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The Wise One

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Everything posted by The Wise One

  1. The Wise One
    I guess the FO followed your logic as it was Walker who was dropped, not Palka. What better arguments can there be for the average fan but the last pitcher in the bullpen, the 5th outfielder/infielder, or the makeup of the 38, 39, or 40th spot on the 40 man
  2. The Wise One
    In the end, someone did want Light. If he becomes a useful player it is not the Twins FO that loses sleeps, or have the coulda woulda shoulda postings. That would be the Twins fans.
  3. The Wise One
    So what. the point you clearly missed is that either pitcher would be claimed.
  4. The Wise One
    No. Light will be claimed. Park will be claimed. Chargois would be claimed. Any Twin on the 40 man not named Danny Santana will be claimed when designated for assignment. Arcia and Walker were claimed After Ryan ORourke made a triumphant return to the majors, how could you not look at any Twin castoff and not see success? Well, except for Danny Santana
  5. The Wise One
    There is a lot of quantity in the pen. If Kinzler is your closer and Pressly and the signee are your set up guys, quality is a definite problem.
  6. The Wise One
    Not placing a player on the minor league dl makes a team incompetent? Yikes
  7. The Wise One
    One size does not fit all approach is what is most encouraging. It would be interesting to know the injury rates for the different levels of workout routines.
  8. The Wise One
    The only thing that really, really needs to go right is the baseball when the Twins are on defense. When the ball is going left it could be a disaster
  9. The Wise One
    There really is no deadline for the trade. All along they have said that they wanted to be blown away. When that gets met, Dozier is gone.
  10. The Wise One
    Mussina and Shilling belong in the hall of the very good with Jack Morris.. I do not know where that is located. Shilling had but six good years out of 20. You remember the good but forget the bad/ If someone doesn't vote for him there are plenty of arguments that can be made why he should not be in. His political rants will not be the root cause of him not getting into the hall of fame
  11. The Wise One
    It would be likely the only way they are both on the table would be like Cagney and Hope https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JOoNOs8Ql28
  12. The Wise One
    So then do you leak there is a deal almost in place with the Dodgers to try to get some interest going
  13. The Wise One
    I wonder if Doogie has the same source as Dave? Skepticism of any of these "sources" is warranted as a baseball executives really don't talk all that much to the general public about deals and dealings in general.
  14. The Wise One
    Age curves were determined by looking at all players. One of the reasons there is a drop off around 30 is the fringe players start losing their careers to cheaper younger players who can do the same thing. There are players like Danny Santana that have career years that when production returns to normal they would appear as decline. Injuries are the biggest factor in decline. Santana has not had the big injury. All players will decline at some point. There is no reason to think that this would be the year that Santana declines. Anyone trading for him wants a quality pitcher this year, hence his value is for a win now situation. As long as he is healthy he would have trade value even at the deadline.
  15. The Wise One
    No one said Nolasco with an ERA + of 74. Any others mentioned thus far had minimal disposal fees. Not Ricky.
  16. The Wise One
    Projecting pitchers. Rick Porcello always had fairly average k/9. The other 70% doomed him to looking mediocre. Like a catcher who keeps strikes being called strikes, defense matters. A step up to a good defense did wonders for his results. That is the aspect a team can look at and account for that a estimator can't
  17. The Wise One
    When does fip stabilize for a pitcher? May has about 200 innings in the major league. What fip measures happens on between 25 and 30% of the batters faced. You are basing an opinion of upside on fip that may or may not be relevant for May due to small sample size Keep in mind that as a starter May had an xfip and Sierra of neat 4. So is Mays upside that of a league average pitcher a positive?
  18. The Wise One
    Damn, Al Kaline learned by being in the majors at age 18. Let us put all of the 18 year olds in the majors because Al Kaline was successful so therefore every prospect should be
  19. The Wise One
    the drafting players as a bad source of talent as you portray in your numbers would require an explanation of where the traded players, free agents and minor league free agents come from but the between 70-80% of players that were drafted players. you need to have consistent drafting
  20. The Wise One
    Urias has probably pitched enough in the majors to not be considered a prospect. Offering more veterans is not going to get Urias. Now if you were offering Sano and Dozier for Urias and prospects, the Dodgers might consider it.
  21. The Wise One
    100 mph balls far out of the zone are of no use. Nor are pitches that have little movement.
  22. The Wise One
    The McCann and Martin contracts say that the Castro free agent contract is more than team reasonable. Last year 24 players signed contracts for more than 24 million Last year about 30 players got free agent contracts worth more than 8 million a year. His number is not outlandish. When teams are done signing players Castro will not be a big splash.
  23. The Wise One
    It is not the number of balls called strikes that is important here. How quick the people here have forgotten Doumit and pinto behind the plate and having anything that was not a straight fastball down the middle be called a ball as often as a strike. If the pitcher thinks they have to pitch to a postage stamp sized strike zone, nothing good will happen. Suzuki was a little above average at just below 15 % Castro was among the best. If you look at the best pitch framers getting 8-10 % of the balls called strikes thinking that would be a good thing, consider this, if it expands the strike zone in the pitcher's mind they end up throwing more balls than strikes due to trying to get a strike. The analysis I can't seem to find is do pitchers end up throwing more balls where it is tougher for the hitter to hit hoping to get a strike call with a pitch framing catcher. Stealing pitch totals are nice, but does it have an effect on the pitcher? Quotes by a few pitchers on bad catchers leads me to think the strikes not being balls is very important to the pitcher. Can't find out if the other scenario holds or not. Jack would probably know, but since he has not been fired, probably can't say.
  24. The Wise One
    Waiver pickups seem to go by leagues when the players are waived even during the off season. Minor leagues are not aligned by major league teams so the reason wouldn't be familiarity.
  25. The Wise One
    Pretty limiting on trades for Walker. If waivers go through AL teams first, nobody wanted him. 5 NL teams also in need of power and players passed.
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