Cody Christie

For generations, fans have debated which players are the most clutch on their favorite team. Here are the Twins’ top five players based on clutchness, and what that means for the 2025 campaign. Image courtesy of Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports When it comes to clutch production, numbers can tell part of the story. Let’s examine how Twins hitters fared in high-pressure moments last season and what that might mean for the team’s plans in 2025. Before we break down the rankings, let’s take a quick look at the key FanGraphs metrics that form the basis of these evaluations. Understanding the Numbers Clutch: This stat measures a player’s performance in high-leverage situations, relative to their typical performance. A positive number indicates that the player “comes through” when the pressure’s on, while a negative value suggests they might choke when the stakes are high. However, remember that clutch numbers fluctuate wildly from season to season, so one year of over- or under-performance isn’t necessarily predictive of future results. Win Probability Added (WPA): WPA quantifies how much a player’s actions contribute to shifting their team’s chances of winning. Every play is evaluated by how much it increases (or, in some cases, decreases) the likelihood of a win. It’s a broad measure of overall impact, but multiple critical moments can impact the game’s final result. WPA Divided by Leverage Index (WPA/LI): By dividing WPA by the Leverage Index (a factor that gauges the pressure of the situation), this metric offers insight into how effective a player is specifically in high-leverage moments. It’s a refined look at performance under pressure—though, as with all clutch statistics, it should be viewed with caution as an isolated predictor. In short, while these numbers give us a snapshot of who might be the “clutch” performer, they’re just one part of a larger picture. Baseball’s inherent variability means that being clutch one season rarely guarantees the same results year after year. Below is a breakdown of the top five Twins hitters by clutchness, and how each fits into the 2025 blueprint. 5. Trevor Larnach, OF 2024 Clutch Stats: 0.19 Clutch, 0.50 WPA, 0.32 WPA/LI Larnach’s numbers suggest he’s contributed decently in pressure situations, although not dramatically. His slightly positive Clutch figure and modest WPA and WPA/LI values indicate that while he’s a useful bat in the lineup, he hasn’t yet become the team’s go-to guy in crunch time. For 2025, expect Larnach to continue growing into his full-time role, especially as the strong side of the platoon. 4. Matt Wallner, OF 2024 Clutch Stats: -1.39 Clutch, 0.50 WPA, 1.95 WPA/LI Wallner’s numbers present an interesting case. His negative Clutch stat might worry some, suggesting he has trouble equaling his normal production in high-pressure situations. However, his WPA/LI of 1.95 tells a different story. He can deliver a significant impact when he finds himself in crucial moments. As the Twins shape their plans for 2025, Wallner is expected to be one of the team’s top offensive performers, and they hope his high-leverage production will improve with more regular big-league playing time. 3. Willi Castro, UTL 2024 Clutch Stats: 0.10 Clutch, 0.78 WPA, 0.68 WPA/LI Castro’s numbers reflect a relatively balanced performance under pressure. His Clutch metric is nearly neutral, but his WPA figures indicate he’s been effective overall, especially in those critical moments where the win is on the line. For 2025, his versatility as a utility player means he can be plugged into various roles, giving the manager flexibility and a steady option when the game hangs in the balance. His most significant value in clutch situations might be his ability to play so many defensive positions, because that means other bench bats can be added to the lineup for the late innings. 2. Carlos Correa, SS 2024 Clutch Stats: -0.72 Clutch, 2.16 WPA, 2.74 WPA/LI Correa has been known as a clutch player dating back to his playoff runs with the Astros. While Correa’s Clutch metric is in the red, his overall WPA and WPA/LI are off the charts compared to his peers. This suggests that his overall contributions have been crucial to the team's success, even if he’s had an off night or two in high-pressure moments. In 2025, Correa’s role will be delivering consistent production that elevates the team’s chances. If fans were polled, Correa would be the likely pick as the team’s top clutch hitter. 1. Byron Buxton, OF 2024 Clutch Stats: 0.70 Clutch, 1.76 WPA, 1.09 WPA/LI Buxton might be a surprise pick for the top of the list, but he led Twins hitters in Clutch last season. Alongside robust WPA and WPA/LI figures, Buxton is a player who contributes in spurts and consistently delivers in key moments. Last season, he accumulated the totals above because he played in over 100 games for only the second time in his career. There’s no question that his performance is tied to the team’s overall outcome in 2025. His blend of speed, defense, and timely hitting makes him indispensable, especially when the game’s outcome hangs on a single play. There's another metrics-driven approach, offered by Baseball Savant. The site offers Run Value leaderboards that break down each hitter's contributions based on the location of pitches they see, and there's a further option to compare that production in a context-neutral environment to the values actually produced based on the situations in which those hitters came to bat. It's a way of folding situational plate discipline into the question of how hitters perform under pressure. Castro, Buxton and (yes) Manuel Margot do well by this reckoning. It’s crucial to take these numbers with a grain of salt. Clutch performance in one season is notoriously volatile, and many factors, from lineup context to random chance, can sway these metrics. Yet, they provide an engaging way to look at how the team's players perform under pressure. In 2025, the Twins will lean on this mix of youthful energy and seasoned veterans, with each player carving out their role, whether lighting it up in crunch time or grinding out the wins. For now, Twins fans can hope for plenty of clutch moments that only the best teams can produce. Do you agree with the clutch rankings from last season? Should another hitter make the list? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Every organization attempts to find the next prospect that can be a five-tool talent. The Twins might have one prospect who is set to show off his tools in 2025. Image courtesy of William Parmeter (photo of Brandon Winokur) Brandon Winokur ’s talent is undeniable, and the 2025 season is shaping up to be one where he can showcase his five-tool talent. The third-round pick in 2023 received an over-slot bonus ($1.5 million) to keep him from his college commitment and has quickly become one of the organization’s most intriguing prospects. With his massive 6-foot-6 frame and a skill set that spans all five tools, Winokur has the potential to be a cornerstone for the Twins’ future. Flashes of his five-tool talent have marked Winokur’s early professional career. Drafted as a shortstop, he has spent his time playing shortstop, third base, and center field in the minors. Given his size and athletic profile, many scouts believe that a transition to center field could be on the horizon. His arm and speed make him viable at multiple positions. The Twins will keep him at shortstop as long as possible, but his unique physical tools make him a viable candidate for a move to center. The Offensive Arsenal: Swing, Miss, and Everything In Between Offensively, Winokur has the tools to be a potential All-Star, but he needs to improve on some parts of his game as he climbs the organizational ladder. His first full season in the largely pitching-friendly Florida State League was a telling display of his raw potential. Finishing third in OPS, and ranking in the top ten in both home runs (14) and wRC+ (116), he provided a glimpse of what could be an electrifying bat for the Twins. One area of improvement that has been repeatedly highlighted is his ability to pick up breaking pitches. Although he has improved his strikeout rate compared to his pro debut (-4.4 K%), his 115 to 34 K/BB ratio in 2024 indicates that there’s still a tendency to chase pitches outside the zone. This isn’t entirely surprising given his power tool because swinging for the fences sometimes leads to chasing pitches. The Twins know that Winokur could significantly boost his offensive consistency with more refined plate discipline. What truly stands out about Winokur is his rare combination of skills. MLB