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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    I'm not quibbling, just informing folks about the difference between PA and AB and how they are used to calculate K%. I am sure we all agree Buxton has been striking out a metric ton.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    That is AB. Buxton has 49 PA, which is the common denominator for calculating K%.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    Yup. If Murphy lets it roll foul, that's 2 strikes on Perez, and he's got an excellent chance of striking out / bunting foul for the third strike.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    If Ervin Santana can't make his next start, they can retroactively DL him and they don't have to wait 10 days to recall Duffey. (The 10 day rule is waived for DL injury replacements.) As for Milone, they've got either Meyer or Berrios lined up to take Milone's next turn, they don't need to hang on to an inactive Duffey for that purpose.
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    Swapping Duffey OUT for David Murphy IN. Although I oppose adding Murphy simply due to name confusion.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    Darnell is already off the 40-man roster, having been removed in January.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    Does his effectiveness the first time through the order in his last 3 starts really mean anything?
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    On the subject of strong pitching, Chih-Wei Hu makes his 3rd start tonight for the Rays AA team. His first 2 have gone pretty well: 9 IP, zero runs, 14 K's. He has a better case that someone "gave up on him" in his 3rd year out of high school than Stewart...
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    Saying a player's performance needs to improve if he wants to advance is hardly "giving up on him." Some may have been pessimistic about his chances to improve that much, but I don't think anybody opposed giving him that chance. For that matter, his performance this year has covered all of 3 starts. He obviously needs to keep it up for a while longer if he wants to reclaim his earlier prospect rankings -- I hope you don't construe such a statement as "giving up on him" again...
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    He doesn't have great splits going through the order the first time, except for 3 starts this season. He's got 106 starts that say otherwise. If you want to demote him to the pen, fine -- he's scuffling, we could probably use a long man out there, and we've got Berrios and/or Meyer looking good in AAA. But he's not a prospective short relief weapon at this point.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    I've been a Stewart skeptic, but this 3 game stretch is exactly the kind of results I was hoping to see. Hope he keeps it up!
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Alex Burnett made the opening day roster in 2010, skipping AAA. Way back in 2001, I believe Grant Balfour skipped AAA to make his MLB debut too. We did that with a number of starters that year -- Rincon, Brad Thomas, Adam Johnson...
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually, Chargois had 33 IP in AA last year too (plus another ~5 IP in the AA playoffs). Hopefully if his fast start is for real, he will be promoted soon, at least to AAA.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    I think that says more about the run environment of Ft Myers and the FSL than it does about this group of pitchers. Although there are some interesting names in the bunch, we may not get a good read on them until they are promoted to Chattanooga.
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    I wonder what the protocol is league-wide. Obviously lots of hitters have come up early in recent years and have been fine -- heck, Sano seemed like one of them last year, K% and BABIP aside...
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    No, you are right there. It is worse. ashburyjohn had a good takedown on that point in another thread... way back when we were "only" 0-7. Ultimately, it may not be a ton worse, if it truly is some RISP voodoo curse that will soon expire, and obviously it is never good to lose 9 straight, but statistically, losing 9 straight to begin the season is a bit worse than losing 9 straight at some point midseason.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    Sure, that sounds reasonable. But it also appears that Buxton's current MLB results are somewhat less than "less-than-stellar".
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    It is a fairly rare occurence for any MLB team to lose 9 consecutive games. If you go back in time and replay these 9 games in some alternate universe timeline, I would guess the Twins current roster wouldn't come out of them 0-9 again, Torii or not. Likewise, the 1991 Twins won 15 games in a row after they recalled Lenny Webster in June. If they went back in time and replayed them, I doubt those Twins would still win those same 15 consecutive games, Lenny Webster or not.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Not far behind:
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    You just did.
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    On Rogers: "He will be in uniform for Wednesday night’s game against the Chicago White Sox." http://www.twincities.com/2016/04/13/twins-glen-perkins-to-dl-taylor-rogers-up-from-rochester/
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    What bugs me most is how the Twins brain trust still decided to count on him heavily in their offseason planning -- how many times have we heard "a bullpen led by Perkins, Jepsen, and May is pretty good"? Perkins was and remains a pretty big question mark (and Jepsen and May aren't without their question marks either).
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Sort of. His average was low and he was striking out a lot, but he did connect on a few HR early last season, giving him a respectable ISO throughout. 7 games of no XBH, plus low average, plus not drawing an unholy amount of walks is rather unusual for Sano, although he probably did it last September in MLB too...
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    And here's a direct link to the SD/MD chart image posted above, if you want to sort it, change teams/years, etc: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=3&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=8&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=14,d
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    If they are under-valued in the draft, why would it be good for the Twins to be spending decent value (2nd through 4th round picks) on them? That would be like saying OBP was undervalued in the Moneyball era -- and then going out and spending big or drafting high for OBP players. If it was undervalued, you should have been able to get it cheaper. That said, I don't think the Royals success tells us much about RP in the draft specifically. In fact, outside of drafting Holland in the 10th round in 2007, they haven't really relied on drafting relievers at all. After bullpens, if the next key to MLB success is revealed to be undervalued platoon players, that still doesn't mean it's a good idea to draft undervalued platoon players in the top rounds of the draft.
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