TheLeviathan
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Everything posted by TheLeviathan
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MEyer is one of the few in-house options this team has to bolster its rotation with upper level talent. if this injury becomes serious it is a major, major problem for this teams timetable. Meyer's talent as a pitcher is critical for this team. -
I would say our highest ranked, highest level pitching prospect is going to be critical. Mostly because he is just about the only pitcher likely to impact next year.
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Lets hope, we've had enough of these things mismanaged to have reason to be worried. A major surgery to Meyer may effect our timeline to contend more than people think.
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I doubt most confident prosecution teams do that at that late stage. The lawyers for the Martin team also backed some of their rhetoric down from wanting to see this murder "punished" to wanting to see "justice". i was amazed to see people publicly suggesting the theory Psuedo did earlier that this was some grand mastermind scheme. It really shocks me anyone could buy into that nonsense. Too many variables the prosecution didnt prove or even attempt to explain, my guess is manslaughter.
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I'd say he's been markedly better than Duensing, but Duensing has team control left and some youth. So probably a wash as you said.
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Now that the deals are happening, I figured there might as well be a thread to post deals and comment. White Sox dealt Matt Thornton and cash to Boston for Brandon Jacobs. Thornton is due about 2.5M yet the rest of the year. He's been dominant against lefties: 173/232/351 slash line against him. He's also pitching extremely well on the road vs. home. All good signs for the Red Sox. Jacobs appears to have been a disappointment for BoSox fans coming into the season. He was just promoted to AA a few days ago after he's had a torrid week and a half. Appears to be a switch hitter with some power potential. To me, when I look at Thornton's performance so far this year, this doesn't look like a particularly good haul. Not sure that says anything about the market for Perkins, but I suppose you could make that case.
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I think that's the inherent problem. You won't find different OBP, SLG, or BA on different sites. These are more certain measurements so I tend to have more confidence in them. Defensive metrics just don't inspire nearly as much confidence. I'd still use them, just with a different level of trust.
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I welcome them to consult those metrics, but defense is one area I still think old-fashioned scouting is more reliable. The stats we use to measure pitching and hitting aren't based on subjectivity. There is nothing subjective about OPS. Or OPS+. But DRS does have subjectivity. I just think, to date, defensive metrics and your advanced hitting/pitching stats are apples and oranges largely because of how subjectivity plays in. That has a dramatic impact on the value of data IMO. They are getting better, I'll grant that.
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Yup, purely about errors.
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I thought the whole D-Backs vs Dodgers thing was one more example that baseball code/unwritten rules/right way or whatever you want to call it is a collection of nonsense.Most of the time it seems to excuse stupidity and punish aggressive play that is within the rules.
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Article: Trade Talk: San Diego Padres
TheLeviathan replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think Quentin, Marquis, Gregorson, Street, Stults, and maybe Denorfia could all generate interest. Maybe not a lot of interest, but some of those guys could be decent pieces. -
I dont think all that highly of defensive metrics, so I'd rule out WAR personally. I agree about defensive value and I can't speak to Revere's play this year, but I would say Revere is the better CF overall at this stage. Though I think if Hicks can get his routes/instincts more refined he overtakes him at some point.
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Let's see how Frankie's arm holds out now that he is back on the "slider, slider, slider, several more sliders" system of pitching. He did that here once too, didn't end well. So I can't put that on organizational philosophy until he actually does it consistently with good results and health.
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Those numbers show how easy it can be to paint a player's value how one would like. OPS+ is probably most reflective here, but I think in time Hicks' more versatile skillset will make him the better player.
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I like the Zach Lee idea best and it also happens to be the most realistic/likely of the trades IMO. I'd avoid the Red Sox, it may be unfair bias but their prospects always seem overhyped.
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Article: Trade Talk: San Diego Padres
TheLeviathan replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Personally, I'd be trying to rescue James Darnell and give him some time at 3B for us if we deal Morneau. He's struggling, but this guy was very recently thought of as a legit star in the making. Might be worth a flyer if the price is low enough. Edit: I stand corrected...he was cut. Huh. Never mind. -
Guess the 2014 Opening day roster
TheLeviathan replied to diehardtwinsfan's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Prepare for Bruce Chen. That's my guess. -
That's also the pitch that he over-threw to a blown-out elbow. Might be something to watch for.
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No, I'm reminding you of the stance you're disagreeing with. To hopefully refocus you. Just their Kevin Gregg signing was better than all the Twins moves combined. I'd argue Feldman's quite excellent first half performance easily beats them all out combined as well. And we haven't even talked about Villanueva or the fact that all three of these guys were one year off-season deals. The Cubs, ultimately, did a better job utilizing their money to not only bring in contributors but to get successful contributions out of them. Use WAR, use ERA, use whatever you want - I can't find a stat that doesn't show a significant disparity.
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Except that was never the point. The point was that the two clubs were in similar positions - young, rebuilding, spots open for guys to prove themselves, and cash to pay them to take a flyer. The Cubs utilized their openings that weren't blocking young players and got not only good performances, but potential trade value. The Twins don't look to have gotten either with their investments. I don't know how you can say with a straight face that those two efforts are equal.
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The Cubs are one year into a new regime. I can tell you from my 6 years in Chicago and the Cubs fans I befriended that they are estatic with the new direction. Not to mention near universal praise for how they managed to sign Feldman, get a half season of excellent pitching, and an intriguing package in trade for him. The only criticisms I've heard are from people on this board trying really, really, really hard to belittle a good move.
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Cmon Jim, they've already beat the Twins. And they haven't even dealt Kevin Gregg yet or anyone else. This seems like being pessimistic just for the sake of it. We can judge the end results later, they very well turn out to be nothing, but they've CLEARLY got better results on the field and through trade then we did. Suggesting otherwise is just ludicrous. And it's not that the Cubs are the "model", it's that the two teams were in similar positions and both had money to spend. The difference is that it appears the Cubs actually gained value (this year and potentially in the future) from their moves while the Twins did not. Plus, I'd argue the multi-year deal with Jackson is not killing them. They probably are waiting for his patented streak of amazing pitching to deal him. So how good/bad that deal is has yet to be determined.
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Exactly and he seems perfect when youlisten to him talk in interviews about his work with prospects. he has that unique ability to be critical but constructively rather than negatively.
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Article: Trade Talk: Arizona Diamondbacks
TheLeviathan replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You forgot Duensing. -
Put me 100% in the Molitor camp. We have watched fifteen years of "slap and run" hitters that have largely been absent the "run" half. With Dozier, Hicks, Kepler, Buxton, and Rosario all as potential base path terrorists....I'd like someone better at this element of the game personally. Molly just has everything I look for in a manager from a personality standpoint.