Pipeline has touted him as potentially the “best overall athlete” in the Twins’ system. That’s high praise in an organization that includes two of baseball’s top overall prospects, Walker Jenkins and Emmanuel Rodriguez . His power is one of the best in the organization, but it’s not just about the long ball. Winokur is a bona fide five-tool talent. He can hit for power and average, run the bases aggressively, field at a high level, and throw with a rocket arm. This blend of skills makes him not only exciting to watch but also a versatile asset who can be molded into a player that fits a variety of roles in a major league lineup. The Road Ahead in 2025 Looking ahead to the 2025 season, many fans will focus on players in the upper levels of the minors because the Twins have big names that are close to debuting. However, Winokur has the chance for a special season where he can take significant steps toward becoming a top-100 prospect. He should spend the majority of the season at High-A with the potential to move to Double-A in the season’s second half. He turned 20 in December, which could put him on a path to debut as early as 2026, with 2027 being a safer bet. His offensive profile should only improve as he continues to refine his approach at the plate, particularly in recognizing and handling breaking balls. For those who have seen him in action, it’s clear that his natural power is something to behold, and the occasional swing and miss is a small price to pay for what could be an elite bat in the future. His ability to drive the ball with authority will be crucial to his game as he matures. Defensively, deciding whether to keep him at shortstop or transition him to center field could be one of the more interesting storylines of the upcoming season. Each option presents its own set of challenges and rewards. Staying at shortstop might allow him to continue building on his current experience, but his size and speed could be a huge asset in center. He will likely get time at both positions, and some of his playing time will depend on what other players are on the Cedar Rapids roster to start the season. Ultimately, Winokur embodies the prospect type that brings energy and excitement to an organization. With a blend of raw talent, physical prowess, and an already impressive set of tools, he’s a player who could make a significant impact if given the right opportunities. The 2025 season is an opportunity for him to establish himself as one of the game’s best prospects. His five-tool talent is something for fans to be excited about, and the 2025 season might be his time to shine. How do you view Winokur entering the 2025 season? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Zebby Matthews and David Festa are both critical to the Minnesota Twins’ long-term success. However, Matthews seems to be on an upward trajectory this spring. Is it enough to surpass Festa? Image courtesy of William Parmeter The Twins’ pitching arms are once again under the microscope, and many eyes have been on Zebby Matthews and David Festa this spring. With Matthews lighting it up in spring training and showing an uptick in velocity that’s catching many by surprise, the narrative is shifting. But does his breakout performance mean he has now surpassed Festa in the eyes of the organization? A Spark of Change: Matthews’ Breakout Matthews was the talk of spring training for the Twins. After starting last season at High-A, his progression was meteoric. His offseason work has paid dividends, with increased velocity and impressive numbers. Across 9 1/3 innings, he allowed zero runs on four hits with a 12-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. There’s a buzz that he could dominate early in the season if his current form translates to the Triple-A level. This projected performance is the culmination of steady development that is a testament to the Twins’ pitching and development pipeline. “Everybody is talented in the big leagues,” Matthews told reporters this spring. “You have to live with the mistakes once you get up there and still be able to carry the confidence -- trusting your stuff. All those players I grew up watching at a young age. Just trust in your abilities, knowing you belong in the same field as them.” The upswing in Matthews’ performance isn’t only about raw power. His command and composure on the mound have caught the attention of the Twins’ coaches. Last season, Matthews averaged 94.9 mph with his four-seamer, and that number has been closer to 97 mph this spring. Adding this extra velocity will make his entire pitch mix play up, especially for a player known for pinpoint control. The excitement surrounding Matthews is palpable, and rightly so. A Rocky Spring: Festa’s Struggles On the flip side, Festa enters this season with a cloud over his head. Last season, Festa entered the year as arguably the highest-ranked prospect in the Twins system. At Double- and Triple-A, he posted a 4.19 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a 30.1 K%. However, this spring has been a testing period for him. In a bid to reinvent his approach and get even better against right-handed hitters, Festa tinkered with his mechanics, adopting a new arm slot and introducing a sinker into his repertoire. The on-field results have been disastrous, as he has allowed 15 earned runs on 19 hits in 11 1/3 innings. The idea behind these adjustments was sound, including diversifying his pitch arsenal and refining his delivery, but the results haven’t come as swiftly or convincingly as hoped. St. Paul is also a hitter-friendly park, which could impact his early season numbers as he tries to establish himself at Triple-A. With the new changes still in their infancy, Festa’s performance has been inconsistent, and there’s concern that these adjustments may temporarily hamper the consistency he had established in previous seasons. The Pros and Cons: A Closer Look Entering last season, Twins Daily had Festa ranked as the team’s number-five prospect, while Matthews barely cracked the top 20. A lot has changed over the last calendar year. Matthews has all the flash: increased velocity, improved mechanics, and the kind of spring training numbers that hint at him building off his breakout 2024 season. There’s a genuine belief that he’s now ready to take on Triple-A challenges and perhaps even more. “Zebby is a good-looking young horse of a man,” said Twins manager Rocco Baldelli. “He has the body and the good repeatable delivery. He is a very good strike-thrower with good stuff. Now he has some Major League time and experience to fall back on and think about as he moves forward.” However, it’s not all roses for Matthews, with one concern being an increased workload. With a pitcher making a big leap, there’s always the risk that the player might not be quite ready for the increased workload of higher-level competition. In the 2024 season, he pitched 134 2/3 innings, an increase from the 105 1/3 innings he tossed in 2023. Additionally, while his velocity is a huge asset, it remains to be seen whether he can maintain that speed and control over the long haul. A breakout in spring is exciting, but baseball is a long season, and consistency is the name of the game. Meanwhile, Festa still has the pedigree of being one of the team's top prospects. He had more success than Matthews at the big-league level last season, and he clearly has a willingness to innovate by adjusting his arm slot and adding a sinker. Yet, the transition period has exposed some vulnerabilities. His control has suffered at times, and right-handed batters, particularly, are capitalizing on his adjustments this spring. The reality for the Twins is that both pitchers have unique strengths that could be critical throughout the season. In today’s game, a one-dimensional pitching staff is a luxury no team can afford. Matthews’ explosive stuff and the potential to command a high velocity make him a dynamic piece of the puzzle. His development is a bright spot, suggesting that the Twins successfully cultivate raw talent into a big-league starter. Conversely, Festa’s experience and strategic adjustments might not have paid off immediately, but they indicate a willingness to evolve. In a long season where every arm is valuable, Festa could rebound as his new mechanics settle in. His ability to generate ground balls with his sinker (once fully refined) could be an invaluable asset, particularly against right-handed hitters who posted a .769 OPS against him in the minors last season. Ultimately, the Twins are not in a position to choose between the two because they need both pitchers in 2025. The contrast between Matthews’ meteoric rise and Festa’s transitional period illustrates players' different paths to reach their potential. Both will have critical roles, and as the season unfolds, it will be fascinating to see how their respective journeys contribute to the Twins’ success. Has Matthews surpassed Festa in the eyes of the Twins? Which player has the higher ceiling? