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NYCTK

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Everything posted by NYCTK

  1. NYCTK
    Well then you're looking at something like 10% of his plate appearances and it becomes a lot more noisy than a near 50/50 split. I'm even granting the possibility of it being bad luck, but you can't lie and say those splits don't concern you one bit.
  2. NYCTK
    That low of a sample, I am basically going to ignore the first part of your reply then. To your point though, I don't know why I didn't include those peripherals in that breakdown, so here are those numbers with K and BB rates included: PA AVG OBP SLG OPS wOBA BB% K% Low Leverage 507 0.267 0.367 0.591 0.958 0.403 11.40% 31.20% Med/High Leverage 465 0.191 0.318 0.369 0.687 0.308 9.90% 33.58% So it's not like he falls apart. Those declines are what we should kind of expect to see for any player. But there's no denying that he's essentially been a low leverage stat padder in his career THUSFAR, and that while it is a cause for a concern, it's not necessarily predictive.
  3. NYCTK
    Ok, but just because someone's on base doesn't mean it's an important at-bat. In approximately equal splits in low versus medium/high leverage plate appearances he hit .975 OPS in the former and about .580 in the latter.
  4. NYCTK
    I do worry that he's nothing but a stat padder in low leverage situations. He's sure to hit a bomb off a position player, but he's not really shown up when it matters. His splits are bad, and somewhat concerning: PA AVG OBP SLG OPS wOBA Low Leverage 507 0.267 0.367 0.591 0.958 0.403 Med/High Leverage 465 0.191 0.318 0.369 0.687 0.308 This still could be complete noise though.
  5. NYCTK
    For all this talk about how "elite" his arm strength is, which while true, according to Savant he's saved the team a whopping 0 runs above average with his arm over his 4 partial seasons. Even if his arm strength is an 80 on the scale, his arm tool is only a 50 because of his inability to actually utilize it, thanks to his terrible defense and his loading and accuracy. Add that to the -12 runs he cost in the OF with his routes and jumps. Point being, I really, really want people to stop talking about Matt Wallner's great arm as if it's actually an asset. He stinks in the OF, period. The question is, is he so bad that he needs to be moved to DH on a near full time basis. He, under no circumstance has "real defensive upside" as the author says.
  6. NYCTK
    No, we're in agreement. I wanted to trade him at the 2023 trade deadline. And I'm not making fun of those players. Scherzer pitched 45 good innings and helped the Rangers win the World Series, and Josh Bell had a 114 OPS+, helping the Marlins make the playoffs.
  7. NYCTK
    Yep. He could have brought back quite the impact arm or 1B. Max Scherzer or...Josh Bell! That trade deadline was the beginning of the collapse of this Twins era. Very sad.
  8. NYCTK
    So, I don't know much about pitching injuries so I want to ask the question: Let's say the Twins did a proper tear down and traded away Pablo this winter. Would this have potentially been a red flag in a physical?
  9. NYCTK
    Why are people giving the owner a nickname? He's not the third T, nor the third managing owner in the Pohlad era, so I don't get it. Only people I like get nicknames. It's a practice of endearment to me.
  10. NYCTK
    Depth is so important in the bullpen and this really helps a lot there. This move is both really good and not a surprise. This leftover, optionless, bullpen arm musical chairs is played every year and is why a lot of teams refuse to invest too heavily into the bullpen. Now, this still doesn't make this bullpen formidable, but it does a lot to bring it towards respectable.
  11. NYCTK
    With the commencement of Spring Training, I now commit myself to conveying only optimism about this team until at least the 54th game. Let's Go Twins! I look forward most to seeing the development of the non-rookie young players that are new to the system: Abel, Bradley, and Roden.
  12. NYCTK
    Wow. So, with one year of success they failed to completely gain unfettered fan loyalty by selling out every seat for every game. You sure showed me. ****ing ridiculous argument my guy.
  13. NYCTK
    Wow. You sure mentioned something that is completely irrelevant. Care to stay on topic now? Or is our conversation done?
  14. NYCTK
    The hope of the offseason was the sale of the team. The Pohlads ****ed that up. The grade is easily an F. We don't have to skirt around the issue. This team both did nothing to move forward their terrible ownership situation nor improve on the field. It's an F.
