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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    I get that, but it doesn't seem terribly consistent with being our best minor league shot at helping the pen in 2017. For example, Melotakis finished 2014 at AA, missed the whole 2015 season, and started back at AA in 2016. Reed feels a lot closer to guys like Bard, Hildenberger, Melotakis, etc. than our definitive best minor league pen option.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    Not sure. Was brought up as evidence that maybe the Twins were right not to promote any other relievers. I'm not picking on him, I've barely seen him.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    Hmmm... why Reed and not Bard, even just for a AAA look at this point? 2 years age difference, but the same number of minor league innings. Bard was a first round (supplemental) pick, way back in 2012 but he basically missed his first 2-3 years with injury. Reed was a 5th round pick in 2014, and has been relatively healthy among Twins relief prospects since then, but he just hasn't performed all that well since 2014. And if Reed is our best hope, why did they have him first report to AA this year, and not AAA where he finished 2016? He could have been ready for a MLB look right now.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    In non-Twins draft news, I found this on Sam Carlson from Sunday: http://www.seattletimes.com/sports/mariners/mariners-sign-first-round-draft-pick-evan-white-and-25-other-draftees/ Using this tracker, it seems like the Mariners have gone underslot enough to offer Carlson about $2.035 mil (his slot value at #55 was $1.2 mil). They could tack on an additional $336k if they are willing to pay the $252k tax on it (75% tax on the overage, I believe). Assuming the money's not needed in rounds 11+, of course. https://www.mlbdailydish.com/2017/6/15/15812484/2017-mlb-draft-signings-tracker Will be interesting to see how it shakes out.
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    At this point, I think Randy Rosario's struggles are more indicative of more bad bullpen judgement on the FO, than any kind of blanket condemnation of all of our minor league relievers. (And I still think Rosario's presence was more about his 40-man status than anything else, which likewise isn't an excuse when we've had 40-man spots to play with.) I mean, the guys who are committed to Belisle and Breslow -- it's not much of a stretch to say they might pick the wrong reliever out of a group of minor leaguers too. (Which is why cycling through a couple more and letting performance dictate who stays may have been the more prudent strategy.)
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    FWIW, the issue many of us had is that they weren't cycling guys like that. Randy Rosario wasn't called up until June 1; he and Busenitz have a combined ~14 days of MLB service so far. They still aren't cycling guys like that, really, considering Breslow is still soaking up short low-leverage work for no discernible gain.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't think so. I certainly don't remember Gee's name from back then (and as the puns attest, it's a notable name ). Technically the Mets wouldn't have been allowed to trade Gee at that time (2007-2008 offseason), since he was just drafted in June 2007 -- and even though they could have done the Trea Turner "player to be named later for 6 months" trick, it would have been an odd move considering Gee was only a 21st round pick and relatively unknown at the time. He was not listed among Sickels' top 20 Mets prospects entering 2008, and never really rose above C/C+ later anyway. By comparison, Humber was the lowest graded prospect we received per Sickels, at B-, and even he had been a B+ the previous winter and snuck into some national top 100 recognition. Gee's MLB results remind me a bit of Kyle Gibson's, but for Gibson it has been seen as an under-achievement, while Gee probably gets over-achiever credit.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    Not that it affects the larger point, but Romero's surgery was in 2014-2015, and he returned at single A last year.
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    Gray indeed allowed 5 runs in the first (to the Astros, so Twins fans can relate!), but zero after that through 5 innings.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually, there is. Not sure if it's terribly accurate without Statcast data, but It's part of defensive metrics like DRS: http://www.fangraphs.com/library/defense/drs/
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    FWIW, that game was against the Rays. The next day was the blown lead against the Astros.
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Garver is basically doing the same thing with the bat that he's always done. wRC+ marks in his pro career: 96 (rookie league), 154, 116, 118, 136 (his brief AAA debut last year), and 129 this year.
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    There is probably something to this. Twins pen ranks 7th in MLB in save/hold percentage, and not for lack of chances -- we also rank 7th in total saves + holds. A league-average save/hold percentage across our opportunities would have yielded an additional 3-4 blown saves thus far.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Any of Tonkin, Wimmers, and Baxendale could be sent to AA, based on middling AAA performance alone not to mention lack of a future in the org. Nobody has to be given walking papers yet, if there is any concern about losing minor league depth or filling the vacated AA spots. (Mickolio would be another option for demotion, although I'm guessing we promised him a longer leash?) On the starter side, now that we've added Melville, Heston, and Wilk to the AAA starting ranks since the season began, Pino and Tepesch could be near future releases if we want too (assuming they don't want to be sent to AA, or we have better replacements in mind for AA). Most of these guys will be minor league free agents at season's end anyway, except Baxendale. (I'm assuming Wimmers gets removed from the 40-man again by that point.)
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    Why shouldn't there be a rush to promote Bard to AAA? Like you said, he's Rule 5 eligible this winter unless we add him to the 40-man, but that decision and his 40-man future are a lot more up in the air than someone like, say, Gonsavles. I would think we'd want to push Bard and get more data to better inform those decisions. Also, given his injury history (and perhaps his family history?), who knows how long this success will last for Bard? I think we'd want to make the most of it while we can.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Not so much the system, but in MLB and at the upper levels, Tampa has quite a few starters. That affords them some freedom to experiment with Hu's role, if they want.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    Archer has super-affordable team options for 2020 and 2021 too.
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually Hu was starting when they first called him up for bullpen work, and then he resumed bullpen work at AAA when they sent him down. He's come back to MLB for some long relief. Not sure what that means...
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Meyer was not out of options. He has been optioned by the Angels already in 2017.
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    OPS+ is position agnostic. So a batter with a 100 OPS+ is a league average hitter, regardless of position. WPA is very dependent on context, a very different stat. I've never really seen it employed in this manner.
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Neither Wright nor McKay would have required slot money at #1. Plus we still likely could have had Enlow around slot at 35 or 37, had we wanted to take him there over Rooker or Leach. Not saying that would have been better or anything, just saying that the comparison you made doesn't really make sense.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    Not necessarily. Wilk could have been the 26th man instead of Wimmers.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    The Royals have problems for sure, but entering last night they had won 6 in a row, 5 times scoring 7 or more runs. They were also 5-0 vs the Angels on the season. I am sure the Angels appreciated this pitching performance. (The Royals also had 5 straight guys in their lineup with 100 OPS+ or better on the season.)
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    Saturday night vs the Royals: 6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 9 K, 94 pitches (62 strikes)
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    Interesting that the clubhouse culture improved as soon as we got off to a hot start and did some winning...
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