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Linus

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Everything posted by Linus

  1. I remember when the Twins traded for Capps, somebody posted some stats about how overrated "closers" were. It went something like this: "closers" starting the 9th inning with nobody on base pitched a scoreless inning 92% of the time. Other pitchers who starting an inning with nobody on base pitched a scoreless inning 90% of the time. I can't remember if it was any random inning but the point remains. That's why I hated the Capps deal so much. You didn't need any special stats to tell you that he wasn't going to be much different than Jon Rausch was the first half of the year. To this day Bill Smith still maintains that was a key acquisition for the playoff run that year; I'll refrain from editorial comment on his tenure.
  2. Many good points in this thread - all of these stats and systems will continue to improve but I do tire of people actually arguing with others using WAR as some lynchpin piece of evidence. Offensively, all the data is really helpful. Defensively, you lost me when Josh Wilingham was rated a better defender than Torii Hunter (I can't remember which stat is was).
  3. And I would be in favor of a deal like this if the Twins were in a different situation, where they needed depth in their rotation. IMO, their depth is fine, top end talent is what they are missing. I would also do this deal several times over before signing Pelfry or Corriea.
  4. Agreed. The mega deals get fans excited but, IMO, teams would be far better off never or rarely doing them. Trade them for prospects and start developing the next superstar.
  5. I suppose you could say something similar about any trade for a player that has struggled. I think the return for him is a pretty good gauge for what the market thought of Hellickson's chances to be a top pitcher.
  6. One thing that I believe doesn't get enough attention in discussions like these is the age and playing experience of the player. He will play next season at the age of 24 with one MLB season under his belt and AA prior to that. There is a very real chance that he is still learning and improving as a player. So, while the BABIP has to come down, there isn't any reason he can't get better in all facets of his game.
  7. These "mega contracts" would be an interesting case study. I'm too lazy to do the research but it sure seems like many of them turn out badly for the team. I guess this one is different in that the player is still young.
  8. Doesn't seem like much upside on either side of the trade. I wouldn't have done it if I were the Twins; not because I wouldn't give up the prospects but I don't think the Twins need anymore back of the rotation type guys.
  9. Or multiple pitchers, which has been the case for a while now.....
  10. This is awesome information. This would be really interesting to see over the course of several years to see if any of the categories you noted changed much. Throws some cold water on some of the "generally accepted facts" that people espouse.
  11. Thanks for that info.
  12. Really, when was that? I follow all this stuff closely and I don't recall him making any such statement. Of course he would have input but Molitor is the one that has to work closely with these guys every day for a very long season.
  13. The old "high hard one" was a staple of pitchers in the old days. The strategy is only new to this generation of players it's fun to see if only for the variety
  14. I care more about whether Viola is qualified or not. Has he been coaching in other organizations? If not why would he be qualified?
  15. Do we even know that TR is making these decisions? Isn't Molitor's coaching staff?
  16. Ok I don't want to be obnoxious here but it is really time to get real about Hicks. If he was a 3rd round draft choice he would be completely written off. I hope he comes through but in no way should he be given any major league time without showing something better than he has so far. The fact of the matter is he is now more suspect than prospect. Time to move on - this happens all the time. Hopefully he surprises us but no way should he be counted on
  17. Easy. I would say he would get 5 years for $75 million.
  18. The practical approach here is to start him in AXA next year and see what happens. Clearly he should not be counted upon for a MLB roster spot
  19. This list combined with the Hicks news pretty much explains why we need a FA outfielder this off season for sure. It's pretty much a black hole even with Buxton in play
  20. The biggest problem with this trade is that we have no depth in the outfield. We plug one hole and create another. That's why the best trades come from trading from a position of strength which the Twins just don't have right now. While he drives me nuts sometimes with his wild swings, I do think Arcia has the upside to be a potentially elite hitter and average defender.
  21. I think Rasmus is the only choice because they have to sign somebody that can play CF, potentially anyway. It boggles my mind that there are people comfortable going into next season counting on Hicks in any way, shape or form. He has given no indication that he has figured anything out at the plate. He has to start next season in Rochester until he proves he can hit at AAA which means we need a CF. If Hicks finally gets it (which I hope he does) than either he or Rasmus can move to LF. At this point, if I had to bet $50, I would say that Rosario has a better chance of making the club next year than Hicks.
  22. Sid writes this every year. Please ignore it It means nothing. TR most certainly has a budget - he's just toeing the company line.
  23. Not aware of him saying that. When you consider that a MLB hitter has a millisecond to make a decision it wouldn't take much in terms of brain injury to have an effect.
  24. This. He's been a good player for the Twins and at one point when he was catching, an elite player. Not so much now but if anybody wants to throw $20 in a pot for who will have the highest OBP on the club next year I'll take Mauer; same thing with BA. He's had more than his fair share of injuries. Doesn't necessarily mean he's not tough - some guys just have more injuries. I personally think that his un - Mauer like performance last year may be due to lingering concussion stuff. Morneau dealt with it for quite a while after he came back.
  25. So this is not trolling but why did Rick Anderson not get any credit here? He was credited with refining the pitch selection leading to the very low walk rate. The turnaround is pretty amazing.
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