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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    Mea Cupla. Got it from BR. Here.
  2. Thrylos
    That's an incomplete list. Likely the players who only have the qualified PAs. Missing Danny Santana (.105) and Chris Gimenez (.190) for starters. Oh Manny Machado fell to .197 as well Batting average is one thing, and really does not say the whole story, especially about Buxton. These are the lists that matter: MLB players with > 45% K% Buxton MLB players with > 38% K% Buxton MLB players with >35% K%, <100 wRC+ and > 60 PA: Buxton He has a known issue: Striking out on off-speed and breaking stuff. And until he fixes it, he will not be a major leaguer with the stick. The question here is whether the Twins are willing to let him figure it out at the MLB level or in the AAA level. The answer should be based on, whether they think they can compete this season and whether they think that Buxton's glove is good enough to let him hang around. Based on the fact that they wanted Mejia to figure it out in AAA, I suspect that the answer on the competing question is yes. So the only thing that keeps Buxton in the majors is his glove. It think that he is about another lazy throw like the one vs. the Wsux, which lost the game, or letting another ball go to the wall dive, away from his glove not being good enough to keep him in the majors. Unless they decide they don't want to compete.
  3. Thrylos
    Is an understatement and it is not only "last season". The Twins really messed up with Polanco since they called him up from the Miracle for a whole month in 2014 with Gardy allowing him only 8 PAs and 12 total innings on the field. Ditto in 2015: 50 days in the majors, 12 PAs and 28 total innings on the field. Compared to last season, 2014 and 2015 were criminal, but, regardless, Polanco persevered. At least, the very few of us who have been following Polanco since he signed, and knew that he can play SS in the majors, despite his detractors from inside the organization who started spreading that BS about his defense, feel validated that it has finally happened... The Twins are in a position of strength as far as SS and middle infield goes. Polanco can be it at least until Palacios or Javier are ready to take over. Vielma can fill in the gaps, add Arraez as the second baseman of the future, and it becomes obvious that the front office can and should use Gordon as a trading chip in rebuilding the team's pitching.
  4. Thrylos
    That's TR
  5. Thrylos
    Nope. That -0.4 fWAR is for 2017. His career number is 5.5 fWAR (1.8 points higher than Hector Santiago's, and 1.5 higher than Nick Blackburn's, FWIW) As far as Gibson goes: 4 games. Stuff happens. When I look at his numbers, the ones that jump out at me are 26.3% HR/FB, .362 BABIP & 60.7% LOB%. They will normalize. He has a career high this season with 10.2 SwStr%, which is encouraging. As far as pitches go, his velocity is there, looks like he needs to get a feel of his slider and change. From those four games, he had an average game that the Twins won (Game score 48), two below average games ( GS 35 & 38) and a bad game (GS 17), for which Buddy B. was the one who let 2 of the 7 runs in, and the Twins' infielders had balls go under their gloves. Stuff happens. I'd give him another month or so before I panic.
  6. Thrylos
    Nate Silver's "Goose Egg" has incredibly good correlation with WPA... If you think that WPA is an appropriate measure for measuring reliever performance, have at it. Saves, as wins and losses are pretty meaningless. Will it go away? It won't, unless it does not matter in arbitration hearings... I am thinking of S like I am thinking of RBI. It is there and who cares...
  7. Thrylos
    His 90.0% LOB, 4.2 HR/FB, .222 BABIP along with 15.3% K% / 5.4 K/9 and 4.76 xFIP makes me think that it will be nice to enjoy the mirage while it lasts (or even better, finding a trade partner ASAP.)
  8. Thrylos
    Dilemma? Not sure I see it: Duffey sucked as a starter. Duffey has been good in the pen. So: Do they keep him in the pen (where he's been good) or start him again (where he has neither the pitches nor the stamina to succeed)? It is like saying that the Twins had a dilemma after the first year of Perkins' appearances in the pen. Similar situation.
  9. Thrylos
    I hope that the new Twins executives the more familiar they get with the teams' assets both at the majors and the minors are starting to make each and every personnel decision based on future and long term success. If the team is competing this season and (lets say) Phil Hughes is out for a couple months, mr Tepesch will not cut it, as replacement, and they better go out there and get a pitcher who can help them win. If they are not competing this season, I hope that the replacements are players who are having some future with the organization, so mr Tepesch should not cut it either in that scenario. And in the team is not competing, there is zero point of having anyone (other than Mauer who you cannot give away for free) who will not be part of future success, so a fire sale should happen. Still disappointed that Dozier is a Minnesota Twins palyer right now...
  10. Thrylos
    He in the AAA DL
  11. Thrylos
    Early June 2020?
