JADBP
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Everything posted by JADBP
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Can the 2026 Twins Avoid Being a Disaster Defensively?
JADBP replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Wallner is a one-dimensional player. HR or nothing. Lousy fielder. I guess maybe 2 dimensions: rocket arm. But that's not enough for RF, and Emma is banging on the door. So, don't give up on him, trade him or move him to 1B. But he can't keep this up in RF. -
Royce Lewis’s Spring Struggles: Fluke, or Red Flag?
JADBP replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Whoops, you are right about the Dodgers and Pitchers! Seems they abuse them and are willing to take on injury-prone or already injured P's. Ouch. Maybe I am glad I am not a LAD fan! -
Can the 2026 Twins Avoid Being a Disaster Defensively?
JADBP replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sorry, I didn't mean to equate Larnach and Wallner. Larnach as become virtually unplayable in the field but was actually a better hitter than Wallner last year. Wallner edged him out on HRs (22 vs 17) but otherwise Larnach had better hitting (AVG .250 vs .202, K's 24% vs 34%, OBP: 32% vs 31%) and was in 142 games vs 104 for Wallner. You are right, it is kind of a Sano versus Kepler comparison. Wallner is sort of one dimensional--an HR or nothing. Larnach is a more rounded out hitter. Both are somewhat below average fielders. At least Keps was a good fielder. My point was that we can do better with an outfield of Buxton and take your pick: Jenkins, Rodriguez, Gonzalez with Roden or Clemmons as backups. While some of them need more time in AAA, I think Emma should have made the team. I am not in charge of the roster, but if I were, I would have handed Wallner a 1Bman's glove at the end of last season and said this is your future with the Twins. Because with the rookies coming up, he is working himself off of the team--like Larnach has done. -
Royce Lewis’s Spring Struggles: Fluke, or Red Flag?
JADBP replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I still have high hopes for Lewis...but yeah, RED Flag. There are two options that the Twins can take: 1) send him down to focus on hitting (something he should have been doing all off-season with the MLB coaches) or 2) play him until he becomes a liability to the team (a very low bar this year) then send him down for retraining (as long as it takes) or trade him. I am sure they chose #2 because he was a 1-1 draft pick and it would look very bad if the Twins had to give up on him at age 27. But, the reality is, IT DOES LOOK VERY BAD FOR THE TWINS! They have badly trained/taught/coached/handled Royce. From constantly training him in as a SS without really expecting him to stick there, then suddenly switching him to 2B or 3B or 1B or wherever they can discombobulate him the most. I think his constant injuries might could be traced to poor coaching, from either not addressing bad habits, improper daily routines, poor conditioning, improper game preparation, etc. The Twins, over the last 10-15 years, have had a seemingly immense number of injuries. Compare this to the LAD or NYY...how come you don't see as many injuries on these teams? They must be doing something different...or doing it more correctly than the Twins. -
Well, when I was a kid, Killebrew, Versalles, Kaat and Allison were my favorites on a very excellent Twins Team. Not to take anything away from Ryan and Lopez...but I'd trade Ryan because he would bring such a haul, if traded well. I'd keep Lopez and even resign him if we get a discount because of the TJ time out.
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4 Reasons for Optimism About the 2026 Minnesota Twins
JADBP replied to Adam Friedman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I have only one hope: that by season's end, that we have completely flushed out the Larnach, Lee, Wallner, etc generation and replaced them with our AAA team! Otherwise, I have cancelled my MLB tv subscription and won't follow the Twins until they bring up the next generation--this was was failure by Falvey with a big Baldelli BOO BOO! Good by and good riddance. Now I hope the new coaches, staff and GM can clean up the mess. The only ones to keep are Buxton, Keaschall and, if he improves, Lewis.- 52 replies
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- byron buxton
- brooks lee
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Can the 2026 Twins Avoid Being a Disaster Defensively?
JADBP replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I keep coming back to the Twins just REFUSE to admit a mistake, on draft day, or trading or signing a free agent. They are desperately hanging on to Larnach hoping that he finally lives up to his first round draft pick. Same with Wallner. But they struck out, so give it up and MOVE ON already. It is just insanity putting Larnach in the field. It is just frustrating that they can't see that they have an budding star waiting in AAA (Emma) who just had a spectacular ST against legit big leaguers. I am damn sure that Emma, Jenkins, and Prielip would put more butts in seats than Larnach, Outman, and Wallner! When are they going to let go of their mistakes????? On the same insanity topic, then they trade for or sign replacements that are below average MLBers, like Outman, Roden, Bell, Kreidler, Caratini, etc. Mistakes on top of mistakes. I sure hope the new GM learns from this. -
Johann Santana started out as a relief pitcher.... As far as trading out current players for RP's, I wouldn't mind if they traded BOTH Larnach and Wallner. Neither have a long term future with the Twins. Starting bringing up the stacked outfield options that we have. Bring up Gabby. Time to start rotating through Jenkins and Emma. We have Roden and Clemens to fill in the blanks. Right now, Larnach and Wallner are just blocking the future. But, the Twins have this fascination with highly drafted players (both Wallner and Larnach were drafted in the first round or CB-A). Maybe Wallner gets a good player in return. Best we can hope for with Larnach is clearing some salary to pick up something else. What a mess!
