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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. To Thrylos' point - I'm much more worried about Mauer's batting average than Dozier's. It's all based on BABIP. If Dozier can continue his power stroke combined with high OBP, I'm ok with a bit lower BA because so many of Dozier's hits aren't in play relative to Mauer. On the other hand, Mauer's hitting is so predicated on singles and doubles, he's going to be challenged more, especially against teams like the Royals who are built for defense. Mauer needs a high batting average to maintain productivity.
  2. Thanks Lindsey - Really great perspective on the Twins situation from someone who's been there done that.
  3. id be ok with a Schafer/Robinson platoon. I hope Robinson finds a way on to this team as a late inning defensive sub. Outfield will be brutal again
  4. i too tend to lean in the challenge prospects camp, but in this case I also agree with Shane that Hicks was promoted too quickly, and worse than that, it wasn't corrected for any length of time. Maybe it was the right time to challenge him, but when he didn't rise to the occasion, send him to AAA for longer than a month, and sooner than a year and a half later. A month or two in AAA when your head is that screwy isn't enough, and it doesn't appear to be intact yet. I hope Hicks can be a productive big leaguer, but I don't think it will be the begininning of the 2015 season. Maybe a September 2015 call up?
  5. http://m.twins.mlb.com/news/article/112097980/minnesota-twins-outfielder-aaron-hicks-hicks-benched-after-losing-track-of-outs-on-bases Hicks already benched by Moli - here's hoping it works
  6. hes 21 and has been playing 3rd for 2 years, you'll have that. Inconsistency is the bane of youth.
  7. man is that awesome! And the play by play from MLB network. Stunning! Makes me really happy they don't carry regular season, but man I hope Sano sticks at 3rd. To have the stick to go with good enough up to excellent 3rdbase fielding, dang
  8. its applicable here assuming Molitor and Ryan won't repeat mistakes, it means an improved outfield.
  9. i started out refuting this with "yeah, but Joe Mauer" but then I recalled Parker's advice, and found this http://www.hardballtimes.com/the-state-and-future-of-pitch-framing-research/ Turns out Joe was middle of the pack as a catcher. So I changed my tune. TR has been quoted dozens of times saying he doesn't value pitch framing metrics, turns out he doesn't show evidence of valuing catcher skill either.
  10. im not a fan of either Stauffer or Pelfrey, but of all of the known quantities available to the bullpen, they are 2 of the 3 least worrisome. Stauffer was a decent reliever in a very pitcher friendly park, Pelfrey has had some success as a pitcher in the past. Neither one of them has much of a stake attached to them, so if they blow up in epic fashion, it's easy to pull the hook. My concern is that so much of the bullpen is tied to guys like Fien, Duensing, etc, who we've watched fail in epic fashion for 4 years straight. TR doesn't have 6 high upside relief pitchers knocking on the big league door, he has 2 maybe 3. What about 4-5-6 with injury? Much like the last couple years it's an optionless team, especially in the pitching department.
  11. There's nothing wrong with a strong back end of the rotation. It's certainly better than a poor staff 1-5. It's not my 100 million dollars, but even if it were, that's going rate for a team that hasn't developed minor league pitching in close to a decade.
  12. very true, that probably impacts Rosario's 2015 more than how Hicks plays. If Santana is a revelation at shortstop, one would think Rosario would be the primary 5th outfielder, basically on call in the minors in the event of emergency.
  13. it depends on Vargas at DH and how much poor fielding Moli can stomach. I can picture a situation where Arcia or Hunter DHs and Rosario comes up to play LF, but probably not to start the season.
  14. Yours and Dan's work here has been just phenomenal. Thank you!
  15. im optimistic about Rosario because his AFL showing in a very small sample size, a resiliency. He had a crap season in 2014 that appeared in large part due to rust. He looked more like his minor league track record in the AFL statistically which is really encouraging. Compared to the options available, Rosario might be the best major league CF the Twins have. This is as much an indictment of TR as it is a compliment to Rosario.
  16. it appears he has a good slider, and a good fastball, but doesn't have command of a third pitch. Tough to pitch to hitters a second and third time without a third pitch to keep them honest. I wasn't clear in my value comment, I mean, the Twins traded a good Centerfielder for a prospect who has yet to bear fruit. I think Meyer can contribute to the major league club immediately as a reliever, and still has potential to become a starter with the major league club
  17. id love to see that too, but unfortunately I doubt it will happen. If Nolasco gets out pitched by Gibson, May and Meyer, Nolasco's trade value will be zero and his contract is still too large to eat. The only way Nolasco isn't a starter for the Twins in 2015 is if he's injured. If Nolasco has the season of his life in 2015, he might be tradeable in 2016.
  18. As we saw in 2011-13, innings pitched per start matters. You need a consistent 5 plus, preferably 6 plus innings from all 5 starters in order to avoid a thin bench. Why did Gardy drive me crazy with three catchers and 13 pitchers on a 25 man roster? He didn't have the durability and command he needed from the two positions who touch the ball more than all of the other players on the diamond combined. I agree with the sentiment that Meyer needs to be in the bigs in 2015. As a reliever.... Maybe he can learn enough to improve his command to become a starter, or maybe he unseats Perkins, or maybe he's a fine setup man, or maybe his arm falls off, but at least he'll provide some value in the trade.
  19. "That's kind of the thing. I could see any of these teams doing that. Indians are certainly one of them. " -Dantes929 Really? Any? Twins won't. Sox look much improved but I think are missing the pitching depth to go on a prolonged hot streak. Agreed tho, Tigers, Royals, and Indians all have a very wide range of potential.
  20. all very true, but it is a big leap of faith to extend a 30 year old catcher having a career year. Last time they extended a catcher having a career year, they got burned badly. Very different comparing Mauer and Suzuki, and 6 mil is money Pohlad can find in his couch cushions, but it is still faithful. I think it was just as much an assessment of players other than Pinto. They have Pinto, Fryer and Herrman, none of whom have endured the entire ML season behind the dish, regardless of stats, how do you fill out a bench if you don't have at least one workhorse catcher? My concern is, they didn't test the water to find out if any of those three named could weather the rigor.
  21. i think this says more about Hicks than Santana. Though I 100% agree if Rosario/Hicks/Buxton manage to impress, let them take over.
  22. According to fan graphs his fielding wasn't so hot in 2013 or 2014. I don't want to get into a fielding metrics debate again, just to point out that hitting isn't the only aspect of Hicks' game that needs improvement. He has a minor league reputation for good fielding. I hope it's a case where he pressed too hard on hitting and let his fielding lapse. It would be really great to have Hicks be productive as to avoid rushing Buxton and having a strong left fielder or 4th outfielder when/if Buxton is ready.
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