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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    The winning % equates to what range of time? Last year? Last 5 years? Last 25 years? The Giants haven’t been #9 in winning % for a bit & the Brewers at 23rd in winning% seems really outdated. Can’t blend down years with good years and draw any conclusions that relate to specific years of winning & specific years of drawing well or not. Rays 24th in winning%???
  2. JD-TWINS
    I’ve lived in Cincinnati since the Spring of ‘91. Reds had won in ‘90 & Twins won in ‘91 ….. I was experiencing Baseball Nirvana. 10 years later most people thought the Twins were getting contracted by MLB, with Carl’s help. The Reds draw when they win - they draw when St. Louis - Cubs - Pirates - Guardians are in town because visiting fans buy half of the seats that are sold. CINCINNATI is a self proclaimed “baseball town” …… oldest franchise in MLB …… Opening Day always kicked off here FIRST each year. Fans here, due to mediocre Management & Ownership spending, have been ambivalent for 30 years,……they still live on the cost-tails of “The Big Red Machine”! Team has been occasionally competitive - mostly below mid-line of the NL. The attendance here, outside of Season Tickets that are sold with seats left vacant, is embarrassing. Tuesdays they sell Bud for $3 - hot dogs for $2 - ice cream for $1. Essentially the only way to get adults under 35 out to a game. Win, and they will come. …….. that’s small market baseball all over the country.
  3. JD-TWINS
    Kreidler HAS to play CF with Buxton hurt. Keaschall couldn’t figure out 2B …..had to be moved. Athletic & hitting much better …… gotta try him in RF & occasionally in CF with Buxton missing time…….zero time to “train him” in the middle of season, while trying to be “competitive.” Lewis was displaced at 3B by Lee - Lee was displaced by anyone that could play SS. Lewis going to 1B is perfect going forward ……. needed his offensive infusion when back from AAA ……no time to “train him” at 1B. It’s tough to get moved repeatedly & maybe unexpectedly…….professional athletes though! Culpepper at 3B - Houston at SS - maybe Lee at 2B - Lewis at 1B going forward seems to make the defense on the dirt much more athletic & solid. OF going forward in ‘27 is Rodriguez/Gonzalez - Buxton/Jenkins - Keaschall/Jenkins …….Clemens to float……..2 Catchers. Caratini/Diaw and principal DH, Larnach. Martin - Roden - Wallner ……… all need to be moved ………possibly Rodriguez as well?3
  4. JD-TWINS
    To me, it’s obvious that Keaschall gets moved around because he’s not good enough to lockdown a position. He had 2B handed to him and was brutal - either move him on the diamond or demote him……those were the options. Martin & Clemons move around to fill gaps left by others. Lee had SS handed to him and was brutal - had to move him to 3B full time. Buxton being hurt for long stretch drives much of the “moving around”. Kreidler & Keaschall have had to play CF to fill the void. Larnach/Martin in LF - Buxton/Keidler in CF - Keaschall/Roden in RF Lee/Kreidler - Culpepper/Kreidler - Clemons - Lewis - Jeffers/Caratini ……….. DH - Bell …..w/o Jackson on roster, there will seldom be a Caratini at 1B line-up. With Buxton being healthy & able to play, the rest of the positions are pretty well set! ……………….. 13 guys ……full-time DH ……. still with 2 Catchers …… there are 10 guys to cover 7 spots.
  5. JD-TWINS
    I just have to believe that the loss of Skubal & MIZE will be too much for the Tigers to overcome for much longer. The BEST 2 guys on the Staff are now gone…….that has to have some effect over last 16 games those two would have started. Riley Greene just went on IL yesterday.
  6. JD-TWINS
    I have no issues with a probable 5 tool guy not hitting a bunch of HR’s at age 21 ……. nor ever (becoming a 4 tool guy). Emma, in his 6 seasons in the organization, has played in: 37 - 47 - 99 - 47 - 65 - 36 games. He consistently strikes out over 1/3 of his PA’s. I understand the things he does well …….they just don’t seem to outweigh the negatives, IMO, for the long-term. I’d see if Roden keeps hitting over his next 3 starts …… if he doesn’t remain at a fairly high level, I’d displace him with Jenkins. When the Rosters expand, I bring up Emma……..Rojas, if not up prior, is the other obvious call-up with Roster expansion.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Agreed………rolling out Zebby & Bailey & Prielipp & Kremer every 5th day is not what the “plan” was at the onset of the season. 🤞🤞
  8. JD-TWINS
    The “Twins SS” comment I saw was describing Lewis getting 2 doubles. ………….When it’s 7-5 and a guy walks, the tying run is not on base…….
  9. JD-TWINS
    He’s certainly frustrating since he just doesn’t hold up! He is a back to back All-Star though …… not many of those guys as a 3 or 4 on any staff.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Seriously? Do you want to go back 8 hours and edit your comment?
  11. JD-TWINS
    OK, I get the mutual option………He’s an All-Star …… but hurt for 4th straight year in 2nd half……..solid ERA for sure……….unless he rebounds considerably in next few weeks, I don’t think he gets much more than $13M via arbitration. Who knows how the new CBA may change things though?
  12. JD-TWINS
    I don’t know if Lopez or Bradley will start Opening Day in ‘27? Regardless, Taj has the best stuff on the Staff with or without Pablo.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Isn’t ‘27 his last year of Team control? He’s signed through ‘27 at $13M …….. for what I thought was his last year….. - right?
