Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Otto von Ballpark

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    20,669

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    74

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Enlow has a below league average K%, ERA, RA9, and FIP so far in the FSL. If we're going to give bonus points when evaluating hitters in that environment, I think you've got to give some demerits to pitchers in that environment too.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    I'm guessing that poster was referring to the Nick Anderson trade from this past winter.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    If you really want an extra year of club control, you could propose an extra option year, or maybe just a 4th option year for all players instead of only a few. That would at least avoid encouraging more outrighting off the 40-man roster. Of course, either change (reverting control of DFA'd players, or adding an extra option year) would need to be negotiated with the players. Increased pay and benefits for 40-man players would be a logical place to compromise, but I suspect MLB teams might reject it -- by the 4th option year, most teams probably want a crack at other team's players, as under the current system, rather than more control of their own guys on the bubble.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    Seriously, entering this season, Mejia had already been under complete club control for almost 8 years, with a meager 1 year and 52 days of MLB time in that span. (And he's one of the "lucky" ones, having been added to the 40-man as soon as he was Rule 5 eligible, and without a 4th option year.) And now, some of you want to extend that to 9 years with up to an extra year at the end, an extra year in the player's prime, spent back off the 40-man roster with lower pay/benefits and a reduced chance to make it back to MLB? If you are concerned that teams don't have enough control over these players, keep in mind an extra year before Rule 5 eligibility was already added in ~2006 or so. Mejia has already given his club an extra year of control over the same class of player from the previous generation. Do you think the next generation should give an additional year? When does it stop? If the Giants/Twins decide they don't want Mejia on their 40-man roster, after 8 years of exclusive control, then I say it is time to let Mejia get what he can under the current system, even if it just table scrap slices of MLB pay and service time from other orgs. (Which can add up -- Oliver Drake parlayed it into 2 whole years.) At that point, my primary concern as a fan is with the player is Mejia's position, more than teams and even more than players with less experience (although I am certainly in favor of expanding pay and benefits for those players as well).
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually the Twins still haven't replaced Mejia on the 40-man roster. It's not MLB service time and generally not MLB pay, but still increased pay and benefits. A rule change that makes it easier to outright players will create more of these unfilled 40-man spots and hurt the "the players" as a whole (even if I don't think looking at "the players" as a whole is necessarily the right way to view this issue).
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    Yes. Players in DFA limbo get MLB pay/benefits/service time during that time.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    I'll add that definitionally, the current system already has relative fairnesz among teams in this regard. Yes, the Twins might lose a guy like this -- but the Twins have every right and opportunity to claim a guy like this too. But there is no such fairness for a player in this situation. If Mejia gets outrighted to Rochester, he can't do anything to even things out. So another reason I side with players here.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    And I'll respond with what I say every time you say this. Your proposal would be worse for the players. By removing the possibility of later sneaking him through waivers, it would have made it more likely for Mejia to go unclaimed in his first DFA go-around and he could have missed out on the last few weeks of MLB paychecks, health insurance, service time, pension earning, etc. Not to mention extra MLB opportunities to audition for other clubs (maybe Mejia gets claimed now after a few solid innings for the Angels). Your rule modification would be better for teams. But the current system is already pretty darn good for teams in regards to pre-arb players, so I'd rather side with the players here. Now, if you want to dream about blowing the whole system up, and making it more equitable all around, I could get behind that.
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    Mejia DFA'd again by the Angels today: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/07/angels-recall-nick-tropeano-designate-adalberto-mejia.html
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Don't forget Gerrit Cole! Charlie Morton in FA might qualify too.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    My grandma would always send me cash considerations.