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Breaking up can be hard to do. For Twins fans, they are ready to move on to a new ownership group, but can the Pohlads say goodbye? Image courtesy of © David Berding-Imagn Images Change is (hopefully) coming for the Minnesota Twins, and fans seem more than ready. The chatter around the current ownership’s potential move to sell the team has been as heated as a nail-biter at Target Field. As the debate continues, let’s break down the three potential outcomes for the Pohlad family and rank them from best to worst for the hometown nine. 1. The Pohlads Fully Sell the Team This is the option that has fans buzzing with excitement. Imagine the feeling of a long-awaited breakup finally coming to fruition. There were good times in the relationship, but it's clearly not working out. It’s not you, it’s me. For many, the idea of the Pohlad family completely stepping aside is like turning the page on a painful chapter. After decades at the helm, the signs point to a clear need for new energy and fresh perspectives. Last season was riddled with frustration over payroll cuts and a TV deal that left a bad taste in the mouths of the fanbase. A complete sale means that a new ownership group could come in and invest not only financially but also emotionally in the team. Change at the top can bring a renewed focus on building a competitive, fan-first organization. With the Twins currently in a promising winning window, a change in leadership could be the catalyst that keeps the team in contention, especially in a wide-open American League. No longer burdened by the weight of family disputes or outdated business models, a new owner could refocus resources on creating a more vibrant game-day experience and address long-standing grievances from fans who have felt sidelined by decisions made far from the ballpark. The potential for a complete sale is bolstered by the fact that the Twins’ current valuation is estimated at around $1.5 billion, a figure that starkly contrasts the $1.7 billion price tag the Pohlad family aims for. As a reminder, the family purchased the team for $44 million in 1984. This disparity has long been a sore point for fans, who see the team’s legacy as more than just a line item on a balance sheet. Ultimately, a complete sale could be the best way to preserve the team’s rich history while ushering in an era of accountability and growth. New owners with fresh pockets and perhaps a more modern vision are more likely to listen to the fanbase's pulse, which has been sorely lacking in recent years. 2. The Pohlads Sell A Portion of the Team While this option isn’t as appealing as a full sale, it still represents a middle ground that could appease both sides of the divide, although only marginally. Recent reports at The Athletic said that current Twins chairman Joe Pohlad has expressed a desire to remain involved, which makes a complete hand-off less likely. Instead, fans might see a situation where certain family members buy out others or bring in new minority owners to infuse fresh capital and ideas into the organization. There have been discussions with potential new partners who have already shown interest, especially those from Minnesota who understand the local pulse and what it means to be a Twins fan. The downside here is the lingering sense of incomplete separation. Fans have been vocal about their dissatisfaction with the Pohlad era, and a partial sale would do little to quench that desire for change. It’s like having a band breakup where the lead singer stays on for the next album. The core spirit of what made the group special might still be missing. While some might argue that Joe Pohlad’s continued involvement could provide a bridge between the old guard and new ownership, it also risks perpetuating the same issues that led to the current state of discontent. A partial sale might feel like a missed opportunity for those who cherish the team’s history but yearn for a decisive new direction. It’s a compromise that doesn’t fully commit to change, leaving many old problems simmering beneath the surface. Yet, if done right, this outcome could at least introduce some of the necessary financial backing and operational restructuring that has been lacking. It’s a “better-than-nothing” scenario offering incremental improvements rather than the sweeping changes fans are clamoring for. 3. The Pohlads Keep the Team In this worst-case scenario, the Pohlad family holds onto the team despite the growing chorus of dissent from the fanbase. This option is reminiscent of a messy breakup where neither party can fully cut the cord. The Pohlad family reportedly aims for $1.7 billion for the team, even though Forbes recently valued the club at $1.5 billion. Meanwhile, the team is saddled with approximately $425 million in debt, a stark reminder that the business side of baseball is far from the romanticized world playing out on the diamond. When the very people who built and sustained the team for decades end up clashing with the fans, it creates a toxic atmosphere that’s hard to ignore. It’s a classic case of pride before the fall. The ongoing feud and misalignment between the ownership and the supporters only amplify frustrations. Fans have long felt that the decisions made by the Pohlad family have left the team underachieving despite being in the midst of a competitive window on the field. Keeping the team under the same ownership might mean a continuation of the status quo, a situation many believe is no longer tenable. The financial metrics don’t add up, and the discontent among the fanbase is palpable. Just as the Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Angels have toyed with selling their franchises only to retract the offer, holding onto the Twins could become a similar cautionary tale. It would be a business decision that ultimately alienates those who form the lifeblood of the team. In this scenario, the emotional disconnect between the ownership and the supporters would likely deepen, undermining the spirit of community and passion that has defined Minnesota baseball for so long. The familiar clamor for change would only grow louder, potentially jeopardizing everything from local support to the overall marketability of the franchise. In the grand scheme, a full sale of the Twins is the most promising outcome for fans eager for a fresh start. It offers the best chance for revitalizing the franchise with new ideas and investments and serves as a symbolic end to an era marked by financial missteps and strained relationships. While slightly more palatable, a partial sale risks leaving lingering issues unresolved. And if the Pohlad family decides to cling on, it could begin a prolonged period of fan frustration and operational challenges. The next few months will be critical as the team’s future hangs in the balance. For the fans, this isn’t just about dollars and cents. It's about preserving a legacy and reigniting the passion that makes baseball in Minnesota so uniquely thrilling. With so much at stake, one thing is clear: change is in the air, and the clock is ticking for the Twins to enter a new era. View full article

