I don't disagree with any of that, really. You are right that true contenders do place value on acquiring even 1 win the rest of the way. At the time of the trade, however, they were pretty big long shots (around 6%, I believe). And to a 16:1 long shot, that one win is less likely to make a difference. I agree they could have acquired help sooner, but regarding Kintzler in a vacuum, hindsight is 20/20, I don't want the FO making bets on 16:1 shots, I want them planning for the 94% likelihood. So, I'll never have a problem with it, even if it does end up being the difference.