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While I agree with trading Ober, who has never really had even average MLB fastball velo, I would bring up Prielipp before Zebby. He has been great this Spring. But, he is short on innings, so he might have to pitch on a longer rotation, maybe every 6-7 days. Or, AT LEAST put him in the bullpen. He needs to start pitching against MLB vets. I think he is ready enough.
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I worry most about Royce. What happened that he has just completely caved? He has to find his swing or else he will be waiting out the season in AAA.
- 5 replies
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- luke keaschall
- mick abel
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Wow...first Lopez, now Ober. We are down to one proven SP. Ober never was as high mph guy at any point in his career. So, moving to the bullpen isn't going to miraculously unlock his high end and he suddenly starts throwing 99 mph. He's got a near-perfect pitching body, long levers, long legs, great extension... I don't get it. Maki has been fantastic at unlocking speed out of our pitchers. Just what is Ober doing wrong? There must be something wrong with his delivery that holds back his ultimate speed. If he is out there firing 89 mph fastballs, he is going to be eaten alive, no matter how good his slider is!
- 23 replies
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- bailey ober
- brooks lee
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Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #2 Kaelen Culpepper, SS
JADBP replied to Lou Hennessy's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
There are some really interesting twists to this analysis. Twins top draft pics, for the last 4 years, have been: 2022: Brooks Lee, SS 2023: Walker Jenkins, OF 2024: Kaleen Culpepper, SS 2025: Marek Houston, SS And, in 2026, it is almost a lock that the Twins will draft another college SS with the 3rd pick. Most mock drafts taking Justin Lebron, another SS! He has Scouting grades of: Hit: 50 | Power: 60 | Run: 60 | Arm: 60 | Field: 60 | Overall: 60. In fact, he might go 2nd in the draft. OK, so we only get to put one SS on the field at a time. Lee is undoubtedly going to be pushed out but he's likely at 2B, 1B or Utility. Kaleen would be next on the hot seat until Marek, by far the best fielder of the lot coming but seemingly the poorest hitter of the bunch. If the Twins do draft Justin Lebron, he would displace them all, but he's probably at least 2-3 years away. If he improves his hit tool, he is a legit 5-tool player at SS. So, given this abundance of SS, WHEN DO WE START MOVING THEM to other positions? Maybe see how KC does at 2B? Or Marek? Keaschall might have a lock on 2B now, but he is probably better at 1B or in the OF (which is even more crowded!). I doubt that any of these guys will displace Royce if he remembers how to hit for average and power. I just don't see how all of these pieces fit together. We draft some some highly graded players but then what happens? Royce forgets how to hit. Larnach and Wallner forget hot to hit and field (or maybe they were never that good in the first place?). Lee seems to forget everything. So, while this roster construction is a confused mess, both IF and OF, there seems to be one key missing element: what do the Twins do with these top draft choices between draft day and their first day in the biggs? There seems to be a huge deficit in training, education, conditioning, coaching, etc. We just can't seem to turn elite draft pics into stars. I contend our last success was Buxton and probably Joe Ryan. As a small market team, it is critically important that we maximize the contributions from these top draft picks. What are the Twins so consistently bad at this? I sure hope the new management improves this critical failure. -
Interesting, intriguing post. But, yeah, Twins NEED to make a trade or two now to unlock access to these budding stars; Jenkins, Emma and Gonzales. Starting the season with both Wallner and Larnach is just plain insane. There are so many other "replacement level" OFers on the team right now, they will lose nothing by trading them and hopefully gain two much needed results: another good RP (in the trade) and a runway for Jenkins, Emma and Gonzales to advance to the bigs. The Twins just seem stuck proving they were NOT wrong in drafting Wallner and Larnach. This is a childish reason to keep running them out there when they are in critical positions and are not even repacement level. Right now, sure, it's only ST, but Larnach leads the team with 11 K's (38% of ABs, batting .207) with Wallner just behind him with 10 K;s (36%) while batting .250. Emma is batting .421 and Gaby is at .500--the two highest averages on the Team. What is wrong with the coaches/management that they can't see the problem here? Trade Larnach and Wallner already! They had their many chances to prove who they are. MOVE ON! You blew these 1st round picks...let it go already.