Opening Day offers the hope of a new season and an opportunity for fans to put last year’s Twins collapse in the rearview mirror. So, how are Twins Daily users feeling about five key questions at the dawn of a new baseball year? Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-Imagn Images Recently, Twins Daily unveiled a new polling feature that allows fans the opportunity to have their voice heard. It's a customizable tool we'll use to monitor the pulse of Twins Territory. There will be some permanent questions, like, “Is Rocco Baldelli doing a good job?” Twins Daily writers can review the data any time to see if it’s trending up, down, or neutral. From the reader's perspective, a user can vote once a day, because your opinion on the topic might change from one game to the next. Some of these polls will be embedded into articles, so you can read about a topic and then cast a vote. It’s a fun, interactive way for the writers and users to gather data and have meaningful conversations throughout the season. So, let’s dive into some of the first questions on the site to see how fans feel about the team. Will Byron Buxton play 100 games or more? Yes: 92 votes (54.1%) No: 78 votes (45.9%) Fans are optimistic that Buxton will play at least 100 games for the second consecutive season, a feat he has yet to accomplish in his big-league career. There are reasons to be optimistic, since Buxton was able to have a relatively healthy winter (without any surgeries or rehab from in-season injuries) for the first time in years. Minnesota brought in Harrison Bader as Buxton insurance in center field, and the team will continue to find ways to get him consistent rest. He’s shown the ability to be a game-changing player, so the Twins need him on the field and producing in the season’s most important games. Will Carlos Correa play 130 games or more? Yes: 57 (34.5%) No: 108 (65.5%) For Correa, 130 games is a high bar to clear, especially with the plantar fasciitis issues that have plagued him the last two seasons. That being said, From 2021-23, Correa averaged 140 games played per season. Last season was his first full season without reaching the 130-game plateau since 2021. Twins fans will remember Correa’s poor performance in 2023, when he posted a 94 OPS+, but he managed to play 135 games despite his injury clearly impacting his performance. The 130-game total might be challenging for him to reach if the Twins want to keep him fresh for the whole season, especially as he enters his 30s. Will Royce Lewis play 90 games or more? Yes: 183 (28.4%) No: 485 (72.6%) Lewis’s recent injury shows how the Twins Daily polling feature can be used in real time. During the first two days of the poll, 32 users cast a vote. However, 375 users voted on the topic over the next two days. The Twins have not given a timetable on the hamstring injury he suffered during spring training. He has yet to begin baseball activities as the club waits for the swelling to go down in his left leg. Last season, Lewis played a career-high 82 games but missed time with multiple injuries. At this point, 90 games might be a long shot in 2025. How Many Wins Will the 2025 Twins Have? Less than 70: 6 (2.3%) 71-75: 15 (5.8%) 76-80: 43 (16.7%) 81-85: 66 (25.7%) 86-90: 89 (34.6%) 91-95: 27 (10.5%) 96+: 11 (4.3%) Last season, the Twins finished with an 82-80 record that matched their Pythagorean expectation. Many projection systems have the Twins predicted to finish near the top of the AL Central. However, the division is also predicted to be a close race, with multiple teams in the 80-win range. Minnesota made minimal moves this winter due to owner-imposed payroll limitations. On paper, the Twins are about as good as last year, which makes them a contending team in the AL Central. Will the Twins Make the Postseason? Yes: 93 (61.2%) No: 59 (38.8%) Twins Daily users believe the team will win between 81-90 games, which should be enough to push the team into the playoffs. Many projection systems don’t view a dominant team in the American League, making it even more critical to qualify for the postseason. The league’s playoff format allows a team to catch fire and win the pennant. Minnesota has a strong pitching group, depth in the minors, and a hunger to forget last season’s collapse. Let’s hope there will be more October baseball at Target Field. What questions do you want to see in the next Twins Daily poll? How do you feel about these five poll questions? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Opening Day is practically here, and the Twins are heading to St. Louis with a roster that can win the AL Central. What questions remain about each player on the team’s Opening Day roster? Image courtesy of Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports As the Minnesota Twins prepare for the 2025 season, each player on the projected 26-man Opening Day roster faces pivotal questions. Let's delve into these pressing inquiries: Catchers: Ryan Jeffers: Can Jeffers seize the starting catcher role and provide consistent offensive production throughout the season? The homegrown backstop is only under team control for two more seasons. He’s shown flashes of being one of the league’s best offensive catchers, but he needs to show more consistency at the plate in 2025. Christian Vázquez: Will his defensive reputation make up for his offensive flaws? Vázquez is in the final year of his 3-year, $30-million deal. Twins pitchers have praised his game-calling throughout his tenure, and that's arguably the lone reason Minnesota didn’t trade him away this winter. Infielders: Carlos Correa: Can he finally put his plantar fasciitis issues behind him? Plantar fasciitis has severely hampered Correa over the last two seasons, compromising his effectiveness in 2023 and his availability in 2024. A healthy and productive Correa can be the difference in the Twins making or missing the playoffs. Ty France: How will his transition to the Twins impact his offensive output? France is filling some big shoes at first base after the departure of Carlos Santana. He’s been one of the team’s best hitters this spring, and the Twins hope that production continues throughout the regular season. José Miranda: Is he poised to build upon his previous successes and emerge as a key offensive contributor this season? Injuries to Brooks Lee and Royce Lewis will allow Miranda to prove himself in the team’s infield to start the year. Minnesota needs him to live up to the offensive upside he’s previously shown. Edouard Julien: Can he secure a regular spot in the lineup? Julien was a question mark to make the roster for most of the spring. Injuries to a handful of players have him on the team. Now, he must make the most of the opportunity. Willi Castro: Can he recover from his poor performance in the second half of 2024? Castro’s OPS dropped from .774 in the first half to .627 after the break. Many Twins struggled down the stretch, but Castro will be even more critical with the team’s infield injuries to start the year. Mickey Gasper: Can his Triple-A success translate to the big-league level? Gasper led Triple-A hitters in OPS (1.164) from June through August 2024, with a .396 average and a .509 OBP. He's shown the Twins his ability to spray the ball all over the field this spring. He's an interesting bench option for a team that needed more consistent contact in the second half of 2024. Outfielders: Byron Buxton: Can he play over 100 games for the second consecutive season? Buxton was relatively healthy this winter, for the first time in over half a decade. He will never be an iron man, but the Twins can hope he matches his 2024 numbers. Matt Wallner: Can he be successful as an unconventional leadoff hitter? The Twins are set to give Wallner regular at-bats in the leadoff spot, which matches what some other teams have done in recent years. Wallner’s player type can be streaky, though, so it will be interesting to see how long the Twins stick with him at the top. Trevor Larnach: Is he ready to take the next step in his development and become a consistent offensive threat? Larnach was one of the Twins’ most consistent hitters in the second half of 2024, with an .811 OPS in 52 games. He will be 28 years old for the entire 2025 campaign, and it’s now or never for him to establish himself as a middle-of-the-order bat. Harrison Bader: How will his excellent outfield defense influence the Twins' overall outfield dynamics? Buxton’s health will significantly impact Bader’s usage this season. Buxton in center and Bader in a corner spot could make for one of the league’s best defensive outfield alignments, which will be especially important if the Twins turn to some younger pitchers and allow more balls in play this year than in 2024. DaShawn Keirsey Jr.: How much playing time will he get this season? Keirsey beat out Austin Martin for the team's final bench spot. He's third on the depth chart in center field behind Buxton and Bader. His playing time will be sparse for now, but he’s an intriguing defensive replacement. Starting Pitchers: Pablo López: Can he avoid the first-half struggles from the last two seasons? López has had tough first halves during his first two seasons in a Twins uniform, and this year, his spring training numbers were rough. There are a few areas for him to focus on, including rediscovering his sweeper and prioritizing his changeup. Joe Ryan: Can he continue his upward trajectory and solidify his position as one of the league’s best starters? Before a shoulder injury shut him down for the year, Ryan was arguably the Twins' best starting pitcher last season. Injuries have impacted him in the last two seasons, so it would be nice for him to get a full season under his belt in 2025. Bailey Ober: Is he a dark horse for the AL Cy Young? Ober and Ryan can both fit into this category, which is why the