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NYCTK

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Everything posted by NYCTK

  1. NYCTK
    Fun little bonus for Bader, he's due an extra 500K if he's traded if I'm understanding his contract bonuses correctly. Thinking he's happy to get traded for that reason.
  2. NYCTK
    I think this is true, with the exception of relievers. Maybe I'm wrong but it just seems teams wildly overpay for relievers at the deadline as opposed to the offseason. Empty the bullpen now. Don't wait for the offseason. But I agree, don't truly entertain a trade for Ryan. The value won't be there.
  3. NYCTK
    You can never let fear deter you from doing what you know is right. That's called cowardice.
  4. NYCTK
    Hate that I was right about this team. But means it was pretty obvious before the season even started.
  5. NYCTK
    If you think a few injuries or underperforming players are unexpected, I welcome you to your first year watching baseball.
  6. NYCTK
    Lol There's no reason to fake hope in this move. Come on.
  7. NYCTK
    Pete Alonso is a free agent again next season. But I also wouldn't want Ryan Clifford. I think he's a certain bust candidate.
  8. NYCTK
    He had a great stretch when he first came over and has now resumed being Kody Clemens. This team has no depth so I don't care if he's playing but you'll excuse me if I'm not excited about someone that has a 0.260 OBP in his last hundred trips to the plate, to match his career rate. Yes, he has some power but he still sucks. I'm happy to see him on the team next season...if they do what's smart and do a bit of a rebuild for '27.
  9. NYCTK
    That's a 2/3 trade success story. That's pretty good!
  10. NYCTK
    Trade deadline is July 31st, so if they wait until August they probably wouldn't get anyone to answer their calls for obvious reasons.
  11. NYCTK
    I assumed he'd be DFA'd by June 1st, and if we're being honest the only reason he hasn't is because the Twins organization is...lacking. He's hit 179/261/449 since June 1st. Fans shouldn't be so desperate that they're concocting ways to get him more playing time. Bad Times in Twins Territory.
  12. NYCTK
    This is the point really. In the middle of a boring, uninspired season fans are provided an opportunity to theorize and envision a path to success.
  13. NYCTK
    Just as an idea of how much the Twins are in the driver's seat in the RP market, if you exclude the contenders and pitchers not yet in arbitration, the Twins control 4 of the top 5 arms, as projected by in-season ZIPS. Name Team FIP Jhoan Duran MIN 2.26 Griffin Jax MIN 2.73 Brock Stewart MIN 2.77 Félix Bautista BAL 2.81 Danny Coulombe MIN 2.86 Aaron Bummer ATL 2.89 David Bednar PIT 3.01 Sell 2 or 3 and you're getting a really good return.
  14. NYCTK
    There are many that think exactly that. I think they can recover and be ok again next season (woo-hoo) but I cannot envision them being a true contender. And many here would admit the same if they're being honest.
  15. NYCTK
    It's worth asking. And I think Duran/Scott are fairly good comps in terms of top level talent going out. Painter is a consensus 3 year top 30 prospect, high-end potential arm, whereas the Padres received a 1 year consensus top 60 prospect. It's a big ask, and isn't going to happen, but nothing hurt by asking.
  16. NYCTK
    Totally fair. Just trying to imagine what sort of level of "major league bat" they'd even be able to get back. Specifically on the Phillies, I don't see a single mlb ready bat that they'd be able to trade away.
  17. NYCTK
    Even more importantly, ace Frank Viola was traded for 5 players that included Aguilar and Tapani, not to mention David West. These three players pitched a combined 384.1 innings in '91 to a 3.16 ERA.
