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AlwaysinModeration

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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration

  1. AlwaysinModeration
    It’s my George Costanza moment! I’ll see myself out, it’s been good knowing you.
  2. AlwaysinModeration
    I should also have noted that his quote following this line in the article is “I was keeping myself in shape.” Which, of course, implies that he has been, and continues to be, in EXACTLY the right shape.
  3. AlwaysinModeration
    For some reason, it is extremely easy to visualize Willians demonstrating how the ball went by his head.
  4. AlwaysinModeration
    You must have missed it in the Athletic profile by Dan Hayes, the very Willians version of “best shape of his life”: “He lost a little weight this winter.”
  5. AlwaysinModeration
    Saw Witt at HR Derby. Seems like he might be high on himself. Why is Carroll so good?
  6. AlwaysinModeration
    So, reading through these materials again, am eager to hear any updates as the spring season gets underway. I’d like to hope that Rutschman or Vaughan have lousy spring seasons and fall down lists (especially Rutschman, seems like than guy does it all). Otherwise Caleb Stewart looks like a potential buy-low (best curve, mid-90s, failed to sign last year) or maybe Misner, given he missed the end of last year including summer with a broken foot.
  7. AlwaysinModeration
    Actually, I think that is part of the underlying logic of both of these deals. From both Polanco and Kepler’s perspective, as good but maybe not great players, they can clearly see guys who can potentially push them off the field looming behind them (Lewis, Javier; Kiriloff, Larnach). It makes sense, then, to get a team commitment to having them stick around as a long-term piece. Berrios and Buxton don’t have to look over their shoulders, so that might make them less inclined to opt for a deal selling any free agent years. Sano doesn’t either, per se, but we also don’t know how long he will stick at third.
  8. AlwaysinModeration
    Having E. coli for three weeks with no antibiotics sounds rough. In addition to losing all that weight, he lost a lot of muscle mass and workout time.
  9. AlwaysinModeration
    Good ending. Did not see that coming.
  10. AlwaysinModeration
    Put up a good season along with Alex, and they could be #1 and #2 prospects in baseball next year?
  11. AlwaysinModeration
    Ok, I’ll bite. Why do you insist on the “h” in Kiriloff?
  12. AlwaysinModeration
    And to bring the conversation back to Kiriloff, as this is in the Kiriloff forum, let me point out the glaringly obvious fact that Kiriloff went from last year being unranked nationally but “he’s a great pure hitter” to this year, after an amazing statistical season, ranked in the top 20 nationally. To me, it looks like it was his stats over the past year that made up 95% of those ranking changes. (94.8%, to be exact.)
  13. AlwaysinModeration
    It seems like there is a big difference between saying stats are “just a piece of the puzzle” and “rankings typically have very little to do with the stats.” I think your latter statement was just hyperbole and we shouldn’t hold you to it, especially in the broader context of all of the great work you do tracking down and writing up all of the Twins prospects that we all like to follow during the dog days of winter (buy the prospect handbook!). All that said, I am still a bit perplexed how you feel like you aren’t considering stats that much when you go from ranking Gonsalves #1 in the system after an amazing statistical season in A+/AA, to #2 in the system after an exceedingly good statistical season in AA/AAA, to #11 after a similarly excellent statistical season in AAA with a 24 bad inning promotion to MLB. To me it looks like stats were a pretty big driver for those rankings.
  14. AlwaysinModeration
    Here is what you said, Seth, in the Jhoan Duran forum, when looking at Gonsalves vs Duran: “Prospect rankings, however, typically have very little to do with the stats, though they do obviously factor in. And, I would hope people have not given up on Gonsalves at all. But Duran's upside is top of the rotation starter. That's why I rank him higher. That's'why I have Graterol ranked higher.”
  15. AlwaysinModeration
    Always!
  16. AlwaysinModeration
    Well that does it, get Granite to the Lasic guy stat!
  17. AlwaysinModeration
    I somehow read that as “as a late inning pinch runner”, and did a double take.
  18. AlwaysinModeration
    I like your crowbar metaphor “manny” times more than the fingers metaphor.
  19. AlwaysinModeration
    If you are very excited to follow him this year, does that mean you have wanderlust?
  20. AlwaysinModeration
    I don’t think I’ve seen you before. However if he somehow sticks with the Twins for two or three years, and the #10 prospect makes his way up to the bigs, there could potentially be a 9-3 double play, with the call: “And a diving catch by Akil “Yabba Dah” Badoo, he gets up and tosses it in to Lucas “Zippety” Duda, this is going to be an easy double play!”
  21. AlwaysinModeration
    If the Twins have actually offered 3/45 for Kimbrel, that is great news. It would be the highest price paid for a reliever on the market this offseason. Maybe it would take a few more million to get him to sign, but hopefully the Twins’ patience on the market and payroll flexibility will pay off. Aside from shoring up the back of the bullpen, he would be a fine trade piece. The Yankees traded Aroldis and Andrew Miller and got Gleyber Torres, Clint Frazier, and Justus Sheffield (who has turned into James Paxton).
  22. AlwaysinModeration
    Two questions: 1. Will Schoop insist on batting lead-off? 2. Which player will hit more solo homers this year? That said, I hope both players have nice bounce back seasons, with Schoop bouncing back further than Dozier. I’ll be more than happy to watch Dozier here in DC for the Nats. (It will also make for a nice storyline when he makes the Series for the second year in a row and faces his old team.)
  23. AlwaysinModeration
    Thanks for writing this piece. If you compare their stats through age 31, Santana is better. His shredded shoulder, probably exacerbated by pitching the Mets’ lone no-hitter, cost him the HOF for two main reasons, in my opinion: 1) his counting stats, and by that, really, I mean his wins total, fell short. I think the writers see 139 wins, and then they moved on to other players, and 2) he retired a year or two early...if he had gotten on the ballot after the past two years of four guys elected each, he likely would have been able to stay on the ballot, and possibly get some traction over the next few years. Santana was the best pitcher in the game for an extended stretch. His peak can be compared to that of Sandy Koufax. Hell(‘s Bells), he pitched twice as many innings at about the same level of effectiveness as Trevor Hoffman. He absolutely deserved more consideration than one and done.
  24. AlwaysinModeration
    It was a little heartless, I have to admit, but I couldn’t resist. I certainly don’t want to have to account for my past assertions! (I seem to recall a strong Tulowitzki post or five). Thanks for taking it in the right spirit. Gonsalves might have a lower upside than people thought a year or two ago, but, I think people are reading too much into 24IP.
  25. AlwaysinModeration
    Danchat, I went back to the 2018 write-up of Gonsalves (he was ranked #4 in the system by TD at the time) and I found an interesting comment in the comment section: “I'm hoping to see Gonsalves by July in the majors. From what I've read, it seems he'll slot in as a #3-4 starting pitcher. Having the young core of Berrios (#2), Gonsalves (#3), and Mejia (#4) and seeing them perform up to their talent levels would be huge for this team. Now if they only had a true ace... “I am concerned about the recent trend of rookie starters for the Twins. This includes Kyle Gibson (10 starts, 6.53 ERA), Trevor May (9 starts, 7.88 ERA), Jose Berrios (14 starts, 8.02 ERA). Mejia's first 10 starts were OK (4.93 ERA). The only good recent rookie starter I could find was Tyler Duffey (10 starts, 3.10 ERA) and it's been all downhill from here. “The Twins will have to be patient with Gonsalves... sophomore years have been much better for our starters.” ........ That comment, of course, was by you. I agree with you. Patience!
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