Twins have one of the top starting pitching trios in the AL. Ober has been prone to blowups, so calming things just a bit on those tough days could put him in the Cy Young conversation. Chris Paddack: How will he look in his second year removed from a second Tommy John surgery? The Twins could have traded Paddack this winter, but the front office wouldn’t give him away in a salary dump. Instead, Minnesota is betting on a more consistent performance from “The Sheriff” as he puts his second Tommy John surgery further in the rearview mirror. Simeon Woods Richardson: Can he avoid the dreaded sophomore slump? Woods Richardson saved the Twins' starting rotation last year but ran out of gas in the second half. Plenty of other young pitchers at Triple A will be knocking down the door to the big leagues. To keep his job, Woods Richardson must hold his own and build off his rookie campaign. Relief Pitchers: Jhoan Durán: Can he adjust more successfully in his second season with diminished velocity? Durán’s drop in velocity has been a talking point since last spring. However, there are multiple reasons to trust the team’s closer entering the 2025 season. Griffin Jax: Will he get more opportunities to close? If Durán does struggle, Jax will be the one to take over the closer role. He’s coming off a season wherein he was one of the AL’s top relievers. Now, it’s time for the encore. Cole Sands: Can Sands be counted on as one of the team’s high-leverage arms? At this point last season, Sands was an afterthought in the Twins' bullpen picture. He developed into one of the team’s most reliable bullpen options, but with relievers who lack elite stuff or long track records, there is always the worry of regression. Danny Coulombe: How will Coulombe be strategically used as the team’s top lefty? Caleb Thielbar signed elsewhere in free agency, leaving the club searching for a reliable left-handed reliever. Over the last two seasons, Coulombe has posted a 2.56 ERA (156 ERA+) with a 0.95 WHIP and a 28.4% strikeout rate. The Twins are hoping for similar production. Jorge Alcalá: Is he ready to harness his potential and deliver consistent relief performances? Alcalá has a chance to be a breakout player for the Twins. The team’s usage of him last season was confusing at times, but there is a chance he is being trusted in some critical late-inning spots before the season ends. Justin Topa: What version of Topa will the Twins get in 2025? Minnesota hoped Topa would be a critical bullpen arm last season after acquiring him as part of the Jorge Polanco trade. The Twins still have a chance to gain some value from the deal, if Topa can return to the form he showed in 2023 (152 ERA+, 21.9 K%). Louis Varland: Will Varland's transition to a relief role mirror the team’s past successes? Nearly every great reliever in Twins history began their bullpen transition after failing as a starter (e.g., Griffin Jax, Taylor Rogers, Glen Perkins, etc.). Minnesota has high hopes for Varland as a reliever, and now they can set him loose on the AL Central. Randy Dobnak: How long can he stick at the big-league level? Dobnak made his triumphant return to the Twins last season after spending multiple seasons dealing with a finger issue. Last season, he limited batters to a .395 SLG and a .739 OPS, 24 points lower than the league average in a hitter-friendly league. He can provide length in the season's early weeks, but when the team's injured relievers get healthy, will Dobnak be the first casualty? Even if (or when) he's moved off the active roster, can he stick on the 40-man roster this time? These questions highlight the critical factors that could influence the Twins' success in the upcoming season. Fans and analysts alike will keenly observe how these narratives unfold in the season's early months. Which question is most critical to the team's success this season? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Anonymous sources have confirmed an underground training program in Fort Myers. Joe Mauer, the team’s Midwest resident expert, is helping the Twins prepare in an unconventional way. Image courtesy of William Parmeter FORT MYERS, FL – In a shocking discovery that has the Minnesota baseball world buzzing, secret files detailing Joe Mauer’s covert efforts to instill peak Minnesotan behavior in the Twins clubhouse have been uncovered at the team’s spring training facility. The documents, stuffed inside a well-worn Caribou Coffee cup and tucked beneath a stack of flannel shirts, outline a clandestine training program aimed at helping Twins players “channel their inner Joe Mauer.” According to anonymous sources within the organization, the files contain a meticulous curriculum designed to infuse the Twins’ roster with Mauer’s signature blend of politeness, restraint, and unwavering Midwest charm. One document, labeled Operation Uff Da, includes drills such as “The Passive-Aggressive Patience Test” (standing in line for hotdish without sighing) and “The Nonchalant Homer” (practicing a home-run trot that screams, ‘Aw shucks, that just kinda happened’). “We found a binder labeled ‘Mauer’s Minnesota Method’ behind the Gatorade coolers,” said one team official who wished to remain anonymous for fear of reprisal from Mauer’s army of polite yet determined supporters. “It was filled with game strategies like ‘Always Take the First Pitch’ and ‘Only Express Disappointment with a Quick Shoulder Shrug.’ I mean, it’s genius, really.” The files also reference a newly instituted “Minnesota Nice” conditioning program, which allegedly includes a daily regimen of holding doors open for teammates, avoiding direct eye contact while offering helpful fielding advice, and, most crucially, perfecting the ability to say “Oh, for sure” with just the right amount of nasal inflection. One current player, speaking on the condition of anonymity, expressed both admiration and mild confusion over the program. “We’re used to, like, swing analytics and spin rates, but now we’re watching old videos of Joe saying ‘Well, ya know, just tryin’ to help the team.’ I think they want us to be more… modest? One of the rookies tried to do a bat flip in BP, and they made him write ‘I’m sorry’ 100 times on a Dairy Queen napkin.” The influence of Mauer’s secret teachings seems to be working, as another player noted that the clubhouse atmosphere has taken a noticeable turn. “Nobody complains. Ever. The air conditioning broke in the weight room, and all anyone said was, ‘Could be worse, least it’s not January.’” Even Twins management has been caught up in the Mauerization of the roster. “Look, the guy’s a Hall of Famer,” said one front office executive. “If he says that learning to politely wave at a passing pontoon is the key to a deep playoff run, we’re gonna try it.” Reached for comment, Mauer’s mother, Teresa, seemed unsurprised by the reports. “Well, that’s just how we raised him,” she said. “Always be humble, never finish the last bite of tater tot hotdish without asking, and above all else, never make a big fuss. That’s the Minnesota way.” As for Joe Mauer himself, he remains tight-lipped on the matter. When confronted about the files, he simply smiled, gave a slow nod, and said, “Well, ya know… just happy to be here.” It remains to be seen if these unconventional training methods will translate into on field success. Twins Daily will continue to track this story in the season's early months. View full article