  18. NYCTK
    No, you're absolutely right. No team will overpay for his years of control due to his injury history, and he's so risky already nearing his career high in innings. But he's been very effective when healthy and would return a decent prospect. Maybe one that looks like Gabriel Gonzalez when he came over from Seattle, borderline Top 100. As a Mets fan, I constantly think in terms of what could/should the Mets send to make a fair trade. And I think someone like AJ Ewing or Ryan Clifford seems about right. Ewing a very athletic outfielder that doesn't look like he'll ever really hit for power, Ryan Clifford a power bat-only player that looks like he'll struggle to hit .240.
  19. NYCTK
    Trying to imagine what this would look like. Duran for Mark Vientos? Or Ronny Mauricio? Concur with above, seems like the Twins expecting the wrong return and going to result in little activity.
  20. NYCTK
    Bullpen arms are so overvalued, especially carrying forward due to their extreme volitility. Not to mention this bullpen, high in talent for sure, proclaimed as one of the best in the league the last two seasons has actually faltered with results in the bottom half of the league. They have the highest FIP and WAR since 2024? Cool. They are also 21st in ERA, 24th in LOB%. Resulting in the 23rd highest WPA as a unit. Trade 2 of the 3 of Brock Stewart, Griffin Jax, and Jhoan Duran. Trade Coulombe. Trade Topa if anyone's interested. Reset the bullpen because who knows how effective any of these guys will be in 2027, which is when the Twins should be building their roster towards. You'd still have Varland, Sands and a bunch of hungry kids that you can patch together with quality waiver pick ups. And as this article suggests, the return on these arms would surprise you.
  21. NYCTK
    Brooks Lee is maturing into a very poor man's Brice Turang. Brewers love their group of lighter hitting younger players filling out their IF but unlike Brooks, they've prioritized athleticism in their roster construction meaning faster, more dynamic, and better defense. Brooks Lee biggest shocker is that he's so slow. He would have been the perfect prospect to flip after the 2023 playoffs or at the 2024 trade deadline to improve the team. The mediocre skills are very pronounced meaning you have to think his bat is going to become special, which could still happen but I don't see it.
  22. NYCTK
    This is why I'm all for tearing down this team. The core is a pitiful collection. Looking ahead to 2027, who would you want to make sure was on the Twins roster? Buxton and...?? Correa I would trade away in an instant if anything came up, but let's say he's designated as the immovable veteran, a la Javier Baez. Royce Lewis was always thought of as vital and now has proven himself now 26 years old to be a fairly unathletic, poor fielder that has hit .206/.267/.324 since last June 22nd in a not small sample of 412 PAs. Brooks Lee has always looked like a someone that will top out as a fine every day player, now a 24 year old that has barely hit better than Royce Lewis in even more playing time. Larnach and Wallner, both DHs thrown into the corners and neither with good enough of a bat to outshine their terrible defense. One of these types of players is fine for a roster, but the Twins have a plethora. So, aside from Buxton you're looking at a batch of mediocre players and then hoping on the prospects. Not exactly the brightest of futures in the Twins organization. Perhaps refusing to choose a direction for 2 (soon to be 3) seasons had some ramifications.
  23. NYCTK
    We've been hearing for two years now about how elite the bullpen is. At what point is the responsibility on them to show it?
  24. NYCTK
    This "elite" bullpen is 21st in the league in WPA. I tend to look more towards FIP/xFIP which is what you're doing but results matter too, especially considering we're halfway through the season. And as much as I like Keaschall going forward, Twins fans have to hit the breaks expecting a kid that didn't even have an 850 OPS at either AA or AAA to save the offense based on a week of results in the big leagues. He's more likely to look like a more athletic Brooks Lee than he is a sudden boost to a struggling offense.
  25. NYCTK
    I don't see how that's obvious at all. I give them credit for making an effort after 2019 to try to go for it. But 4 years later they decided to do the opposite. They had one foot out the door and clearly had no interest in building on the moderate success of 2023. And they proceeded to do nothing at the trade deadline. Tigers didn't have that attitude re: Baez, and they have the best record in the AL to show for it. I'm not in the business of lying to myself. Especially when that makes the organization worse.
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