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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    OK didn't see they got the pitcher in the deal earlier. That makes this look better. Guy has a really nice WHIP so he definitely goes after guys and doesn't walk a lot of guys. That definitely evens this up some. Also he was 2018 pick so no worries about rule V for the next three years. It llooks like he is number 23 in the Marlins top 30 so not just a throw in but a guy with decent potential. Pen looks like his floor. MLB says he has had control problems but has been better this year. I think the Marlins will be very happy with Diaz and we have no place for him on the 40 next year and too many guys in front of him. He is also too good to hide now. I am OK with this deal and actually think I like it now.
  2. Dman
    Yeah the one player likely blocked the most is Larnach. Kiriloff is likely a slightly better hitter and younger and our outfield is set for at least 3 to 4 years I believe. Also they Drafted a Larnach clone in Wallner this year so the well is not dry. I would hate to have to trade pitching back but they likely need something to replace Stroman with and Graterol's floor looks like elite reliever for 6 years. Tough to give that up so I understand them pausing there. Also the Twins would likely need to include a couple more prospects in the 10 to 25 range to seal that deal. It might be worth it but I am not a Stroman believer. Isn't his K9 low. Don't we always talk about needing pitchers who can strike guys out and now we want to settle for a worm burner? I don't know I personally don't like this deal for the Twins.
  3. Dman
    Granted it was just a first impression but I didn't think Willie Joe Garry was going to be any good any time soon. I know he was young last year but he looked pretty lost at the plate. Also I don't remember there being any hype surrounding the 9th round pick. I figured the Twins liked the tools but I really wondered about the hit tool and after that first year it didn't look like it would be fast developing to me. I know not to get too exited about numbers from E-town but for a 19 year old his stats are impressive. I am starting to think the Twins might have found yet another sleeper in the 9th round. I see Colina is back to his being himself again. When he is on he is very impressive. Rijo seems to have turned a corner as well. Nice to see him gaining some speed on his heater. Gordon has been pretty consistent with no second half swoon in site so far. Granted he was injured early and didn't start the season on a roster this year. I think he has restablished himself as a very good prospect again. Only thing he is really missing is power and that comes late for a lot of players.
  4. Dman
    I agree he is holding his own in a league where he is very young the level. If he meets this challenge I think he is on the fast track through the system. Pretty excited about his arm.
  5. Dman
    Man that Rochester lineup has been impressive the last two months. Everyone is hitting the ball really well. That bullpen has given up a lot of runs this year and some of the starting pitching hasn't been that great either. If they had some decent pitching they would be really, really good. Jaylin Davis is on fire right now. I don't know much about his defense but his offensive production is really good. His K rate is a little high but not bad for a guy who OPS's around .800 in every league except High A. Definately something to work but acceptable for now. If they don't trade him they will likely need to protect him from the rule V next year.
  6. Dman
    This game went pretty much as expected except for Smeltzers excellent performance. Just shows that if we could pitch just a little better this team has a real chance to do\be something special. Not sure what is wrong with Odo but he hasn't been the same pitcher that started the year on fire. He seems to have regressed to the Odo of years past. Well at least we are done with the Yankees until the Playoffs and hopefully we can get some pitching help at the deadline.
  7. Dman
    Hate to be a sour grapes guy but this is typically the way it always ends when we play the Yankee's. Even if we play well and hang with them they mount a comeback even against our best reliever and win the game. It is a tired but true trend. If we need a call from an ump they fail us. It pretty much always works that way. My guess is that we will implode today and they will take the series laughing all the way back NY. The Twins are always good medicine for the Yankees. Trying to stay positive I will say this. It is nice to see the bats, and good at bats back. At least we took one game against them and at least Cleveland found a way to lose so that as our schedule eases we will still be two games up.
  8. Dman
    So my prediction of a Yankee sweep has been broken. Would be nice to win a series against these guys but we are going to have to play extremely well to do it. Happy they managed to win at least one game given how we find so many ways to lose against this team. Go Twins.
  9. Dman
    The way I feel about the Twins right now I predict the Yankee's sweep. Sometimes a team just has your number. The Yankees are the Twins Kryptonite. Fair balls called foul, no lead is safe even in the 9th inning. Anyone on their team can knock it our the park at anytime. The Twins can't even get lucky with men in scoring position against lessor teams so I doubt they change that trend against the team that always finds a way to beat us. Here's to hoping the Indians lose a few.
  10. Dman
    I totally agree with the analysis. Have been saying for a while the turtle swings at too many tough pitches. Pitchers throw him junk to start so it is tough for him to get a grooved pitch. He also has been hitting into shifts and seems to have lost the power I thought he had this spring. I still like him and think he makes it. If he can take lessons from Arreaz on plate discipline he too could be a tough out. The Turtles best position is catcher but with Garver playing so well I don't see him getting too much time there. Granted he can play other positions but typically not as well. I really like both of them but Arraez has an amazing feel for hitting. Hopefully teh Turtle gets there too.
