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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. Mr. Brooks
    I'll be surprised if Kirilloff comes up before September, though I'd love to be wrong.
  2. Mr. Brooks
    Gonzalez has been the everyday 3B all season. He hasn't really been available to play anywhere else. If they are that concerned about Marwin's SS defense, they can bring in/up a different solid glove, zero bat SS if Polanco gets hurt. Perhaps they think Adrianza's bat is still developing. If so, then sure, they'll hang on to him. I don't know how they evaluate him. If not, he's very replaceable. Plenty of capable defenders can OPS .600 for you.
  3. Mr. Brooks
    There might have been two or three of us Full disclosure, I didn't like the Parker signing, so we all have our own crow to eat.
  4. Mr. Brooks
    If you are only saving the amount of the payment, it's going to take years to save enough to buy that same car. For many people, a beater car isn't a realistic option. Some people have to present a certain level of appearance for their job, some people have to commute many miles. Some are responsible for transporting children or elderly, etc. Not everyone is mechanically inclined. Beaters are in constant need of repair and maintenance, that's why they are cheap. If you can't competently do it yourself, you're paying more than a car payment to keep it running. They also get awful gas mileage. Honestly, if this is such a brilliant idea, why does almost nobody do it?
  5. Mr. Brooks
    The well run and well managed Astros trusted Marwin enough at SS to put him there 301 times. Sano coming back will free up Gonzalez to back up SS when needed.
  6. Mr. Brooks
    Adrianza isn't an everyday SS either. That's my point. I'm not saying an everyday SS is easy to find, they aren't. I'm saying Adrianza isn't one either. If you lose him and Polanco gets hurt, you plug in a different replacement level SS, and you're no worse than you were with Adrianza. Adrianza is fine defensively, but let's not pretend he's some irreplaceable wizard out there. He's just solid, with very little bat.
  7. Mr. Brooks
    I was in favor of the signing all the way, and scratched my head constantly regarding the angst over it.
  8. Mr. Brooks
    That's probably great advice for those born with a silver spoon. How does he propose common folk get to work and back with no car for 5 to 7 years while they save for a cash purchase? Not everyone has access to reliable public transportation. And not everyone can make public transportation work for their jobs even if they do have access. This is honestly the most preposterous "advice" I've ever heard, there is a reason that nobody but the 1% do it this way. Why not take it one step further and advise people to live in a van by the river for 30 years while they save to buy a house with cash?
  9. Mr. Brooks
    I never argued whether their track record, or this trade specifically, was very good or not. So why is that ironic? I simply stated that, philosophically, I don't want them only focusing on the short term. How successful those moves are is a completely different argument than the one you highlighted. As to that argument. Reed looks like a bad signing. But Castro has already been worth 2.8 bWAR with 5 months left to add to that. That signing has already been a success. Gonzalez is far to early to judge, and so are the Polanco and Kepler extensions, though those look brilliant with the small sample size we have so far. Martin Perez is under control for 2 years. Again, too early to judge, but that looks brilliant with the SS we have. Jake Odorizzi was acquired for a fringe prospect, he's provided 2.5 bWAR, that's more than likely a slam dunk. I don't understand how these are bad moves.
  10. Mr. Brooks
    Nobody should be comfortable with Adrianza playing everyday if Polanco has an IL stint, so I'm not sure why that hypothetical is the barometer for keeping him. He happens to be the replacement level player that is currently on the roster, but any replacement level player will do just as well.
  11. Mr. Brooks
    Why are the only options to like or dislike the trade? Why can't one admit that I know 1% of what these guys do regarding how they evaluate players and prospects, and withhold judgment until we see how the prospects do? Or if they use those or other prospects to get help at the deadline? I'm not arguing that I like the trade. I'm suggesting it's far too early to judge.
  12. Mr. Brooks
    I agree. Most of us withholding judgment on the trade itself agree that they failed to adequately plug the hole, although Parker has been good. That was a later and separate decision though, IMO. They are related, but not connected.
