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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    I don't think many on here questioned his bat but many questioned his defense in an outfield that looked questionable on defense to begin with. For myself I questioned why spend 10M for just 1 year on an aging player who is not part of the future of this team? Didn't make a whole lot of sense to me. I didn't mind having Hunter on the team but felt they way over paid for his services and at that time I didn't see him to be a net positive for this team. From what I understand several other teams valued Hunter highly but he chose the Twins and he has been a big part of this teams success this year. Sometimes assumptions are wrong and the ole eye test does work.
  2. Dman
    Let me say I still have my doubts. Beware the 2011 Pirates who I believe were above .500 and in second place in their division half way through the season only to finish the year 72-90. Regression to the mean can be mean. I am enjoying this team though and they have been really fun to watch this year. I hope they keep trending up even if it is against the statistical odds.
  3. Dman
    Yeah they need to decide if he is a keeper or not as 40 man is crowded this coming year. I think they left him unprotected one year and he got picked but wasn't kept so I think if they take him off he might be gone via the rule V draft. If they don't think he can get the job done then they need to take him off though.
  4. Dman
    It would be nice to have a left handed home run hitter in the lineup. We are overly right handed these days if you ask me. If nothing else he would be a better pinch hitter than anyone else we have. I don't like his defense but he really is needed in the lineup.
  5. Dman
    Seemed to me that Slama got rocked almost every time he pitched at the MLB level. I don't think that has been the case with Achter. In fact I thought he did better in the pen last year than Oliveros IIRC. The Twins need to give him a few more chances before we know what Achter brings. He could be Slama II and the Twins certainly are not that confident in his abilities or he would be up. He has earned the closer job in AAA and done a pretty darn good job in that role. I think he can be a setup man but I don't watch him everyday either so what do I know.
  6. Dman
    Getting him earlier is better than later because prices only go up. I just haven't ever seen the Twins do that before. Sano is a different talent though and the Twins have been surprising with their decisions this year in general the FO is harder to predict so maybe they will do something early. If the Twins can't get him to sign an extension and 30m per year for ten years is the new normal for star players then he could be gone after 6 years. That assumes he does reach his potential or something close to it.
  7. Dman
    I should have been more clear as I meant Stanton money after the Arb years but even his Arb years could be high if he is one the best at his position. The fact he only makes 500k the first three years is also why I don;t think a deal will get done. There is no reason for either side to do too much too early until you know what talent level has been established. Maybe I will be wrong but I believe the Twins will wait.
  8. Dman
    I think for his agent Stanton money would be the bar. Salaries only go up so if you are going to lock your client up X number of years you go with the contract that you think your player may emulate over time. I doubt the Twins will lock him up early but it looks like it makes sense to do that before the player has fewer years to free agency and thus more leverage. I doubt he will come cheep even with an early deal as right now he looks like he could be one of the top players in the league in time.
  9. Dman
    Santana looks hopeless at the plate right now. It feels like an automatic out when he comes up. Not that this is a surprise but he has no plate discipline and is happy to help pitchers out by swinging at very tough pitches and several far out of the strike zone. He was very good last year at swinging at almost anything and getting contact but this year we see why plate discipline is soo important. When struggling at the plate if you can draw some walks you can still help your team. He did pretty well when they sent him down to AAA I don;t understand why he has been so bad at teh MLB this year especially when he had so much success last year but I am Escobar fan right now as Santana's at bats are just too frustrating to watch for me at least.
  10. Dman
    I am stunned by how good his at bats have been. I think the last time I saw someone come up looking this good was Mauer. I hope he keeps this up. I agree that his at bats look better than anyone else right now. He doesn't seem to chase and he is getting good contact. I don't understand how he is confident enough to take walks in tough situations and not chase. He doesn't look like a rookie to me right now.
  11. Dman
    Nice to see Gonsalves looking like Gonsalves again.
  12. Dman
    I've always underestimated Rogers even though he has always pitched well through the levels. Hopefully we have a future solid lefty on our MLB team soon. Every where you look we seem to have nice starting pitching prospects. Just need some to actually make it to MLB now.
