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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    If you can add two pitchers for Santana (who is half a UCL or another positive PED test away from never performing again for the Twins), you do that. He is just too old compared to the core of this team. I'd pencil in Berrios and Mejia, hope that May comes back the way he was pitching in ST and that 2-3 of young arms for Santana (and Dozier), Jorge, Romero, Gonsalves are the rotation. Getting after free agents (other than Pineda) at this point does not make sense. Will clog the system with old expensive pitchers like Hughes at some point..
  2. Thrylos
    The same price they paid when they extended Capps, Hughes, and Suzuki...
  3. Thrylos
    Glad for both. Hope this increases Santana's value as a trading chip.
  4. Thrylos
    Small samples. That's why I stuck to the number of lefties who pitched significant innings. Not sure that one can tell much by Wilk's 10.1 innings and Turley's 9.1 innings; all worse than Santiago. If you get away from lefties, even pitchers that Twins' fans hated, like Nolasco and Pelfrey performed better than Santiago.
  5. Thrylos
    Bet there were some tears in that beer
  6. Thrylos
    Santiago has been consistent in his brief career with the Twins: 2016: 5.58 ERA, 5.82 FIP, 1.418 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9, 5.4 K/9 (61.1 IP) 2017: 5.63 ERA, 6.00 FIP, 1.436 WHIP, 4 BB/9, 6.5 K/9 (70.1 IP) Comparisons (and I am sticking with lefties who pitched a while) : Career numbers with the Twins Milone: 4.79 ERA, 4.85 FIP, 1.448 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9, 6.3 K/9 (219.2 IP) Albers: 4.44 ERA, 4.45 FIP, 1.351 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9, 4.8 K/9 (77 IP) Diamond: 4.43 ERA, 4.48 FIP, 1.413 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9, 4.2 K/9 (343 IP) Depth? His numbers are performance is as bad or even worse than that of those garbage pile pick ups. The definition of replacement level that can be replaced in the waiver wire or by independent league pick ups...
  7. Thrylos
    Signed for under $150K. He attacks the plate with 3 pitches that he has excellent command over. Velo does not matter (it is 90-91) since it is guaranteed to increase as he grows up. Graterol picked about 8 mph in 2 years and that after TJ surgery. He is 6-3, 170 and will grow and fill up.
  8. Thrylos
    Stick a fork on Antony too who gave up real value to bring him there.
  9. Thrylos
    Couple more: 17 y.o Jesus Toledo: 5 G, 4 GS, 3-0, 20.2 IP, 0.00 ERA, 0.919 WHIP, 14 H, 5 BB, 15 K. 17 y.o Michael Montero (a future star, heard it here first) : 5 G, 5 GS, 3-1, 23 IP, 2.35 ERA, 0.870 WHIP, 17 H, 3 BB, 21 K.
  10. Thrylos
    He is on the "DL" in Rochester... He is not the problem with the Twins
  11. Thrylos
    18 y.o. Estamy Urina is hitting .387/.438/.581 in 73 PAs, 17 y.o. Wander Valdez .328/.437/.569 in 71 PAs, 19 y.o. Ruben Santana .391/.453/.500 in 53 PA and also 19 y.o Yeltsin Encarnancion .326/.453/.488 in 53 PA. The DSL Twins played 23 games last month and they do deserve some recognition as members of the Twins' organization
  12. Thrylos
    I think that they are trying things. And to their credit, they are mostly willing to get rid of the things they have tried and haven't worked. The problem however is that the team is doing better than anybody thought, and the quality or readiness of things they are trying is not quite that of a contender. This is the biggest issue with this FO: They wanted 2017 to be an evaluating season, happened to be a contending season and they are doing nothing about it. Half rear-end does not cut it any more. You either evaluate and rebuild, which means bye bye Belise, Breslow, Santiago and hello a bunch of young arms, or you try to compete, which means bye bye Belisle, Breslow, Santiago & Co and welcome better pitchers from outside the organization. Other than that they are trying to polish turds. And if that's what you are trying, it is not good enough.
