Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Thrylos

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,094

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    9

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    This roster will need some work to get final. I counted 15 position players & 13 pitchers (+3 in DL), which is way too many. Not sure about releases but I suspect that at least Vargas will start at the DL. Having 4 1B/DH types, also hurts them. Still 23 players in MiLB rosters with the new CBA?
  2. Thrylos
    That's an interesting infield. Lopez and Palacios have been playing exclusively at SS and Montesino looks more like a utility player. I thought that Blackenhorn will likely stick at second. Whitefield (huge jump btw) has played a bit of third in the past and so has Hamilton who is being converted into a C, and so has Kranson. I suspect that the 3B and not 1B will be the rotating position for one of the extra catchers. I think that they will be a middle of the road team at best; just not enough pitching
  3. Thrylos
    Here. And by a blogger who went on to get a job in an MLB FO.
  4. Thrylos
    He has to do better than his age 22 season .282/.332/.424 in 2016 and .284/.340/.429 MLB total. I am looking at .300/.365/.450 with 15 HR, 30 2B, and 15 SB or so, in a full season.
  5. Thrylos
    Working on off-speed pitches and breaking balls and the like "tinkering" in the Spring, is wonderful and great if you are a veteran pitcher who has a secure job (like Hughes) with one exception: Unless you are coming back from a serious injury (like Hughes) and you need to build up velocity, command, and control of the fastball to get out major league hitters when the season opens. That's the issue here. Not sure that Hughes is there yet as far as his fastball goes from what I have seen in the Spring and what I read. And if his fastball is not there, he will be more like the 2015 (lead the league in HR with 29 in 27 games) than the 2014 Hughes. Spring Training stats "do not matter", unless they do. And Hughes allowed 7 HRs in 6 games this Spring, all but one (change) with fastballs. I file that under stats that matter in the Spring, because it was not experimentation, it was on something that should work. Could I live with 2015 Hughes in 2017? I'd take his first half (18 GS, 88-1/3 IP, 8-6, 4.32 ERA, 1.251 WHIP, 5.4 K/9, 0.9 BB/9) over a whole season, which translates to 36 GS, 177 IP, and 14-12 record. I do not think that: a. we can expect more than this from Hughes in 2017. and b. I cannot think of many people who would be upset if Hughes does that. That's his 2017 ceiling (maybe few more IP), pretty much But he has to prove that he can use his fastball to get major league hitters out.
  6. Thrylos
    Until the 5th starter is announced, I am still hopeful for Duffey over Tonkin in the pen. At least no Buddy. That's progress.
  7. Thrylos
    .290/.400/.435, 430PA, 15 HR
  8. Thrylos
    Partially correct. Full answer here.
  9. Thrylos
    Actually this is not quite correct. There is a waiver fee that is smaller than the Rule 5 fee but larger than the average minor leaguer salary. When someone is traded for "cash considerations" usually the amount is higher than the waiver fee.
  10. Thrylos
    Comparing player development in 1982 to player development in 2017 is like comparing player development in 1982 to player development in 1947... Long long time passed since then and it is a different game, esp. as far as development and availability of talent goes.
  11. Thrylos
    This is affirming the consequent
  12. Thrylos
    For a team that young, I would not worry about having the high OBP first, but I would worry more about protecting strikeout prone batters. I think something like: Polanco-Buxton-Mauer-Sano-Dozier-Park-Kepler-Rosario-Castro might work pretty well.
  13. Thrylos
    AA game, which at this point is more like high A hitters. Perspective.
  14. Thrylos
    I do not completely disagree with this. Matter of fact, after I saw Hughes' start at Port Charlotte last week, I was disappointed with the velocity (touched 91 once) but not the results (14% SwStr%) . It was reported that in his following start he was up to 94, which makes me feel better. Here is the thing: Do I trust Duffey more than Hughes as a starter at this point? I cannot say yes, after the last 2 seasons. 191 innings are enough. Duffey belongs in the pen, and I'd rather have Hughes than him in the rotation. And having Duffey over (let's say Tonkin) in the pen will help the Twins in 2017... I do trust Mejia. He is a strikeout pitcher and the Twins need more than that. For me the rotation should be (in order of personal trust on particular pitchers) Santana, Gibson, Mejia, Hughes, Santiago (if he is stretched enough).