  13. Mr. Brooks
    And you've been adamant with that stance, but I don't agree. You are essentially saying that trading for a prospect is always a bad move. After all, nobody knows for sure if they'll make it. I'm guessing the FO evaluates deals like this based on EV (expected value). I'm sure that as many variables as they can attempt to calculate are baked into this EV decision. The fact is, some prospects WILL make it. And the ones that do, will contribute to varying degrees. Each prospect has an EV. It's never 0, even though many will never contribute. And it's never 100, even though some prospects are near locks. I don't want my FO passing up +EV deals, just because they are shortsighted. They may be wrong in their evaluation, but that is a separate issue. I want them making evaluations, then trusting them. You do have to factor in opportunity cost as well, of course. I'll grant you that. It'd be foolish to risk your entire net worth on a coin flip given 51% odds. Even though it's technically +EV, it's not worth the devastating risk of losing everything for such a small gain. But, I don't view Pressley as being a devastating enough loss to pass up +EV in this case. Again, we don't have to agree on whether this return actually was +EV, none of us know. What matters to me is that if the FO believes it was, then I'm happy they didn't pass on it. I want a long term, perennial contender. I don't believe that's possible for a mid budget team to accomplish by only making short term decisions.
  14. Mr. Brooks
    The reason the other team might pay that price is budgetary. Houston isn't burdened with a middle market budget cap like the Twins are. If Alcala becomes an ace or good #2, it's not a huge deal to Houston. Sure, they'd love to develop their own aces, as any team would. But, they can go buy a Verlander if need be. The Twins will never do that. They desperately need to throw as many darts at that ace target as they can. Alcala is one more dart for them to throw. It's always a longshot, for pitching prospects, but the best chance to get one is by having a ton of those potential longshots. If Alcala becomes a top of the rotation pitcher, that's a huge deal for the Twins, but just a minor inconvenience for Houston.
  15. Mr. Brooks
    I don't agree that playing for the present has to mean that literally every single move is geared 100% only towards the present. I think a smart FO of a middle budget team has to balance moves for short, medium, and long term plans.
  16. Mr. Brooks
    How can anyone know how good the trade was until we see how the prospects turn out? And, that's not what everyone is criticizing. We have at least one poster that says it's a bad trade, case closed, even if Alcala becomes a perennial Cy Young contender.
  17. Mr. Brooks
    Maybe nobody blew them away with an offer they couldn't turn down for Gibson? It's interesting that everyone always says something like, "nobody should be untouchable for the right price", then everyone gets upset when they actually do deal a guy because the return is too good to turn down.
  18. Mr. Brooks
    Granted there was no guarantee that we'd have kept Liriano for as long as we had Escobar, but they have identical bWAR since the trade (8.4 vs 8.5).
  19. Mr. Brooks
    Nobody goes to the ballpark to see the front office, so I'm not sure what line you are trying to draw here with that. Outside of one poster who explicitly stated that he thought Falvey was an undercover mole for Cleveland, I haven't felt that anyone dislikes Falvey.
  20. Mr. Brooks
    Joe Mauer, Buster Posey, Sal Perez all had milb seasons over 60%. Yadier Molina caught 77% of games over his milb career. I think most milb catchers don't catch 60%+ because there aren't very many legit catching prospects. The few legit ones I looked up were all over 60%, with Posey and Molina being well over 70%.
  21. Mr. Brooks
    Joe Nathan and Johan Santana were both acquired via trade, though Santana did carry rule V protection requirements.
  22. Mr. Brooks
    If they once got a paycheck from the Twins, then they are ex-Twins. I believe the mlb club still cuts the checks for the minor leaguers.
  23. Mr. Brooks
    Is that new? Because Joe Mauer caught over 70% of the games in 2003, between A and AA. Buster Posey caught 74% in 2009, then went and caught 13 more in the AFL. Sal Perez caught 61% (plus AFL) and 64% his final 2 milb seasons. Yadier Molina caught a total of 77% of games during his 2+ years in milb before debuting. Is this really a policy? Or is it just happenstance of teams not typically having legit catching prospects at every level?
  24. Mr. Brooks
    Interesting. I knew that there were racists who were bitter about him breaking the record. But I didn't realize any of them actually considered it illegitimate.
  25. Mr. Brooks
    In this particular case, I think the "warrior" mentality is to blame. I don't doubt officer Noor feared for his or his partner's life. However, it wasn't reasonable for him to act on that fear, without actually identifying a threat. We can't have people going around shooting at every bump in the night that startles them. I think too many cops (not all) have a kill or be killed mentality out there. Yes, the job is dangerous, but not nearly as dangerous as a shoot first, ask questions later mentality, which is what I believe happened here.
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