  11. Dman
    Nice to see zero walks in Dakota Chalmers line. The 4 K's were nice to see as well. I know he gave up some hits but without the walks it worked out better than normal for him. I hope he can find consistency with his control as he is going to need it to move up. Sands continues to impress. Would really like to see if he can maintain going after hitters in AA. Home run suppression in AA can give a false sense of how good a pitcher is. He has a really nice WHIP and K rate so far I think the Twins might have found a diamond in the rough with Sands.
  12. Dman
    Colina is back with a vengence. Really like the way he attacks hitters. He has a nice K rate and just as important a nice WHIP. That tells me his stuff is tough to hit and with good control he is making the hitters work to get on base. Won't know who he is for sure until AAA where things get tougher for pitchers. He is someone to watch and hope he can continue to improve. While Chalmers has Strike out stuff with the Walks he will never make it. Need to be able to attack to make it. Nibble, nibble bites you in the end. Nice to see the K's and hope the staff can help him gain some control as well. My boy Escobar had a tough night. I wonder if they had him working on a certain pitch or he just didn't have his best stuff. He is young so likely more nights like that to come but I had loved the zeroes he was putting up early. Don't know much Albee but that was a monster night at the plate. Also nice to see Lewis hitting the ball better.
  13. Dman
    Was thinking the Canadian but any high school pitcher would have been nice.
  14. Dman
    Yeah I was thinking they would spend that money on one the High School pitchers they took late. Either they didn't like them that much or $500,000 wasn't enough to get them to sign? System needs more pitching lotto tickets if you ask me but experts said this year was not great for arms so looks like they are taking their shots with hitters that have potential instead of arms as they went over slot for two power hitters with swing and miss in Holland and now Julien. No such deals for any arms this year.
  15. Dman
    Wow I did not see that coming. That is a nice get for the Twins. Yet another power hitter with a bit of swing and miss concerns but he is young. Plenty of time to turn it around. Very happy they got him he has fair bit of upside Fangraphs had him at 88 and MLB at 177. Doesn't run real well, doesn't have a great arm but has an above average power stroke. Currently a lot of swing and miss but he has been hitting really well recently. He is a nice lottery ticket if you ask me and they needed to do something with that left over money anyway.
  16. Dman
    Looks like Colina is finally all the way back. That is the way he was pitching last year. Nice to see him pitching well again.
  17. Dman
    Nice to see that K rate coming down and walks going up. I was starting to wonder how he was going to make it with mid 30 to 40% K rates. If he can get to a 25 to 30% K rate then there doesn't appear to be any reason he couldn't get started in MLB. While he has always had light tower power it is also nice to see his average near the 300 level. Means he is getting solid contact when he swings but how long can he maintain that .449 average for BABIP? There has to be some regression coming but even if the average falls some the power he has will keep his OPS in a good place. Finally I can breath a sigh of relief as I thought maybe he was going to become a none prospect there for a while.
  18. Dman
    IMO Fangraphs didn't like his physical tools (athleticism, frame). Important predictors for star players to be sure but not always accurate especially for players this young. Twins and MLB site see future growth in the body and a very strong hit tool. From what we have on the MLB site he runs above average and throws above average so its not like he lacks tools he just doesn't appear to have any really standout tools at this point which is what Fangraphs looks for and seems to give extra credit for. Not that any of these write ups mean anything as they are best guesses but I am pretty sure Fangraphs and MLB didn't have Arreaz in their top 40's and it looks like he made it over a lot of guys predicted to have better tools\frame\athleticism etc. The Twins went with a top guy they feel will have an elite hit tool in time. I like the pick and he wouldn't have gone for 2 million plus if other teams didn't think he had a decent future as well. It is not an exact science but the Twins have gotten good players at the top and the bottom of the international system so I'll go with what they think over the experts for IFA.
  19. Dman
    Man, Daiz is money right now. Comes up big at the plate a lot. I am very impressed with the season he is having. He has been very consistent this year which bodes well for future success. I still wonder if he gets dangled at the deadline because he needs to be added this year. He has turned into a very good hitter\player. Rooker is hot, hot, hot right now. He has some absolutely wicked power. If he keeps this up I see lot's of walks in his future. Gordon also has his OPS in the mid 700's and is hitting .285. It looks like rumors of his demise have been premature. Never was a big believer in Dobnak but he always seems to get the job done. I wonder if he has MLB long reliever ability at some point. Sands is the pitcher I have been watching. I love how he attacks hitters. The more he works on his stuff the better he gets. Won't know much until he gets to AA but he looks like he is going to be real good to me. Breek never should have started in the GCL given his performance last year but I guess those lower levels can be a numbers game. It is too early to tell but it looks like the Twins might have found a good one. A fun night full of good MILB performances.
