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TJSweens

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Everything posted by TJSweens

  1. TJSweens
    SWR could be a case of selling high. Ober would definitely not be selling high, but I'm worried that his value could evaporate completely with another year. Ever since Ober first made the majors I have been waiting for the other shoe to drop. I was wary of a long limbed, 6'9" pitcher who couldn't at least sit 93 mph with his fastball. His 91 mph fastball worked because of his extension. It had that "sneaky fast" quality. Just losing 1 mph made a huge difference. Then he to 89 and things got even worse. Ober also tends to wear down in the second half. I think the Twins already got the best they or anyone will get from Ober. I'd move him while he still has some residual value.
  2. TJSweens
    What really is the core of this team? A 32 year old star CF who has lost his best years to injuries, an above average catcher on his last year of team control and a couple of very good 29 year old starting pitchers. That's a small core. The Twins won't spend enough in free agency to supplement a core like that. By the time our top prospects are productive major league players, this bunch will be older and likely at the end of their time with the Twins. I just think the least bad option is to finish the dismantling process and maximize the potential under the new CBA.
  3. TJSweens
    The Twins have a core?
  4. TJSweens
    This is another...if I were a president of baseball operations working for a bunch of cheap, tight fisted, miserly SOB's who would I sign...articles. I don't think Miguel Andujar fits the bill. Even if we stipulate that the Twins could make him their RHB first baseman, he can't stay on the field and the Twins will not shell out $5 to $7 million for a guy like that. The Twins do their free agent shopping at Axman Surplus. The Twins will wait until everyone else has picked through the bargain rack and then find somebody willing to sign a minor league deal with an invitation to spring training. That's how they got Ty France. If Andujar is still around at that point, then maybe.
  5. TJSweens
    I'm sorry, but I don't see an "overall pitching staff that is undeniably deep on quality". I see Ryan and Lopez. Ryan has been good, but always has a problem finishing the year. Last year it was a virus. Before that, a shoulder strain. Before that a groin strain. Now Lopez is coming off an injury plagued season. Ober seems to wear down every year and now he has lost velocity that he didn't have a lot of to begin with. SWR is very good at home and terrible on the road. After that comes, Matthews, Bradley, Abel, Festa, Raya, Prielipp, Soto, etc, who are all so promising that people want to move most of them to the bullpen. Speaking of the bullpen...on second thought, I'd rather not.
  6. TJSweens
    An all star, platinum glove CF with 30 HR power who can steal bases and is at a below market deal for 3 years should Garner a return of any of the prospects listed after #1.
  7. TJSweens
    I agree with all of that and move Ober too. The Twins won't commit to anything until the revenue sharing and potential cap are resolved. By the time that happens, Buxton will be 35 with Ryan, Lopez, Oberr and Jeffers also in their 30's and free agents. The next potential Twins contender won't be built around any of those guys. It will be built around Jenkins, Rodriguez, Culpeper, Tait and whatever collection of in house and acquired pitchers emerge,
  8. TJSweens
    There is precedent in Twins history as well. In 1982 Calvin Griffith decide his team was going nowhere and nothing to build around. Calvin had his own purge. Pretty well burned it to the ground. Then he brought up Hrbek, Gaetti, Laudner, Bush and Viola. He acquired minor leaguers like Tom Brunansky and Greg Gagne. We all know what the class of 82 accomplished.
  9. TJSweens
    The way I look at it, with the pending lockout, the Twins aren't likely to return to relevance until 2028 at the earliest. They aren't likely to make any investment into their product until revenue sharing and cap issues are resolved. The players the Twins traded away will all be in their 30's by then. What the great purge did was expand the prospect base that should be major league ready at that point.
  10. TJSweens
    Varland was moved to the bullpen where he had success. He was a complete failure as a starter. The plan was to see if he could close until Toronto called and offered Kendry Rojas who was perceived as too good to pass up. Rojas could actually be the starter you described.
  11. TJSweens
    I understand your rationale. It's is not without merit. Personally, if the guy has the upside as a starter that they claim, I would rather they go through the tedious process of stretching him out even if it is in the minors. Prielipp won't be able to build up to starter innings in the pen. As I said before, when the Twins move a starter to the pen, it tends to be permanent. To me that is a waste when a pitcher has top of the rotation potential.
  12. TJSweens
    I think most of these names are just place holders until Jenkins, Rodriguez and Culpepper are ready and or are past the threat of super 2 status.
