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PseudoSABR

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Everything posted by PseudoSABR

  1. PseudoSABR
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/?ex_cid=rrpromo
  2. PseudoSABR
    Kevin Correia
  3. PseudoSABR
    Unless the team name is Crackers, white guys don't really get to determine what is offensive, save for actual empathy (not faux butthurtness). Your childhood nostalgia for your favorite sports team is not as culturally significant as the name of another's people. The cost of accepting a sports team named after an actual living group of people--with a real history that isn't all that favorable to the dominate group--is that history is obscured by the team name. The entire of term of Indians is ridiculous, based on misnomer of the first colonial expeditions to what they believed was east asia. That many Native Americans prefer the term Indian, is not because the name honors them, it is because the name incorporates the affect of colonialism on their people, which is, unfortunately, part and parcel with their personhood. I think Sherman Alexie made the point well in this very accessible poem (just one guy's perspective, but it sure rings true, no?).
  4. PseudoSABR
    That's why sample size matters. Over the course of 150 to 200 innings, any starting pitcher is likely to have such aberrations (facing more strikeout prone batters and the like) mitigated by the long season and facing a variety of batters in a variety of situations. For instance, if a guy has a really high k/9 rate, but only has 130 innings and 30 games started, that tells you that the pitcher is wearing himself out getting those Ks and you'll need a very good bullpen to bridge the gap to the end of the game. But if you have high k/9 rate and a 180 innings, there's not much concern about the K-rate being misleading.
  5. PseudoSABR
    I wouldn't go that far.
  6. PseudoSABR
    Of course the corporate structure is a kind of socialism that socializes risk and privatizes profit.
  7. PseudoSABR
    Sourcing is weird here. "Club official" is evidently not a Twins club official? As the use of "they" and "been in contact" suggest someone on the outside. If that's the case, not sure we should give the sentiment that much weight. No matter what deal would result with Darvish, it would be uncharacteristic for the Twins. All that said, it sounds like the Darvish market is heating up, and as it does, I think the Twins chances grow slimmer and slimmer.
  8. PseudoSABR
    I like this man.
  9. PseudoSABR
    Gimenez just signed with the Cubs; so his connection to Darvish certainly won't help the Twins any longer.
  10. PseudoSABR
    The party that deserves the blame for the shutdown is the one that shares your belief about not caring that the government is shutdown, obviously.
  11. PseudoSABR
    This was referenced in the Archer thread, but is more relevant here. John Morosi on the Darvish market.
  12. PseudoSABR
    Link? I looked for it on Yahoo Sports, but only this article mention the Cardinals interest.
  13. PseudoSABR
    From Heyman:
  14. PseudoSABR
    I think they have a plan (or an idea of one) to "fix" Kinley that could make him ML ready; they'll use spring training to figure that out. I'm sure they went to the add process for Rule 5 purposes differently than the Rule 5 draft. That is, the decision/process to not add Burdi and Bard were separate from the decision/process to draft Kinley.
  15. PseudoSABR
    Arrieta should give them a home-town discount.
  16. PseudoSABR
    Chin Music agrees that the Twins are the best fit.
  17. PseudoSABR
    1) Sexual harassment isn't a crime or necessarily a compensable tort claim. No ones suggested that. There are certainly times where sexual harassment would amount to a crime in some instances, and be compensable in a civil suit, in other instances. 2) Sexual harassment is a fireable offense in nearly all professional work places., likely because of your employment contract. Go into a work place and yell your suggestion, and see how it goes over. 3) If a 18 year old bangs a consenting 17 year-old classmate, I doubt there's much harm there. The point is there are plenty of behaviors which are criminalized that don't always cause harm, even if they might sometimes. 4) I know what I'm talking about. PM me for my credentials.
  18. PseudoSABR
    The Twins have so much payroll coming off the books next year, that I think they can structure a deal with Darvish so that it doesn't balloon payroll to such an extent this season.
  19. PseudoSABR
    May not mean much, but clearly there's a working relationship between the agency and the Twins.
  20. PseudoSABR
    That's not cheap, but the commitment isn't long. I'm glad they are serious about improving the bullpen. Now get Darvish.
  21. PseudoSABR
    Generally, such advice is warranted. But sometimes it's clear a person hasn't done the necessary research to entitle them to their opinion, and they ought to be called out on it. Not doing your homework is pretty unforgivable. (And they need not be a lawyer to do research; nor does being a lawyer entitle them to not do research, or have the correct opinion).
  22. PseudoSABR
    A crime is what we say a crime is (defined by our legislatures or our congress). There need not be any harm. Intent matters, but not harm. (For instance, sleeping with a consenting minor is a crime, smoking pot is a crime, speeding is a crime; show me the harm.). In terms of suing some one under tort law (civil law), yes there needs to be a harm, but that harm can indeed be psychological and emotional. You can sue some one for intent to emotionally inflect harm. Really. Harassment may not be a crime (yet), but it is something that workplaces and schools seek to root out. Harassment does not equal assault. Stop using the assault standard to judge harassment. If the person who retaliates does so in outsized measure they deserve more punishment. Self-defense is a defense to criminal and civil liability, but it must be reasonable given the actions of the instigator. If a women slaps you, you do not get to cold-cock her. If a women draws a gun on you, you do get to use life threatening force to defend yourself (but that's never the example.) I'm glad you are engaging in this conversation, but I do suggest you study the law more, and the real experience of women-victims of violence. I don't believe you've done either.
  23. PseudoSABR
    In criminal law, women are held accountable for the very actions you take issue with. If they commit an assault, they get charged with it, all the time. And if Ray Rice's wife were a professional athlete or a celebrity, her actions would have come under scrutiny as well (but hardly what ever she did to be the first aggressor condones being knocked out cold. Come on, man). The "true" harm standard you advocate for is problematic on so many levels. Yes yelling at someone in sexual or sexist way is sexual harassment. It is not assault, but it is harassment. How the heck are we suppose to measure 'true' harm when the harm is psychological, social, and systemic? Whatever disproportionality manifests through false accusation is far, far outweighed by the disproportionate number of men in positions of power. Perhaps, it's the power dynamic at play, rather than some innate bias against men.
  24. PseudoSABR
    This one? "For each organization, we identify the 10 prospects with the highest ceilings, with consideration given to the likelihood of reaching those ceilings." I think you may have missed the second clause in that sentence; certainly, proximity to the majors is factor in the likelihood of reaching one's ceiling.
  25. PseudoSABR
    fify
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