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bjorks

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Everything posted by bjorks

  1. bjorks
    Got to watch Keaschall quite a bit at ASU and he's just a grinder. I'm pretty sure he was a decent wrestler in HS, but he's a little bit of an old school guy who works hard and you know what they say, hard work beats talent when talent doesn't work hard. I've been trying to think of who I'd compare him to as someone like Castro isn't quite it. Keaschall has a better bat than Castro and Keaschall IMHO has a great understanding of the situation at the plate. He doesn't try to do too much with RISP and he seems clutch, but the #'s don't necessarily reflect. At times with Correa last year, you just had the gut feeling this was a GIDP or Ron Davis was going to blow a hold, you don't ever get that feeling with Keaschall. He's athletic enough to be a super utility - great at nothing, good at everything and his home is probably up the middle, maybe LF. Depending on your preferred metric, he's good enough to start for a non contender or close to contending team as the floor. I hope he just keeps grinding as he I think he could be a valuable guy. Not saying he's Farmer, but that type of role and that's an asset.
  2. bjorks
    4 years of control (including this year) before he's a UFA in 2028. IF he's a #2 or #3 I think because he's going to be cheap and he would hold more trade value as a starter I'd guess you make that move. Finding a Tier 2 closer or doing it by committee is easier than finding a bonafide #2. Of course he'd be open to it as he heads into arbitration after this season. Submitting as a starter vs a closer is still a wide gap. He'll have almost the same service time as Bednar did heading into his first year of arbitration and he landed at $4.5, but Bednar has a better WAR. Seth suggested $4M in 2025 for Duran, but it appears it may be a tad low. Duran as a viable #2 or #3 at $5M/yr + Josh Hader at $16M/yr is still better than Duran at $5M as a closer and having Giolitto at $18M.
  3. bjorks
    IF Prielipp was included in any trade and he maxed his potential. Milwaukee would have a potential heckuva top of the rotation with Misiorowski and Prielipp every bit as strong as Burnes and Woodruff for a fraction of the price. Chourio, Quero, Tyler Black are Top 100 guys along with Misiorowski. Sal Frelick was a top prospect as well. They have a nice core of controllable and affordable players, which for small market teams is the name of the game. It's interesting some are hesitant to include Festa/Prielipp in this scenario, would you feel the same if Soto or Raya were substituted for one or both? Are we that "excited" about Festa because he made the Futures Game and created some buzz? Winder, Balazovic, Thorpe, Jharel Cotton, and Berrios all played and Berrios is the only impactful pitcher. I had a similar argument with the whole Mauer over Prior draft and I will go to my grave believing Prior would've gotten us to WS in '02. You take the guy who gives you the best chance to get to the WS today vs the guy who has the potential to do it 3 years down the road. Although...I doubt the Twins would've called up Prior that year regardless of how well he was pitching (sigh).
  4. bjorks
    While Burnes would most likely be a rental, there's a lot of comps of high ceiling pitchers who don't pan out because of injury or other. Point being is while Priellipp's potential is there, but he may never be the pitcher we think he could be. The compensatory pick would most likely be in Round A, so you're trading Festa for a pick. Clearing salary, whether it's used for a Lewis extension, a splash move on someone like Hoskins, a high leverage bullpen arm, is an easy call regardless if it's a rental or not. Just because Burnes has said he wants to test FA, I'd argue the chances of resigning him are every bit as high as Festa becoming a front line starter and/or Priellipp reaching his. For a chance to get to the WS and maybe win with Lopez/Burnes as our 1-2, I'd take those chances especially when the worst case scenario is we get a 1st round talent to replace Festa if he walks.
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