  13. TJSweens
    I think Stevenson is stretching the context of what Falvey is saying a bit. Falvey says he is excited about the potential of the group of pitchers. Not specifically in terms of the bullpen. Raya fits the definition of a failed starter with a big arm like Louie was. Prielipp doesn't. They may be considering it, but Falvey's comments are a long way from wanting it or even leaning that way.
  14. TJSweens
    I highly doubt that Julien makes the roster. He may come to camp with a chance to earn one, but I think the chances of him playing well enough to do that are almost nil. In fact it will not be surprised if he clears waivers once he is DFA. I continue to oppose the idea of Prielipp in the bullpen. There are no quotes from Falvey saying that he wants him in the pen. Drew McPhail says the Twins see him as a high end starter. Don't mess with his development with a detour to the pen. Those temporary changes become permanent with the Twins.
  15. TJSweens
    Keep the context at a high enough level and it almost looks in balance. How many of those 22 teams had meaningful playoff appearances and how many nabbed last spots and were out right away? Are you really going to point a 3 year sample as your big aha?
  16. TJSweens
    And the new partnerships don't generate the same level of revenue, especially adjusted for inflation. Research shows baseball's fanbase is aging as younger generations are not as interested. The league needs a comprehensive plan rather than a patchwork of regional revenue streams.
  17. TJSweens
    Because a salary cap will limit what the 29 other teams can offer that player.
  18. TJSweens
    Except that isn't true. Baseball is not thriving. It's declining in popularity. Competitive imbalance is killing interest. Viewership and attendence are dropping. MLB has lost ESPN as a partner after decades on the network. It isn't a matter of just revenue sharing. Baseball needs a more comprehensive change to how it does business. Every other major sport has revenue sharing AND a salary cap. Unlike baseball, they are all growing.
  19. TJSweens
    The answer is both. Teams will not succeed if they can't draft and develop talent. A more equitable distribution of money gives them a chance to keep those players instead of selling them off because they are too expensive.
  20. TJSweens
    Revenue stability and sharing is an even greater need, but salary cap is also a big issue. Baseball's revenue streams are volatile and eroding. There is a widening gap between the haves and have nots that is hurting interest in mid and small markets.
  21. TJSweens
    1. Keep Lopez and Ryan. Great. They will both be at reasonable contracts and are in their primes. 2. Goldschmidt? Meh. First base is an offensive position and Goldschmidt is declining and was barely major league average last year. 3. Theilbar? Sure, why not. He's as good as any bargain left hand arm they can pick up. 4. Move the kids to the pen? Raya...yes. Prielipp...no. The Twins see him as a future high end starter. The focus should be on getting him there. There is time to move him to the pen if he fails as a starter. Matthews...hell no. He had some success as a starter last year. See if he can take next step. He could well prove be better than Bradley or Abel. 5. Rodriguez. I'm all for getting the young studs up as soon as there ready, but Rodriguez has to come to camp and earn it. Nothing gets handed to him.
  22. TJSweens
    The roster situation is a testament to what a miserable job this organization has done scouting, drafting and developing talent. They went through a phase of drafting slow footed oafs who strike out a lot and pitchers who can't get through a season without tearing a UCL or shoulder muscle. Those who can stay healthy, generally peak at AA. The upside is that they have plenty of options that should clear waivers if they add talent.
  23. TJSweens
    The Twins have already made their plans for next year crystal clear. They didn't telegraph it because it costs money to send a telegram. They used drums to spread the word instead. The Twins are going to man positions with recent trade acquisitions, current personnel under team control and free agent left overs while the studs get some AAA reps. Once the season is far enough to prevent super 2 status down the road, the Twins will start calling them up. Joe Ryan will be offered a team friendly deal that buys out his first two years of free agency. If he declines, he will be gone by the deadline. Pablo is as good as gone. See? I didn't need to watch any positions as an indicator.
  24. TJSweens
    The problem with the Twins is that the change to the pen is invariably permanent. Duran was supposed to be a temporary move to the pen to get him to the show faster and address a short term bullpen need. He wanted to move back to the rotation and the Twins said no. He has proven to be a good closer, but he had everything to be a high end starter as well. I'm just not a fan of moving a top arm to the pen until they show they can't start, like Varland.
  25. TJSweens
    Drew McPhail was recently quoted as saying the Twins still view Prielipp as a top of the rotation starter. I hate seeing someone like that moved to the pen just to get him up the majors quicker. Moving Raya to the pen makes complete sense. He is way down the pecking order as a potential starter.
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