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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    The thing with Tonkin is that he got plenty of chances to prove that he belonged to the majors (60 games, 53.7 IP) and at this point he is behind the other 2 RHRPs with FBs > 94 mph in 2015 who may be on the bubble for a mop up role, Pressly and Graham (Jepsen's FB averaged up there as well, but he is a lock and does not belong in the conversation.) Not to mention the likes of Meyer, Burdi, Chargois, Reed, and even dark horses like Landa and Kintzler. Add Jepsen and Fien and Tonkin is probably 9th-11th in the RHRP depth chart for the Twins. Unless something gets to him and he becomes different pitcher than in the last 3 seasons or unless Ryan for some weird reason would rather keep him than take a better pitcher, frankly, I cannot see how he can make this team.
  2. Thrylos
    I think that the Twins' pitchers are probably cringing at the prospects of a Quentin-Santana-Sano (L to R) OF Still too early to tell, I just think that the Twins will bring more bodies in Spring Training at this point. And I think that it is hard to see CF in a vacuum away from the rest of the OF. Ryan is notorious of bring in players he liked when they played against the Twins and were successful. Quentin is an example. I look at the FA roster out there and David Murphy being there just scares me, for example. My best case scenario for the Twins' CF: a. Buxton proves that he can hit breaking stuff and get it in merit, if not b. Benson has the Spring of his life and wins the job, if not c. Rosario would be it. I would not consider Santana out there, sue me. He has neither the stick or the glove to deserve a starting position...
  3. Thrylos
    Heck, if someone can put Turner or Vielma in that list, I should be able to put Mientkiewicz. Still in contract with the Twins like the 2 above, still the best defensive first baseman among people under contract with the Twins and likely will hit better than both Turner and Vielma No. Mauer is not average as far as first basemen are concerned, by any metric out there and by the eye test. He is fine in not making any errors, but his range, speed and foot work in the position are way below average. I have not seen Park play, and I have not seen Vargas play this winter, so I cannot talk much about those 2. Vargas was close to Mauer last season (at least he has more range in the position and better instincts) . I'd take Rodriguez over Mauer as far as defense goes for sure, Haar maybe, Hicks not,( I'd take Mientkiewicz over anyone named Vavra, sue me), Diaz no, Minier maybe, Kendrick no. Kepler maybe. Plouffe yes. So Mauer is not the best defensive first baseman in the organization...
  4. Thrylos
    I suspect that we don't have 40-man or any roster considerations or any consideration about whether someone can hit or not, because there are not in the OP list Here you go: C Hicks 1B Mientkiewicz 2B Michael SS Escobar 3B Plouffe OF Buxton OF Benson OF Wade That might win about 45 games
  5. Thrylos
    So... How does Mauer and his sub-par glove at first belong in this list, if you are willing to put no-hit Turner at C?
  6. Thrylos
    Turn things around? Here is Suzuki the last 4 seasons: 2012: wOBA .264, wRC+ 63, OPS .605, BABIP .269 2013: wOBA .271, wRC+ 67, OPS .627, BABIP .245 2014: wOBA .324, wRC+ 107, OPS .727, BABIP .310 2015: wOBA .269, wRC+ 66, OPS .610, BABIP .265 2014 was an aberration and the root cause of that aberration is up there in bold. 2015 is who Suzuki is. Nothing to turn around. He was at his normal levels with the stick (despite the fact that he got an extension after a season that an aberration and Ryan bought high...)
  7. Thrylos
    Look forward to seeing Melotakis have a great Spring Training and making the team. Missing a season plus with TJ surgery potentially might seem a downside, but he came back strong. JT Chargois is on the same boat as well (from the starboard side). I'd rather see younger guys make the team than retreads for many reasons...
  8. Thrylos
    Definitely a great cause to support. Wishing Rod C the best. He is a fighter.
  9. Thrylos
    I'd take Pags over Pavano any day ! Way to go guys!
  10. Thrylos
    Is Pavano still coming? He just cancelled Twinsfest for family reasons. #AmericanIdle.
  11. Thrylos
    LIttle too premature. Should have probably come out the day of the first exhibition game with the Nationals before the season started...
  12. Thrylos
    That is 5/7ths of the horrible Twins' second half bullpen and then with Nolasco and Abad added. #OOFDA I hope that the Twins' brass realize that the Fiens and Tonkins of the world were part of the problem and not the solution here, and start thinking outside the box. Quickly.