  12. Thrylos
    I think that the roster decisions that need to be made soon are a bit more complicated than "dropping a reliever and picking up Vargas". Here are the complications, on early roster decisions: They soon need to decide on Adrianza and O'Rourke, both about to come out of the 10-day DL and out of options. Easy decision for me: DFA both and see if they clear waivers.Their "best bet" to come up from Rochester (Park) is hurt with hammy issuesThey have pitchers with options in the majors (Duffey, Mejia) but one has been a starter and the other lights out.The best player for bench depth and versatility for the Twins, right now, might not be Vargas, but Niko Goodrum, who has been on fire in Rochester (.353/.389/.647) and can pretty much play every position but catcher.When Molitor is looking and his bench and being disgusted, he is looking at Mr .143 as well (.143/.143/.143), below replacement level, Danny Santana (who is out of options.)In SSS Tonkin has not been awful (but 100% LOB and 0% FB/HR might change that quickly upon regression to normal), but has career lows in K/9 and BB/9. But still is SSSBreslow, on the other hand, has bigger issues: The arm angle change experiment that was supposedly going to help him increase his velocity, has failed. His velocity this season is 2 mph below last season, and 87 mph fastballs do not cut it. What I would do? DFA Breslow and Santana, bring up Goodrum and Vargas, and after Park returns, depending on performance, flip with Vargas (who has options).
  13. Thrylos
    Did you see what he wrote about his stuff? (straight fastball, no change up, mixed up with breaking stuff) The only pathetic thing here is him saying that despite that he will take him 1-1. The data he presented does not justify his conclusion.
  14. Thrylos
    Sure. He said that, but he has no skin in the game. He is not the Twins and does not care about who the Twins will take, or how the Twins will do. He is one of those guys who get paid by the word, and by saying that, it makes it a better story.
  15. Thrylos
    Definitely not a huge fan of Greene with the 1-1 pick. Even KLaw who likes the guy, has this to say about his stuff (from his piece yesterday here). Emphasis mine. Greene's fastball doesn't have much life, but it's very easy. He threw two changeups, both 89 mph, one in the dirt and one pretty good, especially because he maintained his arm speed. The biggest question mark within Greene's present arsenal is his breaking ball. He's throwing both a curveball and slider now and they run into each other. On Friday night you could see how he was raising his arm to get some forced angle on the curveball, but I think he's going to end up a slider guy So. What do we have here: A guy who can throw hard but his FB does not have much life (Tonkin anyone?), whose change up is a work in progress with only 6-10 mph differential from his FB, and the biggest questionmark is his breaking ball because he does not know what to do with it. And gets small catholic High School kids,none of whom are even on the radar for being half way decent, out with 100 mph because they cannot catch up to his fastball, and is a good Shortstop who hits against small catholic High School pitchers, none of whom are even on the radar for being half way decent, and he is a "great story". A great story might be, but a good 1st overall pick, he ain't. Would you pick a guy with Tonkin potential (maybe if he gets a second pitch) 1-1? I wouldn't. Sorry. No matter how good a story he is and no matter how much the ones who get paid by the word they write, write about him...
  16. Thrylos
    Do you remember Gooden's curveball? This kid does not have that.
  17. Thrylos
    What a difference firing Tom Brunansky made...
  18. Thrylos
    Is it me or Miracle is really strange this season? And, yes, we all know (or should) that they will suck, because the talent is just not there. But how the hey, do you use your one and only starting pitching prospect on the roster (Wells) in relief in the first game of the season? Blows up my mind. Edit: I do like Pudge Jr. But he should try to be a closer...
  19. Thrylos
    Here are my expectations from Buxton: H+BB+HBP > K, which is something he was not able to do both in 2015 and in 2016. Even in the isolated SSS last September when people thought that "he turned the corner" he had 40 H+BB+HBP vs 38 K. He should be sitting tomorrow, and his leash should be very short afterwords, let say until a week or two into AAA games. Rosario can play CF.
  20. Thrylos
    Any team that has Trey Vavra and his .230/.316/.326 line as a 24 year old in Fort Myers (1.5 years older than the league then) batting third is in trouble, and so will be this Miracle team. Seriously, this team might be painful to watch this season
  21. Thrylos
    No they did not. Opening day Twins' batting order and 2016 OBP (rank in parenthesis) Dozier .340 (3) Grossman .386 (1) Buxton .284 (9) Mauer .363 (2) Sano .319 (5) Castro .307 (7) Polanco .332 (4) Kepler .309 (6) Rosario .295 (8) You cannot bat the guy with the worst OBP third. He struck out 3 times. About time they flip Polanco towards the top of the order as well... Buxton should be batting 8th or 9th
  22. Thrylos
    No
  23. Thrylos
    Chattanooga will definitely be the class of the Twins' system and well worthwhile a weekend trip to watch as series. It is pretty accessible, only 2 hrs drive from the Atlanta Airport (a major Delta hub with direct flights everywhere) and even if you do not drive, there are Greyhound buses from downtown Atlanta (can take bus from airport) for less than $20 each way. Thought about going last season, but this season I have no excuses not to Btw, based on recent use, I bet that Gordon will mostly be at 2B and Vielma at SS...
  24. Thrylos
    MVP: Sano POY: Mejia Reliever: Rogers ROY: Mejia (I see Dozier and Santana traded, so they do not count.)
  25. Thrylos
    Most important thing that Grossman did was taking that walk. Not sure that Park does that, btw...
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