  14. JD-TWINS
    I like Joe! ….. he’s really done a nice job progressing from a single pitch guy to a two time All-star. That said, I do NOT recall any season where he has gone through the 2nd half (post All-star break) without a major issue causing him to miss significant time. He’s just not very durable after he’s reached July 15. If I know this, so does the Team (when considering re-signing( and every other Team that may look to make a trade with the Twins in the offseason.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Paddack - Coulombe - Castro - France - Bader were ALL going to be FREE AGENTS ……. just saving the $$ for the last 2 months of ‘25 was a Win regardless of who they got back. They did get 2-3 guys that have “some potential”. Moving Correa and paying $10M/yr instead of $30M+ was a smart move. He was declining big time and having more & more trouble getting on the field Brock Stewart is perpetually hurt!!! He threw 3 2/3 innings last year before he was done for the year in L.A. ……. Taking a flyer on a guy isn’t/wasn’t a bad move. Dobnack was a $3M+ anvil around the organization’s neck. Jax for Bradley was a problem for me at the time - not a problem at all at this point! Duran for Tait & Abel made sense …….. if Abel stayed healthy and was 7-6 with a 4.10 ERA everyone would be OK with the deal. Abel & Tait have a long future ahead of them……. Duran would be great for ANY team to have. I don’t know how many of the Team’s bullpen collapses actually occurred in the 9th inning this year ……… they certainly would have had a bit better success with him …….. I still see the deal as Upside ……. Duran will start making $10M plus in ‘27, I believe. Varland…… as I’ve said before, if he was from Kenosha there would be waaay less angst. Rojas is 23 with very good stuff …… Louie at 23 was squarely in MiLB & only threw a fastball. Louie nearly washed out at age 26. I don’t care if Allen Roden ever plays again ……. Rojas v. Varland, with a 5 year age spread, is not a bad thing!
  16. JD-TWINS
    Gold Glove finalist at 1B in 2025. Speer is making $4M this year and as. comparison, they are paying their back-up Catcher (Trevino) $5.25M ………. $128M for the whole Club.
  17. JD-TWINS
    You can’t just look at some stats a couple times per year and determine if a guy is worthwhile to an organization. I live in Cincinnati and will let others here know that Spencer Steer is not only a solid player but that the organization loves him……. Tito Francona at Top of the list……teammates are right behind. He plays, has played, a number of positions because he can play wherever the player anticipated to perform, isn’t doing the job. He’ll be back at 1B or in LF as needed in ‘27. If he plays 1B, Sal Stewart plays 3B and the offense improves greatly over Suarez or Hayes! He’s hit 20+ HR’s for 3 of his first 3 years and had 16 HR through 98 games in ‘26. He averaged 84 RBI over those 3 years and stole 15 bases one year and 25 bases another year. AND he can play 5 different positions as needed to help the Club. His arbitration deal with the Reds is just a matter of time.
  18. JD-TWINS
    ROJAS has to find his way back to The Show very soon. I get that Adams has been decent 70-80% of the time ……..he’s still strictly low leverage. Also, I get Rogers has a wealth of experience ……. now though, so do Minter & Hoffman. Kendry’s stuff just plays up so much that he needs to be using his good innings for the betterment of the Big Club!
  19. JD-TWINS
    Houston “might” see MLB by next June/July……he has some seasoning to do at the plate….if he’s fantastic between now and mid-April, they may pull him up by end of April in ‘27.
  20. JD-TWINS
    Nobody likes to see the “collar” for anyone near top of line-up but it ended a 19 game on base streak and a 14 game hitting streak - eventually, particularly if facing Miz & Ashby, bad things are going to happen.
  21. JD-TWINS
    I get the $$ side of the discussion going into December/January……..spending Bell’s $7M for a reliever is easy to say but who are they getting? Are those $ split between two guys or for one? Who are the targets? …….. a guy like Caleb Thielbar, at age 39, makes $4.5M and his results are -.5 WAR and a 5.30 ERA. For comparison, Hoffman makes $11M & Minter makes $11M …….both of those yearly totals were accepted by players for multi year deals. BELL, while not being pretty to watch, leads the Team with 68 RBI & has 15 HR. He’s hitting .330 with RISP………there are usually trade-offs.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Gausman sounds great due to his history, but he’s in his 14th season & he isn’t the same guy. He’s 118-123 with a 3.85 career ERA …… he strikes guys out but his WHIP has been 1.24, so he’s not a dominant guy. No control going forward ……..,don’t love Kremer but his history (previous 4 seasons) has been very consistent ……… a different pitch mix but a version of Bailey Ober type results.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Rojas at 23 this season & Louie at 28 this year is all one really needs to reference. Louie at age 26 was 0-7 with around a 7.00 ERA. Most questioned his validity at the MLB level, even residents of St Paul. Rojas being a reliever or a starter will depend upon his ability to harness his command……can’t imagine him, with health, not being in the ‘28 rotation every 5th day. An aside, I do not see Matthews as a viable starter nor does it seem like Festa will be viable again in the rotation. With these two, IMO, destined for the PEN it makes Rojas path to rotation that much closer to reality. Kremer - Ryan - Lopez are all gone at end of ‘27 ….. on paper. Louie was/is fun to watch! Great stuff has been capitalized on over last 1.5 seasons! To me, he’s a spaz though…… he’s overly hyped nearly every time he takes the mound. With that emotion, he gets as much as he can out of his fastball every time he throws it, but that doesn’t always carry him. He’s volatile with 85% very good results! He’s effective & very valuable, no doubt. ……….Rojas career trajectory has the potential to be much more than what Louie may attain, IMO.
  24. JD-TWINS
    Agree, he’ll get better as he gets more MLB time. Agree, he’s got a big arm and is athletic. He did, on 3-4 balls played that I saw, negates his arm strength by taking too long to throw. The hands weren’t real smooth last night ….. should improve! I’m sure that the organization would not bring a guy up that looks that uneven with his defense……gotta be better days ahead.
  25. JD-TWINS
    They forced Lee (.200 from right side) & Roden out of the line-up.
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