That's kind of a stretch. It was Smith's 4th year. Basically the entire bullpen left and wasn't replaced, he let Hudson leave and salary dumped Hardy to roll with Nishi and Casilla as his middle infield, he ran back with Thome, doubled down on career years of Young/Valencia and counted on Morneau and Nathan for bigger roles than their injuries should have. I'm not saying this all should have equaled 99 losses, but that was a disaster offseason leading into 2011, coupled with really bad luck.