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Obviously it sounds like Lewis and Kirilloff would get it done. But if the Mets are truly intent on moving him, then it might not take that much -- we would only have to outbid the other suitors. I think just one of those two plus maybe two other complementary pieces (among Larnach, Graterol, Duran, Balazovic, etc.) might get it done, in that case.
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    I cited baseballtradevalues.com to illustrate the general imbalance of your original proposal, not to specifically endorse any precise valuations, so we can retire this "1/7" thing. And this isn't about Sano vs Syndergaard and who you would rather have in a vacuum. The Twins have the resources to maximize net gain this year, and not subtract from our 25-man roster to add players.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Here's a site that purports to offer some info about that: https://sportslawblogger.com/baseball/salary-information/minor-league-salary/
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't think Syndergaard should cost $40 mil over the next two years. He's only getting $6 mil this year. Bauer made $6.5 mil last year, in the same service class, and it took a near Cy Young season to get him to $13 mil this year. Stroman also got $6.5 last year, and had a poor season and only got $7.4 this year. The previous year is a fairly big factor in determining how much a raise there will be. I think Syndergaard is probably looking at ~$10 mil next year, and $15-20 mil the year after depending on performance. Edit: I just saw your next post. Yeah, $30 mil over 2 years is probably closer.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    If it gets to the QO deadline, yeah, he probably takes it. But I think he (and the team) might try to get a 3/40 type deal instead, even before the QO deadline.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    My gut tells me that the Twins aren't actually interested in acquiring a SP right now. They're just doing their due diligence in advance of offseason negotiations, or in case something changes between now and the deadline (i.e. a starter getting hurt). Some RP will probably be acquired, though.
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    That's only if the player accepts the QO. Otherwise, it's just leverage for a longer deal at lower AAV.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Clinching early would be an even bigger advantage, no? Without expanded rosters, you can't rest your whole lineup in just 1 or 2 games anymore, but you can do so quite easily over a week or more with just your normal bench. I think 3rd catchers may not be automatic September call-ups in that scenario anymore either. Probably just keep a third catcher on standby? Maybe add them for the last week, if you have clinched? I think the "mass backups starting" thing is pretty isolated anyway. The 2017 Twins had nothing to play for in the last 4 games, but we pretty much started our regular lineup and bench guys each game. Same with the 2018 Red Sox, for even more games -- eyeballing it, I only see 2 starters across their last week of lineups that didn't make their postseason roster. Some guys got pulled early in those games, of course.
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    The "position" in my original post on this tangent isn't exclusive of other positions. The original trade you proposed was highly imbalanced in our favor. It, and your revised proposal, also unnecessarily subtracted from our current 25-man roster -- we can afford to get Syndergaard and quality relievers without doing that. I'll bow out of debating this tangent now. Where have you seen that the Mets want Sano?
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Sorry if I haven't been clear. Even if Sano is less valuable than Syndergaard, he still has significant value to a team in a pennant race. And how many teams subtract like that in a pennant race? Another poster put it much more succinctly than I: "I think you could keep one [Lewis and Kirilloff], and still get Syndergaard and a reliever (from a different team) as dependable as Lugo"
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    On this tangent: if the gap between them is significantly closer than that, why do you want to subtract Sano in a pennant race? Are Diaz and Lugo that much better than any other relievers on the market, to lead to that extraordinary step? Diaz has had some rough times this year, and is about to get pretty expensive in arbitration too.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Two RP can absolutely mean something -- but not necessarily these two specific RP from the Mets. I'm open to a SP/RP package deal if it reduces our cost, but subtracting from our current 25-man isn't really a reduction in cost, but rather a shift in cost (and an uncomfortable one, at that).
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    Lance Lynn 2019 actually reminds me a bit of Phil Hughes 2014. Career year in the first year of a modest 3 year deal. (Lynn has the better track record as a starter, though, while Hughes had the age advantage.)
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    But in RA9-WAR, Lynn is only 22nd by this measure, at 4.7. Lynn's had an outstanding season, but his argument for being near the very top is dependent on both FIP and park factors, probably a bit more than I am comfortable with. Still looks plenty valuable, though, even if he's not top 3 or whatever.
×
×
  • Create New...