On the surface, the Twins' newest outfielder and the man he's replacing might not have much in common. However, digging deeper, it’s easy to see similarities between them. Image courtesy of William Parmeter The Twins clearly needed a right-handed outfield bat this winter, and Harrison Bader filled that hole. He was added to the roster to fill the vacancy left by Max Kepler, who signed with the Philadelphia Phillies earlier in the offseason. In an organization that has long valued strong defensive outfield play, acquiring Bader adds depth to the bench and signals a strategic shift to bolster the team’s defensive framework. Minnesota entered the offseason with left-handed hitters Matt Wallner and Trevor Larnach already in the mix as regular starters, so it made sense to let Kepler walk in free agency. The absence of a dependable right-handed option had become more pronounced. By bringing in Bader, the Twins not only gained a player who can contribute in a similar mold to Kepler, but also secured someone who can offer a different dynamic in the outfield. Defensive Prowess Defensively, both Bader and Kepler have earned reputations as standout players in the outfield, albeit at different positions. Kepler was known for his work in right field, where he consistently demonstrated above-average defensive skills, including being a Gold Glove finalist. Even while playing through injuries last season, Kepler posted an Outs Above Average total that ranked in the 85th percentile. Bader, on the other hand, has been a force in center field. In the 2024 season, Bader’s defensive metrics highlighted his ability to cover ground effectively, including a 95th percentile OAA. While Bader’s defensive play has been widely praised, his role extends beyond mere fielding. He continues to be an elite center-field defender, with Statcast ranking his arm value in the 70th percentile and his arm strength in the 86th percentile. In many ways, his presence mirrors that of Kepler, whose reliability in right field provided defensive stability. The Twins hope Byron Buxton is healthy enough to play 100 games or more in 2025, which could mean that Bader will play in a corner spot more regularly. Shared Offensive Challenges Their defensive strengths have assured them of ample playing time, but neither Bader nor Kepler have been prolific at the plate. During the 2024 season, both players faced challenges on offense that reinforced a preexisting narrative—one maintaining that their value is primarily derived from their glove work, rather than their bats. Kepler finished the season with a .682 OPS, while Bader put up an even uglier .657 mark. They also tallied similar strikeout rates, exit velocities and extra-base totals. Both hitters belong near the bottom of the lineup, unless they are riding an offensive hot streak. The Twins, in particular, are betting on the possibility that Bader’s offensive struggles might be addressed with additional adjustments and coaching. His Baseball Savant page has more blue than a Smurf family reunion. For now, his defensive impact remains the calling card. The organization seems comfortable with this tradeoff, especially given the increasing emphasis on analytics that favors defensive metrics and versatility. Navigating Injury Concerns Injuries have been a recurring theme in the careers of both outfielders. Kepler has struggled with consistent availability, having not played more than 130 games since 2019 and appearing in only 105 games in 2024. Bader, too, has faced his share of health issues, including groin, hamstring, and oblique strains, as well as plantar fasciitis. However, it’s worth noting that Bader managed to play an entire season in 2024, suggesting that he might be on a more stable footing in the future. (Yes, that's a plantar fasciitis joke.) The decision to sign Bader is a calculated move that fits neatly into the Twins’ broader strategy. Buxton’s injury history is a persistent concern, so having a dependable defensive replacement is essential. Bader's role isn’t merely as a stopgap, because his presence allows the team to experiment with platoon combinations and optimize the lineup based on matchups. Combined with the speed he brings to the bases, his right-handed bat offers a blend of attributes that complement the existing roster. Bader and Kepler have strong threads of baseball DNA connecting them. However, Bader was a better fit for the Twins roster because of his right-handed bat and ability to play in center. As the season unfolds, all eyes will be on Bader, to see if he can fulfill the high expectations set by his predecessor and help the Twins improve both on the field and in their overall strategic execution. Can Bader outperform his projections? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

It has been two decades since the release of MVP Baseball 2005. For many fans, this game is considered the pinnacle of video game baseball. Let’s look back at what made the game great and how the Twins' roster stacked up. Image courtesy of EA Sports MVP Baseball 2005 set the gold standard for baseball video games with its combination of smooth gameplay, immersive game modes, and a legendary soundtrack. EA Sports perfected its "Hitter’s Eye" mechanic, allowing players to pick up pitch types more realistically, while the pitching meter required skill and timing, adding to the challenge. The game’s franchise mode was incredibly deep for the time, letting players control every aspect of their team, from minor league call-ups to budget management. Even after two decades, fans still clamor for its return, as its realism and accessibility made it one of the most beloved sports games ever created. The Minnesota Twins entered the 2005 season as a team on the rise, coming off three straight AL Central titles. In MVP Baseball 2005, their roster was built around a strong pitching staff and an exciting core of position players. Fresh off his 2004 Cy Young Award-winning campaign, Johan Santana was one of the game’s best pitchers. He ranked as the ninth-best overall player, with Pedro Martinez being the only pitcher ranked higher. His devastating changeup and high strikeout ratings made him nearly unhittable in-game, much like in real life. Behind Santana, the Twins had Brad Radke, who was considered a control artist who could consistently pound the strike zone. He was ranked as the 27th-best overall player, placing him ahead of Roger Clemens and Mark Mulder. In the bullpen, closer Joe Nathan was one of the best in the game, with his high velocity and wipeout slider making him a late-inning weapon. READ OUR LIST: The Best Baseball Video Games from Every Generation On the offensive side, the Twins had a mix of established veterans and young talent. Torii Hunter patrolled center field with Gold Glove defense and a solid bat, while Jacque Jones and Shannon Stewart provided speed and power from the outfield corners. In just his second season, Joe Mauer was a rising star with a high contact rating. His power rating wasn’t as high as in future video games since he was so early in his career. Justin Morneau, another young slugger, provided pop in the middle of the lineup, though he had not yet reached his peak as he won the MVP in 2006. Fan favorite Lew Ford is also in the game. He received down-ballot MVP votes in 2004 after hitting .299/.381/.446 (.827) in the previous season. Ford wasn’t one of the team’s best players in the game, but he adds another layer of nostalgia. Compared to the rest of the league, the Twins’ roster was well-balanced but lacked some of the power-hitting threats found on teams like the Boston Red Sox or New York Yankees. Manny Ramirez was the cover athlete and one of the game's most dominant players. Boston and New York were at the height of their rivalry, and many fans gravitated toward them when they were playing. However, the Twins’ pitching depth made them a fun team to use, especially for players who valued small-ball tactics and elite defense. MVP Baseball 2005 remains a fan favorite, and for Twins fans, it serves as a time capsule of an era when the team was a perennial contender. Whether using Santana to dominate opposing hitters or trying to manufacture runs with a scrappy lineup, the game captured the excitement of mid-2000s baseball in a way that still resonates today. As we mark 20 years since its release, it’s clear that MVP Baseball 2005 is more than just a game because it’s a cherished piece of baseball history. What memories do you have of MVP Baseball 2005? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

There have been plenty of “what-ifs” in Twins history. A situation that currently feels relevant is how the organization once mishandled pitching prospect Liam Hendriks. Can the Twins avoid a similar fate with Louis Varland? Image courtesy of William Parmeter (Varland) Liam Hendriks was once considered a top pitching prospect in the Twins organization, including making back-to-back Futures Game appearances in 2010-11. When Hendriks was expected to be a future starter, the Twins had him slotted into the rotation, resulting in 30 starts over three seasons. With a 6.06 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, and a -2.0 WAR in that role, it was clear that Hendriks wasn’t suited for an MLB starter role. Minnesota even designated him for assignment in December 2013 after not giving him a chance to stick as a full-time reliever. He was only 24 years old, and the team was amid four straight seasons of 90 losses or more. His roster spot shouldn’t have been in jeopardy. After leaving the Twins, Hendriks reinvented himself as a reliever, emerging as one of the best in the game with a 2.94 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and a 32.7 K% rate between 2015 and 2022. He earned three All-Star selections and snagged two Mariano Rivera AL Reliever of the Year awards, proving that sometimes a change in role is all it takes to unlock a