  13. Dman
    Yeah when you throw an ace in there a 6 man doesn't look as good. Lot's of things have to come into play to make it work. Maybe it would need to be more sporadic and not set in stone. If you have an ace and 5 really good pitchers maybe it still makes sense. It hurts most if the sixth pitcher isn't that good as you pitch him instead of your better pitchers. Getting to six is tough and maybe there just isn't enough value there but it sure seems like there is more debate about it than ever before.
  14. Dman
    Yeah that is an interesting thought and would potentially help with 25 man. I wonder if teams will get creative like that.
  15. Dman
    My apologies didn't mean to put words in your mouth. You just got me thinking and that is what came out.
  16. Dman
    I have very little evidence but it seems like there has been speculation about six man rotations for a while now. I guess i just wouldn't be surprised if it started to happen more. Despite giving up double digit starts of a teams ace pitcher all baseball teams moved from a four man rotation to five. So there is more to the debate than just using your best pitcher as much as possible. Health is important as well. Maybe teams would use a six man for a couple of turns every couple of months to give the arms a break. Who knows how or why a team might implement a 6 man. Maybe it never will happen on a regular basis. All I am saying is that it could be a good strategy and part of baseballs future given all the arm problems teams seem to have. Time will tell.
  17. Dman
    While I get the absolute math about best pitchers pitching as much as possible I don't have your same level of certainty of who "the best" pitchers would be at this point. ERA, FIP, WHIP change from game to game. All the pitchers above could have been slated as our number one pitcher at some point this season and at this point baring peripheral stats they all look pretty much the same to me. That being the case a 6 man rotation hardly seems like a major problem going forward IMO especially if they only use it to the break. I agree adding another rotation arm guarantee's a smaller bench and less flexibility that way but it doesn't seem like Molitor uses his bench all that much as it is. Also isn't baseball evolving from defensive shifting, to leveraging good bullpens, to possibly 6 man rotations in the future? Just because that is the way they always did it before doesn't mean it has to be that way forever. Strategies change. As pointed out by the article there are good things about a 6 man rotation as well. As teams moved on from 4 man rotations maybe 6 is next regardless of less starts by the best pitchers.
  18. Dman
    Miguel Gonzalas for $650,000 in 2011 and they got Jorge that year as well I believe.
  19. Dman
    In 2012 they grabbed Thorpe for $500,000 and Hu for $220,000. Not sure if you count those as high profile players at that time or high bonus signings though.
  20. Dman
    I am just happy that they will get one guy rated in the top 10. At least they bought a decent lotto ticket for this year. Not sure how much they have left to spend for their typical guys on the fringes but I am guessing they have a plan? Will be interesting to see what the prices are in the market this year.
  21. Dman
    I know it is early but I think Tapia needs to be moved to Cedar Rapids. Looks like Santana is ready after a Milone type performance tonight. Lots of good pitching tonight.
  22. Dman
    I must have had a brain block I typed wrong I meant third not first for Sano. I do agree with your analysis on Plouffe. Sano will have to be eased in some way seems like outfield would be one way to get him here sooner.
  23. Dman
    I like that idea. Switch Harrison and Sano and get him some experience in the outfield so he can gain some position flexibility. I don't see the Twins moving Ploufe anytime soon so Sano might need to play other spots to get started. I still think Sano is our future first baseman but giving him some reps at other positions wouldn't be a bad thing.
  24. Dman
    I hope this is true as I think it is an effective strategy. We have lots of power arms now and hopefully they become the shut down arms we have been waiting for.
  25. Dman
    Teams don't seem to be paying much in prospects for end of the year rentals unless they are a player that would get a qualifying offer or a player who has more than end of year control. Also Pelfrey has a track record that makes him less appealing than other potential pitchers that might be on the market. Granted if he keeps pitching well he will be attractive at the deadline but he has warts so I don't see the Twins getting The value they would want to trade him. If he keeps pitching really well maybe someone will blow the Twins away with an offer but I think the odds are low that will happen. Also we have a lot of prospects to add to the 40 man at the end of this year so unless they get a really good prospect then they are better off just using Big P themselves until the end of the year as they can't keep everyone the way it is.
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