  15. NYCTK
    Let's just remind ourselves why we're in this little back and forth: You went and said something stupid like this. And now you can't admit that you said something so stupid out of pride. Just admit you didn't know attendance went up massively in 2019 and I can stop pointing out how stupid all your arguments are.
  16. NYCTK
    Why would I need to prove something that I'm not even saying? My point was the Pohlads are terrible business people, that they killed their own revenue potential with massive cuts, and that they also happened to steal $350 million from the public, and the welfare queens should be ostercized. You're out here defending the killing of your favorite team because...god knows why. Blaming the poor attendance on Minnesotans not supporting the billionaires that stole their money and offer them a terrible entertainment product. Because prudent financial decisions must be undertaken by billionaires? Idk man. You sound like one of those weirdos constantly clapping for Elon Musk on Twitter.
  17. NYCTK
    Yeah. This projection system seems out of whack. Vegas of 71.5 - 73.5 seems way more in line with the talent on this team. I'm even being nice when I'm saying I think they're going to win 74.
  18. NYCTK
    You're doing it again. You're implying that Twins fans are unique. As if the Pohalds have a burden of dealing with those unfair front running Minnesota sports fans, and if the Minnesotans were just nicer to them they wouldn't have to cut payroll. They should have sold the team like they said they were going to. No one should feel sorry for them. Pohalds should pay back Minnesota that money. Those welfare queens have had it too good for too long and they should really pull their own weight.
  19. NYCTK
    Sorry that I possess basic reading comprehension and made an inference based on your comments. So, you just want to say PEOPLE, in general, are front running and cheap? Color me skeptical, but that being your newly revised statement, how does that change anything? It's still their job to get fans in the doors and maintain interest. And now we see a collapse in revenues, fan interest, and they were unable to sell their business for the price they wanted. Seems like they really screwed the pooch. Should we continue to blame the fans?
  20. NYCTK
    Do you think there are secondary effects to a team that has a higher attendance? Do you think maybe there are chain events? Or is it a very simple, hard formula and that the Twins are right to have cut salary after 2023 because they ONLY lost about $17.5 million in game day revenue and that $17.5M is smaller than the $25M they "saved"?
  21. NYCTK
    That's just anthropology. Humans go to watch an entertainment product that is entertaining, and if the product has a long history of sucking, they won't be entertained, and thus won't go. I don't know why you're acting as if this is unique to the Twins. As if there's some great challenge to the Twin Cities and the Pohlads are just unfortunate souls that can't convince those greedy minnesotan proletariat to come to the ballpark the public paid for.
  22. NYCTK
    A well managed business will try to grow their business, seeing success and then capitalizing on it. Imagine if they added another 350K to their attendance after '23 instead of what they did? Suddenly we're looking at a $30+ million annual disparity. And imagine if they did that for multiple seasons in an effort to grow an actual fan base? Like Tom said, that basically has compounding effects. Why should the people of Minneapolis be loyal to the Twins? The Pohalds stole $350 million from the people of Minneapolis to help build their stadium. And in return the Pohlads haven't given the city jack ****. They had a decent season in '23 and decided to immediately kill it. Instead of blaming common folk, maybe you should blame the organization, and the Pohlads. Let's just be honest. This organization has been an embarrassment since their short stretch of success from 2002-2006. 20 years, only 4 appearances in the Division Series, and only one win in those appearances. Yet it's the fans fault for being front runners and cheap? Sure.
  23. NYCTK
    They increased attendance by 350K that season, and that is the highest attendance since the new stadium honeymoon ended in 2013. So, respectfully, what the hell do you mean? The Twins were actually quite screwed by the pandemic. The front office decided to keep pushing for the 2020 season, and we probably would have seen quite the atmosphere in Target Field that season.
  24. NYCTK
    I look forward to this team having 1.5 Million in attendance and the idiots in charge being baffled as to why.
  25. NYCTK
    And "safe" he was. He made the majors, but his obvious lack of athleticism always had a ceiling on him, so while he's one of only 4 of the top 10 picks that year that have made the big leagues, that's about his limit. Maybe he can surprise and have a nice 4-5 seasons as a decent utility player, but he's never going to be a 3 WAR player. That much is clear.
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