player’s full potential. As the Twins look to solidify their bullpen for the future, Louis Varland finds himself at a crossroads that eerily echoes Hendriks’ early days. Varland’s numbers as a starter haven’t exactly set the world on fire, with a 5.27 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and opponents batting a .851 OPS against him. Yet, there’s been a noticeable spark when Varland has been used out of the bullpen. In 16 relief appearances, he’s shown flashes of potential that suggest his skills might be best utilized in shorter stints. During the team’s playoff run in 2024, Varland pitched 12 relief innings in the season’s final weeks while allowing two runs (both solo home runs) with a 17-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. The decision is unfolding almost organically. With injuries to key relievers like Justin Topa, Brock Stewart, and Michael Tonkin creating a void in the bullpen, the Twins now have a golden opportunity to tap into Varland’s potential. The front office and coaches have repeatedly spoken highly of his work in relief roles, and it appears they’ve learned from past missteps. Instead of forcing him to continue as a starter, where his performance has been less than inspiring, the plan is to ease him into a full-time reliever role starting in 2025. “Getting a chance to see him throw an inning, kind of a revved-up inning,” Baldelli said this spring. “Letting him come in from the bullpen doing that gets him the work we’re looking for from him right now.” This isn’t just a simple positional change, as it’s a strategic shift to maximize Varland’s skill set. Much like Hendriks, who finally found his niche in the bullpen after being shoehorned into a starting role, Varland might be on the verge of a breakthrough if given the right opportunity. The Twins are clearly eager not to repeat history. They remember the missed opportunity with Hendriks, a pitcher who eventually became a star reliever, and are now taking a more measured, patient approach with Varland. There’s a genuine sense of optimism among those in the Twins’ inner circle. Coaches have remarked on Varland’s “stuff” when he’s been used in relief, and the organization’s willingness to make a long-term bet on him in that role shows that they believe in his potential. The Twins are making a calculated move to ensure that Varland can flourish without the added burden of pacing through an entire game. Instead, he will slide into the back of the bullpen and have the opportunity to show he deserves more late-inning opportunities as he gets settled into his new role. For fans, this transition is about reclaiming some of the magic that seemed to slip away with Hendriks. It’s a reminder that a player can reinvent himself with the proper guidance and opportunity, even in the face of early setbacks. Hendriks’ turnaround from a struggling starter to a dominant reliever has become a case study in player development. Varland’s situation now presents a similar narrative. The organization’s commitment to finding the proper role for each player is a testament to their long-term vision and willingness to adapt. Ultimately, the move to shift Varland into a full-time relief role isn’t just a reaction to injuries or numbers. It’s a deliberate effort to harness a player’s true potential. It’s a lesson in patience and adaptability, and if Varland can capitalize on this fresh start, the Twins might add another ace to their bullpen. The road ahead isn’t without its challenges, but with the organization’s backing and a renewed focus on player development, this could be the beginning of a promising new chapter for both Varland and the Twins’ relief corps. What are your expectations for Varland as a reliever, now that the role switch is officially official? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Twins fans would love it if Walker Jenkins developed into one of baseball’s best players. However, one national prospect ranking views Jenkins and his lack of development in a different light. Image courtesy of Ed Bailey, Wichita Wind Surge In today’s world of baseball prospect evaluation, the sheer volume of available data and scouting reports has led to a surprising convergence in many top prospect lists. The ease of access to advanced metrics, detailed game tape, and comprehensive player histories means that many analysts often arrive at very similar conclusions about a player’s potential. Walker Jenkins, Minnesota's top-ranked prospect, is a prime example of this phenomenon. Across several respected publications (including Baseball America, MLB.com, and Baseball Prospectus), Jenkins has consistently been ranked among the top five prospects in the sport. These outlets, known for their rigorous analytical approaches and extensive scouting networks, have praised his exceptional hit tool, which stands out even among a deep pool of emerging talent. The consensus among these sources suggests that Jenkins possesses an uncanny ability to make contact with the ball and adjust his approach based on pitchers’ tendencies. This consistency in evaluation across multiple sources underscores how modern analytical methods have created a level of uniformity in assessing raw talent. Yet, amid this widespread agreement, FanGraphs is a notable outlier. Under the leadership of prospect writer Eric Longenhagen, the site placed Jenkins as baseball’s 17th-best prospect, the lowest ranking he received on a national list this winter. This discrepancy raises an important question: Is FanGraphs right, or is it merely a statistical anomaly in a field otherwise saturated with consensus? For many Twins fans and baseball observers, the hope (or worry) is that the outlier perspective might reveal a hidden truth about Jenkins’ potential that the majority consensus overlooks. Several factors explain this divergence in rankings. While Jenkins’s hit tool is almost universally lauded, his power development has not met the high expectations set by his peers. Many analysts believe that his inability to generate the expected level of power may be tied to an early-season leg injury. This setback may have affected his swing mechanics and ability to drive the ball with authority. Additionally, the team’s decision to use him more frequently as a designated hitter to ease the strain on his recovering leg might have inadvertently limited his opportunities to showcase his power. Some players struggle in their initial transition to DH, because of the significant downtime tied to the role. FanGraphs could have weighed these factors more heavily, resulting in a more tempered view of his overall skill set. The debate over Jenkins’s true potential highlights an essential aspect of modern baseball evaluation: while data and consensus can provide a reliable snapshot of a player’s capabilities, there is always room for nuance and differing opinions. When scouting reports and analytics converge, it's easy to miss the finer details that might affect a player’s performance in real-game situations. In this sense, FanGraphs’s contrarian ranking may serve as a valuable counterbalance to the prevailing narrative. By offering a more critical perspective, FanGraphs challenges fans and professionals to consider pitfalls that more optimistic assessments might gloss over. Moreover, the existence of such discrepancies serves as a reminder that even in an era dominated by advanced statistics, baseball remains an unpredictable sport. Injuries, role adjustments, and psychological factors can all influence a player’s performance in ways that raw numbers may not fully capture. As the season unfolds, it will be fascinating to see whether Jenkins can live up to the high expectations set by most prospect evaluators, or if FanGraphs’s cautionary note will prove correct. For now, the debate itself has sparked a deeper discussion about the reliability of consensus rankings and the hidden variables that can influence a prospect’s development. Ultimately, the controversy surrounding Jenkins is about more than just one player. It’s a microcosm of the evolving landscape of baseball scouting and analysis. The proliferation of data has streamlined many evaluations, leading to similar conclusions among various experts. As Jenkins embarks on his mission to add more power to his already impressive skill set, fans and analysts will watch closely. In the dynamic world of baseball prospects, someone is bound to be wrong about Jenkins, and that uncertainty is part of what makes the sport so compelling. Who's going to be wrong about Walker Jenkins? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

