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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Danchat
    Just ran the numbers on other outfielders who are making similar amounts of money: Rosario 2019-20: .271/.305/.494 (.798 OPS) 38 HRs 127 RBIs (per 162) 2.6 total WAR (BBref) Avisail Garcia 2019-20 @ $10M: .270/.332/.427 (.759 OPS) 21 HRs 80 RBIs (per 162) 1.6 total WAR Aaron Hicks 2019-20 @ $10M: .231/350/.431 (.781 OPS) 26 HRs 82 RBIs (per 162) 1.8 total WAR A.J. Pollock 2019-20 @ $12M: .270/.322/.506 (.828 OPS) 36 HRs, 94 RBIs, 0.8 total WAR Josh Reddick 2019-20 @ $13M: .267/.318/.401 (.718 OPS) 15 HRs, 65 RBIs, 0.7 total WAR Wil Myers 2019-20 @ $13.8M: .254/.331/.477 (.808 OPS) 26 HRs, 72 RBIs, 0.9 total WAR If this was a normal market, $10-12M for Eddie would be very reasonable.
  2. Danchat
    With some news coming in on the Twins' arbitration-eligible players, I think it'd make sense to start a discussion on the incoming moves. So far: Rosario placed on outright waivers Thielbar looks like a lock to be in the pen again, though he does have one option remaining just in case.
  3. Danchat
    Not surprising. It just didn't make sense to bring him back having Kiriloff, Larnach, and Rooker all on the cusp of being ready and having traded none of them. Eddie's a good player and will likely continue to be a 2-3 WAR player for a while longer, but for someone else.
  4. Danchat
    I would have paid him that, but I understand not wanting to throw too much money at relievers. Here's hoping we add a couple solid relievers in free agency.
  5. Danchat
    Minor got 2 years, $18M. May to Mets for $15M over 2 years.
  6. Danchat
  7. Danchat
    Sano seems like a classic Rays rebound guy, but his contract would likely turn them off since they strive to have as small a payroll as possible.
  8. Danchat
    I don't think we saw enough of Pineda in 2020 to justify another deal with him. I'd rather wait to see how he pitches the 2021 season and go from there.
  9. Danchat
    I did not realize Ober's fastball tops out in the 80s. He must have some great breaking pitches, 'cause throwing 88 isn't going to fly in the majors these days.
  10. Danchat
    I do hope the reports about Hunter wanting a massive deal aren't true, the Vikings can't afford to give a massive raise guy coming off serious neck surgery. If they have to trade him, I imagine they'd get a pretty package for him, though discounted a bit due to the injury. I was frustrated to see no more trades after the Ngakoue move - Reiff and Harris should have been moved. Rudolph and Barr need to go. This team is stuck in an awkward spot in that they kept making win-now moves, while having a golden opportunity to hit the reset button and move players for picks. Just look at how well the Diggs trade has panned out, plus we have 3 more 2021 draft picks from it!
  11. Danchat
    That also begs the question, if they're only going to rely on him for 5 inning games in big opportunities, why pay him the big money? I'd prefer to see Berrios play out the next two seasons here and let him hit free agency. He'll be a pretty good pitcher for a while, but he'll likely be overpaid heavily in the open market.
  12. Danchat
    You can count me as one who really wants Cruz back. I also think NL will implement the DH, it’s just going to take some time to negotiate it. Offer him a 1 year deal with an option and go from there. Ozuna or Brantley would be decent fallback options.
  13. Danchat
    Before this year, Zimmer had the best record against teams with records below .500 (only loss to one from 2018-2019 was against Buffalo), but now that seems to be out the window. I could see them losing their game to the Jaguars but winning against the Bucs, with how weird this season has gone. 7-9 or 8-8 seems likely right now.
  14. Danchat
    Udoh played RT all of training camp and never got a crack at guard. It was actually Aviante Collins rotating with the 1st team vs Dozier in training camp, oddly enough. Samia was mostly stuck with the 3rd team (which was a big red flag in hindsight). Udoh is a decent prospect, but they've pigeon-holed him at RT, which is owned by O'Neill, who I imagine gets extended at some point in 2021. Reiff has been really good, which makes him hard to move. I actually wanted to see O'Neill get a crack at LT when we were 1-5 just to see if he could, but that's not going to happen now. I dunno about the TE/3rd WRs part... the first couple weeks, Cousins was spamming the ball to Thielen non-stop, but lately he's been throwing it to the other guys a bit more. My biggest complaint early on was that Cook wasn't getting enough targets, but now he's been getting them. Cousins has also never targeted Rudy very much over his career here, for some reason. Now that I think about it further, it may be related to the fact that we've run the ball so much, there haven't been many attempts to go around. And throwing the ball to Jefferson as much as possible is a great strategy. But I do hope they can find a better 3rd WR - maybe try Tajae Sharpe? He's getting paid $1M to sit on the bench every week. Maybe Alexander Hollins after he had a great training camp? Dan Chisena still has a roster spot for some reason despite being a poor special teamer.