  13. Thrylos
    ummm: Matt.Capps. Carl.Pavano. Nic_.Blac_burn. Glen Perkins SOP
  14. Thrylos
    Samardzija has been really consistent: lost 13 games each of the last 4 seasons
  15. Thrylos
    According to PitchF/X Abad was throwing 5 pitches: 4-seamer, 2-seamer, cutter, knucklecurve and change up. All but the 4-seamer and changeup were below average. Addition by subtraction might work for him. That and that 17.2% HR/FB rate that is not sustainable. So he will likely be better. Tipping or not. However, the important question is how much better? Would he be an 8th inning in a contender better (which is what the Twins need)? I seriously doubt it. And if he is a 7th inning guy or a mop up guy, Rogers or Melotakis would probably have similar floor and much higher upside.
  16. Thrylos
    Fact check: Nolasco had one season of 4.1 WAR (2009) one season of 4.0 WAR (2008) one season of 3.2 WAR (2013) and one season of 3.0 WAR (2011). As a comparison, Hughes had only 1 season of higher than 2.6 WAR, and that was last season (and HE took advantage of that). Gibson's highest WAR was 2.5. Ervin Santana has 2 seasons with WAR >= 3.0 2006 and 2008. Milone's highest career WAR was 2.8 in 2012... (fWAR btw) Just sayin'
  17. Thrylos
    I think that Kohl Stewart starts at Chattanooga. He should not repeat Fort Myers because of Bencomo (who might not even be a Twin after Spring Training) I think that Ryan will do what he usually does regarding the Twins' rotation, pending major ST meltdowns: Follow the $. I will be surprised if it is not Santana, Hughes, Gibson, Nolasco, Milone, in order of job safety. If someone has a crazy Spring, Milone might go to the pen, not Nolasco. The Twins really need Nolasco to have a hotter than hey start, so they can trade him ASAP. Also I think that Romero will be in the pen now. Other than that (and the uncertainty regarding the Twins' pen that might take some SPs from AAA), I think that this is spot on...
  18. Thrylos
    Would be fun to hear what Bret will do with Mason Melotakis' name
  19. Thrylos
    I think that most players are too far away from Terry Ryan. And Paul Molitor is a Hall of Famer no matter what. I suspect that if someone had a conversation with players like Pat Neshek, Kevin Slowey (who btw retired and is working as a special assistant in the MLBPA), Danny Valencia, the aforementioned Kyle Lohse, Luke Hughes and several others off the record, will have a good idea about some of the managers and coaches of this team. And, I bet if one asked Manship about the current Miracle Manager (off the record - because nobody is going to say anything bad on the record, because otherwise will get blacklisted,) one might here a bit of a story....
  20. Thrylos
    They'll make a spot...
  21. Thrylos
    How about the guy who is going to be coming in with the most momentum? .308/.390/.525 and the Roberto Clemente PWL MVP. I know there is not much love for Vargas for some reason, but he put similar numbers with Kepler in Chattanooga (.287/.417/.516) and did not do that shabby in Rochester (.279/.411/.475) either. Bad season in the majors, but better than Buxton, Robinson and Suzuki. Also, he looks like he has been working hard and lost a good 30 lbs. This is a shot from last week. I think that he will have a monster Spring making things hard for the Twins...
  22. Thrylos
    Here is the problem with Rosario: He really is an isoD .050 player max and 0.42 isoD average. Which means that he really needs a high BA and BABIP to get on base at respectable clips. Career OBP: AA .308, AAA .280, MLB .289. That said, Last season he was a bit unlucky in the majors because his average BABIP - BA is .039. Last season with the Twins it was 0.065, so that BA has a good 0.025 or so of positive movement potential. So that .267/.289/.459 with just career average isoD and isoP and the same BABIP he hit in 2015 would project to about .308/.350/.467 for an .817 OPS which will probably have him in the top 30 OFs of the majors by OPS next season... Stud? Hardly. Better? Sure.
  23. Thrylos
    Um, you seem to forget what Terry Ryan, you and I (and most people who are reading this and their first name is not Andy) have in common: We all led the Twins in the same number of World Titles as General Managers. Just one of us had that chance to do better, but he (and his hand picked buddies who were around after he "retired") failed to do for 21 years. Got to clean house, if one has a chance to. First things first. So that's that. But that's my point of view
  24. Thrylos
    Need to figure out what they are looking for. And pitchers is not what they are looking for. But Kepler will be a good start. Add Plouffe, which will solve one big problem and then figure out what else they might be looking for. Add Gordon, if you have to. A true ace is one of the hardest commodities to find, compared to a corner OF/1B
  25. Thrylos
    Sorry for having the audacity to have an opinion on what needs to be changed in the Twins' organization to make this team a winner, which might conflict with yours
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