Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Otto von Ballpark

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    20,669

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    74

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Joe Nathan also walked the Yankees #9 hitter (Miguel Cairo) in the process of losing 2004 ALDS Game 2. (Never got to a 2-strike count though -- called strike 1 and then four straight balls.)
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    Duensing has been a free agent since June 19th -- what are we waiting for?!?!
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    I think the poster was assuming that the trade made it less likely we could re-sign Escobar. I'm not really sure about that, but it could be a factor. And he is looking pretty good on his new contract. Not that we really need position players right now, of course. To the extent that perhaps there's a downgrade from Escobar to Schoop, or to Marwin, it hasn't hurt us much and it might be worth adding Duran etc.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    That was the prediction of some. I wasn't so sure. August trades were of lesser-quality players, pretty much by definition (with the rare exception of Verlander). Guys like Neal Cotts, or Fernando Rodney last year. I guess the theory of some was that since teams can't wait until August to move those guys anymore, they'd move them earlier. Problem is, nobody really wanted those guys until August, after the July 31st deadline had passed and the better players were all sorted out. Teams selling the 2019 version of Neal Cotts can't simply leapfrog the good reliever trade candidates unless someone wants to buy Neal Cotts and NOT buy the good relievers. (Because no one is really interested in acquiring Cotts and then replacing him a few weeks later.)
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    Yeah, I wouldn't expect that from KC either -- but they've already cleared a lot of payroll obligations. They don't really *need* someone to save them from the Kennedy money. If they want to get better, they may view it as an opportunity to buy a few prospects. Hopefully we're holding out because our sights are set higher than Kennedy, I suppose.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    Maybe KC is willing to eat quite a bit, in which case they can ask for some pretty good prospects? Especially if the Giants don't sell and Kennedy could be close to the top of the market.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    I wonder if the Jays and Royals are holding out a bit, because if the Giants/Padres/Tigers/etc. don't sell, they could really dominate the market, even with an imperfect asset like Kennedy (especially if the Royals are willing to eat a lot of cash). Still, you wouldn't think the expected return on a guy like Kennedy would be all that much that a team couldn't "jump the gun" on the market without any crazy prospect cost.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    Just looking at the pitcher zones on Brooks Baseball, I see the missed call against Duffey, and one against Stewart. But I also see one in Rogers' favor, plus another one that may have been in Parker's favor. For the game (with the caveat that the Ottavino/Green data seems to be missing right now), I see 3 calls against Twins pitchers and 3 in their favor. I see 2 against Yankee pitchers, and zero in their favor*: http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/zoneTrack.php?&game=gid_2019_07_23_nyamlb_minmlb_1/&innings=yyyyyyyyy&month=07&day=23&year=2019 * They do show one really wild one that appears to be in the Yankees favor, but I traced it to the first pitch of the Britton-Cruz AB in the 8th and it was actually a swing and foul tip, so it must have been coded incorrectly.
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    Brooks Baseball has Chapman's zone as pretty much perfect: (They don't seem to have Ottavino's available yet, and Gameday isn't working for me at the moment either.)
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    FYI, it's only 1.5 years of Yates.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    The failed front of the rotation prospects?
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Anything that involves prospect values is going to be fairly subjective, and that site in particular probably isn't as responsive to recent health/performance trends (although there are limits to how much these guys values are going to shift over smaller samples too). Diaz and Blankenhorn probably deserve a boost from this season, but the other guys are far enough away, or still have enough performance questions, that I don't think these ratings are that far off. As for Vasquez, it's hard to value all those years of control. You might be right to only offer so much, but the Pirates might be right to reject it right now too -- he's controlled for so long, they can probably get a similar return a year from now if they want. Edit to add: I think the fact you can make a Vasquez deal work without Lewis, Kirilloff, or Graterol show the reliever discount, as compared to starters.
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    That's fair, although one could also say that the Padres made a risky trade with Hand for Mejia. And the Padres contention status/timeline has changed in the last year too, so what was acceptable to them last year may not be accepted in 2019.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Yates isn't as good as Pressly was? I've defended Pressly's 2018 Twins performance on this site before, but even I have to say this is going too far.
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    But accepting Romero (plus Davis) for Yates right now would not be "buying low" on Romero at all.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    The A's just traded for the shell of Homer Bailey. Montas is out, Manaea and Luzardo are still out. They may need relievers too, but they could also use starters.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually, I am pretty sure the Reds take that package. Castillo is no Trout.
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    If Syndergaard's value is down that much, the Mets don't trade him.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    This trade would seem to fail the baseballtradevalues.com test too -- they don't list Colina, but the other 4 guys are about $15 mil short of Vasquez, and I doubt Colina makes up for all that. Subbing Duran (13) for Colina gets it pretty close.
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    Remember, the A's once traded Russell for Samardzija. I could likewise see them getting Stroman for the 2019 pennant race, and then flipping him in the offseason.
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    I agree it's fair to quibble with some of those values, but in what universe are the Mets trading Syndergaard for a single top 100 prospect who is missing most of the current season with shoulder issues? Keep in mind, Syndergaard is not an expiring contract, nor are the Mets really rebuilding given their roster. But even if you assume the Mets decided to move Syndergaard right now, I don't see how the Padres would fail to top that offer handily, and probably a few other teams too.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    Gray has 3.7 bWAR so far in 2019. Only 2 fWAR, but comparable FIP/xFIP to Berrios. Gray had a down 2018, but that seems to be behind him.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    What news? He pitched at AA yesterday, no?
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    The Rockies want to get out of Blackmon's contract while they still can. The same principle doesn't apply to Gray at all.
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    The thing about Archer was he was a bit of a project too. ERA+ marks of 100, 103, and 97 leading up to the trade. Career 107. Durable counting stats, some interesting peripherals, and a team-friendly contract, but it shouldn't be that difficult to identify and avoid that profile in trade.
×
×
  • Create New...