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Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #3 Emmanuel Rodriguez, OF
JADBP replied to Jamie Cameron's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
My only worry about trading him now is that the next team helps him figure out hitting and he becomes the next Big Papi. -
Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #3 Emmanuel Rodriguez, OF
JADBP replied to Jamie Cameron's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Yeah....you have to sign a 3-year contract knowing that at least one of them will be lost to injury. -
Ranking Minnesota’s Post-Hype Prospects
JADBP replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Actually I have to lay a fair amount of the blame here on Falvey. Bad drafting, bad trades and definitely bad player development (particularly in the area of physical conditioning). The Twins focused on HRs in drafting despite their claim to select the “best athlete available.” Many on the list follow that pattern. But power is 20% of the skill set. If your only skill is power, then you are useless, except in the Twins RF. Larnach is not even 50 on any of the 5 skills. Why are these players still here? Simple: the Twins drafted them highly (poorly) and they just can’t stop believing they will suddenly turn into Ohtani. Sometimes it’s a long road (Buxton-but he was always a give tool player) and sometimes they come up and are great on day one (Olivia. Puckett. Hrbek). And the other problem: bad, or really bad player development! Development means working with the player to optimize their talents. Maybe it means switching to a new position. Or adding 20 lbs. or learning conditioning and repetition. Or training in the film room. Whatever. The Twins have not invested here. They have actually DEINVESTED in training. They inanely think that playing Moneyball will mean they can skip all that training expense. Just teach them to hit it over the wall and we will win the WS!- 19 replies
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- royce lewis
- matt wallner
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Twins Land in MLB.com’s Lowest Tier for 2026
JADBP replied to Cody Christie's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Yeah....that didn't work out well because Twins development process sucks big time! I hate to say this, but the time is right to start the rebuild process....I just don't know if we have the right coaches, up and down the MLB and affiliate teams. I can't say because we recently replaced many of them, but the track record over the last few years SUCKED. Maybe with the exception of pitching....we did OK there, not great, but at least OK. In position players, we sucked! -
I couldn't agree more...why do we have to play musical chairs with positions? I have to believe that you want a player to take ownership and pride in their position. The way that Buxton does. Sure, he might move to RF or LF someday. But for now, he OWNS CF and no one dare come into his house. We want players with that mentality. So who else on the current Twins team has that mentality? I am sure Wallner and Larnach feel like they are on the hot seat--one bad slump away from being Wally Pipped by Emma or any of the above mentioned upcoming kids. No one at 1B!! I might have said Keaschall at 2nd but the team is yanking that away from him. Not at SS. Royce is going to be very very good to great some day, but not today and I am sure he is still not confident at 3B. Maybe the only one is Ryan Jeffers, but C's rarely play every day. That's pretty pathetic. But then seems like Shelton doesn't believe in giving a player a position to excel at...he'd rather have players who don't excel at several positions. When was the last time you saw a player who excelled at 3-4 different positions and could switch around at a moments notice? THey are out there (Cesar Tovar was the ultimate example) but are damn rare! 0.1%'ers!
- 25 replies
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- byron buxton
- joe ryan
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Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #7 Gabriel Gonzalez, OF
JADBP replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Right....imagine him coming up and hitting a whopping .329/.395/.513, 38 2B, 3 3B, 15 HR, 8 SB All of the national media would be jumping up and down. Of course, he won't do this, because the pitching is sooo much better in MLB. But even if he hit .300/350/450 he would be a hero on the Twins team! How many batters hit 300 last year? 8 qualified MLBers total, and zero on the Twins(though Keaschall and Perada did so on shortened seasons. So AVG still means a lot. Can Emma improve the HR rate? Maybe/maybe not. But he might be expected to to hold down a corner outfield position. If he pushes out Larnach or Wallner, I am certainly not gonna cry. -
Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #8 Kendry Rojas, LHP
JADBP replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Technically, no, but it kind of feels like a demotion. I think the Twins have done it and they certainly have had players repeat MiLB levels, particularly are very early stages. Once you get to AA or AAA, I don' t see them going backwards much. Either you belong there or you're out. If you get as far as AA and are completely overmatched, the team usually politely gives up on the player rather than taking him back to A-ball. I agree on Roden--he looks ok--but with Buxton locked in and Emma, Jenkins and Gabby just a step away, I'd say Roden is a 1 or 2 year placeholder. We have Larnach, Martin and Wallner holding down the outfield now. The Twins have also talked about using Keaschall and Clemmons in the OF. So, how does Roden (and Outman) fit into this group? You don't need two-three backup outfielders on the team. I just don't see the how he fits on the team--especially long term (that is after this year!). He has two MiLB options left so he could be stuffed in St. Paul as backup for injuries (again, blocking Emma). But, was this the thought process that Falvey had when he traded a superb, highly valued RP/SP with years of controlled (low) cost ahead of him? He traded a highly rated young MLB pitcher--a slightly above average, 2-pitch RP and a OFer who really doesn't fit on the team? Sure you never have enough pitching, but you definitely can have too many outfielders! -
"Minnesota’s blend of veteran leadership and emerging talent gives the club a realistic path to the top of the standings. . . . ' Really? Do you mean Levine, Falvey or Rocco? Ohhh...I get it...the ALL-NEW leadership! But....they are not necessarily "veteran" either....Zoll has just one year on the job and Shelton was a manager for a few years for the Pirates. Now, he averaged 66.5 wins a season, before they fired him mid-season last year. I guess that is a veteran. OK.'' I'm sorry, I just couldn't resist...this is an all new Twins management structure, from Ownership to GM and Mgr. Many of the coaches and staff have been dismissed. I'd say there are great veterans on the staff in many areas, but it is a new team. That said, I can't see any of these fantastic bold predictions happening. Maybe Buxton, but that is still an injury away from happening.
- 25 replies
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- byron buxton
- joe ryan
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