  13. Thrylos
    At least Gordon and Lewis are likely not going to be SS in the majors. Sano, Minier, Cuddyer and Plouffe were drafted and signed as SS. Easy to change positions. SS tend to get the attention because that's where the most talented with the glove kids play. Non-issue
  14. Thrylos
    Few more MiLB re-assignments and I think this catches up for the month: Chattanooga releases 3B Dan Gamache, returns Le Blanc to the Miracle Miracle releases 2B Brad Strong IF Andre Jernigan promoted to the Kernels from E-Twins LHP Taylor Clemensia and RHP Carlos Suniaga went from E-town to the GCL
  15. Thrylos
    And then back to Chattanooga couple days ago
  16. Thrylos
    I'd swear there was a MiLB transactions post that for some reason I cannot find, so I am posting this here: The Twins signed 24 year old MiLB FA LHP Anthony Marzi, formerly of the Independent Atlantic League New Britain Bees and assigned his to the Kernels who sent IF Ariel Montesino to the E-Twins
  17. Thrylos
    Here are Liriano's numbers this season: 5.46 ERA, 4.83 FIP, 1.607 WHIP, 8.7 K/9, 5.2 BB/9 In the Twins he would slot behind Berrios, Santana, and Mejia, right in front of Santiago (maybe) and Gibson. I'd rather see them throw kids at that 5th spot and see if one of them can be better than that. The Twins really need someone who would slot ahead of Mejia and hopefully ahead of Santana at this point to compete, not another 4-5 guy
  18. Thrylos
    Good stuff. One thing: Tonkin has not been "very good" in AAA. His problem has always been that he cannot get lefties out. In his MLB career lefties have been hitting .317/.382/.649 off Tonkin (and righties .246/.319/.346). I don't have the full slash against him in Rochester this season, but LHBs BA against him is .333 (vs. .128 against RHBs) and his WHIP against LHB is 2.33 (vs. 0.75 vs RHBs.) Same old ROOGIE. If he cannot get AAA LHBs out, he does not belong to AAA, much more to the majors.
  19. Thrylos
    I suspect that he will be ranked below Royce Lewis
  20. Thrylos
    I agree with that position. I think that the Twins this deadline should be "flippers". Flipping older assets for younger who can contribute wright away. Ervin Santana is one of them. He could potentially help a young club like Colorado, and the Twins can have a package anchored by someone like Jeff Hoffman with 4 years of club control who is their 4th starter, has phenomenal numbers outside Coors and might even perform better than Santana down the line for the Twins. Same with Dozier. Knock at the Dodgers door again and see if you can have someone like Brock Stewart or Scott Barlow along with someone like Joe Broussard, who could plug in the Twins rotation and pen right away. Throw in Hector Santiago if you have too, he is someone the Dodgers can use as a back of the rotation insurance. These are the type of deals they should be making, other than potentially going for a younger Ace like Archer. I would not put Cole or Grey in that category, but I wouldn't mind sending 3-4 prospects (everyone other than Romero & Gordon - who should be Dozier's replacement should be touchable) Tampa's way for Archer
  21. Thrylos
    There is data. Here comparing the most changed numbers between 2016 and 2017: 2016: LOB: 78.8%, HR/FB: 4.5%, BB%: 3.8%, K-BB: 13.4%, GB/FB: 1.6, xFIP: 3.87, ERA: 1.76 2017: LOB: 55.1%, HR/FB: 11.4%, BB%: 12.1%, K-BB%: 3.5%, GB/FB: 1.1, xFIP: 5.53, ERA: 6.53 He has been a pitch to contact guy who induces ground balls and strikes out about 6-7 per nine. This season: He walks 4x as many batters as he did last season, induces about 50% more fly balls that he did last season, and those fly balls becoming HRs at a rate triple of last season. Add the fact that only about half of the runners on base are stranded, and that explains the 4x different in earned runs. Plus being superlucky with LOB and HR/FB in 2016. that 55.4 LOB% should regress to 70% that would make his ERA closer to his xFIP, but he is walking too many and not getting enough ground outs. If you look at his fangraphs' pitch values, both his FB and CU are much worse this season. His slider is fine, so if he throws more of that than curves and improves his fastball he might improve. On the other hand, he just had his 37th birthday. I'd rather see what Bard or Curtiss can do...
  22. Thrylos
    You can add Rob Delaney to the mix of low velocity crazy minor league numbers who did nothing in the majors because were never given the opportunity players. His numbers were more ridiculous than Slama's. In 2007 and 2008 he had video game numbers from Beloit to Fort Myers to New Britain. ERA averaging around 1, WHIP at 0.850 and more than 10 K/9...
  23. Thrylos
    Never mind the Bullocks.
  24. Thrylos
    Fun stuff. A couple of (unrelated) things: a. Is that peak velocity or average velocity. If it is the latter, does that count cruising into third from first in a double while the third base coach pulled the stop sign? b. To put things into perspective: The fastest man in baseball runs at 30.1 ft/sec. Flo Jo, who may rest in peace, ran her best 100m at 31.5 ft/sec and would had kicked both Hamilton's and Buxton's rear end in a foot race. Bolt's best 100m is at 34.4 ft/sec, which turns Buxton into Vargas by comparison. That 30 ft/sec translates to 11 second times for the 100 yards dash, which likely will not win a High School 100m race in most places. This seems about right, since Buxton's 60 yard dash numbers in High School was 6.57 (27.4 ft/sec).
  25. Thrylos
    This tells you how seriously one should take national sports people regarding the Twins' farm system...
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