A recent survey shows Twins fans' optimism might be at an all-time low. Why are they feeling so pessimistic, and what can the club do to win back their trust and enthusiasm? Image courtesy of William Parmeter It’s no secret that Minnesota sports fans have been conditioned for heartbreak. But heading into the 2025 season, pessimism surrounding the Twins might be reaching a fever pitch. According to The Athletic’s annual fan survey, just 52% of Twins fans reported feeling optimistic about the team’s chances this year. That number ranks 21st in Major League Baseball, sandwiched between the San Francisco Giants (20th) and the Oakland Athletics (23rd). It starkly contrasts the past two years, when Minnesota ranked in the top 10. In 2024, 86.3% of fans expressed confidence in the team, placing them 10th in MLB. The previous year, the optimism was even higher, at 91.3%, again ranking 10th. Even in 2022, when there were still plenty of unanswered questions about the team’s long-term direction, the Twins ranked 17th with a 70.1% optimism rating. So what’s changed in just one year, to cause such a sharp decline? Why Are Fans So Pessimistic? There are several contributing factors at work. The most glaring issue is how the 2024 season ended. The Twins were in a prime position to claim a playoff spot, before an ugly late-season collapse left fans feeling burned. Adding another late-season meltdown to the record books was a gut punch for an organization that has historically struggled in October. It was clearly one of the most disappointing seasons in Twins history. Adding to the unease is uncertainty regarding new ownership. The Pohlad family is expected to sell the team in 2025, leaving many questions about the franchise’s future direction. Justin Ishbia dropped out of a bid to buy the franchise that had reached advanced stages, forcing the team to pivot to other options. Will new ownership invest more aggressively in free agency? Will there be major front-office shake-ups? Fans have taken stability for granted under the Pohlads, and the unknown brings an extra level of uneasiness. At the same time, satisfaction with (and confidence in) the Pohlads themselves is lower than it has been since the family flirted with contracting the team over two decades ago. Meanwhile, the rest of the AL Central is trending upward. The Cleveland Guardians, Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers made significant strides last season, each winning at least as many postseason games (3) as the Twins have won in the last 20 years. Many projection systems have the Twins as one of the favorites in the division, but fans want the team to prove it after 2024’s collapse. Minnesota can no longer assume divisional dominance, and fans feel uneasy about the team’s standing in the AL Central. A Reason for Hope? While the pessimism is understandable, there are still plenty of reasons to believe in this Twins team. The core roster remains strong, featuring a mix of young talent and proven veterans. Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa provide veteran stability, while the pitching staff should be among the league’s best, with a top starting trio of Pablo López, Bailey Ober, and Joe Ryan. There is also a solid group of pitching prospects in the high minors, who can provide depth when injuries arise. Minnesota’s farm system is also in excellent shape, with several top prospects nearing their MLB debuts. Names like Luke Keaschall, Emmanuel Rodriguez, and Walker Jenkins give the organization a bright future. All three players could make their debuts in 2025 after finishing last season at Double- or Triple-A. The ability to develop and integrate young talent has been a strength for the Twins in recent years, and that trend looks likely to continue. Lastly, while the uncertainty around new ownership is a concern, a fresh perspective could bring new opportunities. A more aggressive front office willing to spend on top-tier free agents or extend core players could elevate the team to the next level. If the sale goes through in 2025 as expected, it could provide a much-needed spark to reinvigorate the fan base. The numbers from The Athletic’s fan survey don’t lie, because Twins fans are more skeptical than they’ve been in years. However, optimism can return just as quickly as it disappeared. Winning cures all and a strong start to 2025 could help change the narrative around the team. It’s on the Twins to prove the doubters wrong. What makes you optimistic about the Twins this season? What are you pessimistic about? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

The Twins' closer dealt with a drop in temperature on his signature heat last season, impacting his overall performance. Entering 2025, though, fans should still have confidence in him. Image courtesy of William Parmeter In Jhoan Durán, the Minnesota Twins have one of baseball's most electric relievers. While some might have concerns after his 2024 campaign, there are plenty of reasons to believe he will be just fine in 2025. FanGraphs projects the Twins' bullpen to be the best in baseball, and Durán remains a key piece of that equation. Let's consider why fans shouldn't worry about the Twins' flamethrowing closer this season. 1. Underlying Metrics Suggest He Was Unlucky Durán's 3.64 ERA last season was higher than expected, but a deeper dive suggests he may have been the victim of some bad luck. His Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) sat at 2.85, indicating that his ERA might have been inflated due to factors beyond his control, such as defensive miscues or unfortunate batted-ball luck. Advanced metrics like FIP can often provide a clearer picture of a pitcher's actual effectiveness, and they can point to better days ahead in Durán's case. “The numbers I didn’t like too much,” Duran told reporters about his 2024 season. “I didn’t have a really good offseason because when I was doing my prep work for the regular season, I’d go to the Dominican for two weeks and go back and forth. I want to be the same pitcher I was in 2023.” 2. Elite Projections for 2025 Even with a perceived dip in performance last year, projection systems remain high on Durán. The ZiPS model projects him to be tied with Cleveland’s Emmanuel Clase for the league lead among relievers with 1.4 fWAR, while FanGraphs's Depth Charts list him as the second-best reliever in baseball with a 1.9 WAR. The Athletics’ Mason Miller is the only reliever to rank ahead of him. These projections consider his track record and his dominant stuff, reinforcing that he remains one of the game's premier bullpen arms. 3. Velocity Is Trending Up One of the biggest talking points about Durán last season was a slight dip in velocity. While he averaged 102 mph on his fastball as recently as 2023, last year saw him fight to reach triple digits most of the time. However, this spring, he's already been clocked at 101 mph, signaling that his velocity is rebounding. Given his overall arsenal, he doesn’t need to sit at 102+ mph every outing to be dominant, but knowing that his velocity remains elite is reassuring. "I focus more on my mechanics and my pitches' movement," Duran said recently. "I don't need to throw really hard right now. Maybe in the [regular season] I throw harder, or maybe not." 4. A Full Year of Adjustments Last season, Durán was adjusting to a new pitch mix on the fly. He should be more comfortable and confident in 2025, with an entire offseason to refine his approach. His best pitch isn't his fastball, and as he continues to rely on his devastating splinker and curveball, hitters will have an even more challenging time making solid contact. Now that he has had a season to settle into this version of himself, expect a more consistent and refined performance. 5. Continued Pitch Development One intriguing storyline this spring is Durán’s work on developing a truer changeup. While it may not become a primary offering, having another weapon in his arsenal can only help keep hitters off-balance. His splinker and curveball were already seeing increased usage last season, and if he can mix in a changeup periodically, it could give him another advantage late in games. Every reliever has ups and downs, especially when dealing with small samples. The 2024 season wasn’t a flawless season for Jhoan Durán. However, the signs point to a bounce-back year. With elite projections, improving velocity, and another year of refining his pitch mix, he’s poised to remain one of baseball’s best relievers in 2025. Twins fans should feel confident that when the game is on the line, Durán will be ready to deliver. Are the projections correct about Durán? Can he return to his previous form? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article