This new CBA didn't make tanking any more or less effective. We are just in a cycle with a lot of savvy small markets having success - they tend to be more conservative with the assets they trust which is why you see less player movement. High draft picks are nice, but the Twins have to add talent when they can. Waiting for the stars to align is an expression we use more flippantly, but when you look at it literally you get a more realistic picture of what it means: it can take a very, very, very long time. And it certainly doesn't happen frequently enough to start making baseball decisions on that philosophy. I doubt even Ryan believes any such thing, he's just diametrically opposed to spending money outside a self-selected set of parameters.