  20. Dman
    Not too much to say as that is a consensus top 5. Wander is the wild card. I am starting to doubt he can stay healthy and if he can't stay healthy he is going to fall. He is not having a great year so far in A ball but he is still young and has really nice tools. Patience is a virtue and a lot of guys I had started to doubt had breakouts this year. Lets hope that happens with Wander real soon. Lewis and Kiriloff are both having down seasons and Graterol is hurt making us question whether he is destined for the pen like many experts predicted. It has been a trying year for teh top of our prospect list but they have the talent and I expect all of them to bounce back given time.
  21. Dman
    Nice to see three young pitchers with front of the rotation stuff so high on this list. They still have a ways to go but they have the traits to continue the climb. Here's to hoping we have wave of pitchers to follow these guys and that none of those guys get traded. Rooker has been outstanding this month. I love the walks he is getting\taking. That should help the K rate by getting better pitches to hit and offsetting the K rate. That seemed to be the only thing standing in his way to be MLB ready. Needs to prove he can be consistent with that approach and if he is able to then it will be hard to keep him down on the farm. That is a really nice 6-10 with 1-5 yet to come.
  22. Dman
    I am a little surprised that fangraphs would put a pretty much strictly singles hitter that doesn't seem to get hard contact and no other above average tools to 6th on the list. That seems out of character for them. They must be believers that he can carry that approach all the way through MLB. Personally I see him dropping off but maybe he is just that good. I guess we'll know soon enough. And Gordon at 35? Have they really given up on him? They don't see much more growth potential there for a 23 year old with a 280 average and 25% K rate at AAA? So that is his ceiling? that is quite a statement?
  23. Dman
    When I look at fangraphs they show them as 12 Arreaz) and 19 (Gordon). Not too much difference. It really depends on how you see how their tools stack up. Neither one has great power. Arraez has the better hit tool by far which is very important but I also think he has a weakness as he likes to hit oppo and that can be taken away. Can he adjust? If yes then he is the clear winner as he can play solid D at second. If not then in the end the hit tools might not be that far apart and Gordon's, Arm, Run, and Fielding should be superior to Arraez. It just depends on how you see their future potential. Technically if things break wrong they both could be utility players. A strong hit tool makes a lot of difference as it is a very important part of what makes a position player valuable and defense at second can be hidden. Gordon is hitting 280 in AAA though so a little improvement and he starts looking pretty good as well.
  24. Dman
    Yeah it is impossible to see "potential" the same as there are just too many variables. As you watch and follow these players you start to form bias's that can skew your view. You can be too optimistic about potential and too pessimistic. No one gets it right all the time but it is fun to look for trends and hope for star players. Also sometime there is not a lot of difference between prospects 10-15. They could be ordered many different ways with no real issue other than preference. The one thing we do share in common is we like all the players we have in the system.
  25. Dman
    Wallner looks to nbe ranked about where Larnach was so this looks like a decent spot for him. We have a pretty tough top 10 to crack right now so putting him in the middle works for me. Arraez appears to have an elite bat but below average tools so will never have elite defense. He looks to be solid at 2nd base but with no real power his bat has to stay hot for him to not end up a utility player. He hits alot of balls away and I think once defenses find his tendancy's hits might get harder to find, will have to wait and see just how good his bat control really is. With such a proven elite hit tool I would have him a few spots higher but it doesn't really matter at this point because he will likely not be eligible for this list in the too distant future. Love where you put Jeffers. He has been a very solid player so far. Good defense, good power, good bat. If he can put a few more points on that OBP I think he moves into the top 10. Those are really nice stats for a catcher in that league. I thought Gordon might grow into some power but he still is pretty rail thin. Happy to see that bat come back. He looked lost in AAA last year. I still think he can be solid SS. Maybe not defensively elite but with that arm and decent speed (he is not a large guy) if he can cut down on the mental errors I think he is good there. He has a nice mix of tools but none appear to be elite. With no power he needs to have very good bat to ball skills. It looks like he might be getting there. I think this is a good spot for him if you are optimistic about his potential if you see a utility player then I would drop him lower. Not sure what to think about Thorpe. He has strike out stuff but also gives up the long ball. Lots of scouts feel his stuff is just average which seems hard to believe when he can get so many K's. It seems they might be correct though as he looks topped out at AAA right now. He needs some kind of refinement to take him to the next level not sure what it is but currently things are not working. Based on current performance I would have him lower than this, but this is about potential and not performance so if you think there is more in the tank this is probably a decent spot for him.
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