Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Otto von Ballpark

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    20,669

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    74

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    As long as it's not Pretzel Night at Target Field, Levine should be okay.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    "Zach Duke in Reverse" may be a disappointing trade, but could be a great Elvis Costello song! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ptnXM6rsxSY
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    To those downgrading Trammell (myself included): Trammell is a 21 year old corner outfielder with 107 wRC+ at AA this season. Kirilloff is a 21 year old corner outfielder / first baseman with a 109 wRC+ at AA this season. Neither one is hitting for power in 2019, and have roughly equal strikeout rates. Kirilloff's advantage is in BABIP, while Trammell's is in walks and stolen bases. Kirilloff obviously was much better in 2018, and we hope this downturn is due to an injury from which he can recover -- but he's up to 287 PA on the season now, including 150 PA (with a 96 wRC+) since his last trip to the DL. If you're not crazy about Trammell, I could see why Kirilloff may not be a real attractive headliner for a blockbuster trade right now either.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    baseballtradevalues.com has the Indians as the winner, and Reds as the loser, but I suspect they have Taylor Trammell overrated. Although that wouldn't really affect the Cleveland side of things, as they neither gave up nor received Trammell. https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/real-life-scorecard-tracking-our-values-against-the-2019-summer-trade-deadline/
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    I wouldn't call it a big win for Cleveland, but: Fangraphs projects Puig and Reyes to be worth 1.2 WAR the rest of the season. And they are likely replacing Jake Bauers and Greg Allen, who were projected at 0 or slightly negative WAR the rest of the way (and have combined for -0.7 WAR already this year). On the flip side, Fangraphs projects Trevor Bauer to be worth 1.6 WAR the rest of the season. Even if they replace Bauer with a 0 WAR starter, this could be close to a wash for 2019. 2020 is tougher -- Bauer projects at 3.9 WAR, vs Reyes at 2.4 -- but presumably that is where MLB ready pitching prospects Allen and Moss come into play, plus ~$20 mil salary savings and longer range prospect Nova.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    First response: get a sympathy card for Max Kepler...
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    Weird that they downgraded Rortvedt from 45 on last year's list (and presumably preseason 2019 too) to 40 now. His component ratings all stayed the same, except "arm" was downgraded from 55 to 50.
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    Worth noting that MLB Pipeline is pretty aggressive about FV. I looked up our previous MLB Pipeline lists, and they actually had all 30 guys rated 45 FV or better for every Twins list from 2015-2018 (which was the farthest back I could find): http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2018?list=min http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2017?list=min http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2016?list=min http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2015?list=min I have no doubt we're still among the best farm systems, of course.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    A strike? Angel Hernandez was the umpire, I presume?
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    The earlier report is kind of a cloud over the second report. 1. If the Mets wanted Buxton in addition to both Lewis and Kirilloff, that would be noteworthy. Lavelle didn't say that. 2. If the Mets demands had changed in the last few days (heck, if the Mets and Twins had simply talked in the previous 24 hours), that would be noteworthy. Lavelle didn't say that either (in fact, seemed to suggest otherwise). 3. If the Mets were rebuffed on Lewis and Kirilloff, and asked about Buxton, that's noteworthy too. Lavelle doesn't say that either. Lavelle says nothing about his earlier report, or how his second report fits in the context of his earlier report. The omitted context is likely his source trying to de-emphasize the earlier report (which would imply point #3 above) and emphasize the Buxton part (which implies point #1 or #2 and makes the Mets look worse). That's the spin. And there's nothing wrong with it (although it would be nice for Lavelle to actually ask these obvious follow-up questions of his source), but people should be aware. That's all I've been trying to say.
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Spin does not equal false/lie/etc.
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    I never said the Twins were a bad actor. Just asking people not to read Lavelle's story and go "LOL Mets" without considering the omitted context.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't doubt the Mets asked about Buxton. But I'm guessing there was a lot more context to it, context that was omitted/ignored by Lavelle. Obviously there are often multiple scenarios in discussions. But you wouldn't know it from reading Lavelle's Monday night article. Omitting that context is almost certainly some form of "Twins spin."
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    Nowhere have I said this was a Twins-specific issue, or claimed that the Mets asking price wasn't high. We knew that last week when it was reported that they wanted both Lewis and Kirilloff, and not a word was breathed about Buxton being involved. I just think some of the anti-Mets reactions here have been a bit over-the-top, to a fairly obvious piece of Twins spin in the Buxton name drop. There are plenty of reasons to "LOL Mets" but this probably isn't one of them. The Mets were probably taking a longshot at Gore (Mackenzie, not Terrance ), or Tucker/Whitley, or Lewis/Kirilloff. And no one is biting. No shame in that for the Twins or the Mets.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Has a team source ever commented about negotiations to a reporter without an agenda? It just means a self interest, really. And that doesn't mean lies. I hope I have been clear in my comments: I believe this report to be true, and that the Mets indeed asked about Buxton. But I think it's pretty obvious that there is a significant amount of context being omitted from this most recent description. Namely, what happened after the originally reported Mets request for both Lewis and Kirilloff 5 days ago.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    They could. Looks like they still need to clear a 25-man and 40-man roster spot for Parker -- perhaps Morin could be that casualty? His only two Philly appearances so far have been pretty low-leverage.
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    Salary. Claiming him would have not only cost $600k base salary for the rest of the season, but also up to $1.4 mil in incentives (roster bonuses). Plus in ~13 more days, he would have gained the right to refuse an outright assignment but still collect his full salary. As it is, Philly can now just pay him league minimum, ~$200k or so for the rest of the season, with no incentives.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Parker has signed a major league deal with the Phillies: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/07/phillies-sign-blake-parker.html
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    Mejia claimed again, this time by the Cardinals: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/07/cardinals-claim-adalberto-mejia-waivers-angels.html
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually just once off Johan -- the second HR, in the 9th inning, was off of Crain, and proved to be the decisive run. I was at the game. A weekday noon start at the Metrodome. What a bummer of an afternoon.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    The Rockies aren't rebuilding either. They made the NLDS just last year. They're not perfect but they've got Arenado, Story, Blackmon, Rodgers, Gray, and Marquez. If anything, they'd probably want to shed some money, more than shedding talent for prospects.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Syndergaard's availability is noteworthy because it is ususual. Ray is controlled for less, and arguably not as good as Gray. And the Tigers are a far worse team than the Rockies.
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    Oh, I agree. I didn't mean to suggest a Buxton trade now would be reasonable. Just that the Mets asking about Buxton wouldn't really be notably more *unreasonable* than if the Twins said Lewis and Kirilloff were both off the table.
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    The bad FO thing to do would be to trade Gray for prospects right now, hoping to find another pitcher who can succeed in Coors Field in the near future...
×
×
  • Create New...