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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    It hasn't changed. If anything, with the amount of time they missed last year they probably even need more reps than they would have last year if they had been healthy from day one.
  2. drjim
    I also agree with this. Missed a chance to cash out an asset that wasn't needed in the immediate future. People say the same thing for Willingham and Suzuki, but those markets were much smaller than people seem to realize. At some point you do need to fill out a team.
  3. drjim
    I doubt the players do that. A much bigger problem is the super two and extra year of control manipulation. Just bad for the game. My thought was to have 6 years 45 days of control. Basically a free September callup in addition to 6 years. Also, baseball could take a lesson from football for free agent compensation. Take the value of net players lost and give comp picks in supplementary rounds.
  4. drjim
    Would solve the LF problem pretty quickly. And I wouldn't be surprised if Dozier ends up at 3B when Polanco is ready to replace Plouffe.
  5. drjim
    I do think one obvious point missing in this article and discussion is that the Cardinals are clearly the number one franchise in all of baseball in the last 15 years. Aside from the 3-4 huge market teams every other franchise would want to be like the Cardinals and have the same success. And every other team would fall short of the Cardinals when comparing drafts and transactions. They are the model. Until, of course, they no longer are.
  6. drjim
    I don't think they should trade Sano or Buxton either and I have always agreed with that take on Myers. Teams don't get burned by trading corner OF unless they become multiple all stars. I also agree the Twins could certainly be in position to trade prospects this offseason (outside of Sano and Buxton), I just don't don't know if they would bring back much, and I would be hesitant to trade prospects for guys in the last year of a deal. I wouldn't hesitate to trade Meyer for a SP that is controlled for multiple years.
  7. drjim
    I would do that trade if I had assurances that he would sign an extension. A 6 year deal would not make him the highest paid player and no he would not do that, no reason for him to do so, he is 2 years from free agency.
  8. drjim
    It is enough of a failure that they have fired the GM and manager. Perhaps not on the timeline you wanted. And a couple of other things - it is a 3 year rebuild so far, 2011 is the year they are rebuilding from, and I'm not so certain they were fully committed to a rebuild in 2012, more trying to avoid a complete collapse. Also, if you want to criticize Terry Ryan, which I assume is your intention, probably doesn't bolster your case to have half the players you mention leave the organization before he was hired. And the other half either retired, were spun for legitimate assets that will be part of the next competitive team, or were well into their decline years which, as you have mentioned before, are not the type of players they should be investing in and wouldn't be part of a future championship team. But if it makes you feel better I will affirm the position that 2011-2014 has been a disaster for the Twins. Not sure anyone would argue otherwise. But I would say things have been done to get them on their way out of it starting next year. That is why I would not fire Ryan - yet.
  9. drjim
    The problem is Stanton would have to agree to a 6 year deal and he wouldn't, progressive thinkers or not. Not to mention the prospects.
  10. drjim
    It is far from certain and probably unlikely that Sano would be better than Plouffe next year. But I absolutely agree that they should consider trading Plouffe for an OF or SP. If Sano was to break camp with the Twins, which he won't, he would certainly hit bombs and other power but would be a low AVG guy and I would be concerned about his BB rate. The Twins could certainly live with this, and he would probably improve as the season moved on, but I personally would be concerned about his defense. After a year off and TJ I would be a little hesitant to put him out there day one and let him go with his elbow. I would much rather break him in a little slower in the minors, play a couple games, dh a game, take a day off, pull him if the elbow is tender. Much easier to manage that at AA than in the bigs.
  11. drjim
    Have him serve his suspension and move on?
  12. drjim
    Probably worth asking on everyone.
  13. drjim
    Just to rile Mike up a little I'll point out that since Ryan took the job he has dished out north of $130 mil in contracts to free agents from outside the organization (in three years) with the majority of that coming last offseason when he thought the team was ready to make a little jump. You can complain about who was and wasn't signed, and surely you have, but to say "we don't sign anyone" is being intentionally obtuse. And to assume they won't sign anyone is to ignore the fact that they indeed have signed people with the previous offseason being the largest free agent outlay in the history of the franchise. Personally I would wait until the offseason is done before being so sure they aren't going to do anything.
