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The Wise One

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Everything posted by The Wise One

  1. The Wise One
    The Kintzler trade was not a bad thing. The Twins ended up with a 20 year old with some upside and money to get another player. For Kintzler it was a legitimate shot for a deep playoff run. With or without Kintzler the Twins playoff run was destined to be short.
  2. The Wise One
    Legitimate starting pitcher as a prospect needs some thinking.. If a team is going to sell you a pitcher that is even a average 1-2 WAR pitcher in his first 6 years the wages the team pays out is going to cost more than 4 million. Why would a team give you something at a discount?. If the pitcher is that good they are going to collect more in salary. What the Twins gave up was a high ceiling prospect that is too young to project by statistics, a bust catcher and unspent yet budgeted salary for a fringe prospec, a high ceiling reliever, and a blossoming prospect. Sounds like the Twins came out ahead. Ynoa slipped in minor league ball's grading. Littell's increased.
  3. The Wise One
    How many bad seasons did Swarzak have? How many good pitching/bullpen coaches did he have along the way? One good year out of how many bad ones? When Swarzak puts up a couple years of elite pitching people can be critical of his being released. Same for Hendriks. He has been decent, but not great
  4. The Wise One
    Atlanta, Baltimore and the Reds confirmed what the Twins did was correct. , The arrogance of front offices to waste such talents.
  5. The Wise One
    The Reds reliever would come in far cheaper in terms of salary than a FA. That money could instead be used to overpay for a Darvish. In terms of prospects given up, there are few great prospects in the upper levels. If the Reds want a couple of them the Twins should be signing the trade papers quickly.
  6. The Wise One
    Belisle had a few bad outing. When they were bad, they were really bad. He ended up with better than league average numbers. It is not to say that it was a great signing, but it was nowhere near a bad signing. Breslow was a placeholder for if, really when, the early season gambles like Tonkin failed. Not a great signing, but he was brought in to be expendable. With the late season emergence of Hildenberger and Busenitz, Breslow's role was completed. Right handed bats as primary DH. Statistically Vargas had a better season than any of the part time right handed DH/ bench bats. It would be nice to have a better bat. What was out there as a part timer? Lottery tickets. Can't win if you do not play. The loss of Kintzler had little effect on the team. Relievers of his ilk get you lottery tickets, All of those great available pitching coaches. The cynic in me asks if they are so great, why are they available? They do not have all of the answers. Management has an idea, a direction, a scheme. They hired someone who will carry that out. Complaining of others thinking they are so smart........
  7. The Wise One
    The trade of Rick Reed for Lawton as asset rearrangement is laughable. The advanced aged player projection challenged Ryan could figure out the max value of Lawton was that winter. What Ryan got in return was 2.5 years of a middle of the rotation starter that did what the Mets thought he couldn't do. Both teams were trading decline players. The Twins won. Dozier and Santana are due to fall off a cliff anytime soon according to member here. Gordon is a never will be according to some here. That leaves Duffey. That for a rising star ACE. If I knew any better I would call it the pipe dream to move the players you do not care for for one player you do.
  8. The Wise One
    Vargas's stats any other year would be 20th. For whatever reason it was a down year for DH. He was also ranked at 37 for his skills at 1B
  9. The Wise One
    If you want a DH the Cubs have one that stands out in LF. I would think an outfielder and a pitcher would work in trade,
  10. The Wise One
    Morris was about the only significant change on a last place team that ended up winning a WS. That is not something that Mussina could ever claim. Morris was a leader, Mussina? IDK. Sometimes the beauty contest is about intangibles and humans rather than just cold statistics.
  11. The Wise One
    Mussina had only one year when he was dominate, with many years of being very good. Glavine had far more seasons of being dominate. Like any subjective beauty contest, beauty is in the eye of the beholder.
  12. The Wise One
    If I click on your story twice do you get paid twice? Is there a bonus for clicking an ad? Houston got lucky that McCuellers, a late first round draft was a find. Luck is an important element for a GM. They got lucky that Morton held together for the end of the year. They got lucky that Aiken declined their lowball offer and ended up with Bregman. They got lucky that Darvish was having a bad week. Lastly they got luck that Verlander did not pitch like he did the other times he was in the WS. Sometimes it is better to be lucky
  13. The Wise One
    Lackey pitches to the inside of the plate and occasionally hits the batter. Maddon when he was coach at Tampa took exception when Lackey missed inside and hit one of his and called him a bad teammate because of hitting a batter could get a teammate hurt in the melee,
  14. The Wise One
    I think these people would make a fine opening season starting rotation for Rochester. Where is the story that the Twins dealt the entire Rochester rotation for an elite pitcher?
  15. The Wise One
    Nishioka walked away from 3.5 to get a 1.5. Nishi for a career likely will not see 26 million, which some people think that Hughes should walk away from.
  16. The Wise One
    A person who walked away in a snit because the team would not allow his kid to be in the clubhouse every day, A guy who quit because he did not want to have his labrum repaired, and a guy who is strongly rumored to have been hush hush paid off to retire.
  17. The Wise One
    How much money would he be walking away from? Other than a football player, could you remember a player doing that in baseball, basketball, soccer?
  18. The Wise One
    Playoffs are in October
  19. The Wise One
    Took a vacation. The expansion fee is likely to depend on how many players and what kind of talent they get to select. If they get a pretty good shot at having players the pricetag might be 1.2 billion each franchise as that is what Miami sold for. . This is baseball. Angelos bought the Orioles for 173 m The expansion fee 5 years later was 135m I would think about 750m for a franchise. 2 teams net the rest 50m a franchise less whatever the commissioner takes out for baseball. Between revenue per year decreasing from the broadcast pool and inflation of wages for competition for even the mediocre players, which in turn drives up arb costs the expansion fees should cover it for a few years. Being short sighted is not how owners became billionaires.
  20. The Wise One
    Is Chatwood away from Coors better than Mejia or Gibson? He has a career ERA below 4 away from Coors. That gives the team a little better chance to win than those two have given the team.
  21. The Wise One
    It is not a net gain for the individual teams. 6 less games of broadcast revenue. 3 less games for revenue from full season ticket holders, 3 less suite rentals. The 10 teams that sell well will have less fans. National broadcast rights will be less for each team. There will be a short term bump up in merchandise royalties
  22. The Wise One
    The Indians built their staff by trading veterans nearing free agency. Cliff Lee, Shin Soo Choo and Jake Westbrook. What are the Twin's equivalents?
  23. The Wise One
    Baseball had about a 10 billion dollar revenue stream. Dropping 6 games would be a 3.7% drop in revenue, about 370 million. I do not think that mlb would save that much in travel costs, I doubt players will want to give up their per game income. A home and home series against a rotating team would likely be added to keep up the revenue.
  24. The Wise One
    Yes, home runs have increases. So have home runs. I still can't find statistics that say a pitcher's home run given up is inversely proportional to K/9 It is likely true at the extremes, but not necessarily so. Tanaka and Darvish have given up a lot of HR while Fulmer, Cahner and Nelson have not.
  25. The Wise One
    Refresh my memory with the last 5 baseball champions. 2012 Giants as a team not so great with the strikeouts, 2015 Royals likewise. One pitcher does not pitch in all of the games to be able to strike out everybody. See Santana, Johan.
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