  15. Danchat
    3) Barr can be cut/traded for just a $2.6M cap hit in 2021 if designated as a post-June move. His 2021 cap hit is around $15M, but $12.4M of it can be saved by moving him. That seems like a no-brainer move, as Wilson has replaced Barr and has been a better playmaker. Problem is, Wilson's a free agent in 2021. 4) He's not using the 3rd WR very much. Beebe, who's been the 3rd WR since Week 3, has only played about 20-30% of the snaps every week. He's not very good, but they're also just not using him. He's instead used 2 TE packages liberally, with Rudolph and Smith Jr. both playing over 70% of the snaps every game. 5) Dozier has been a pretty bad starter and needs to be replaced, and I have no hope for Samia as a prospect. With Cleveland panning out at guard, I wonder if the team still sees him as the future LT or not. He definitely profiled as one originally. Udoh has been a weekly inactive and they don't seem to want to use him at guard. With Cleveland hurt, Brett Jones is going to start at RG tomorrow. Kubiak's been doing a pretty great job with what he's been given IMO. We have the #1 yardage per play in the NFL with a limited QB and suspect O-line. Sure, I'd like to see Irv get more targets and like to see more depth at WR, but we've got the current best HB in the league and a dynamite 1-2 WR combo. Kubiak has utilized them well thus far.
  16. Danchat
    Not surprised by the Rortvedt addition, but I am surprised that Ober makes the 40 man. He's got the crazy numbers, but the question will be if he can stay healthy. I also have to wonder how soon he'll be ready. I don't think we lose anybody in the Rule 5 Draft. Guys like Severino and Javier are simply too far off, and would be deadweight on a major league roster. As for making room on the 40 man roster... fringe guys like Thorpe and Smeltzer don't seem like locks. They look like AAA arms, and we need roster spots for bullpen additions. Tortuga could be DFA'd with Rortvedt + a non-roster guy like Telis at AAA. Wade Jr. seems expendable with the OF prospects nearing their arrival. Is Gordon even worth rostering? There is plenty of room here and I don't expect a lack of roster spots to impede any FA signings.
  17. Danchat
    It has been annoying, but I can understand why they wanted to be slow with the rookies when they had a shortened first offseason. But as Levi said, there have been times where the better [or even potentially better] player has been left on the bench. I get giving Samia, a 2019 4th rounder a shot, but they really need to be OK with benching guys without injuries happening. Irv got injured in the Lions game and missed the Bears game, but before that he was playing about the same snap % as Rudolph, somewhere between 60-70%. So neither have been the 'primary' guy, but they should try to target Smith on more passing plays. And all that Bisi Johnson hype has been for nothing! Turns out a mediocre training camp for Jefferson was not a red flag, now is having an insane rookie year. I need to stop putting any kind of value to training camp hype.
  18. Danchat
    Wow, that's a lot more than I thought a guy of his caliber would get. This definitely bodes well for the other starting pitchers out there.
  19. Danchat
    Yeah, I think that Kiriloff got his chance over Larnach because of the 40-man spot, as we'd be down one spot right now if we brought Larnach up for that single game. But I agree, Larnach's right in the thick of it with Kiriloff, and with the way he's consistently raked in the minors, I'd be willing to be he will end up as the better player. I fully expect him to debut at some point in 2021 and look the part.
  20. Danchat
    Odorizzi isn’t getting $60M in this market... $30M might be a stretch.
  21. Danchat
    Wow, I guess I forgot Escobar was part of the Liriano deal, which means the Pierzynski trade is still alive. That's crazy!
  22. Danchat
    Adding on to the comparisons: Playoffs: Rosario 6 games, .217/.250/.522 (.772 OPS) Buxton 3 games, .167/.167/.167 (.333 OPS) Sano 5 games, .105/.150/.263 (.413 OPS) Kepler 6 games, .056/.320/.375 (.431 OPS) Yuck. And Eddie's is with 0/7 vs the Astros! I'm not all aboard the Rosario train, but he's certainly not a bad player. He should be a 1.5-3 WAR player again in 2021. I wouldn't give him a multi-year extension, but I wouldn't hate it if he was tendered. I would like to get him back if we lose Cruz, but I'm also comfortable with the future of the LF spot with Kiriloff and Larnach close to being ready.
  23. Danchat
    Gausman took the QO. Starting pitching will be a scarcity as it always is, but will there be a market?
  24. Danchat
    I imagine that Gausman will also take the QO. Spotrac on FA starting pitchers who should make more than $10M a year: Masahiro Tanaka Trevor Bauer Charlie Morton James Paxton Mike Minor Kevin Gausman Garrett Richards Jake Odorizzi
  25. Danchat
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