  15. Thrylos
    Well... Berrios did it to himself. He realized that he would not pitch enough with Puerto Rico to be stretched enough to be a starter for the Twins by opening day, and still did it. The teams' highest upside relievers (Burdi and Jay) are in AA. Chargois had really horrible command of his fastball. Unless he regains it, he will suck. And it will be less consequential for the Twins for him to do that in AAA vs in the majors.
  16. Thrylos
    The results were known regarding Berrios (and Vargas, wait for the announcement) from the point they made the choice to be in the WBC and mostly sit, instead of staying back and fight for a position. The jury on whether Santiago is stretched enough to star, after being a reliever with PR in the WBC, is still out. Tonight's game against Baltimore will be telling. if he cannot go 6 innings, I would not be surprised if he starts the season in the pen, with both Duffey and Mejia making the rotation, and then switching with Duffey, when Falvine discover that he is not a starter and would better help the team as a reliever.
  17. Thrylos
    a. Duffey is 26+ years old. b. Duffey's career xFIP is 3.82 c. Duffey's xFIP is Identical to Nolasco's career xFIP (I have not seen many tears about letting Nolasco go last season) d. At least the following pitchers Duffey's age and younger have lower xFIP: Thor, Nola, Stroman, McCullers, Cole, Matz, Wood, Martinez, Jon Gray, Wheeler, Joe Ross, Erlin, Ray, Gausman, Velasquez
  18. Thrylos
    Pressly made zero starts with the Twins organization in any level. Was turned into a reliever by Boston half way into 2012.
  19. Thrylos
    I agree with part A. Kintzler, Belisle, Pressly, Rogers, Breslow in That leaves 2 spots. Chargois sucked pretty badly his last 3 outings, and he knows it. He is out. I think that Tonkin and Haley will fight for one spot. I'd take the devil I do not know over the guy I know sucks, and I suspect the Twins will do. Bye bye Tonkin. Last spot: flip a coin or make a decision: Santiago is not stretched enough to start. So he gets that spot and Duffey gets his rotation spot until they rotate in few weeks.
  20. Thrylos
    After his last couple appearances, I'd say that Shaggy needs to spend some time in Rochester to get his command where it needs to be...
  21. Thrylos
    Deron Johnson Yes
  22. Thrylos
    That's not the thing here. It is not the Perkins situation. The people who ran the Twins' draft had the idea that you can get College relievers who throw hard and make them top of the rotation starters. Did not quite work out for the Twins. Jay at least got out of there fast enough to be able to help the team. Cederoth and Bard and (partially) Melotakis are still suffering from that approach. You cannot wash out something that was never there other in people's minds who tried to force it.
  23. Thrylos
    A grand total of 1 season. Actually less that one season: 13 starts at Fort Myers, then 2 more at Chattanooga before he was in the pen for 3 more appearances. Got to give it to them that this was not too long...
  24. Thrylos
    I took a shot at my thoughts on who will be the 25 whom the Twins will call upon, yesterday, here. As far as position players we have the same with the exception that I have Park over Vargas. Vargas has not seen much game time this Spring and Park has been playing very well. Not necessarily my personal preference, but I think that the Twins will bring Santana up North over both Arianza and Bengie Gonzalez (Gonzalez a dark horse here, but has options). I think that the Stubbs train passed. I got the pitching slightly different as well. I just cannot see how Hector Santiago will be ready to start games when he pitched max 2-2/3 innings and even pitched with 2 days rest. I have him in the pen over Duffey (who has options) with both Berios and Mejia making the rotation. The only other difference is that I have Haley over Chargois in the pen. I think that the Twins like Haley enough to keep him and I don't see them working out a trade with the Red Sox. Other than these few differences, it is pretty close.
  25. Thrylos
    Gibson will be ok. Surer thing than Buxton at this point.
×
×
  • Create New...