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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    if LoMo and his 38 home runs in 2017 signed for 6.5 mil, what on earth makes you think Levine would agree to 10 for Mauer?
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    its Gleeman and the Geek Bonnes: Gibson’s turned the corner! Let’s get him wrapped up before he gets expensive Gleeman: he does this every year... his stats are always the same and yet you want to get into a long term contract. He’s a 5th starter John, you need to produce a new Gibson from your farm system before he becomes a free agent. Bonnes: I think he figured it out Sconnie (shouting at car stereo): we already have Gibson 2.0 in Mejia, let’s improve the front of the rotation
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    4 years of 7% followed by 1 year of14%. It’s more than 2 data points... however 2017 could be an outlier. Why I’m absolutely in favor of a 2 year deal on Lynn.
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    2017 looked just like his career. While getting an Arbitration salary there’s value with Gibson, but i don’t buy that he turned a corner. Same with Lynn or Cobb, I think either one of them would be a not huge, but decent upgrade over Gibson. Maybe working with Alston and Falvey can improve value from one of them. That’s a huge improvement over Hughes or Sanchez and slots Mejia in 5th, Gibson in 4th. So you’d have fewer starts from the weakest links. When Santana comes back, exercise Mejia’s option and now you could have a heck of a solid 1-5 rotation. No Ace per say, but good as a whole, at least good enough to get 90 wins if they hit like last year.
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    what percentage of players picked 75th overall become league average major leaguers? It requires a volume of picks to become one major league player... how many can you afford to forego for 6-12 years in the future to gain x value for the next 2 to 4 years? Is the x value of Lynn over 2-4 years worth it? I think yes, but maybe not a similar situation in a few years... the pipeline of development and talent isn’t quite there to have any certainty for year 2 but will be a higher likelihood for year 4/5
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    that was a hostile takeover and the rule of when 3G capital can take another crack at Unilever is limited by Unilever having one of its headquarters in the UK. British rules are 6 months between offers. There’s lots of second guessing among the private equity groups around Unilever turning that down. Unilever is becoming more cash strapped as they are raising margin, but can’t sustain sales growth. Not always a good comparison... and yet this one still might be in the end
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    the team was 27th in MLB in pitching last year, league average is quite the step up
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    the whole point was “where there’s smoke, there’s fire”
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    http://mlb.com/r/article?ymd=20180306&content_id=267981490&vkey=news_min&c_id=min Fascinating reversal...
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    I'd lock up Buxton and Berrios. Kepler and Rosario are good players, but haven't yet shown the upside. I'd wait on Sano, lets find out if he sticks at third this year. He isn't getting Josh Donaldson Money if he isn't playing third base.
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    very true, and agreed, but that won’t stop Levine from trying to get value out of Hughes
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed, competent is a great way to describe Falvine. I have not yet seen evidence of advanced ”GMing” but I feel like Falvey and Levine have shown savvy and political awareness that Ryan never did. Shrewd in the context can have positive connotation... Mostly I just wanted you to give evidence to your assertion. It wasn’t clear to me what you meant or what...
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    From Webster’s“a : marked by clever discerning awareness and hardheaded acumen shrewd common sense b : given to wily and artful ways or dealing a shrewd operator” Notice no mention of innovation? I’d say the FO is absolutely savvy and has done a good job of implementing clever ways to improve. Case in point: Rowson was a very good hire. The analytics dept improvement was very aware and keen to the situation at hand. Innovative? No that ship sailed a while ago. So what has the FO done that isn’t “shrewd”? Give a reason why they aren’t shrewd, or even good at their jobs?
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    please expand
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    This is why I keep coming back to TD Tom. Great work!
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    Gordon was right around .750 OPS in pitching friendly double A Nooga last year with 9 jacks. year one he doesn’t make up for the loss of Dozier, but maybe year two with the improvement in fielding and some additional power in maturity. I don’t think you’d lose so much that you had to go out and spend big bucks. That being said, if Levine can work out the right deal in free agency, it’d be great to see Dozier back. I think it’s more likely he gets a 5 year 60-70 mil contract that the Twins won’t beat.
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    the only surprise is that he’s already laid down his “go ahead and offer the QO, I won’t accept it” card. A rejected QO (with pick attached) would have to drepress his value on the open market
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    It seems to me that the Twins haven’t rushed players, so much as weighted the developmental league playing time too heavy in the A ball levels and too short in AA and AAA.
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    what do you do with Frazier if/when Sano is ready to man the hot corner? If he could be had so cheaply, could you trade him for anything of value? I have doubts Nunez is at least somewhat versatile.
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    if and that’s a big if, everything works out right, that’s a middle of the pack rotation
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    Escobar looks like your starting 3rd baseman for 60-80 games, maybe the whole season. With that in mind, I wish the ST Fodder competition for Adrianza was a bit higher quality. If Sano isn’t firing on all cylinders, Moli will probably want another super-utility instead of Vargas
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    I fail to see how winning a gold glove is evidence of Aybar being a good fielder
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    Good write up! Well reasoned and good comp on Chatwood. I think 14 mil AAV is about right for Lynn. I’d like to see the Twins sign him for 2-3 years if possible, but if the 4th year is what it takes to get it done, so be it. I don’t think this is the year to get an ace. Maybe with all the big money being swapped next year, a trade could be finagled. Of course the ace is preferred, at least Lynn (assuming health) significantly improved the middle of the rotation.
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    No, I refuse to read between the lines. I don’t have the background to jump to the same conclusion. It’s just as likely to me that Molitor got his butt chewed by Levine over saying something like that to the press. I have no idea Sano broke a bone in his leg that required a rod to be inserted into the bone in order for it to heal. He was just recently cleared for baseball activities. I don’t see that as “giving him a pass”, as I see it, it’s realism. Should he show up in shape? Absolutely. Do I know what exactly that entails? No. As far as durability related to taking care of himself, I’m not sure how closely related those are. The conception with pitchers seems like big is good in regards to durability and small is bad. How is pitching unrelated? Sanos last injury was Tommy John, a pitchers surgery, and Sano is big. Being in shape wouldn’t have helped him with fouling a ball off his leg, unless being skinny provides a smaller target to hit. Maybe he should be a bean pole so he could dodge a baseball being hurled in his general direction at 90 miles per hour?
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    everyone learns differently. Everyone coaches/teaches differently. I struggle with coming to a conclusion about Sano or his coachability. Maybe it is just that and Molitor is using the media to make his point. Maybe it’s just a description of the process that coaches go through with players. I’m not sure how Sano’s relationship with his coach plays into this. If I were Levine my concern would be durability and the rest would largely depend on the results of the MLB investigation. Coaches/managers come and go
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