  14. drjim
    I saw this article and hesitated to click on it and it was worse than I could have expected. A team is good the Twins aren't, here are some base level stats to show that. Now the Twins should be more like that successful team. Who knew?
  15. drjim
    The Dodgers aren't doing a Kemp salary dump. He's too good. Best Twins can hope for is bad contract (Nolasco) for bad contract (Either or Crawford). I'd rather roll with Nolasco.
  16. drjim
    The one thing I would say is that there might be some benefit to having different types of pitchers to give different looks to a lineup during a series and throughout the season. It doesn't matter if it is a LH per se, just different styles of pitching. But I also think this is quite secondary to talent.
  17. drjim
    Fair enough and good distinction. I can't speak for others but if Sano and Buxton are lighting it up I will want them up no matter what Plouffe and Hicks especially are doing.
  18. drjim
    I certainly agree with the second paragraph, not to waste 2-3 years of Sano and Buxton, but assuming they come up this year, it probably isn't until 2016 or 17 that the team is really ready to move, having those years be the equivalent of 13 and 14 for the current KC team. As this relates to this offseason, I think it makes sense to do signings that fill holes (SP, OF), but maintain flexibility going forward in both roster space and payroll. One reason I am starting to think a big FA SP splash might best be delayed a year or two, and to instead pursue more upside, short term guys this offseason for the rotation. I would also argue, and I'm sure you would agree, that it would be a bad time for the Twins to make a Shields trade, where they would trade one of their elite prospects for two years of a horse. The lesson from the Royals is not that it is impossible to go from 90 losses to competitiveness, but that it is important to understand the talent cycle of an organization and to be aggressive at the right time. I still think the Twins are one or two years away.
  19. drjim
    Could be 2016.
  20. drjim
    There wasn't a path to contention. They certainly didn't need to lose 90+ the last three years, but part of that is part fortune, part is bad decisions (both pre-2011 and with actual free agents signed), part is poor free agent markets that didn't align with needs. It sucks having a bad team, but doesn't mean people need to forget how bad of shape the team was in following the 2011 season and how difficult it is to rebuild a pitching staff and farm system in shambles. Even with perfect hindsight there wasn't a clear path. Some additional wins of course, but not a clear path.
  21. drjim
    I'm not sure KC proves this point. It can pay to be aggressive, but the team has to be ready. It wasn't like the Royals were good for a while, had one bad season and then were really aggressive, it was a slow build. Wins since 2003: 58, 56, 62, 69, 75, 65, 67, 71, 72 (acquired Shields as young talent was maturing), 86, 89. Now, even though they will lose Shields, they will probably have a decent run of sustained success.
  22. drjim
    I would disagree with this. I don't think it matters in the least what those three are doing in regards to when Sano and Buxton come up, especially if they are lighting it up like we all hope they will.
  23. drjim
    I hear all what you are saying Brock, but I doubt that what is happening now will really have all that much impact on 18-34 demo in the long run. Baseball is primarily a regional sport, with fandom based on how the local team is doing with some spillover into the playoffs if you are a diehard. I'm skeptical that 18-34 (of which I barely am one) sit down and watch an entire game no matter what sport it is. If they like baseball there are plenty of ways to engage in the playoffs even if they don't plunk down for cable. If they don't like baseball they wouldn't be watching more than a couple of minutes either way. Doesn't mean that the cable model isn't dead in the long run.
  24. drjim
    These two points are such an obvious rebuttal to what is a pretty silly idea. I do think Sano will force his way to the bigs pretty quick. I'm less confident in Buxton. And that's ok.
  25. drjim
    Great post and completely agree. I also think you hint at something that is probably coming after the next manager is hired, which will be some shakeup within the minor league staffs. Probably bigger changes coming than we realize, even if they do end up hiring Molitor or someone else currently in the organziation.
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