commented on jorgenswest's blog entry in Blog jorgenswest

    Let's see how Pelfrey does but I could see them doing a two or three year deal with him but depending on how well he does it could be expensive. I also wouldn't be surprised if they extended Hunter. I don't see how Hunter fits on this team once Buxton comes up but maybe he part time DH's? I like Boyer but I would like to see some younger guys in that role for this team. We can't keep all these pitchers in the minors without 40 man problems so we need to find out who can hack it and who can't sooner rather than later. So I would hope they don't extend but you can never count Ryan out in these situations as he love's the scrap heap vets.
  9. Dman
    Great story! I was smiling and laughing the whole way through. Good stuff.
  10. Dman
    I think by extrapolation the answer is out there. I don't see anybody chasing 70 HR's. With Steroids out of the game it appears stats are more in line with what they once were.
  11. Dman
    Surprisingly I agree with Souhan. In the course of a season I am not sure that this means very much. I hate corner nipping or wide outside strike 3 calls for either team. A called strike three should be a solid no doubt about it strike IMO. This felt like one of those umpire power struggles where the impartial umpire took things personal and decided to ignore doing his job and be a jerk. Kind of glad Hunter let him have it and would hope but doubt the umpire would have to answer for that call and his behavior. Hunter shouldn't have said anything during the at bat as that most always seems to work against you. Bad calls typically even themselves out over the course of the game and season. They didn't lose that game because of the ump they lost because they didn't play well as a team.
  12. Dman
    Love your enthusiasm and writing. I enjoy reading all the adopt a prospect articles getting a bit more info about each player. Nice to hear people enjoy doing it as well.
  13. Dman
    Yeah that is my thinking as well. How many base clogging first baseman do we need. Try and get guys who can hit and run. Certainly I can understand getting one really good one but three. A majority of the teams haven't even drafted a 1st baseman yet and we are the only team who has drafted three. I am no scout and I know nothing about these guys they might be very good and move pretty well I have no idea but typically if you are a first baseman you are slow and have some power and hopefully a decent hit tool. Maybe these guys can play outfield I just find it odd that you focus early and often at first base. No one else seems to be.
  14. Dman
    Yep I guess they think so highly of Jay that they will draft anyone who has hit a home run off of him. I hear that is select club like 3 or 4 guys.
  15. Dman
    I am not huge on first baseman for picks as they are usually slow with one or two tools and you can convert other positions to First base so I guess I don't understand why there are three picks for first baseman.
  16. Dman
    And surprise they start with a catcher.
  17. Dman
    I would let him play in Cedar Rapids as a relief pitcher and see how he does. I guess if he is just completely dominant you could move him to high A. Next year you try him as a starter and see how it goes. I really believe this guy has what it takes to start and be really good. He has the pitches he just needs to understand the mental and physical side of starting. I think in time he will be a top of the rotation starter. I know that is pie in the sky optimistic but scouts say he has very good control and good depth to his pitches he was dominant last year so I think it all adds up to a really good starting pitcher. Time will tell.
  18. Dman
    I liked the Twins draft. They went pitchers early and got some nice HS bats. Nice mix of college and HS players. Nice mix of pitcher and position players as well as value and some high risk upside. Sad thing is only one o r two of these players will make it to MLB. Every year I think they all will make it but i know better now. Hopefully they get some upside guys in rounds 11-20 and hopefully we get luckier than usual with these picks.
  19. Dman
    With prospects it is all about projection and Jay grades out very high there so I would have to say he needs to start in the top 5. All the guessing about starting or not doesn't really matter when you rank prospects because lot's of them never live up to there projections. I don't think we have many or maybe any pitching prospects with potential for four plus pitches. The scouts see something special in Jay. Time will tell but I think he needs to be top 5. PRESENT FUTURE Fastball 65 65 Command 55 65 Control 55 65 Curveball 60 65 Changeup 45 50
  20. Dman
    Guy has shut down stuff. Rockies were gonna take him at three and I bet the Whitie sox would have grabbed him had he fallen to them. Most scouts felt he had the stuff to start. Twins converted Duffy they can convert Jay.
  21. Dman
    My thinking is eventually dance parties get old. Rah rah speeches don't mean as much. The novelty wears off and loses effect. It might make a difference but to who and how much. We just don't know other than quotes from already talented players. Confidence and a steady hand can make a difference but only so much. Still have to make plays.
  22. Dman
    I like the pick. Probably the best lefty they could take. They converted Duffy they can convert Jay. He has two plus pitches and two more on there way to plus. Most scouts felt he had the stuff to start. It is a typical twins safe pick with some upside. If he becomes Glenn Perkins worse things could happen.
  23. Dman
    First let me say that I thought signing Hunter for 10M was a huge overpay for what he could bring to the twins this year. I figured his bat would be fine but could regress, his defense would be sub par and that his club house leadership would be fine but not worth the investment. My assumptions so far appear to be wrong. He has been a true difference maker on this team. While confidence and having fun can be important to success the Talent has to be there to make the plays. It just isn't really possible to quantify the value mentor\club house leader has on a player or team and or how long that influence lasts. For me personally I am not a big believer in the good club house theory as there is no real lasting causation. If Dance parties or growing beards were the incentive that won game's then everyone would be doing that. With that said I like what Hunter is doing and I like the happy club house and players that look like they are having fun. Makes the game more enjoyable for me as well. Hunter made me eat crow and I am happy to continue eating it if it means the Twins are successful this year.
  24. Dman
    I am not sure if we are focused on the 25 man or 40 man or maybe both but next year I see 7 guys that will likely need to be added to the 40 man so moves will need to be made. I don't think the Twins will want to give up on very many young controllable guys until they know what they have. My list of who might get added and who they might replace is below. Byron Buxton > jordan Schaefer Jose Berrios > Caleb Thielbar Tyler Duffy > Ryan Pressly Taylor Rogers > Logan Darnell Zach Jones > Brian Duensing J.T. Chargios > Tim Stauffer AB Walker > Shane Robinson It would be nice if they could trade Pelfrey high but if the Twins are in it then I really don't see that happening. They could sign him again after this season but he will likely be looking for a three year deal and I don't see how that works out well for the Twins given the pitching they have coming up. To resign Pelf they would have to get rid of Nolasco. Not sure if that can be done. Anyway the Twins are not dying for more prospects right now anyway they can afford to waste the opportunity to collect more prospects to get more wins this year. The year after this one unless trades are made it seem like the Twins will be giving prospects away as they have another 9 or ten players that might need to be added but likely only four or five are locks to be added. This team is gonna have to go young soon. Just a matter of who wins the position battles. Kohl Stewart Stephan Gonsalves Stuart Turner Zach Granite Brandon Peterson C.K. Irby Ryan Eades Alex Swim Mitch Garver
  25. Dman
    I kind of wanted them to pick Frazier that year but was quite happy with Stewart as I felt we needed more higher level pitching in our system. It felt like a solid pick at the time. He is still young and has plenty of time to turn things around. He has the velocity just needs to gain experience and he will get better. Tough years often lead to better years ahead. Patience is not one my strengths but baseball is teaching me that you need a lot of it.
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